talk about throwing the baby out with the bathwater he takes risks to bring people like Ollis into public view, the complete judgment makes interesting reading and you can choose to focus on the 5% you chose to cite or the other 95% re-affirming the position he took. Sadly he is not perfect , but to say you cant believe a word he says based on that court case is patently ridiculous. The fundamentals of what is there re auctions stand on its own merits.
Back to your question if you are actually seeking opinions……. I never sell at auction (put simply, for me its an expensive dice roll for a 50% – ish chance of selling a lower price) but I have bought at auction opportunistically.
this thread seems have taken off in a couple of directions
no working an an employer is just not for suckers. The people that slave away in unproductive franchises or to pay sky high shopping centre rentals arent necessarily being very smart just because they work for themselves. Just depends on your needs and aptitudes, not sure why people feel the need to tear others down because they take a different path…..maybe its insecurity.
generalisations about managers ar just that , generalisations. Ive worked for brilliant ones and crappy ones, there are both kinds out there. If you continually find bad managers and your work not being valued , perhaps its time to have a think about how you pick the companies you want to work for, if you are continually drawn to the ones with such crappy attributes.
I dont beleive you can -ve gear your PPOR or part thereof……but I am not a tax expert …..its just my common sense alarm going off. He may actually be better of just quietly doing this with his mates and getting some mortgage help without getting to clever/greedy…..you attract the ATO's interest at you own peril
just a couple of opinions as nobody has responded in 3 weeks:
Dandenong being compared with Docklands ….this is somebodies little joke isnt it?
Investment must be welcome as the place has run down over the years , so you would think the only way is up. How far , how quickly ? who knows? I'd suggest that it has slide backwards for so long that it will be generational change (10-15 years) if it happens. What features, apart from a strong transport hub, will make it a desirable place to live? As a commuter suburb it may make solid IP material , but I big capital gains would be a surprise (to me at least)
While you have been watching the area, what have the signs been? Places like Frankston took of ages ago on Eastlink futures(15-20%), has the same been happening in Dandenong?
no reason why you cant make this work if you buy wisely, prices hold and you can control your buying and selling expenses. To be sure of your selling position in 6-12 months you need to buy in a desirable area and/or have something with a distinct selling point.
we recently did something similar……..stumbled on a truely grotty unit in a good block (well maintained , no structural problems, nice gardens), have done a basic clean up and superficial renovate to pick up a nice (theoretical) capital gain in 3 months. In our case we are holding and renting it. Selling points for this place are CBD and transport proximity, emerging trendy area proximity and parking 3 metres from the door.
Forumites may be interested in watching 4 Corners on the ABC this Monday night at 8.30pm. The program is about increasing mortgagee sales.
Concur with Blogs and others here – too many single income/two+ kid families buying McMansions as their first home and shopping too freely at Harvey Norman = difficult times ahead.
Thanks for that , I will try and catch it
I was reading an article other day with a screaming headline about massive % increases in defaults , when you read the article the % increase was indeed big (and double in Sydney compared with anywhere else) but it was off a small base and still trivial compared to the total no. of mortgages. Disasters for those involved but not a market wide issues the headline was trying to push
tony, with all that rattling around in your head maybe you should just keep your cash in a nice 7-8% account until you get your thoughts together (I guess thats what you are doing by posting here). You can always think of lots of scenarios that justify doing nothing, these days you at least can get a nice return doing this. You havent said if you are buying your PPOR or investing or if you are thinking short or long term. Seeing you asked , if I was in your $ position I would build/buy quality , inner city (<10k out) for now, hold and not panic if there is a dip….sounds like you are well placed to ride out the bumps. Relatively speaking I think inner locations will be stronger just due to basic scarcity/desirability. I am not a great beleiver in the generalisation of outer burbs being that shaky (or much shakier than anywhere else), I think it depends on city and location ie. Sydney vs the rest….overstreched McMansion land vs established outer burbs….a lot of these sorts of comments come out of Sydney's west and get extrapolated to everywhere. As we know Sydney is the centre of the universe so if its a problem there then it must be everywhere musnt it? . Sorry if I'm cynical but I got out of Sin City half a life time ago and its probably the single best move I ever made financially and quality of life wise.
virgin investor
Can you target your rant a little more specifically? Dont know about others but I have trouble relating "So basically for saying normal people with families and who enjoy life outside money are 'F$#%ED' " to whats being discussed. Do you mean the prospect of not everyone being able to expect to own a home? or possible increasing rents? or what? If people are enjoying life outside of money how can they be F$#%ED by these property / money related issues???
errrr…no, did I say that? interesting interpretation…you have a scenario you beleive in and you pick the symptoms that fulfill your expectations…..I think the trend is there also , maybe just not with an outcome as apocalyptic as you present…..i trust there is room for more than one point of view.
Mate you had a dig I was making up a story…
Of course there is room for more than one opinion, I just find it amusing that a PROPERTY INVESTING forum where people are supposed to view these matters rationally and in a business like manner still seem to have their pie in the sky Im gunna be an instant millionaire blinkers on.
As for apolictic-suppose it depends on your interpretation. Average house value would proabaly be around $400, maybe $500k? All we need is a piddly 5% drop in prices and people have automatically wiped out $24k of their wealth, throw into the mix the majority of home loans have been finance with 10% deposits all of a sudden you have stack of people instantly worth nothing!!
nah, not really making things up , just latching onto a factoid with great fervour because it fits the template
as you say its a forum, no barriers to entry and no IQ test , so you will get a % of dills, dreamers and tyre kickers……but, from what I see at least , there are some great contributors here and a good number of newbies with reasonable questions to ask. I know I have learnt a lot.
