Forum Replies Created

Viewing 20 posts - 21 through 40 (of 57 total)
  • Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Here is a link to the full ‘Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey: 2011’ for those interested: http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    I realised starting a topic like this here was like blowing smoke in a hornets nest. The inherent overstatement of the thread title/first post was a point taken to its extreme. While I figure that profiteering from property does make it harder for everybody on middle-income to afford a home, its a capitalist society, so it's no great surprise that prices increase, people want to make money, and supply and demand plays a factor in that.

    But, as its turned out, expressing such a point of view has been quite educational. I get extremely passionate about modern day (un)affordability, and wish there was something I could do to make the government address the issue (I'd like to work in the area, if I only knew more!). So its great to hear all the different view points, its changed the way I think about certain aspects of my uneducated, emotional response to the issue. I'm not sure what the best solution is but I hope some experts are trying to figure it out.

    Increasing stock seems obvious, which makes me wonder why its not happening at the rate it could. Perhaps there is a vested interest from someone who wants to keep stocks low, in order to keep prices high. That may be getting a bit conspiratorial. Then again, a large influx of property could cause prices to drop and many people who bought at premium prices could be burned. It would be harder for the RBA to moderate the effect they play in peoples lives, and could even unstabilise the economy.

    The only thing I really know, is that on the surface, Australia appears to be doing very well – people are singing its praises for surviving the GFC – but almost everyone I know in my social circle (mostly creative types, true – although many older people I know who are teachers and nurses are in a very similar boat) are struggling to pay rent, keep on top of their mortgage (I only know a couple of people who have even got that far), and to be able to afford to live in the city, or even the far flung suburbs of the city (or even regional cities in 1.5hr commutable distances), let alone feel secure in asking for minor repairs to their home in case it causes a rent increase and pushes them out.

    So what I am really saying is, under the surface, I think we're struggling, and I'm worried. I'm constantly trying to figure out a way to get ahead (by which I mean some small level of security). I'm not just sitting around doing nothing about it. I am taking 8hr round trips to inspect property in my price range, looking at any option that might set me up for the future. Working and saving, and trying to get informed. This post was a bit of a vent/rant, but its turned me on to some new ideas, so that's great.

    Anyway, my apologies, I was being cheeky/rude. Take it with a grain of salt, a serious issue expressed in an outlandish way (hence linking to such an entertaining youtube video). But as I said, the food for thought you have all offered has been very interesting/informative. And Sonia, we had pretty great private landlords (8years), but eventually their kids made them get a real estate agent, jack up the rent, and its lead to a break in contact. The agent started well, but once they switched property managers, the new young guy is hopeless, rude, lies, and doesn't return calls, even when the back fence blew down in a gust of wind, he treated us like <moderator: delete language> for asking for a repair (slightly dodgy neighbourhood/metal was blowing around putting people on the footpath out back in danger of being cut/hit etc). I wish there was a way for tenants to alert the landlords to the way some real estates 'manage' a property. it should be part of the six-month inspection – provide a feedback form to your tenant, make sure you are getting value for money!

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Thanks to you both, I'm liking this. You are right Richard. If I stay in a decent place I could not have otherwise afforded till I die, and the bank takes 40% of the sold value, who cares!  I go through many periods of excitement and thinking I can do this, so far I haven't nailed anything down, but I am keen to.

    I have just posted a scenario over here, I wonder if either of you would offer a few thoughts?:
    https://www.propertyinvesting.com/forums/property-investing/creative-investing/4335463

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Would it be worth buying a place in St Arnaud?

    For example, this one has sold already, but to do the maths (quickly and roughly), have a look:
    http://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-st+arnaud-104794172

    Say I pick one like this up for $100K. I put down $20K deposit, but we stay living in Melb and renting (so no first home grant for us). The standard variable rate on my loan of $80K over 30 years is: 7.81%. The weekly repayments are: $145 per week.

    The rent collected on that joint above claims to be $125pw, so I'm only putting in $20pw, maybe $50 if the interest-rate rises a bit. And I guess general rates would be $1-2K per year?

