Forum Replies Created
Thanks for your ideas, Phillip. I hear your idea of selling and buying closer on the North Shore, to take advantage of growth there over the next few years. However, it will be difficult to convince Mum and Dad that selling at what I expect at the moment to be a considerable loss is the best thing to do. Purchasing the property in the first place was more a lifestyle decision than an investment decision, but given the lack of income from the business, it is necesarry to make a decision now about wether to hold the property for as long as possible or to break free now.
Mum and Dad are 59 – and no, they don't need a big property, they want one. They were suffocating in the suburbs in Berowra a couple of years ago, and with Dad determined to stay with the business and line the retirement coffers some more, they had to find a compromise between their semi rural ideal of retirement, and staying close enough to the city to continue to earn some bucks. Everyone's investment criteria are different I guess!
Your DA idea is terrific and would probably suit the property well, but I can't imagine them bulldozing the $100k+ reno. I couldn't even suggest it after all the hard work and heartache…. they needed that idea 2 years ago. Oh well.
Cheers
SI agree with the pp. Exit the contract. Real estate mistakes are expensive. Lurk here for a while. There is supposedly another fall in interest rates to come. The market is largely tipped to fall or at least remain still. Not sure who convinced you that there was so much interest that you had to pay more. You'll find that on this site, there will be people who know the Melbourne market well, and you will learn much from their conversations. It's good to see a first home buyer considering investment property rather than blindly chasing the first home buyers grant. Do lots of maths. Make a spread sheet with a few different "what if" scenarios. What if the value fell by 10%, 20%, what if rent fell by 10%, 20%, what if your interest rate went up by 2%, what if you lost your job, or your tenant? How much movement in all these variables can you afford, and what is a likely and unlikely level of movement. Another opportunity will come up – probably many more. Exit while you can, cheaply, under the cooling off period.
Good luck.
wealth4life,
With your obvious knowledge of the Sydney market, can I ask your opinion on my parents PPOR?They bought 5 acres at Galston in a bush block. Very pretty, bushland lifestyle block. They paid $900Kish, with a house on it that had severe white ant damage. (At the time it seemed to be the land value). After deciding that the cost of demolishing and rebuilding was too great, they have since spent $100K+ on a very tasteful, modern reno, which is incomplete. The house is quite large, Two storey, large living, 2 1/2 bathrooms, 4 bed plus office/rumpus, pool. It is not conveniently located, being about a 5 minute drive from Galston shops, and the fastest way to the train line (Hornsby) is the 20min or so drive through Galston gorge. But it is very pretty, idyllic even with a lovely litte freshwater creek, with turtles and lots of wild animals etc.
They have done considerable improvement to the land, too and have probably freed up about 2 acres as arable (suitable for horses). The rest is too rocky to be improved for horses.
With their own business in executive recruitment, they are considering, bail out of the half completed reno now, or stick around and try to continue to make the payments from somewhere, hoping that money will come up.. I believe they have some breathing room, being ahead in their mortgage. They would have about $450K equity.
Interested to know your thoughts on the value of property in this area. My gut feeling (not knowing the area) is pretty dire, particulary with the reno incomplete. It will take a fair bit more money to complete the reno, so that is not an option while the company has zero income.
I should mention that they love living there, and would really hate to sell.
Any insight you can give would be useful.
Cheers
SGreat thread idea, and very interesting response from Michael. I didn't find it boring at all.
I wouldn't change anything that we did either. We set up our own business, based on a government contract. It is earning well, and has us in a good industry and location to sit out the down turn. We are a bit sick of where we are and look forward to doing something new, but we'll just stick with what we know, and what is safe and fairly debt free for now.
We sat on our hands RE wise over the past two years. Partly due to our location. We are 500km from Townsville. Makes it hard to stay well informed about a RE market. I strongly believe that you need to know a market very well in order to perform well in it. So we researched and found it impossible to locate anything positive cash flow in Townsville (other than opportunities that would really require us to live in Townsville ourselves and be actively involved in the management of the property). We strongly considered Cloncurry (mining town) and then backed out of a contract at the last minute – which now seems like an incredibly good move. So we threw our resources into building our cattle herd, which is going to be good this year, seeing as cow prices are expected to be very high due to an end of the drought in the Barkly Tableland, and the low dollar. Strongly considering selling all our cattle and paying out all our debt, leaving us $100% equity on two properties (1 is PPOR). We look forward to being savy property investors, but sit back, learning from our near miss with Cloncurry, and the mistakes of others, watching the market and waiting, waiting until it feels right.
