Never mind about the price. It’s not a great investment proposition. Just looking at the holding costs quoted in the ad, it is cashflow negative even if you bought the place without a mortgage.
38067-31611-3604-5922 = – $3070 per annum. That’s a loss of $3070 per annum, even if you bought the property for cash without the burden of mortgage repayments.
Investors have difficulty estimating the value of a property today but you want to estimate it 7 years into the future. Any answer you come up with will be heavily reliant on your assumptions.
If your strategy is to buy this property with the contract at a discounted price and then sell it when the contract expires then you can:
1. Figure out the value of the property today without the contract using comparable sales.
2. Estimate an average capital growth rate for the next 7 years. (Here you can’t just take an average capital growth rate that includes houses, townhouse and apartments. It should be specific to the property type and number of beds)
3. Apply the cap rate to the value of the property without the contract.
Then you can use that value, the purchase price and holding costs to estimate the ROI.
Keep in mind that this is in a building with many apartments and many different owners. It is quite unlikely that at the end of the contract, every owner will vote to not renew the contract. Be careful in assuming the use of the property will become normal residential at the end of the contract. Many a person has been stung by this assumption.
Keep in mind that this is in a building with many apartments and many different owners. It is quite unlikely that at the end of the contract, every owner will vote to not renew the contract. Be careful in assuming the use of the property will become normal residential at the end of the contract. Many a person has been stung by this assumption.
Do all the owners need to agree not to renew the contract? I guess you would need to read the contract in detail.
Given the current yield of the property I don’t see it that unlikely that they wouldn’t vote to renew it.