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  • Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Another 25 points by RBA today and a promise of 2-3 more rises before next financial year. despite rises in interest rate, property prises still keep creeping up.  Very interesting indeed

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    welth4life, people can take a alot more stress than 1% if increases are gradual. They will change there's jobs' seeking more money, will reduce number of holidays per year and barrow $$$ from parents…. Unless it will be sharp rise in CR, people will tolerate more or less comfortably 2-3% if speared in few years.
    RBA working very hard not to stress the people with CR. Gradually rising CR you can get more 'juice" out.
    But since a lot of people are overcommited already, the default rate will be rising proportionally with the rise of CR.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    It's started long time ago and still getting worse:

    THE number of Queensland homes being repossessed has skyrocketed, with families now losing their properties at a record rate.

    Data from the Queensland courts show a total of 756 homes have been repossessed so far this year because homeowners could not meet their mortgage repayments.

    That number has steadily climbed over the past three years.

    A total of 484 properties were repossessed in 2004, 869 in 2005 and 910 in 2006.

    http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,23636,22470647-462,00.html

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Qlds007,
    When you deal with any professionals some are more switched on and creative than others.
    I remember seen one accountant that stated that i owe ato 5K. So i went to the other (recommended) and actually got 3-4K back from ato.
    So, even they all governed by the same regulations, the result can be remarkably different.
    Just my 2c

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Mark OReilly  / Choice home loans
    0419 603 535 / 33242700
    He can get you  money with the major banks just got to make sure you can actually support loan this size…
    When bank where giving me only 100K, he could get me 300K with same bank 

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Post Count: 237

    Isn't it fascinating to watch how interest keeps going up in 25 point steps every 3-4 months. The interesting part is that disregarding  interest rises credit card debt keeps going up, people keep buying housing at inflated cost, store accounts keep growing up and Retrovision type shops reporting sky high profits together with sales of new luxury cars going up.

    I feel like I been left out, do people know something I don't or they earn x2 or x3 time what i make ….
    I am not too far away from 100K p/a.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Post Count: 237

    Terryw, I wonder if we happen to have a common friends :)
    Anyway, imagine paying interest on 230K CC account. It is not your ordinary 7% home loan, more like 17% for AMEX…

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    we have 2 CC, use one as 6 months interest free while money working in the PPOR loan and live on 30 day account on second card. We have not paid 1c in interest on CC's for about 5 years now. Will drop one card off in 6 months – I am in :)

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    duckster, mmmmm……. this is what i am hoping for, together with another 3-4 cash rate rises by RBA. Won't be that a nice start?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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     -33, hm, we better start investing !
    On the other hand, i do not think I will ever retire unless due to sickness ….
     

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    It is rather interesting how property market fluctuates from location to location. Some places are slow and others still boom.
    I would think, naturally, when it is boom – whole town (say Brisbane) is selling HOT, and when we start fluctuating, isn't it indication of becoming unstable?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    I would say next 4 months:
    1. One more 25 point correction by RBA
    2. Labor party to rule
    3.Real estate prising to flatten (generally)
    4. Rent to keep creeping up

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Some one I know have house on the market in Stafford for 600K+ ( well priced for what it is). Few people have looked but no offers. House been on market for 6 weeks now. There is nothing wrong with the property. This rises some though
    I seen a lot lately that housing in the range up to 450K get sold fairly fast but premium properties 500 – 800K seem to hang in there much longer.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    I am 30,
    we have PPOR purchased 4 years ago. Owe 20% of market value. We have plenty of disposable income (me + wife) but sinking it all in PPOR. Will pay out in 12 months. Still live without furniture and TV Want to be debt free when / if real estate market burst. This way we will be able to snap good deal paying cash and not be effected by high interest rate

    Comparing to what our company pay general factory laborers i do not see how people can support the loans if interest to go up. Not to mention that guys have loans and drive $50K cars ( borrowed money) and this is all on $40K wage.
    Attitude is wrong, it will burst somewhere as situation is not sustainable.

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    OK, two months have passed and real-estate market is busy again. People just keep buying pushing prices further up. I have a funny gut feeling that if it will not stop now, we will come to nasty resetion.

    We have about 40 people working for us at factory, with average wage about 500 per week after tax. Now this mean families have $1000 to spend. If they are DINK, then they need 200 for food, 100 bills and fuel, living them $700 to spend. Average price for reasonable property now $400K in our area. This would represent $700 in bank repayments weekly.

    The point is, the affordability coming to saturation. There is no more leeway left. Any fluctuation in petrol / interest rates / inflation and families budget is out of balance.

    The rate we increase wages is under the rate of living expenses go up!

    Who want to look in crystal ball and predict what will happen in 12/24 months from now???

    wealth4life, do you want to share your thouts ?

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Brisbane / Bayside – selling quick. Prices indicate steady trend up. Anything under 400K sold quick however top properties 1M+ seem to sit for sale for some time…
    Reno suitable properties go very quick …

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Some one, please get spammers out of this forum !

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
    Join Date: 2006
    Post Count: 237

    Agree with foundation, , Freedom = ZERO debt. Too many play to close, how many people you know who say “I own 3 houses”, they do not, bank own them. How many say “ I have new BMW”, they don’t, they just kidding themselves, finance company own it.

     

    The company I work for has owner with mind set like foundation. In last 15 years some of our opposition went down as industry fluctuated and they had no money to support the Business. Same story, new cars on lease, bank loans, renting buildings … and so on. But we survive and grown as we could sustain 2 years of low profit seasons we had no loans, business OWN everything. So our expenses where minimal.

     

    It is all about your financial exposure and how defensive is your strategy. History indicates that you got to be careful, debt is your enemy. Take every opportunity to keep it down, always consider “worse case scenario” but be positive!

     

    Just thinking aloud here… no offense meant

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    Just want to refresh thread.
    RBA announced no increase in interest as CPI and other indicators showing "fine". I wonder how long they will manage to balance this fine line. As if there will be no more interest rises the real estate market may start recovering fairly quick.
    We live in very interesting time indeed

    Profile photo of simplesimple
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    @simple
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    jamiedellam

    I have dome some calcs some time back, according to what I got back then, you plan is sound. The only difference in my calculations was that you should buy one IP pay it out completely, and then purchase second and so on. One step at the time. With your deposit you should be able to jump first 1-2 steps.

     

    Basically I was getting picture on the paper that paying IP’s one by one is better dollar wise due to huge savings in interest. As if you take 3-4 loans at the same time your exposure to interest is much higher.

    Got to remember to adjust my calculations to individual specifics like tax, and so on….

     

    Try calculating this scenario and see what you get.

    Exercise 1 : you own PPoR and purchase IP. Pay it out and purchase second, pay it out and purchase third and so on. See what you will OWN in 7 year $$$

    Exercise 2. : you own PPoR and purchase 4 x IP’s and keep purchasing using grooving equity .   See what you will OWN in 7 years $$$

     

Viewing 20 posts - 181 through 200 (of 235 total)