All Topics / Hotch Potch / Today is the day! (was reserve bank meeting)

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  • Profile photo of xyzzyxyzzy
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    @xyzzy
    Join Date: 2003
    Post Count: 178

    Can anybody help me with the December meeting date and when the announcement as to interest rates will be made?

    Profile photo of luckyoneluckyone
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    @luckyone
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    It’s usually the first Tuesday of the month, so it should be the 2nd of December. I’ve also heard them talk on the radio about how it’s next week, so I’m pretty sure I’m correct with the date.

    Profile photo of RichoRicho
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    @richo
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    Go to http://www.rba.gov.au for confirmation, but luckyone is correct there is a board meeting on the 2nd of December. I would assume that an announcement, if any, would come later that day or early the following day. When was the announcement last time, on the day of the meeting or the following one?

    Profile photo of RodCRodC
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    @rodc
    Join Date: 2002
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    The announcement (if there is one) is usually the following morning (9.30am I think).

    Rod.

    Profile photo of RubbachookRubbachook
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    @rubbachook
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    Right – and they only announce if there is a change.

    Profile photo of lozza123lozza123
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    @lozza123
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    So what are we all hoping for?

    Lozza

    Profile photo of ProcrastinatorProcrastinator
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    @procrastinator
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    My Bank Manager thinks there will not be an interest rate rise. Personal borrowings are up around 7% of earnings same as in the 80s when we had very high interest rates. He just doesn’t think the economy can afford another rise just now. Hope he is right.

    Profile photo of RichoRicho
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    @richo
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    Procrastinator,

    Ask yourself would your bank manager say “Yes I think rates are going to rise so don’t borrow any money off us.”

    For what it’s worth I think there will be another small rise next week.

    Profile photo of TeacherK6TeacherK6
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    @teacherk6
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    My thoughts exactly Richo..

    :) :) :)

    Jason..

    Profile photo of kkowalskkkowalsk
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    @kkowalsk
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    If there is a rise, I would think its a bit unjustified. The figures about increases in borrowing/credit don’t really take into account the most recent rate rise. At this stage, it’s hard to know if the drop in auction clearnace rates is due to the spring factor, or the rates, or both.

    The difficulty is also the timing. A rate rise before xmas would have a negative effect on consumer spending over a period which is normally retailers favourite time of year. That would then flow on to the share markets to compaines with retail exposure etc etc.

    Then of course, there are the currency effects, which are already being felt. Dollar goes up, we buy more imports, we export less.

    Inflation is within targets, I think it may be premature for another hike. If there isn’t one, there will be after xmas though, that is almost a certainly IMO.

    Profile photo of kalonikaloni
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    @kaloni
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    Post Count: 124

    I think a .25 rise is on the cards

    Profile photo of RodCRodC
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    @rodc
    Join Date: 2002
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    Well the media seems sure there will be another rise.

    So that probably means there won’t be one!

    Rod.

    Profile photo of Richard TaylorRichard Taylor
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    @qlds007
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    Guys

    Watch this space Wednesday morning as i have a wager with BillfromOz that we will not get a 50 basis point increase.

    Cheers Richard
    [email protected]
    http://www.fhog.com.au

    There is no such thing as a problem.
    Just a solution waiting to be found

    Richard Taylor | Australia's leading private lender

    Profile photo of FatBoyFatBoy
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    @fatboy
    Join Date: 2003
    Post Count: 185

    I wish i’d listen a little more carefully, some economist (a Government guy) was just on the radio sprouting that interest rates will rise by at least 3% over the next three years…

    Wonder if i could borrow his crystal ball… [:P]

    My “guesstimate” is we will probably see another 0.25 increase, that should keep things under control until at least March next year… [;)]

    Cheers,
    Paul…

    “I want to be rich, and stupidly happy – so far i’ve only managed to achieve the stupid part…”

    Profile photo of gmh454gmh454
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    @gmh454
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    Although there have been concerns about property investors overstimulating the economy, the broader problem is that among the wider population, people, because of there increased equity, are spending more than they earn.
    Business is gathering pace very strongly AND rates are moving up O/S.

    The big question is the US, which due to the war “they had to have” is having a massive budget blowout of a proportion never seen before. Unknown territory.

    So in closing they might raise them, even if they believe the property juggernaut is finally coming to a halt

    They do after all have to consider everything involved.

