Forum Replies Created
Hi,
Thats sounds like a great buisness Dazzling. Smart way of making a living.I think the most appealing thing for me is to be my own boss.
BM, Yep something along those lines would be good, just a bit nervous about leaving my job after ten years to pursue a new career.
The reno king videos are fascinating to watch but they do make it look very simple. I have been out looking at houses last couple of weeks and have found an abundent of opportunities. So i have pre approved finance and will buy something hopefully in the next month or two. If anyone has similar reno stories would be glad to hear them.Dom [biggrin]
Friend of mine completed a renovation and will have property on market soon.When he originally purchased it it was on the market for 2 and a bit years.It was unhabitable for 4 weeks until he finished inside and then proceeded to renovate outside. He beleives he wil make double the money on renovation costs. Thats great for a few months work and on top of being your own boss!
Dom[biggrin]
Hi jhopper,
How long has it taken for you to get a builders license?
I am in QLD north of brisbane.Thanks for the tips much appreciated.Dom
Mkc,
Do you renovate houses for a living or part time?
DomHi Mkc,
As i understand it he has no tax to pay because it is his PPOR principal place of residence.
Dom[biggrin]
Thanks for advice guys,
I have been watching with interest a work colleague sell his property buy a large old queenslander and has spent $50000 out of $60000 renovating. He tells me that while working afternoon shift he has spent days working on this reno.He looks worn some days but his normal job is far less demanding. He plans to sell it as soon as he finishes 1(1 to 2 Months). He seems to beleive that he will make inbetween $50000 and $80000 profit. He has spent a great deal of time doing it but he has enjoyed it and plans to do it again.
Its in redcliffe north of brisbane,it has no water views but a very popular area since the boom and is close to water. Will keep updates as they come.
Dom
[biggrin]May the force be with you!
Dom[biggrin]
Hi people,
Check out this post on predictions.
Thanks Chris,
I set up a new zealand trust with your company a while ago.
Is my trust a suitable trust for share trading?
P.S Great links.
Dom[biggrin]Hi Chris ,
have a completly different question if you dont mind answering it?
As you may know i have acquired a positive cashflow property. With the spare cash i receive i would like to purchase shares in new zealand as i was told that their is no capital gains tax in NZ.
Is this true? And if it is, is it complicated or can you do it online?
Thanks.
DomThis ir really funny.
We are only animals, and animals do most things to survive including steal and kill. And sometmes we are partially sexually attracted to white rabbits.
So if you think chasing paper and steal is sick mayby we should all visit the pet shop.Dom [biggrin]
Buy Property.
Dom [biggrin]
Superanuation and property[medieval]
Your future investment stratagies[buz2]
Current market analysis[exhappy]
(Bonus)Diversified investments
Dom[eh]
Ohhh yeah its like sex, its like driving a brand new Ferrari or riding a new Ducati. Its somehing that you want to go back for more and more.
I know thats a bit over the top but i am buying a new ducati from investing in property.Thus that is a perfect reason for motivation.If i had not invested i would just had to settle for the sex. (Not that there’s anything wrong with that) LOL
[biggrin]Dom
Speculation boom in south-east: report
By Cameron Houston
May 25, 2005
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*Jones Lang LaSalle’s James Kaufman says Melbourne investors are prepared to accept lower yields in order to unlock opportunities.
Jones Lang LaSalle’s James Kaufman says Melbourne investors are prepared to accept lower yields in order to unlock opportunities.
Photo: Mayu KanamoriDandenong leads the way, with 75,000 sq m under construction.
Melbourne’s thriving industrial market in the south-eastern suburbs has led to a sharp increase in speculative development, according to Colliers International research, with more than 160,000 square metres of new supply in the pipeline.
The research found that in Dandenong alone more than 75,000 sq m of industrial premises were under construction, with 36,681 sq m pre-committed and 40 per cent of the remaining 38,500 sq m already sold off the plan.
Strong tenant demand had also placed upward pressure on capital values and prime rentals, according to the report.
Dandenong rents increased by up to 10 per cent over the past 12 months, with land prices rising from $120-$150 to $150-$170 per sq m.
Further west, in Springvale and Keysborough, land was fetching between $180 and $200 per sq m, up from $150-$170 a year ago, while rents were about $70-75 per sq m.
Colliers International industrial executive Kosta Filinis said the key drivers of the south-eastern market were cheaper base rents, a shortage of available stock and the area’s proximity to major freeways.
AdvertisementAdvertisement“Demand in Dandenong is seriously outstripping supply of buildings and land and this is putting real pressure on rents and land prices,” Mr Filinis said.
He said the boom in construction reflected a growing recognition by developers that demand would sustain speculative development, despite higher land and building costs.
Commercial property agents Jones Lang LaSalle also conducted a review of the south-eastern industrial sector, but arrived at a very different conclusion about the direction of prime rents.
While Colliers claimed rents had risen by 15 to 20 per cent over the past year, JL LaSalle research found industrial rents had remained relatively constant.
