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  • Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Post Count: 237
    simple wrote:
     -33, hm, we better start investing !
    On the other hand, i do not think I will ever retire unless due to sickness ….
     

    12 months and I improved to 275

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Hey Guys, this thread started by D on June 5, 2006.
    Anyone want to summarize?
    1. Early indication of problems in RE in June, 2006
    2. First major signs of instability in December??? 2007
    3. Today indications of RE loosing value (only small %), September 2008

    Seem like as time passes it just becomes worse. Given trend we have and based on past experience it seem like next 12 months situation to cause further reduction of RE value. I some how do not think we "have reached permanently flat plateau"

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Hey D, you started this tread but what about U ?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    I am 31, fiance 28
    Good job, just paid out all loans and can afford comfortable living.
    Want to work and not retire, life is the game to me which I greatly enjoy. Enjoyment is my goal.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    With the recent decline in oil price and some recovery on stock market as well as indication of easing inflationary pressure in AU I wonder if this will l be enough to stabilize the current situation and bottom out…..
    On the other hand RE has a way to go until prices will become more or less realistic, 3-4 times wage rule…

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    I wonder if we already hit the 'flat" or still have a way to go till we hit the bottom…
    Any thouths?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    I even know some of those russian people who now in talks with Chinese customers. Those are in coal industry, some private mines in russia scheduled to be reopen in 12 months from today.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    1. The man I know just sold his boat for under 1Mil and purchaser asked him to indicate higher value so he can get 100% finance on pleasure cruiser…….
    2. Few of my friends have refinanced there's PPOR do draw the equity to……..purchase car…….go on holiday
    3. We just purchase industrial land, part of larger block of land with factory on it. Owner only got about 20% of money as the rest went to bank. Company been in Business for 15 years.
    4. The best one – is year old Aston Martin valued about $500K been auctioned by finance company. Get an idea of a caliber of people going down ?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Agree with blogs, same here.
    I was siting tight and watching market starting to slide hunting for my dream home. Have had couple coming up on the market, just the way i like them, but price is still not right (read as high). You can snap few good houses now in the range of 500K but closer to 1M properties still seem to hold the value, it will just take a bit longer till those get hit as well….
    It is just a waiting game now to snap the bargain!

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    There is a fine line between been excited about someone else trouble and actually seen an opportunity, didn't some one say : Buy when there is blood in the streets. Some got heart by rising prices and been unable to purchase PROP, other will get heart on the downturn. There is always some one in trouble. You just have to try to stay on the side which is making money at the time, not loosing.


    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    BOOM – sound of bobble starting to collapse… Here we go Lads and Gents, welcome to the era when conservative low geared  people rule.  As predicted by some, tipping over point is reached.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    I spoken to few people who are retired now or semi-retired. Some have few $$$ others not as much. But all made one interesting comment " you actually need less money what you think(when retired), you eat/drink/travel/party less and already have everything paid out"
    Makes you think….

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    Update:
    RBA/Banks now talking not " rise interest of not" but " how much to rise"
    On the other hand Brisbane real estate seem to hesitate in some price brackets ($700-$900K), but the rest still selling strong. Where do the people getting so much money from our days??? Good help them if they borrowing the lot.
    I sense bargains times ahead.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Trying to get as many people as possible to comment / add staff to the list to get as close picture of the current state of the economy as possible.
    The truth is born in discussions.

    The reason I use this thread is my believe that we live on the edge of the BIG BANG as the current state of the economy is unsustainable. If we to figure out when and how it will erupt – money to be made by those who understand it.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    OK, corrected info:
    1. Jan-February rise of 0.25% with another 0.25% promised to follow ASAP
    2. Property pricing growing at 6.04% (brisbane)
    3. What is the current CC debt, anyone?
    4. Unemployment is about 4.4 and holding
    5. US housing market, still melting down

    Any input anyone ?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    Hello hleung

    2. This is based on my search for new PPOR. I noted that in the last 8-12 weeks many properties worth about $700K have not been sold, instead price where reduced on some. Areas I looked in: Manly / Wynnum, Stafford / Alderley

    4. Based on report : http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,23636,22918048-462,00.html
    according to the source, unemployment is rising now for two months in the row.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Welcome to 2008!
    So for a start of the year we have:
    1. Jan-February  rise of 0.25%  with  another 0.25% promised to follow ASAP
    2. Property market started to level out ( as per my observations in Brisbane)
    3. What is the current CC debt, anyone?
    4. Unemployment started to rise
    5. US housing market, still melting down

    Comments anyone?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    OK, bright part of Aussies  have elected the Labor party to rule the country. I hear that they are known for weak economy control.
    Next 12 months should indicate where are we heading. Any thoughts anyone?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    With commercial property, you would sign contact for 5 years, but 6-12 first months are often free. This is normal practice and i also see vendors agreed to pay say for 50% improvement bill ( fitout and such). So it/s is all not that sunny. Like in residential market you need to know what property's a the good pick…

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Hey D, i see the logic behind it.

    Interesting reading by Westpac : http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,23636,22756808-462,00.html
    In short, Interest is 25 point up with warning of another 25 point coming, BUT consumer spendings did not suffer much, and those who in rent are actually started spending more.
    So  people still have enough fat to take the beating. I wonder at what cash rate the middle class will start to suffer, 10-12%?

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