There is no replacement for careful research and thorough market knowledge.
Our conservative approach sees us well positioned to weather the down turn.
Regrets in real estate tend to be expensive.
Be careful who you listen to. In a market you don't know and don't have direct physical access to, it can be hard to get information from anyone other than the RE agent – and of course he has his own agenda.
I hope GMH – Grinch adds to this thread as I enjoy his posts so far, but have't actually seen anything about his own decisions and investments, and their performance, just a commentary on what his baby boomer client base is doing etc etc etc. Perhaps I missed it.
Did we see the signs on the wall? No, really, other than the fact that it is an economic certainty that boom is followed by bust. Also had a sneaking suspicion about how sustainable lending levels were, and spending levels, and the constant influence of the economy of the mining industry. I had felt for the last two years that we were certainly in a golden time, and suspected that it couldn't really last, but never really saw hard economic signs – I wasn't really looking.
Bad advice? – Only from Real Estate agents.
Good advice? From Steve McKnight, actually. I posted here about wether we should enter the RESULTS program, or wait until we were better located (geographically) to be active participants in the property market. Steve replied that I should wait.What to do now? Sharpen the sword. Learn learn learn.
swealth4life.com wrote:4 Land area must be 700 sq/m +Mmm interesting. I'm a sometimes lurker. Often enjoy this thread. We are a few hundred km from Townsville and have been wanting to invest again for some time, but have resisted, happily, sitting on high equity and low loans on two properties, waiting for our opportunity. and waiting. and waiting.
We notice in Townsville, over the last 5 years or so, massive development of housing estates. Homes are being built on 400m2 blocks. People flock to them – their little piece of paradise. Walking down the street in one of these areas is surreal – rows and rows of little boxes which, to me, look much the same. My husband and I feel that they are probably the slums of tomorrow. We have felt that property closer to the coast and the city, in one of the older suburbs, with a 800m2 block would be better buying.
Just interesting to hear a comment from someone else who opposes these minimal block size developments.
We feel quite safe, with our own business, in the cattle industry (poised to do quite well at least over the next 12 months), approximately 80% equity over our two properties which are both working class family homes. One of the properties is in a cattle town, where most of the town residents are government employed, or employed within the cattle industry and there is a massive housing shortage because all the builders left and went to Townsville for the building boom, and it costs more to build a house here than they are worth when they are finished. We expect the value loss to be not as bad as in the major cities, or the mining towns (of course our boom wasn't as good either).
So we wait, feeling quite safe, but despairing at the people around us who are not in such good shape.
Parents with their own business in executive recruitment, and a half million dollar mortgage in Sydney.
Friends mortgaged to the hilt on a little box in Townsville – he just lost his mining job.
Parents three years off retiring whose super fund is crippled.
My little brother – new to the minining industry, having finally got out of drugs, who now can't get work.
My sister who resigned from her executive property managment job following unacceptable workplace bullying (at least my brother and sister have no debt).So, Grinch, despite my enjoying your analysis of the situation and my preparedness to believe this could be a nasty downturn, I have to pull you up. Your favourite picture of yesterday could have had our best friends on it. And our joy at our good position, and our impatience about when to invest again, and our excitement about what cards played right on the way out of this down turn could mean for our own personal wealth is somewhat tempered by the heartache being felt by our freinds and family around us.
It is sad that sometimes the most believable voice is the one saying what you want to hear. Something to remember for the future. And yeah, these two agents sound like a right waste of time – certainly not worth preserving a relationship with. I'm wondering why it is within their interest to not sell this property?
As to making changes to the property – I bet Geoff is in a similar boat to us. If you can carry out changes yourself, then they make economic sense. To pay tradies, though, during a trade shortage, it just doesn't add up. Paint, though is, I think just about the best value for money improvement you can do.
I showed my husband a photo of Geoffs property. And, this might hurt a little, but you should probably hear it. He said it looked like a brick public toilet. Perhaps if you can take away the public convenience aesthetic, that would help.