JL LaSalle industrial director James Kaufman said rising capital values and a compression of yields had not translated into higher rents.
“Prices are booming because nobody is selling.
“Of the 200,000 sq m absorbed over the first quarter of 2004, 110,000 sq m was in precommitments and not one of these properties was offered for sale as developers and institutions hold onto their assets,” Mr Kaufman said.
Data from CPM Research supported the view that little stock was on the market. Its data revealed the national industrial market had recorded the lowest quarterly turnover since 2001.
The sales figures represented the third consecutive quarterly fall above 30 per cent and resulted in an annualised decline of 20 per cent for the sector.
Mr Kaufman said secondary yields had firmed in the south-east by 50 basis points over the first quarter of 2005, marking a fall of 75 basis points over the past year.
“At the same time, prime yields firmed by about 25 basis points, when most industry analysts believed they had stabilised,” Mr Kaufman said.
While Sydney industrial property was more expensive in dollar terms, Melbourne investors were prepared to accept lower yields in order to unlock opportunities, he said.
The Australian sharemarket is a few hundred points off its March record, but over the past 10 years investors have reaped higher returns than their compatriots in any other asset class.
The Australian Stock Exchange’s annual Investment Report, produced this year by the Russell Investment Group, revealed a dramatic turnaround from last year, when property topped returns for the first time in the study’s 12-year history.
“In a sense we have gone back more to the historical norm,” said AMP Capital’s chief investment officer, Shane Oliver.
The study measures the returns, before and after costs and taxes, of shares, residential investment properties, listed property trusts and fixed-interest and cash accounts over rolling 10 and 20-year periods.
Shares generated slightly higher returns over both periods regardless of which tax bracket an investor fell into. “Real returns have been particularly strong for listed property, Australian shares and residential investment property over this period,” the report said.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAt the lower marginal tax rate listed property returned 12.3 per cent annually after tax for the 10 years to December 31 last year. Australian shares returned 11.6 per cent, residential investment property 10.6 per cent, fixed interest 6.7 per cent and cash 3.8 per cent – all well above the average annual rate of inflation of 2.6 per cent.
The news was good for those on the top marginal tax rate, with all asset classes except cash returning more than inflation.
The ASX’s deputy chief executive, Colin Scully, said the study was a useful tool for retail investors. “This report illustrates that diversification and perseverance are necessary for riding out the inevitable rises and falls of the market,” he said.
Intech Investment Consultants senior consultant Andrew Korbel agreed. He said it was important for investors to take a long-term view, to smooth out fluctuations.
Mr Oliver said the sharemarket’s resurgence was driven by booming corporate profits. Over 30 years, he said, shares and property generate similar returns, “but you can often go for periods of five years when one is better than the other.”
Mr Oliver predicted that, with the Reserve Bank maintaining its bias towards raising rates and house prices still overpriced by as much as 20 per cent, the property market would not mount a serious challenge to the sharemarket’s ranking within the next couple of years.
The sharemarket’s volatility this year has seen the number of margin calls increased, but the report found that those willing to borrow to invest have benefited from historically low interest rates over the last 10 years.
“The use of leverage over the past 10 years has increased both the after-tax return of Australian shares and residential investment property,” the report said. The strategy added about 3 per cent to returns.
The 1990-91 recession was centred in Melbourne. In 2004, the slump in Australia’s economic growth is hitting hardest in Sydney.
The statistics are unanimous. NSW is lagging the rest of Australia across the board: on job growth (especially full-time jobs), consumer spending, housing construction, business construction, and growth in population, demand and state output.
In 2004, the Bureau of Statistics estimates, the trend growth in demand in NSW was just 2.8 per cent, barely half the rate of the rest of the country. Its population growth for the year to September was 0.7 per cent, also just half the average of the rest. And, over the three years to June, output grew just 7.6 per cent in NSW but 13.3 per cent in the rest of Australia.
This is not good news for the rest of us. Sydney is Australia’s global city, its financial and service capital. One in five Australians lives there, and almost one-quarter of our gross domestic product is created there. It will be hard for Australia to get back to economic health while Sydney remains sick.
The question is: will it? Is the slump in NSW relative to the rest of Australia since 2001 due to a confluence of one-off factors, or is it something more long-term?
AdvertisementAdvertisementAccess Economics, a team of sharp minds, is optimistic. It sees the slump as almost at bottom. In the financial year just ending, it estimates, NSW will grow by just 0.9 per cent, the slowest of any state. But it sees a modest rebound ahead, with NSW more or less matching the nation’s growth rate over the coming four years.
Solid growth in Asia will pump up demand in Sydney’s financial and service industries, including tourism, it says. Engineering construction remains strong, and the Carr Government’s $30 billion infrastructure plans should keep it that way.
But there are other, as yet unreported, statistics that point to a more disturbing trend.
They show that the decline in NSW’s population growth has been overwhelmingly among those in their 20s and 30s, and in young children. And that slump has been largely in Sydney.
