Brenda, you make some good points re expenses, prep and so on. However, I reiterate we need to drop this idea that information has to be expensive to be worth anything.
Following are some quotes from Alexander Elder directed to share traders, but they could apply equally to property investors. He is highly respected in the field of share trading.
“My second rule is to avoid very expensive services, be they books, advisory letters, or seminars. A $200 newsletter is likely to be a better value than a $2,000 one, and a $500 seminar a better value than a $5,000 one. Merchants of super-expensive products sell an implicit promise of “the keys to the kingdom.”
“An obscene price is a marketing gimmick that conveys a subliminal message that the service is magic. There is no magic – no-one can deliver on that promise. A relatively inexpensive service is a bargain when it’s good, and a cheap loss when it isn’t.”
“People want to believe in magic, and if that magic can also save them from working and thinking, they gladly pay good money for it.”
This is well put. Having spent time in share trading circles I know this to be the case. I have seen it in action.
Wez.
The most valuable information I ever received about trading was for free…likewise, the stuff I have learned about property investing (though largely untested at this stage) was for free as well…from people like you all who give information so generously.
I return the favour when and where I can. (someday I will finish my excuse for a website)
>> “They still have a pissily small official interest rate. Why do the Americans make such a big deal of everything?”<<
Bear in mind that this is not the rate the consumer pays:
U.S. weekly mortgage index off 0.7% By Rex Nutting
WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) — Applications for mortgages in the U.S. declined slightly last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday. The weekly application index fell 0.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis. It’s down 24.2 percent from a year ago. The index for purchase loans fell 2.7 percent while the refinance index rose 2.5 percent. The rate for a median 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell to 5.80 percent from 5.97 percent a week earlier.
Yes, the authors views are obviously being used to flog a gold coins, so a bit of healthy cynisism is warranted.
The interesting thing to me is this. When depressions or market crashes happen(there have actually been 3 great [to use the standard adjective] depressions since the industrial revolution), folks are usually at a loss as to what actually caused them. So despite the best efforts of governments and central banks, they may occur anyway.
We currently have several possible triggers. War/terrorism, oil prices, demographics, etc.
I think Soja has made a very good point. A depression is not Armageddon and though an altogether unpleasant eventuality, they provide a springboard for growth. A bit like a good pruning.
I had one grandfather who was employed throughout the depression and the other was unemployed for some time (this was in NE England) But people survived and did what was necessary at the time.
I think that it is smart to accept that a depression is *possible* at least, and to have contingency plans in place.
Gold coins? Dunno about that one, but some plan nevertheless.
Can I ask wayne… are you into the kinds of theories he’s discussing or the way he discusses them?
kay henry
Hmmmmm. As it says in the article, economic sytems are extremely complex. So complex that you can pretty much make a case for just about any eventuality.
The bulk of evidence from non mainstream sources (i.e. not the Wall Street Cheerleeding Squad, or the Guv’ment) points to some trouble on the horizon.
I believe in covering ones arse, and a perpetually bullish attitute can be a financially fatal in the event of a deep recession/depression.
So just trying to get some balanced thinking and discussion going.
PS I do happen to have a few contacts, and just for you, I’ll get out of my jamys and go and do a few hours work in exchange for a measly few hundred thousand shares []
I haven’t really followed Lowey et al. But I suspect that their billions weren’t strictly from property investing (in the context that we here practice property investing) either. It is also in the practise of running a business, publically listing, development and other corporate toings and froings.
This is also a path littered with the rotting corpses of those who have failed. I believe the failure rate of property developers is somewhere above 90%. (Quoting from memory only)
There are no share “traders” in the rich list because sooner or later you run into liquidity problems trading great size, most particularly in australia.
Also trading isn’t really investing. It is a business. A trader removes profit from his account for living expenses etc, limiting the full compounding effect.
I don’t think anyone aspiring to the “rich list” would choose trading in any case. Not my cup of tea. I could think of nothing worse than living that lifestyle (except perhaps abject poverty!!)
Being ‘nice’ primarily means to me saying what people want to hear.
What people want to hear isn’t necessarily what they need to hear.
Cheers,
Aceyducey
In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. But, in practice, there is.
– Jan L.A. van de Snepscheut
To me “niceness” and “honesty” are two separate virtues.
You can be nice as you tell people what they need to hear.
My wife does this all the time when she tells me (nicely) that my taste in in my arse and that I should reconsider my choice of clothing! Something I *need to hear as I am getting dressed to go out! Hah!
Sorry, I feel compelled to comment on this doosie:
>>Shares are stressful (because of the risk.) burnout, grey hair, suicides, bankrupt – don’t know too many property investors with those conditions, but there sure are a lot of shares casualties.<<
What ‘BS’ hollywood movies have you been watching?
Come and spend a week with me Mini! You may get bored but you’ll see how low risk it is!
1/ you say you turned 10k into 500k since 1997, a return of 5000%. Do you think you can now turn this 500k into 25 million in the next seven years? If not why not?
2/ Do you think you could turn 10k today into 500k in 2011 using the same strategies? If not why not?
3/ What is the nett bottom line return of this 500k equity and could you maintain your present lifestyle without selling any assets? If not how much equity would you need to fund your retirement?
4/ Some economists are signalling a major deppression starting at some point in the next decade (let’s leave aside whether they are right or not for now) If this eventuates, how would your strategy stack up? What effect would this have on you retirement income?
<<<Lets have a good example if you had put your $10000 in caltex in may last year it would be worth 4.5 times more or $45000>>>
Did you buy caltex in may last yr? Probably Not. So Caltex is one stock out of 10,000 stocks or whatever it is. But a trader would have bought and sold before they received the 4.5 times return.
Not necessarily Yack. Some of the folk over at reefcap.com did buy it last year and are still holding.
I don’t see why you feel the need to justify your investing desicions by critisizing other folks methods. Just let them be. I’m more than happy being a trader, and I’m more than happy that you have done well with property.
Well I may get shot down for this; but “frankly Scarlet I don’t give a damn”!!!!
I have to agree Somersoft is much friendlier, the posters there are “open minded” and people don’t pluck theories out of the sky!!!! Like Acey said, people back up their information.
This place conveys a “fear of damnation” feel about it. You have to watch EVERY “p” and “q” with rigour, and (for me) being a moderator was even worse!!! (Any moderators reading this, back off; I said “for me” so don’t even go there)
The chatroom facility is great, you can communicate directly with those in the room, share ideas, clarify any misunderstanding then and there before they get blown out of perspective, and you can have fun at the same time.
The only reason I tend to come back here, is unfortunately, as great as Somersoft is, navigation around the site is not as simplistic as PI.
Although I do agree with most, that both Somersoft and PI work well together in providing “different” opportunities and ways of discussing property investing.
There!!!….Okay go on…..Hit me!!!![blush2]
Jo
But Monopoly! You’re a property Bull! Ahahahaha!!!
Acey,
We have differing perspectives, and never the twain shall meet. No need to get uptight if someone sees it differently.
But you don’t see that property investment having forced housing out of the reach of low income earners, the disadvantaged, etc, as contrary to this socialist ideology?
The whole premise of property investing is rising values, rising rents…..hopefully in excess of CPI. Who are we leaving behind here?