Smorts wrote:it was fun struggling along as you forge ahead.I think it is such a pity that there are so many people out there who never have the benefit of having really struggled financially. When my now husband and I first moved in together we lived in a country 2 bed cottage with no power, no washing machine, no gas. I washed everything by hand. I cooked on a wood combustion oven. Hot water was generated by the wood oven. I had to budget the groceries down to the last cent. We frequently could not afford to put fuel in my car. I only bought seconds fruit and veg. I grew quite a bit of fruit and veg and we ate our own beef, and reared our own pork. All our clothes came from St Vinnies or similar and the furniture was largely supported by old phone books. I earnt a bit of cash horsebreaking, mustering, or picking and packing small crops. We made home brew and I sewed useful things from scraps. We had a small kero fridge and no freezer. We caught and ate mullet. At one stage we could not afford to have lunch. My husband would take a cucumber from the garden and have that for lunch with salt and pepper on it. $10 was alot of money to have spare. We'd keep our eyes open at the tip. This was 1995.
That was such a formative and important time. I'm so very grateful for the experience. I've a much keener sense of what makes life happy. We were quite poor, but we were happy. We still loved each other (and still do) and had a fire in our belly – which sees us now in a vastly different situation.
Recently, it was brought to my attention just how lucky I was to have this experience when a young married woman that I know was quite distraught at the fact that her husband could not provide enough money to immediately furnish their house with brand new appliances and furnishing. She seemed to think that they should both be driving current model vehicles, the house should be immediatley fully furnished, they should be eating gourmet food and takeaway frequently, going out all the time and purchasing things at will. She was quite unhappy that life wasn't turning out that way. By contrast, my past means that I am simply overjoyed at my recent purchase of a set of quality saucepans to replace the second hand ones that I have used for the last 10+ years. Aren't I lucky?
I'm wondering how many similar stories there are out there.
SMarc,
I'm wondering why you object to allowing the agent to have his name etc on the signage, advertising. Secondly, I'd consider all of your suggestions to be a form of marketing, just not an expensive marketing campaign. Sometimes I wonder if agents are paid a commission on the advertising that they sell. I'd absolutely agree that these expensive marketing strategies are unnecessary if you have the property correctly priced. Some markets have a realtor magazine, I find that I like looking through these personally, and the local papers as it is much more enjoyable than trolling over the stupid internet, through ads that are a year old, past the same old properties again and again. An agent that I work with a bit sends us this realtor magazine as a standing order, to keep us informed of the market. It makes good reading over a cuppa on the weekend. Personally I've found that fostering a good relationship with a good agent ensures a win win situation for everyone. A good agent is such a wonderful source. I'm always happy to see my agent get something out of the advertising.
SHave you a link?
SOh D,
What a great idea. I'd love to participate in some online training. As much as I think the Melbourne course would be great for me to attend, I'm not ready yet to put our investing activities ahead of our children's needs. Perhaps when they are a little older I might be prepared to leave them with someone while I take a week away, but at 3 years and the other only 9 months, I can't really go away for a week without them (Melbourne is two days travelling away for me, even if I fly). The other thing is that while we have equity, we don't have all that much cash flow, and by the time I've paid for the course, flights, accommodation and the inevitable spending money, it would certainly put a dint in our cash situation – especially at the end of the wet season when our business has been pretty idle for 3 months.I applaud the suggestion, but also look forward to a few years down the track when travelling to Melbourne to attend a course will work for me.
Anyway Steve, if you can't do it online, I might go to a Sydney one because Mum and Dad live there and they can look after the kids and I get free accom.
SThanks very much Tracey, excellent work. I can see us participating in this sort of value adding when we are more conveniently located. The current interest rates situation is probably not a good one for learners with this sort of project, anyway, so it is probably just as well that we will bide our time for now, collecting ideas, information and market knowledge.
cheers
SThanks for your response, Tracey.
Can I ask wether you managed to create a much better ROI after refitting the building for student accom? My only intention of carrying out a project like that would be to try to create positive cash flow, and I would be as highly leveraged as I would be allowed to be by the financier. Such a project is probably several years away for me as I am not in a position to manage it at the moment (from a logistical point of view). Are the building laws that you speak of related to local government or are they state laws??Thanks
SaraYou could use an RP data report to get factual information about what other houses sold for. Though, you need to take the report with you and go for a drive past the addresses sold because it gives you no information about the houses, just the land size and sale price. It is a good indication, though, and you might be able to fill in the blanks from info on RE.com if they are so slow to remove links. I still think that if the price is right, it will sell – unless a RE agent stuffs up the market for you first, which sounds like what might have happened.