From 2001 to 2004, the rest of Australia grew by 542,000 people: 110,000 aged under 40, and 432,000 aged 40 and over.
NSW grew by just 156,000. But it actually went backwards among the under-40s, losing a net 11,400 younger people, while gaining 167,400 of the middle-aged and elderly.
Talk to them, and one reason is clear. Sydney’s real estate prices remain about three years’ average take-home pay higher than in Melbourne, almost five years’ higher than in Brisbane, and almost double average prices in Perth and Adelaide.
House prices in Sydney were always higher, because Sydney is where land is most scarce. But as successive real estate booms and home renovations almost doubled the average price of a house relative to wages, the affordability gap between Sydney and the rest widened.
Even after a steep fall in prices in 2004, the Real Estate Institute and AMP Banking report that, in the December quarter, the median price in Sydney was $89,500 higher than in Melbourne, $162,500 higher than in Brisbane and $204,500 higher than in Perth. That’s a lot of income to sacrifice just to get a foot on the ladder of home ownership. What drove Sydney’s prices so high? More unreported statistics help explain.
Between 1997 and 2003 NSW, with 34 per cent of Australia’s population, averaged almost 50 per cent of all lending to housing investors in the nation.
Between 1993 and 2003 the amount of money banks lent housing investors in NSW rose more than tenfold, from less than $3 billion a year to $33 billion, or 12 per cent of the state’s GDP. In 2000 and 2001, investors in NSW property markets borrowed more money than those in the rest of Australia put together.
Since the Reserve Bank raised interest rates in late 2003, new borrowing by owner-occupiers slumped briefly, only to rebound to new record levels. It is investor housing that has fallen. In year-on-year terms, it has slumped 15 per cent: from a peak of $72 billion to $61 billion in the year to March 2005.
But that slump has been very uneven. In the March quarter alone, lending to investors in booming Western Australia was up 26 per cent on a year earlier. In South Australia it was slightly higher, in Victoria slightly lower, while in Queensland it fell 11 per cent and in NSW 15 per cent.
Even so, NSW investors are still borrowing more than investors in Victoria and Queensland combined, and their share of the national total remains 41 per cent – compared with less than 30 per cent in earlier downturns. If Sydney’s housing prices need a painful correction to make the city affordable to young people, that could be a long way off.
Wages hold key to next rate move
By Richard Webb
May 15, 2005
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*Home owners beware: two economic readings this week will show whether the strong jobs market is causing wage pressure.
If it is, economists say the Reserve Bank will move sooner rather than later to lift interest rates. But if it is not, as they expect, then rates could be on hold for the rest of the year.
CommSec chief equities economist Craig James says the March quarter labour price index on Wednesday and the February average weekly earnings reading on Thursday hold the keys.
“These figures will show whether the tight labour market is leading to higher wages,” he said. “There is plenty of anecdotal evidence to suggest wage pressures are starting, but they seem to be confined to the construction, mining and maybe education sectors. In the rest of the economy, wages are not galloping higher.”
This in itself is remarkable because 300,400 jobs have been created in the eight months to the end of April, a record for an eight-month period, while the unemployment rate has stood at a 28-year low of 5.1 per cent.
AdvertisementAdvertisementWhen a labour market is tight, wages can start to rise as businesses find it harder to fill job vacancies, and this can lead to inflation. That’s why the Reserve Bank has wages on its radar.
According to Macquarie Bank interest rate strategist Rory Robertson, the job market is a beacon of strength in what is otherwise a sluggish economy.
“We have a conundrum of unbelievably strong jobs growth at a time when GDP growth is unbelievably weak,” he said.
“But the unemployment rate has been at 5.1 per cent for the last five consecutive months and there is a growing probability it is bottoming out. The jobs market is growing at an annualised rate of 4 per cent but we expect this to drop to 1.5 per cent in the year to the end of June 2006.”
Mr James is not so sure. “The jobless rate is finding it hard to break through the 5 per cent barrier. But the continued strength of lead indicators like job ads suggest that it’s a matter of time before the jobless rate has a four in front of it.”
He said the labour force participation rate and employment to population ratio were both at record highs.
“In short, a greater proportion of people are working, rather than staying at home, retired, unemployed or studying, than ever before,” he said. “There’s no shortage of demand for white-collar positions, so it is a watching brief. There must be wage pressures out there but so far it has not shown in the numbers.”
CommBank expects the wage price index on Wednesday will show quarterly growth of 0.9 per cent, to keep wage growth steady at an annual rate of 3.6 per cent, well below the 4.5 per cent considered consistent with 2 to 3 per cent inflation.
“Anecdotes, however, are suggesting that the risk to inflation from rising wage pressures is tilting up,” CommBank economist Besa Deda said.
“These anecdotes include surveys showing that the sorts of wage rises that consumers expect to receive have risen and the wage rises businesses expect to pay have lifted.”
I liked the add because it was positive and i like positive news. To me it does not matter if the market moves up or down to me as a investor it is always a boom.
Dom[biggrin]