All Topics / Forum Frolic / Do you enjoy a bet ?

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  • Profile photo of AdministratorAdministrator
    Keymaster
    @piadmin
    Join Date: 2013
    Post Count: 3,225

    Do you enjoy an occasional bet ?

    Well you better make sure the odds are in your favour.

    I remember the time, a long time ago, when I used to play cards a lot. I enjoyed it immensely except for the fact that mostly I would lose my money.

    One day I picked up a book titled ‘How to win at poker’.

    I bought it and had an enormous grin on my face when I visited a friend.

    When I told him about the book he asked me whether he could have a look at it.

    He glanced through the pages looking at the rules and then announced ‘You have already broken the main rule
    in the book. When I asked him what he was talking about he pointed to a rule in the book which said : ALWAYS play with people who are worse card players than you.

    Well here is a nice little card trick which will win you heaps as the odds are very much in your favour.

    You have got two decks of cards and you say to your friend ‘ I bet you (lunch, $ 1-00, $ 10-00 or whatever)that, going through the decks, turning simultaneously one card over in each of the two decks that you cannot find the same card on each deck as you turn the cards over one by one at a time (going through the whole of the deck).

    Almost invariably the friend will refuse the bet as he thinks the chances would be against him (and he thinks you are a smart arse anyway trying to put something over him).

    Whereupon you say ‘I am only trying to have a friendly bet. There is one chance in 52 of the card in the second deck matching the card in the first deck. So that is one chance in 52. As there are 52 cards in a deck you will have 52 X 1 chance in 52 of winning.

    That makes it an even money bet.

    However, if you don’t like it I am just as happy to take the other side of the bet’.

    Once the bet is accepted you will find that you will win most of the time.

    Try it out for yourself and see whether what I am saying is true.

    Can onyone explain why I would be winning around 9 out of 10 times ?

    Pisces
    (sorry, I am not exactly sure what the exact odds actually are other than that they are astronomically in one’s favour if one has the side of the person turning over the cards.

    Are there any budding mathematicians amongst us who can work out the correct odds ?)

    Profile photo of JetDollarsJetDollars
    Participant
    @jetdollars
    Join Date: 2003
    Post Count: 2,435

    52+51+50+………1

    1368

    I think.

    Warm Regards

    ChanDollars
    [Keep going, you’re on your way to financial freedom]

    Profile photo of AdministratorAdministrator
    Keymaster
    @piadmin
    Join Date: 2013
    Post Count: 3,225

    52+51+50+………1

    1368

    What ? I make the total 1378, not 1368.

    Anyway that doesn’t answer my question anyway.

    Pisces

    Profile photo of JetDollarsJetDollars
    Participant
    @jetdollars
    Join Date: 2003
    Post Count: 2,435
    Originally posted by Pisces:

    52+51+50+………1

    1368

    What ? I make the total 1378, not 1368.

    Anyway that doesn’t answer my question anyway.

    Pisces

    agreed

    Warm Regards

    ChanDollars
    [Keep going, you’re on your way to financial freedom]

    Profile photo of AdministratorAdministrator
    Keymaster
    @piadmin
    Join Date: 2013
    Post Count: 3,225

    So what are the true odds of turning over the same card at the same time in both packs ?

    I would have thought we would have some mathemathically minded people here.

    Anyway, if no-one is interested in the subject I won’t bother to tell a similar story of how to win money by looking at car number plates.

    The odds are some 90% in one’s favour.

    BTW Chan, well done (nmice effort – albeit incorrect – if you added up all the numbers in your head. If you used a calculator, I suggest you replace the battery [;)]

    Pisces

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