Another option is to wait until the tenants lease expires, then just put them on a periodical arrangement so the house can be sold vacant possession. If you have a tenant hunkered down in there on a lease, it may turn away potential owner occupier buyers.
SSorry, Geoff,
I too agree that you are priced way over the market. I don't listen to much that real estate agents tell me (or I listen, then disregard a whole heap of what they say), but an agent who I have found to be a great ally and source of information (who recently told me not to buy now – just goes to show how much more credible and sensible he is) told me that you have to put property on the market for a reasonably conservative sale so that it sells quickly. If you over price, then eventually lower your price, buyers will have already seen it, and they just won't notice the lower price (unless you do something very drastic). It is like you have one chance to get the markets attention, if you fail, they become blind to the property and you have to take dramatic action to get their attention again. I've held this remark very highly, and always instruct our selling agent that I want an estimated value based on selling the property within a month. I've noticed that some agents will just tell you its worth more, just to list it. Their theory is probably just to get exclusive listing, then lower the price as necessary. Trouble for you is that if they are unsuccesful, you have missed that all important opportunity to come it at the market price and sell it without any trouble.Simple fact is that the market will dictate the value. If it hasn't sold, you haven't met the market.
An idea to try (can't guarantee it will work): Change the look of the property from the street. If it looks different, the market might see it again (they won't just breeze past the ad having seen it before). Also, talk to a reputable agent and get a quick sale price, putting the property on the market at the value they reccomend.
Good luck
SThanks Steve, for your honest advice. "Frustration" was a good choice of words. But it might all be for the best as our current situation means that we are entering the period of interest rate rises with nearly $400K worth of real estate and $85K debt. If we can just avoid doing something stupid (like buying a boat) we will be in a great position when we finally do move closer to a city.
One other question about the RESULTS program, if I am lucky enough to get a response again, would be wether mentors are necesarily matched on a geographic basis, so that the mentor you are working with might have some knowledge of the local economy in which you are investing. I say this because I think that investing in a capital city often has different issues than investing in a provincial city.
Thanks again.
STracey,
Yeah, I was sure there would have been other similar "guru" experiences, but I didn't have time to go right through the thread. I think he might have been the loser. That's the sort of thing you hear if you go to an triangle marketing scheme seminar (yep, been there, but glad to report I had the sense to quickly leave without giving any details or spending any money).As to hiring a boat, i'm a fan of that, but there are a few reasons that it doesn't quite fit. I think the compromise will be buy a cheapie, and hire a big boat on the few occassions that we want a big boat.
SThis is very interesting, all the talk about getting the balance right, as well as what people are driving. I drive a 2001 Triton dual cab ute. At the moment we are thinking about buying a boat for family holidays etc. It would cost somewhere between $5K and $20K ( we haven't really decided what sort of boat). If we buy a dearer boat, we will have to borrow money – but it would be more fun. It would delay our ability to buy another IP – but what about LIFE? what about having fun with the kids, getting away from the business and relaxing once in a while??? We are torn between our desire to have fun now, and our desire to build wealth for the future. Same thing with my car, which we are considering replacing before long. We live in the outback, and it is really necssary from a safety point of view to have a good reliable car. Especially when you have little kids (youngest 9 mths).
A bloke who is a bit of a tool, but thought himself a bit of a guru told me once that if you wanted to make money you had to go out and buy a real flash car (BMW out of the show room etc) – then everyone would take you seriously and the money would just flow your way…… If only that was true. Perhaps it would work if I went out and bought a 5.5m brand new half cabin boat with a 90hp motor? I could drive around Townsville with it on the trailer and park outside the real estate office – that would get their attention! I wish.
Glancing through my lenders rates today, I was interested to note that the variable rate was dearer than their fixed rates. Does this mean NAB views the economy as steadying up to the satisfaction of the rba?
S
Hi Happy Homes,
I've had the pleasure of using Alistair Perry personally ( he replied to your original post saying he ticked all the boxes – which I agree he does). I can thoroughly recommend him as being the absolute opposite of a dry, drab, lazy sod and will certainly be keeping his contact details for when I need similar services from an IP savvy broker in the future.
Good luck with your venture.
SHalesWe are currently negotiating rent with a corporation for about 800pw. There are two residences in the one property. It is sort of a duplex, I guess. And it is fully furnished. We don't anticipate needing a property manager if we deal with this particular corporation.
I wouldn't say that I have an abundance of properties, but that over the course of a year I might source two or three, tenant them then sell them on, if there is a market.
Sara