water your 20% deposit is also worth something lets say 5.81% and if you got the house for $220k that means you would need the property to return approx $13k p/a plus rates insurance vacancy etc so now your easily at $15k p/a and with a rental of $250pw will return you $13k and your still out of pocket $2k so this property is negitivly geared. i always take into account everything especialy my own cash i put in because that has to be worth something
devo 76 In 6 months it will be 12% when the price drops further.
I would be happy to take the guaranteed 9% now than a possible 12 % in the future. In this time it could sell,prices stabilise,my personal circumstances may change and i can no longer buy. I think holding for that extra might become a greed driven reaction.
Sold today for $10,000 more than i had him down too. And he would have gone down further Bloody FHB. There will always be another one. Actually there is one around the corner. Yield is only 7% but room to improve and the block is subdividable and it is in a better area. Might low ball that one tomorrow.
Hey well done getting in there, fancy posting the link to the next one ?what was the contrarct price on the one you missed out ?
question questions
I think I will get another mortgage before infaltion sets in
I will post a link to this one after sale has finalised just incase it falls through and i get another go.As for the one im looking at now. keeping that one to myself.The return is not the greatest but it is prime development land in very sought after area and return good be pushed to about 8.5% at next rental review.Will post if i lose interest.
water, keiko makes a valid point, of course his numbers will change for every house and every interest rate change and every different deposit and everyones tax rates etc, he is pointing out that you have to consider all the costs. Most beginners just say its $250,000 costs at $250 per week so that's a profit of 5%. It's not that simple. ps You need more rental % return for cheaper houses than more expensive houses to end up with the same % in your hand after costs.
devo 76,
yes those fhog are getting in on anything thats cheap, but have patience their numbers are dwindling, soon you will be the only one buying.
As a side issue – has anyone besides me noticed that most of the first home owners are going to leave their houses after 6 months and go back home. This is going to create a lot of empty cheap houses as time goes past, maybe dropping the rentals on cheap houses??
Hey well done getting in there, fancy posting the link to the next one ?what was the contrarct price on the one you missed out ?
question questions
I think I will get another mortgage before infaltion sets in
I will post a link to this one after sale has finalised just incase it falls through and i get another go.As for the one im looking at now. keeping that one to myself.The return is not the greatest but it is prime development land in very sought after area and return good be pushed to about 8.5% at next rental review.Will post if i lose interest.
Thank Devo 76 good luck with the negotations and look forward to reviewing the links when your right with it.
I'm of the "buy now" camp if it is already positively geared, it's only going to get better as rents rise.
The problem with waiting for interest rates to drop further is how will you know when they've bottomed out? You wont' know until they start going up again . Same for house prices.
I'm of the "buy now" camp if it is already positively geared, it's only going to get better as rents rise.
The problem with waiting for interest rates to drop further is how will you know when they've bottomed out? You wont' know until they start going up again . Same for house prices.
I reckon if it's positive today, BUY.
Vicky
What makes you so sure rents can rise sustainably?
I'm finding a lot of properties that are $50+ a week positive cashflow.
For example: I have 2 x 3-bed properties on a freehold cross-lease title available for NZ $282K (AUD $221K). Rents are $535/week for the pair. With 80% gearing and funded at 6.5% interest rate for 5 years (standard Bank mortgage) they are $60 positive a week on P&I or $129 a week positive on interest only.
So, even if rents pull back by $30 a week per house, this property is neutrally geared on P&I.
As Warren Buffet would say:
Be fearful when others are being greedy Be greedy when others are being fearful.
Fair call gmh454. I am primarily speaking of people buying who have positioned themselves to be in a good place to take advantage of the great deals we are seeing, people that are happy to buy with a 4% spread from interest rate vs. yield, people that presumably are not out of work or working less hours.
My buyers list is growing in leaps and bounds, not unlike the 2004-2006 period where we were last seeing 10% plus yields, even though interest rates were 7-8% back then, but people were happy to buy anything on a 10% yield.
From what I can gather, the ones that are buying are not the people out of work, those working less hours, or those unloading their deflating assets because they have over borrowed on them. The people buying have carefully positioned themselves and are not over-leveraged, so they are comfortable putting 20% into own a property which in effect makes it even more positively geared.
Remember China, it had 1.2 kabillion people all who needed a car, that would create a demand for iron ore and coal that would drive Oz for the next 100 plus years of unending boom. The US market was only a small part of their economy, if the US hiccups China will be fine and so will we.
That is not an exact quote but it is here on this website in many forms from back in 2006 + 2007.
Yep, the US was only a small part and it only slowed a little, but the impact of small margin movements has a very significant effect far outweighing the % of that movement.
All you need is few to drop out of the market to kill your market.
To get a bargain on ebay be the only bidder. To pay far more than the starting price you only need one buyer, not hundreds. Same thing in reverse.