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  • Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 479

    You build your asset base with bricks. The first property you buy is actually the most important and for this you need to make sure you get your decision making right. It sounds great to get a property in an area like Goomeri .. but its basically a reasonable distance from where the action is. As long as you remember that property is a social transaction you'll make your best business decisions. Think 5 years ahead .. not 10 or 20. If you cant envisage immediate or near term growth on the investment with the right conditions .. then you are investing for the wrong reasons. Investment in property should never be off-the-cuff speculation .. it should remain educated and researched guesswork.

    Your first property needs to be a property with regular and consistant tenancies (you have no room in your budget yet to cater for extended vacancies), and quality tenants. It also needs to be a property that will receive some format of capital appreciation without the need of inflation to do the dirty work. If you find yourself relying on inflation to increase the value of your property .. you are investing in TIME. And whether you are 22 or 130 … time you wait for a property to come good is still time wasted from your life.

    Social areas mean you need to invest in a hub. A lively hub .. a place with good transport .. a couple of decent restaurants .. a shopping facility within 10 mins drive .. and a convenience shop within 8 mins walk.

    140k max will leave you with either country houses .. or near-urban units. But … we also exist in times where your dollar buys more. May I suggest you try negotiatiing with vendor terms ? You might be able to score more property for less money. At this point in time there are lots of lovely deals to be made. I just purchased a 170k 3br house returning $250 p/w .. because i had enough equity in my properties to draw on ..  i put 3% into the deal and borrowed the other 97%. My investment seems rash .. but the overall borrowing from these properties is a healthy 40/60  (40% me 60% bank) so .. I'd need a drop of 30% before the banks get twitchy. Work out the quick maths .. and the whole deal costs me $15 a week to run out of my pocket ($35 including water and rates). Thats chickenfeed. Could have been positively geared too, but i needed the loss :)

    That was a month ago. If you can envisage deals out there .. go seek them. They not only exist out there .. there are willing vendors who will do negotiated deals to get the banks off their back. A sale is all about negotiating a win-win for both parties. Be the negotiator and win more deals.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
    Join Date: 2010
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    Sum it up nicely without verbage.

    The positively geared properties of the countryside are significantly more risky. They incorporate the possible loss of tenancies .. the replacement of acceptable tenancies with 'filler' tenants. And finally due to both of these .. the loss of long term value against both inflation and capital growth. You can make money with these .. but you have to be experienced with property management and acquisition before you attempt these. There are more concerns raised on both of these fronts.

    Geelong central is already expensive. However in suburban geelong it is still possible to pickup a fully fledged house in creambrick for about 260k. That wont last much longer.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    Here is an easy insight. Unless the city or suburb has some severe problems holding it back .. the usual timeframe from boom to boom is about 15 years (give or take 1 year). So .. keeping that in the back of your mind, the easy thing is to look for a suburb or town where the last boom was 12-14 years ago. And usually thats a good indicator of its possibility of value.

    Assess it from the following factors .. room for growth in the area, room for improvement on the property, possibilities of area improvement in the near future. Thats what you need to pick a winner. Give yourself the best of all three worlds and you'll get a good deal.

    If i was sitting around with a 300k budget in 2011 … i'd be looking for another factor .. the possibiity of maintaining value in tougher times. Which you will need to do. Its one thing to make money on borrowed money. Its quite another to see your equity evaporate .. being left holding onto a loan .. and at that point .. the interest rates go up on you.

    Get to know the area you choose to invest in. If its got a standard product (3br house, 2br unit) get to know what these items sell at and their market value. This helps you assess on a day to day whether you are dealing with bargains or sinkholes.

    Look for areas of significant change. The top spots around Melbourne at the moment would probably be Geelong and Hastings for value. Check my other posts for where in Geelong.

    Even now .. Mildura remains a high risk proposition. I know the figures look good, and I've done them myself. But the long term outlook on the area is placid at best … for the next 15 years at least. Thats the timeframe you are looking to make money on it. And there are better buys.

