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  • Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237
    Profile photo of simplesimple
    Participant
    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    I have nothing constructive to ad, finance is not my strong side, but reading thru this post make me feel “ YAAAHHHHOOOO” :)
    Another year or so with few more interest rises like this and our efforts in saving every cent and throwing it in to our PPOR loan will pay out big way. We will be shopping with cash buying from those who were overspending.
    [biggrin]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Guys, not to scare anyone, but you do know that ATO have and eye on financial forums?
    May worth keeping it in mind when quoting figures. Not that we talk actual figures here, we just speculating :)

    Actual $ that you earn are subjective. I know people on $150K and still have PPOR not payed out. Nothing flash, just an ordinary $400K property.
    So it is how you spend and where you spend money rather how much you earn….
    Anyone care to comment?

    wealth4life, about kids, we still do not have any (my fiancé only 25) but our plan is same as yours, to be in the position to offer help when they ready. Say, we will match what they put down as deposit, whether it is the first car or house. BUT no freebies, easy money are bad. Easy come – easy go. 99% of people will loose what they get easy while they are young. It is different when you live them some assets after you go and they already turned 40-50yo.
    [biggrin]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Well I guess the first property is the mast as the way to reduce your living expenses. Once played out you cost of living reduces significantly. If you will rent – cost will always be there. This is the way I see it.
    And anyway, If you more or less reasonable concentrate on repaying you will payout in under 5years. After this you have a lot more money in the pocket as you don’t rent for the rest of life…

    [biggrin]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    I notice interesting tendency, I wonder if others will agree on it.
    It seem like in Brisbane most of properties been sold are purchased as owner occupied. This seem to create number of properties that been sold still at “high” price as owners base decision on “feel’ rather than commercial since.

    There are also seem to be few people who selling there’s IP in order to reinvest funds in other areas than real-estate.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Ok, some info on Xmas sales. They do not spike as they used to 5 years back. This new-year in upmarket retail resulted in been 20% higher than normal times but still FLAT.
    Conclusion: Wealthy people smart and do not spend money any more, or simply run out of them ??!!
    [whistle]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Hello David,
    Irvine is the nice place to be [biggrin]
    Why would you look for funds in AU? In Irvine good 10% of piople in the shopping center can pull 2M out of there’s pocket on the spot! It is one welfy place.
    I love it by the way.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    As someone here mentioned the real impact will be is when people will come out of fixed interest period after 3-5years. Then they will get hit by sudden 2-3% increase. This is when snow bal action will take place. If we consider 5year fixed period, than those people still have 2 years to go. This will really top up the market with “extra” properties for sale. So, let’s wait and see [strum]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    L.A Aussie, thanks for reply on my calcs…
    Your explanation makes sence if long term considered. This is what I am interested in so i will have to redo my calculations and practice a bit to see what figures do I get

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237
    Originally posted by simple:

    I am trying to keep a close eye on retail sales figure. I have access to sales $ of one of the upper marker fashion retailer chain ($1000 for pair of shoes).
    So far market have not waken up for Christmas spending. Sales are flat.

    A bit of update here, as off the last week there is a steady increase of sales on daily basics (averaged data). Most of purchases are done on credit cards.
    So as wealth4life.com commented “go Aussie go, you little beauty!!!”

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Some simple mathematics here, some one please correct me here as I cannot get my head around this!
    IP in our area cost for example $300K has return of $300/w minus expenses land and running cost you get about 250/week if lucky. Which is about 4.5% return on capital.
    If I put the same money on my bank account I get over 6% return.
    Now the big question, why would you buy IP if market is flat or growing anywhere under 1.5% ??

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Is Russians welcomed? [biggrin]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
    Participant
    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    I am trying to keep a close eye on retail sales figure. I have access to sales $ of one of the upper marker fashion retailer chain ($1000 for pair of shoes).
    So far market have not waken up for Christmas spending. Sales are flat.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Post Count: 237

    Bad lack! Cannot post picture here. How to post pictures here anyone???
    Anyway, link: http://img387.imageshack.us/my.php?image=untitledpb8.jpg

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Have downloaded some datasheets from RBA site. Made this graph to help me to understand/ predict economy movements.

    untitledpb8.jpg

    According to what I see, we are on the beginning of the next “Major” interest rise cycle. Any comments anyone?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    With original question “worst to come”, as per one old man comment: The time to buy is when your own brother is on the streets.
    I am now watching my relatives starting to struggle. Not that they have no money, they just have to many loans.
    It looks like it will take another 2-3% interest rise to finish them off. That would be close to the bottom. So few more years are still ahead…..
    [glum]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    IMHO a lot of people do not care/think about the long term result of action taken.
    Most of them never even realize than money can be made by simply working hard and allocating funds to what needed rather to what’s wanted.
    But the blame game start once people loose the grip and thinks go out of control.
    It is always the same everywhere; you got to sit down with a pencil do some simple mathematics before you committed your self to significant expense. Just got to do the homework, same as at school

    Aside of this small story about one salesmen who showed up at our doorsteps 12 moths back. He was offering us houses as IP to purchase and his company will provide rental guaranty for 3 years. Based on his words you can afford 10-15 IP without investing much money and relying on tax return and rental income. Sounded fascinating! I asked him to do some calculations showing how the funds flow including ongoing expenses of maintaining IP’s. Guess what? He could not put the figures together and he cannot do simple calculation of interest using calculator!!!! LOL. I could not believe it, he was trying to sell us 300K+ IP’s located in LOGAN
    All you need is just to listen to those guys/advisers and do some simple calculations to see what it is all about
    [biggrin]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    If anyone interested, market value change in Brisbane / Manly townhouse prises.
    This is based on recent evaluation of our PPOR:
    2003 – 220K
    2004 – 290K
    2005 – 280K
    2006 – 260K
    Current rental return is about 280 a week.

    Makes you think….

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    D,
    I must agree on the comment that money can be made at any market conditions and resi not the best area.
    The company I work for looking for block of land to build new manufacturing facility with in Wynnum area / Brisbane. We recently been contacted by “XX” real-estate agent. They found the block of land for us for 1.3M, by the time we got our act together it went under contract for 1.2M. We manage to find out that other real-estate agent purchased the land. Guess what?  We been contacted be new proud owner “real-estate agent” who offered us the same block for 2.1M now . In reality land does worth about 1.3-1.5 and was underpriced by owner selling in the hurry. Not a bad way to make 800K in just about 4 weeks!
    [specool]

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237
    Originally posted by wealth4life.com:

    Hello all,

    Well it appears that interest rates are going to rise as i heard this morning

    Interested to know your thoughts – investors – price drops around the country – and worried mums and dads ..

    D

    Well, another interest rise, so what?
    I feel sorry for those who overcommitted them self’s, the rest of us may actually benefit from it. This will add few $ to the monthly interest on our PPOR but so what? Even water in Brisbane become considerably more expensive in last 24 months which is guarantied not to go back down in price ever!!! (unlike interest rate)
    [exhappy]

Viewing 20 posts - 201 through 220 (of 235 total)