    Maybe in a few years, I can move out bush and live there. But even if I never do, maybe the rent will start to cover the mortgage, and in 30years my kid can have a home? Is this worth doing? It seems pretty great to me. But are there massive pot-holes in my thinking? Or are there better, much better, options I'm overlooking? PS: I'm looking for security as opposed to massive wealth. Just to provide for my family (sure massive wealth would be great, but I'd like to think I'm some what of a realist, or at least admit I'm a pessimist).

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    "prices in Singapore are highway robbery"

    Why are we in this position?

    Indeed, that is all news to me, thank you for lifting the wool from my eyes. In someways I'm glad to know we're not alone, it strengthens my feeling that we are all screwed – and that perhaps there could still be a revolution (several, a la Egypt). Maybe there is a latent communist in me yet.

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Hey DWolfe!

    See second para, and I quote: "London is more affordable than Geelong."

    The print article (from the Age, syndicated with SMH – I just did a quick google to dig up the spooks) had numbers to back this up (in graphic form, prob why not shown here). Yes, it is more affordable to buy in London, taking into account cost of living vs expenses, not just house prices. London, not exurbs. Roughly translates to Geelong is more expensive than London. Brisbane more expensive than the exurbs.

    And, what do your market spooks have to gain? Maybe a valid point. If I am one, what I hope to gain is affordability and hope for my generation to own their own place! Some hope for creative people how don't work 60hours a week and might pursue an arts career/study and meager living but still want to live in the city that thrives of the 'culture' the poor bastards provide (not to sing that poor-artist song too loudly, it might offend then new neighbours wanting a piece of the inner city action). That's all.

    I'll try find a list of the 325 cities they looked at, and see what basis they chose these 325 cities on. I'm sure they were chosen for the desirability to live in. There may be 2469501 worse cities to pick from yet. But I do love an article that is sympathetic to my anguish.

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Thornbury, actually they seem pretty happy with the house, just not the location.

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62
    Qlds007 wrote:
    If you are prepared to give up some of the potential capital growth a shared equity scheme could be an option.

    Max lvr is 90% so you would to have a deposit but we are starting to see more and more of these loans evolve.

    You might take out a 90% lvr and you make repayments on say 70% with 20% being interest and repayment free.
    The lender then takes 40% of the capital growth.

    Either a way of buying what you want and reducing your repayments or being able to set you repayment and affording something in a higher price bracket than you expected.

    Hi Richard,

    Thanks for your reply, I kind of glossed over over it back when I should have paid more attention. I have become more familiar with some of the lingo, so this sounds interesting. I have $20K deposit, just not a huge income. Who are doing these sort of loans? Any further insight into how it works? Is the bank taking 40% of CG a bit much, or you think ok?

    Cheers,
    W

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Geelong now more expensive than London!

    The report is a few days old, but in case you missed it

    http://smh.domain.com.au/real-estate-news/melbourne-housing-now-severely-unaffordable-20110125-1a396.html

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Bumping for any new leads

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Bumping for new leads

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    I still think negative gearing and tax breaks for property investors, and even just the idea that property has become a source (or aspiration for) of massive profits, has changed the dynamic between rich and poor in Australia. I still think these factors, along with population growith has caused increased rents, and reduced the quality of housing standards, like no other era in Aus before. I'd like to commission a major stufy into it if I could, non-biased, all sides of the story, and see what the figures said.

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    I am interested in this, often do searches with that criteria and imagine moving to a weird town somewhere. It could be good, maybe even retire at 30.  I imagine many super cheap/remote places don't make it online, but I am purely speculating and assuming a lack of tech savvy people in the areas these places can come up. I imagine local signs stuck in windows/front lawns, shopping centre notice boards etc.

    Would like to know if there is a way to tap into these places without using realestate.com.au – can anyone from a remote area shed some light?