    As a younger investor .. i was thrilled with the prospects of buying cheap in Moe and Morwell. They were VERY cheap (this was 20 years ago). Problem is .. they are STILL very cheap .. with troublesome tenancies and long vacancies. As an investor .. landlord and property maintainer .. thats just not where you want to be.

    Do your homework .. and good luck.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    Out of maree's options above …

    Ballarat is a no. After 15 years of studying Ballarat .. it doesnt have enough upside for the town.
    Its suburb .. Wendouree was a possible investment area a couple of years ago .. but again .. not much more room for growth now.

    Geelong is a big area. Out of the areas .. the surrounds close to the university are always a good pickup. Norlane and Corio are both still dead cheap .. most of them converting now to more expensive solutions. A good investment tack. Coastal Geelong is already well spoken for and pricey. Doesnt mean it cant go further. Inner west geelong .. Bell Post Hill, Bell Park  .. Herne Hill .. are still very cheap and for anyone who will be missing out on inner Geelong .. they will provide solid value.

    Drouin and Warragul are the next stages in the South Eastern corridor's filling in .. they provide the cheap land and the access to the cheap shopping available in Pakenham and such. For internal city travel .. they are slow to near useless on distances .. and they really represent the last stages of the southeastern corridor's land and transit for the moment. So .. as far as Warragul .. but if you are looking for growth within the next 10 years .. not Trafalgar or Garfield. However .. thanks to a buffing up in the last couple of years .. the surprise on the highway remains Traralgon. Its moving along at a brisk pace … and i'm still not 100% sure why.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    There was a young man with no cash
    Who found his finances werent too flash
    After finding a broker
    Who wasnt a joker
    He found himself able to splash !

    (ok .. i'm NOT a poet .. and thats almost a limerick)

    see luke86 for the actual decent advice.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    If you havent had a fall .. you dont know how to get up again.

    The best way not to fall too badly is to watch and read how other people fell .. and why.

    Experience and time will get you making more of the right decisions and less of the wrong ones for your future wealth.

    As long as you LEARN from your mistakes.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    Stawell isnt happening.

    The entire rural region consisting of Stawell .. Avoca, Wedderburn and Horsham are all suffering from a severe lack of farmers and farming related enterprises. So to put it mildly .. thanks to those lovely imported items you buy at the supermarket .. these towns are going to the wall.

    Stawell's population of 8000 (official figures base it at closer to 6000) is really not enough to keep a town active and vibrant.

    To sum it up nicely .. the town is rusty .. the properties are VERY affordable .. the returns are great .. but your risk is that by the time you want to sell .. there may be no-one to sell to. A lot of elderly .. not much strong business in the town and not much industry.

    There was a time a couple of years ago where even the prized Stawell Gift was going to be taken away from the town. As you might rightly guess .. people of the town took to arms and protested heavily.

    The correct thing to do with this town is watch for any major positive changes promoting growth and bringing people to the town. When that happens your property purchases will be goldmines. Rental demand IS still very solid .. but .. there isnt that direction you need for both growth and value to be achieved in a purchase.

    Either a long hold and wait .. or to keep an eye on and watch for the trigger for activity.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    Bjs .. thats a very nice approach.

    However the one factor you forget to lay out on the table is all your efforts is the major component of the risk. The risk always lies in either not knowing what you are doing or not preparing for what you are doing. Taking out any format of loan can be intimidating.

    When the banks turned around and said no to one of my creative suggestions, I put an advertisement in the local money section offering a better than bank rate for the risk of lending to me .. from the public. I got my money three times over .. took advantage of one and when the other guy felt he had missed out on lending to me .. whacked together a SECOND creative offer to mesh with him. So out of refusing to accept that my debt was bank negotiation, and the risk component was my issue .. i geared a near million dollar deal with a relatively low gearing ratio of 15/85. At the time it was perfectly acceptable to all parties .. and the deal took eight months to construct and render into total profitability. At which time I sold with a capital gain of substantial proportions.

