The administration of this forum in the last few weeks has left much to be desired.
The wholesale deletion of posts, threads etc is nothing short of a monumental overreaction by the owner of this site in my opinion.
In the process good people have been humiliated and embarrassed needlessly and unfairly.
Also there appears to be two sets of rules.
So I am voting with my feet also. That won’t affect too many people as I don’t have any experience to share with regards to property investing. But I just couldn’t leave without saying that.
Steve where is all the touchy feely stuff about people first gone?
The events of the last few days have made that appear nothing more than a gimmick!
Cos in the UK (and US) interest rates are at record lows (like here), prices have been on a five year boom (like here), and there’s been an increasing amount of people taking on massive levels of debt to get into IPs (like here) (at least from some of the stuff I’ve read)
cheers
r
Yup,
I keep an eye on the UK market as my folks have several properties over there.
It’ been a huge boom, just like here. I have some figures somewhere in my filing cabinet that showed in the last downturn (92ish[?]) that value fell about 30% across the board
That is just one of many that may be used according to what you want to do.
If you have metastock the formula is:
pds:=21;
mult:=Input(“Width of Stop”,.1,10,4);
chandelier:=C-(mult*ATR(pds));
stop:=If(C<=PREV,chandelier,If(chandelier>PREV,chandelier,PREV));
Max(stop,Ref(stop,-1));
+ a few other coding tricks but thats the basis of it.
In english:
The highest price traded, minus…
4 * the 21 day average of….
(High – Low + absolute(High – yesterdays Close) + absolute(Low – yesterdays Close))/2
Thanks for comments, I really am looking for constuctive critisism so I don’t mind any well meaning negative as well as positive.
A few points from the conversation so far.
I created the website for a couple of different reasons. Firstly, trading full time can be incredibly boring at times. When one is sitting around waiting for the right setups there is little to do apart from bickering with other traders on internet forums….fun for a while, but ultimately pretty futile. It is something positive to do instead of twiddling my thumbs.
Secondly, I have many (non trader) friends who have absolutley no concept of what it is I actually do. They have this trader stereotype in their heads of a stressed out inveterate gambler with an ulcer and a stready stream of valium to keep him going insane. But they know me as a quiet, fairly introverted, relaxed guy with a permanent smile. They don’t understand…. so the website is a vehicle for them to understand what I do.
Thirdly…”it’s not like he’s trying to sign anyone up to one of his courses…. yet!” hahaha, Richo. Yes further down the track if I get enough material together I will put it together in an e-book. The price will be very modest as I don’t need to make money from selling books or courses. But thats a long way off and anybody is welcome to the material as it’s being built for free.
Re Crashies comments:
“its not really anything that hasnt been said a hundred times before.”….thats true. But 95% people I meet have never heard it before. My wife is a sports coach. What she says has all been said a hundred times before. So why do people go to her? Because they like the WAY she says it. For them it makes sense when she says it. Hopefully people will like the way I say it and gain some benefit.
“you have a 95% of failing at this. I suggest you dont even attempt trading for your own good”….. I have attempted in a limited way to explain why people lose. Honestly, psychological/disipline factors aside, it is so easy to make money from the share market with very simple systems. I can show people a medium term 100% mechanical system that does very nicely. I have talked to many mny people who have had a dabble in the share market(and lost), invariably it is because of casino mentality and the lack of a sound trading plan….AND NO MONEY MANAGEMENT
“instead of providing a “how-to” service”….Is not all information, including your course, about how to? Of course! What I hope to achieve is to help people survive and protect capital…and how to go about generating positve expectancy…. profits will look after themselves.
Re disipline: some very good comments from crashy there. Without self disipline, all people know may amount to nought. But disipline starts with a blueprint….a plan. No plan, no disipline.
Just a point on taxing the rich. Tax them too much and they will just leave.
Many high earning Aussies have left our shores for countries with more favourable tax regimes.
The UK experienced a mass exodus of cash and high earners in the darkest years socialist excess. A more reasonable tax scale has seen that trend reverse.
Canada, which has a taxation regime similar to Australia (but a lower cost of living), loses most of its brains to the US because of lower taxes (and higher wages)
People, it is not just income tax that we shoulkd be looking at, but the overall taxation burden. Multiple layers of indirect taxes ensure that we are paying way more than just our marginal rate.
The dollars earned at the 47% marginal rate, you will end up paying much more effective tax on.
Example: Suppose you work some overtime taxed at 47% (+1.5% medicare levy) to save up fo a holiday that cost $1,100.
To pay $1,100 you need to earn $2134…on an item that is worth $1000(exclusive of GST)
Your effective taxrate = 53.14%
Thats not including all the other little hidden taxes and levies.
I have found a house with an undeveloped lower level (currently a garage, laundry, bathroom) which could very easily be converted into a “unit”. The lower level is exactly the same size as the upper level, which is 3 bed.
How easy would it be to buy the house, do the fitout, and sell off 2 “units” seperately?
news.com.au has mace much of the section on negative gearing:
“NEGATIVE gearing is under threat, with the Reserve Bank identifying far-reaching changes to the taxation of property investment to fix the housing bubble by dampening investor interest.”
I’m still a little lost as to why party 2 would grant a put option.
If party two does not exersize the call, then presumably they do not want to proceed with the purchase. But alas, party one exersizes the put and party 2 ends up with property anyway.
questions: Is the put option only exersizable at expiry?
Is the call option exersizable anytime?
If so that clears it up for me.
Thinking aloud here… So if party two does not want to proceed, but neglects to rescind the contract prior to expiry, then party one exersizes at that point.
Last night they started with a story about a couple who were miserable about the .25% rate rise (they had a huge mortgage on their property and also an IP they were “talked into buying”) – they were moaning and groaning about how they were battlers & couldn’t afford the extra dollars. TT was saying people were going to have to start selling their homes, as the rates were about to skyrocket etc etc…
Their next story was of a horror tenant who had refused to pay rent for 3 mnths (always makes for good viewing as they chase the tenant around trying to get a comment) []
They have been predicting doom and gloom in the market for a while now… are they trying to help create it or something? Talk about making impressionable people nervous!
Maybe Stokesy wants to pick up some cheap property in the near future[}][]
I actually did this. I took an antisnobbery stand and bougfht a ’64 volkswagen beetle.
Guess what! You fall in love with these old gems. I do all the mechanics myself (learning as I go along[?]) Kids wave at you as you go by….chicks think they’re cute…(too late, already got married[])…people talk to you at service stations….and there is an army of enthusiasts to help if you get stuck on one or another problem.
Being an ex-upholsterer I restored the interior and its got the best sound system that you can stuff into it.
You can also make them go faster than an HSV Commodore [}][}][}][}][}].. still thinking about that[}]
Older cars CAN be fabulous fun and I agree with all the points made above. In fact I often get offers of more than I paid and have spent on it. It’s almost like an investment[8D]