    Profile photo of xyzzyxyzzy
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    @xyzzy
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    No more sleeps to go …

    counting down the minutes 240 to go!

    Profile photo of CountPaulCountPaul
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    @countpaul
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    Hello…

    I am just onee voice among many for a rise, Howevrer it maybe .5% today 9:30. This will put thr breaks on investment market,making speculators think twice.. fear of future .5% hikes will stop real estate i its tracks wiyh inner city apptsn in Syd elbourne…down 30% or more. The problem is exassperated with DB approved without end financ epprovrd,

    The Reserve also wishes to curb the xmas splurge on credit cards.I have been influeced by another poster over 6 weeks and it has mades me think twice. His brother told me he also said the Aust dollar would go to US$.77 two months ago. He might be right again as it’s almost there now.. Phil daid he thinks the Dow Jones will also break 10,000 soon.

    Do oththers also think .5% poible.?

    Thank you

    Profile photo of redwingredwing
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    @redwing
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    Something from ‘the west’ re the rates.. i believe they’ll go up also, dont trust that bank manager.

    HOME borrowers should brace themselves for an interest rate rise of up to half a percentage point today, economists have warned, after fresh figures yesterday revealed that Australia’s debt-fuelled shopping spree marched on.

    Economists said the Reserve Bank is almost certain to announce a second consecutive monthly increase in rates after a surprise pre-emptive rise of 0.25 of a percentage point in November.

    “The writing is on the wall for another lift,” CommSec senior analyst Craig James said.

    “The real question now is whether the Reserve Bank opts for the hammer or the mallet.” While most forecasts are centred on an increase of 0.25 of a percentage point, which would lift repayments on the average WA home loan $26 a month, Mr James said he “wouldn’t bat an eyelid” if rates rose 0.5 of a point.

    The case for a rate rise was reinforced by figures showing the Rugby World Cup helped drive retail sales 1.2 per cent higher in October for an annual rise of 8.6 per cent.

    And building approvals for the month rose 1.6 per cent to a year-high, underlining the Reserve Bank’s concerns about a property bubble.

    WA helped fuel the building boom with its approvals leaping 15.5 per cent in October to 2240 – the biggest month since June 1994 – for an annual increase of nearly 37 per cent.

    But the executive director of the WA Housing Industry Association, John Dastlik, said the spike was a result of “blockages” in the approvals system.

    The Reserve Bank is increasingly concerned about rocketing household debt as Australians have taken advantage of cheap rates to spend big and invest in property.

    And now a laugh

    Two bored casino dealers were waiting at the craps table.
    A very attractive blonde woman arrived and bet twenty-thousand
    dollars
    on a single roll of the dice.
    She said, “I hope you don’t mind, but I feel much luckier when I’m
    completely nude.”
    With that she stripped from her neck down, rolled the dice and
    yelled,
    “Mama needs new clothes!” Then she hollered…”YES! YES! I WON! I
    WON!”
    She jumped up and down and hugged each of the dealers. She then
    picked
    up all the money and clothes and quickly departed.
    The dealers just stared at each other dumbfounded.
    Finally, one of them asked, “What did she roll?”
    The other answered, “I don’t know I thought YOU were watching!”

    Moral: Not all blondes are dumb, but all men are men.

    REDWING [:0)]

    “The man that thinks at 5o as he did when he was 20 has wasted 30 years of his life”

    Profile photo of xyzzyxyzzy
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    @xyzzy
    Join Date: 2003
    Post Count: 178

    Homeowners stung by another rate rise

    December 3, 2003

    Homeowners received a disappointing Christmas today present when the Reserve Bank announced a quarter of a percent rise in interest rates, the second consecutive lift.

    Official interest rates have now risen to 5.25%.

    This rate hike will add $30 to monthly repayments on the average $189,100 home loan, and likely be followed by at least one more hike by the middle of next year.

    New figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics suggests that last month’s rate increase has done little to dampen spending. Retail sales lifted 1.2 per cent in October, double that of market expectations, while approvals for units and townhouses climbed 1.6 per cent.

    The rates increase is also expected to put more pressure on the Australian dollar which is flirting with the US73 cent mark.

    A higher dollar would hit the export sector which is still recovering from the drought and the stronger dollar of the past six months.

    Economists now await the latest national accounts figures will give an insight into the strength of the economy.

    AAP

    This story was found at: http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/12/03/1070351615577.html

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