    Gearing to a high level is only a risk when you do dumb deals. I find that most of my high LVR deals rely on me having reasonable asset and equity to back it all up. But more importantly .. a deal of 95% loan allows for the more immediate purchase of the asset concerned. It does apply a more significant level of risk to the whole deal. It also allows for a greater and quicker accrual of equity (in percentile terms) than a larger investment of capital would allow for. It is more of a gamble, as the input into the deal is less. But it also remains a neccesary component of the bank to supply a high risk deal. It allows for more bank profit .. it also allows for more customer equity in the asset quicker. Without this there would be people waiting years to complete housing deals.

    The other side is if you play too conservative and take on NO risk component .. you spend time and money on saving to make the deal. We all operate in a limited timeframe on this planet whether we like it or not. And there will always be some people who want to get more done in a more limited timeframe. Thats where borrowing from the bank for anything comes into play.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    In the early days of the United States they were all idealists. They'd come from the harsh landscape of Britain and they werent going to do things the same way whatsoever. So .. they banned the use of private property as such. All property belonged to the United States govt indirectly and you looked after it on their behalf.

    This meant you couldnt sell a property without running it through a council .. you couldnt lend on a property because it wasnt yours to lend on, and you couldnt really sell a property as there was no buyer market anymore.

    It took two harsh winters .. a total lack of capital money supply and actual starvation for the idealist citizens of the new country to change their mind about their approach to capitalist practises. And they never looked back.

    If you have a problem with either the idea of ownership of property .. the fluctuation of free markets or the application of derivative based capital, I suggest you head to an idealist paradise such as Cuba .. or maybe Venezuela or Lebanon. Whats that i hear .. you dont think they are that great?

    Exceptionalism has a price. And if you want to live in a realistic world you need a sound capitalist base. You may not approve of everything that goes on in such a society but thats what voting .. democracy and protests are all about. As Winston Churchill once said 'It has been said that democracy is the worst form of government except all the others that have been tried'. I'd apply that to capitalism WITH democracy. Until you can assure me of a better approach, I negate your false idealism.

    I'm settling for 3 wonderful sets of pork spare ribs out of your deal.

    In this country we VET our 95% applicants more thoroughly than ever. All the free money days are gone. You can still get these loans AND SO YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO. With a reasonable asset base they gear poor performing deals into winning solutions. They arent for everyone .. and so they shouldnt be.

    We arent the US .. our proportion of sub-prime deals is a miniscule proportion of our market and our loan structures are a lot more sound. Thats going to hold us up well in the longer term.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    Ways to add and improve (depending on budget)

    I'm going on the basis of what you've got in the photos. As you might guess .. viewing the place always fills in the gaps.

    The place currently has a entryway that runs off the driveway. Thats the old  .. very el-cheapo way of organising house access.
    A more upmarket place has its own dedicated pathway that runs from the front gate to the house.
    Your entryway is wonderful and allows for two or three point access to the house .. making it a real desirable entryway.

    Also you currently have a single car access driveway. In a modern world .. a two car driveway makes all the difference.

    So .. so far … front gate access … extend the pathway to the front of the house and widen it. And double driveway.

    The kitchen suffers from lack of bench space .. lack of cupboard space and restricted movement on size. What would work here very well is an Island Bench rather than an implanted kitchen bench set. So for parties and visitors .. you can free up that very limited space.

    there is about 10 – 15 feet into the backyard that can be extended into without losing all the backyard. Replacing the pergola, losing the laundry and extending the third bedroom. It also allows you to fill out the kitchen. Euro laundry and wider entertainers area can be achieved with a little bit of thought .. rounding the house into a much more liveable zone.

    Door into kitchen from Dining room is a good idea. Extending it to double doors would allow a flow through zone .. kitchen to dining area. From an investing perspective the dining room is rarely used now and could be a fourth bedroom or study area.

    Aircon switching to something a bit more modern is nice but not a necessity. Keep the fireplace mantelpiece. To get an art deco that looks precisely like that now costs heaps. Its irreplaceable. The actual heating unit can be upgraded to something wondeful and fancy IF you have the budget. The false fireplaces really look good in those sort of frames.