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Most renters rent because they feel like its their only option. This may not be true, I've been trying to figure out ways to make buying a place possible, its not easy, but its not impossible either. Growing up poor lead me to believe I didn't have a chance, but now I know I could have done things differently. I'm hoping to sort it out and if it works out, I'd like to educate young poor/creative people about saving for their future, that some sort of security is possible. Only problem so far is, its not possible. Too much income spent on rent to save for a reasonable deposit. $50 a week ain't going to cut it.

    " The rent it just too damn high"

               Not really. In fact, it is cheaper to rent then  to buy.

    ** True, but it doesn't mean the rent or the mortgage are reasonable. They are both obscene. A loan with approx 6% interest over 30 years is more like 50% interest at the end of the day. We are being ripped off by banks. The renter suffers as the IP owner suffers. This isn't really win-win. Its lose-lose.

    "Prices of other essentials have also risen, because the rent is too damn high"

              Sorry, don't make any sense here. The price of bread increase because residential rent is high?

    ** Most farmers, workers, bakers, truck drivers etc etc have to pay rent or mortgage. Cost of living goes up, cost of running a business goes up = cost of product goes up. My local supermarket now sells a loaf of bread for $8. There are cheaper loaves, but its all heading this way if you don't want white-super-processed-trash bread. Bread is just an example, apply the same theory to everything. Obviously there are other factors, like petrol, peak oil is like the property bubble, its going to end badly.

    " Tax breaks for property investors have allowed the market to be ruined, and investors have done the deed "

              There is a gap between owning your home and public housing. The goverment alone can not meet the all demand for public housing. The waiting list is over 10 years for some area, the quicker ( say very far away area) is still 2 – 3 year waiting. Tax breaks are designed to encourage investors to fill that gap by providing cheaper rent (refer to the first answer).

    I've lived in govt housing. Its pretty dire. I think things could be getting better through integration rather than high density govt housing. There was a time you could afford to pay off a house in a few years on a wage of $30,000. I think we need to get back to that point, and spend money on more important things, like infrastructure for a country with little vision for the immediate future.

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    After a place to call home, not a CF+ IP. I hope this IP market burns itself out and people can afford to live in city properties once again. My workmates just bought a $800K house and are not even thrilled with what they got – an okay house in an okay area … 'ok' isn't what we should get for $800K.

    $120 seems worth living in a desolate town for, maybe we can make something good happen there.

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Not so good huh?

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Is it possible to buy a <$200,000 property for CF+ (or CF neutral) with only a 10% deposit?

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62
    chenkai1980 wrote:
    Wynyard wrote:
    Which bank? I couldn't find any to finance OS property.

    I think you can apply for line of credit. chees!

    Not sure what this means. Could you elaborate a little?

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    Good day to buy – ie: less competition?

    Profile photo of WynyardWynyard
    Member
    @wynyard
    Join Date: 2010
    Post Count: 62

    A good point being made here:
     
    With a Million Dollars in 1980 a investor could buy 25 houses at the 1980 Median price of $40K & rent them out @ $100pw or $130K PA giving you a yield of 13% less 1980 interest rates of 10% & you had a investment that paid for itself to hold plus a investor could sit back& enjoy the capital gains… Fast Fwd to 2010 $1 Mi…l will buy you 2 houses at todays Median of $500K & rented @ $500 pw you would take in $52K pa or a yield of just 5.2% not enough to cover the interest let alone other holding costs.

    Of course the investor in 1980 now has a $12.5 million asset in 2010 but to achieve the same outcome as a 1980 investor, todays $500K house would need to go to $6.25 milion by 2040 Now if wages also follow the last 30 years ages will only get to $325K PA and with the banks only lending @ 5 times income this will constrain a 2010 propertys worth to only $1.65 Mil in 2040 a capital growth of only 3% PA making property investment in the future unattractive. Anybody disagree?

    Quoted from comments section on today's otherwise fairly watery bubble article:
    http://theage.domain.com.au/real-estate-news/could-investors-create-housing-bubble-20101006-166z5.html

    The Age has a property bubble article every second day, which I think reflects a growing attitude that things are well out of whack. Surely something has got to give, sooner or later.

Viewing 20 posts - 21 through 40 (of 57 total)