Agree with your last para , but just like shares the profits and losses arent there until you sell (generally speaking…I dont want to start a margin lending thread). If you cant tough it out, then it gets ugly as you say
your letting facts get in way of a good story Scott
Ohh sorry did you think the whole basis of the property down turn was due to the rate rise by the NAB? I was pointing out yet another rate rise-and there will be plenty more dont you worry sunshine. Tell me this gents-how do you think the large proportion of pie in the sky dreamers who have gone out and got massive mortages in the niave belief their property will continue to sky rocket will be able to pay off the interest when their fixed terms end in 3-5 years? By that time inflation will already have a firm grip-Australia is a drop in the ocean of world economics-credit squeze will get worse, been there done that….
errrr…no, did I say that? interesting interpretation…you have a scenario you beleive in and you pick the symptoms that fulfill your expectations…..I think the trend is there also , maybe just not with an outcome as apocalyptic as you present…..i trust there is room for more than one point of view.
I'm a bit confused here. I just need to clarify a few things:
1) So you mean we can actually sign the contract and pay a nominal deposit, like a holding deposit, without having the vendor sign as well? Is this contract binding in any way then? 2) I thought once you sign, it means you are ready to exchange contracts? 3) And if the vendor sign as well, do we just get 5 days (cooling off), instead of 14/21 days, to have our building and pest inspection done? 4) If we had signed the contract and have our buidling and pest inspections done during the cooling off period, and if the reports come back with some defects, do we still have room to re-negotiate the price?
Thank you guys for all the comments.
1) the contract means nothing until its signed by both parties. at the stage when only you have signed it , its just an offer
2) when you sign it you are making an offer and showing willingness to proceed to settlement (subject to any conditions)
3) you get your statutory cooling of period depending what state you are in…..as already stated, you can make the inspection a condition of the contract thereby giving you more time
4) if the defects are enough to wihdraw the offer then you are at square one again and can make a new offer
If this is confusing perhaps you could clarify all this with a solicitor, and ask questions face to face. Probably $100 or so well spent
Units: the fundamental principles are probably true in a general sense and some investors steer clear of units all together. We hold both units and houses and we tend to look at the potential of each opportunity and what our strategy would be for that property. There are units and units…eg. we bought one place labelled a unit but it is a duplex , so only one other unit and no body corporate (went up 25% value and 20% rent over two years in the supposedly slow growth outer suburban area, not spectacular but we are happy)…..in another case we bought a very run down inner city apartment (crappy inside but nice older style block) did a basic reno mostly ourselves and have picked up a 15% gain in 3 months (about 3 times the cost of our reno). If we hold for a lifetime the factors you mention may kick in and maybe we could have done better another way. Frankly we dont agonise over such things as it leads to procrasination…..if we are doing well that is enough.
Houses: Cant really comment on your intentions , both approaches sound OK depending on your area/city , the opportunity and your finances. We have built new places in growth corridors and that has worked out OK, lately after the unit experience we are looking at reno opportunities as I am looking at leaving work and would like some projects to do. Others on this forum beleive a troubled market and declining prices are inevitable and imminent, if that is the case you may be better served holding back waiting for the bargains to appear in your areas of interest . One of those judgements we have to make for ourselves.
When you say "try a contract subject ….." do you mean you have to pay the 10% deposit as well? In that case the contract would be binding?
Normally at the contract stage you pay a deposit, it doesnt have to be 10% , thats just what the agent likes as their commission if then banked (roughly speaking). If the contract is signed by both sides its binding after the cooling off period…..please note "binding" can be a relative term. How much time, energy, $ would you spend really trying to enforce it? Generally its not an issues but I dont count any deal done until settlement is completed.
try a contract subject to a an acceptable inspection, we have done this and it seems to work OK. You can still get bumped by someone with a better price or less conditions….but that normal business. At least this way you have something to offer the vendor.
Most of those posts seem to be concentrated in the Property bust not here yet … worse to come thread, which seems to have become hand wringing central these days and will surely be more so over coming months. Do we need regurgitate the media still more?
If people want to share strategies to deal with these more difficult times that might be interesting. We havent been all that creative, we cashed out of shares to super about 6 months ago and are in the process of selling a couple of properties that we think are less solid long term value propositions. We will stay engaged with property though and will hold long term.
personally , unless it is a very minor point, I walk. If it is something I dont have total control over (like body corporate matters) I walk faster. It just adds complexity and there are many other properties…..
your approach is quite valid, but as Terry says you need to take out tax at your marginal rate along the way (unless you are putting it into super , in which case just 15%…….but locks your money away which is probably not great at your age). Some other thoughts…….will you have the discipline to save at that rate for 25 years?…..so many temptations to do other things (which by the way can be a good thing….having a life is important as well) …..mortgages have a way of enforcing discipline. A friend of mine always rents where she wants to live and invests in growth corridors and well placed apartments near transport. This way all her property related investment expenses gain tax benefits and minimise carrying cost.
congratulations on thinking some of this stuff through at your age.
hi, there has been another thread on the same topic recently.
answers where along the lines of ; how much would you do yourself, how much quality do you want to build in, costs ranged from 5 to 20k…..to which I would add especially if DYI-ing, how long can you afford it to be unrentable?
we are just completing a 1 BR reno, but for the bathroom we just cleaned heavily (it was disgusting), painted, new shower screen, small vanity, new fittings (power point,taps, rails, hooks etc) and now it looks quite clean and usable. Whole deal was about $1000 plus our labour. Not a complete makeover as you are contemplating but the end result is quite good.