    If all this sounds expensive .. a reno of this proportion would be. But if its a gradual renovation you'd get quite a good result for spending about 25k a year on gradual upgrades. A bit here and a bit there would do nicely.

    As far as price goes .. adding an extra living zone .. widening the kitchen and generating a more liveable utility house would extend from its current value about 30% over and above its existing price. Add a little inflation to that and your renovation would add significant value to the end result.

    Its a good looking place that just needs a keen eye to bring out its best. I think if you are smart its easy to do this well.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    I took my Agents Representative at Swinburne Prahran Campus.

    Back then you could take it nights and do it over a series of nights to get it done.

    Not too expensive and a reasonable course.

    However having had my ex go through REIV offices in Camberwell I would suggest it provides better materials for a long term grounding in the business.

    If you were entering real estate now you'd find yourself on an uphill battle since there are few properties to bring to market .. a VERY competitive market to get the properties, and very hard to match buyers to properties since there are so few buyers. You could find yourself on the 3 month campaign .. in the front door .. and after 2 or 3 months .. out the back door.

    However if you are raised in this market .. when the market turns around and eventually booms you will be able to compete and negotiate with the best of them as you will know how to source both vendors and buyers in rarified times.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    I dont think the idea of positive gearing is what to look for specifically.

    I think usually properties that lie in the immediate positively geared range have one of several problems. Bad tenancies .. higher risk of longer term vacancies .. or poorly designed property or location. From that list .. the only one you can really control is the bad tenancy. And even then there is no guarantee the next tenancy will be any better.

    I look more for the probablity of existing value. Lets use an example of market comparison. If I know that the properties are listed as returning $300 per week for the 3 br unit and the current market is more like 380 for the same unit, I wont use the current figure for my future estimates .. I will use the future market rent.

    So to anyone who looks at the immediate figure .. they only see a certain return rate. The adjusted rent rate may provide enough of an advantage for the property to become short term viable. I only exist on short term figures. I have to work within MY lifetime .. not the buildings.

    The same exists with market values. Often you will find a situation where a property is sold based on other surrounding properties and not changed market conditions. In a lot of areas .. this comes from changes in land use .. i.e. RESCODES. A small change in an area that you know about in advance may change the whole way that the existing property is looked at.

    So dont be scared to aim for close to neutral rather than explicitly positively geared property. Dont be mistaken .. positively geared property is EXACTLY the gold mine everyone makes it out to be. But there are less gems out there as positively geared property than people would have you think.

    Also keep in mind tax laws. There are slightly different conditions and restrictions in every state and every country affecting property. So for what may sound like a bargain in Vic .. is not the same when jetted into NSW.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    I'm sorry .. I missed most of the fun of this thread .. simply because I have a life. But it sounds like pure comedy.

    I would take Jumping Jack Flash with a grain of salt. In fact .. pass him the whole bloody salt container. He's going to be sitting there .. grumbling about the state of the world until the cows come home. And for him .. he may just be sitting in a small tent .. in a large empty paddock.

    I was upset about not living up to MY standard .. and not living up to options for a couple of years. And then it was pointed out to me that most of the people who had built fortunes around me in my neighbourhood were RUSSIANS. Yes thats right .. people who came to this country post 1990 with next to nothing or even less. And now they lived in million plus houses. In the same ten years i was complaining about things. Thats gotta show you the money development is still there.

    The point is this. Nathan will make money. He knows what to look for and how to go about it. And i'm surprised if he hasnt had his set of 'diggers' behind him just wanting to put him down to size. I had that. And I pushed them aside and got on with business. To the point now where business largely gets on with itself.

    Engelo10 .. if you are finding the positively geared properties and the options to start you on your journey .. go for it. You'll find half a dozen Jumping Jack Flashes along the way. Ignore them .. listen to what the market is saying and a little dose of reality. And in no time at all you should be realising your dreams in full living color.

    By the way .. if you are sitting on a nearly fully paid off PPOR .. take it to the banks and get your equity moving ! Be there with cash when the prices start dropping, because at that time there is no better way to negotiate.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    hello newandkeen !

    As a newish investor .. you need to take the newish steps that keep you as an investor and not a mad punter.

    First … the simple one. It is possible to find the cash positive properties in regional areas. Some of the reasons they are cash positive may be genuine. There are some towns in Vic and Nsw that I just wont touch because the general feeling I get from the town is that the whole community is packing up and moving elsewhere. Which means when you want to realise in your 5-10 year timegap from purchase .. there may be NO buyers .. there may be NO renters .. there may be NO sale.

    At that point you realise your hardearned invest is now doggy doo. I dont know of a stockmarket investor that boasts about his losses or a property investor who admits to a failed invest. But they do happen, and more often than you'd like to think.

    Banks dont have any problems with dealing with up to 4 properties on the one residential loan. Over and above that and you will get treated differently .. as they will class it as a commercial buy. Non-bank lenders may keep that to a differnent level. Ask them. Get your best situation before you purchase anything.

    As to the idea of investing in small units rather than house .. a unit traditionally has less maintenance issues but also less land component. Vacancies depend on the type of employment available in the area. But a larger group of units allows for an offset of vacancy by a lesser risk component .. multiple tenants .. multiple sources of income. Either way .. you should still have a 2%-3% safety account. If it seems like I keep mentioning this in my posts .. its because the number of times I see people hit the wall because they didnt have the safety account  .. and they should have.

    Again .. the magic word for newbies in property is research .. knowledge .. and more of the same.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    Sha .. if your budget is 360k you have options up and down the SE coastal corridor. You also have large swathes of the upper western block. Your budget should not be your limiting factor on your placement. Its possible to buy quite a nice place in pakenham for close to 300k still. The question is really what you want to derive as the end result. And how much travelling time you will need to get to work.

    If you are going to try to take advantage of the FHOG to buy a PPOR .. you will need to purchase the property AS a PPOR .. not as an IP. This means  you must fulfil the conditions of the FHOG. You must live within the property for at least six months .. starting from a time within the first 12 months of ownership. Thats the rules .. and thats how you get to keep your grant.

    However .. once you have fulfilled the conditions of the grant .. you are allowed to rent out the property for up to six years and still have the property as your PPOR (as long as it remains your designated PPOR) and receive full benefits from this. After that the property would be treated as IP and would be subject to treatment as IP for taxable purposes on sale. If you return before the six years are up .. then you can still have the property as PPOR and have it CGT exempt. So .. if you keep this in mind .. you can have your cake and eat it too.

    360k is not a limiting factor in the melbourne property market. You should still be able to find some very nice properties in melbourne well within this range. Grab a search engine and start looking.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    Mike .. as an investor i do the same thing I do in business.

    Take a group of up to 20 opinions .. <moderator: delete language> .. work out whats worth gleaning from the knowledge .. and discarding the rest.

    So taking on family opinions is about .. listening to whats being said .. seeing if some or any of it applies to you .. and discarding the rest.

    Unless you are a super dooper instant out of the box investor … I wouldnt be rushing into anything until you've done your homework.

    The best example of that from my perspective is people i knew who highly recommended Ballarat. I looked into the actual figures and saw that the town wasnt moving both in price and opportunities. So where was the growth going to come from? As it stands .. long term figures on the town have proven me right.

    There are lessons you can learn the easy way or the hard way. The hard way costs both money and time. Money takes time to work for and time is always at a premium. So if you do your homework based on OTHER people's money .. and other people's experiences .. you are putting yourself in a better position to prevent loss making decisions.

    I would ignore the FHOG as any part of an investor decision, unless you are prepared to turn the property into a PPOR for at least the required six months. Even then take on board the requirements you'll need for getting full value out of such a situation.

    Grafton South has problems. Tamworth has problems. Taree has problems. Once you know what these are .. the questions are more .. can these problems be solved? Will they be solved within your lifetime? Moe, Morwell and Traralgon all had problems for the past 40 years. Thing is .. if you look now .. one of them is picking up. Which one? I'll leave that for you to investigate.

    Horsham has issues. Stawell is dead. Denilliquin is picking up, but its from a very low base. With all of these places there are potentials for revival .. recovery and renewal. But there has to be the will and effort from government and population to do something positive.

    Build your wealth portfolio on quality and reliable returning properties. Assess your risk factors. Find solutions to problems and you may turn properties and even areas around.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    @xdrew
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    Is there some sort of cosmic secret to have evolved here?

    First of all .. congratulations Engelo on finding out all about neutral to postively geared property investment. Despite the numerous books published over the last ten years specifically on the subject. Despite the fact that most authors say its a way to build a healthy and large portfolio quickly.

    If you have any major revelations about the discovery of fire .. and the wheel .. feel free to spread the news of this too.

    In all seriousness .. kudos to you for opening your eyes to the fact that a property workhorse for you doesnt need to be enslaving you in an unrecoverable debt structure.

    There are lots of deals to be made in the current market. I'm picking up investments returning 8% gross .. borrowing at 6.75% and gearing them so the 2% outlay for water .. rates and maintenance is covered by the income. Its a very sweet deal.

    And I go to friend's parties where they talk about the doom and gloom of the stockmarket .. bonds and of course property. And I hand them a drink .. and comiserate for them. All the while laughing all the way to the bank.

    Keep it a secret. We dont want anyone else to find out 

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    shoooshoo wrote:
    Seriously guys, i have no idea what Xdrew or Paul are talking about. Vendors finance? i thought the bank only provides finance.  Please provide clarifications, i will also research the matter. And thank you for your posts

    Thats what the banks want you to think. That the banks can be the sole suppliers of housing finance for your requirements.

    However they are just the top of the lending pyramid.

    In any non-specific order .. here are a couple of options you've probably never thought of .. yet these options exist.

    Bank Lenders
    Non-Bank Lenders (at the moment most of these are really backend Banks)
    Equity Based Lenders
    Vendor Financed Loans (the owner supplies finance)
    Solicitors Funds
    Groupshare (Property Trust)
    Family Member OR Family Member signatory (be careful this means THEY guarantee your deal)
    Profitshare (Vendor financed Owner developed)
    Rendered profit deals – no vendor finance .. no liability .. you get a better price for his property and split the profits.

    There is more than one way to make a deal.

    Profile photo of xdrewxdrew
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    With loans … its a market and you gotta remember that.

    Someone offers .. and someone accepts. People tend to think the banks are the only people offering money.

    A couple of my recent deals are boring on paper but exciting in fact. I went around the student units in melbourne (you know the 'unsaleable' ones) and just ticked the ones who now say VENDOR FINANCE. And i went around creating a series of deals gearing these places at close enough to 8%.

    It means my responsibility now lies in servicing the loan with the VENDOR and not the bank. It means i'm getting approvals. And it means the loans are geared on OPM. And thats how you make money.

    Will the properties be hard to sell in the future? Yes .. but not impossible. Will they increase in price? WHO CARES. I'm almost guaranteed that the income from them will increase over a number of years .. and that will validate my deal.

    Once the banks say no .. you have a stack of other possible options. Think creative .. and negotiate. Often if you have the capability to make a property work and the vendor cant .. he'll allow work to be done pre-settlement. If you have equity to 50% there are solicitor's funds.

    Dont just write out a deal on paper and discount it because the banks say no. In my early years of investing I kept getting knocked back because my income was considered 'too low'. The fact that my rentals were enormous and geared to a point that created a small income on paper .. well .. the banks really couldnt care less. They were looking for their 'facts'. And I was looking to minimise on taxable income.

    Work the deal. Think the deal. Write up your options on paper BEFORE you approach a bank.

    And dont rely on luck. Rely on creating your own luck.

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    Do a search on Orange on this forum. We've talked about it several times at different levels.

    Its still very much a land of opportunity. But it has its problems.

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