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  • Profile photo of Nigel KibelNigel Kibel
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    Freckle

    This post is about providing people with information about Florida. Again I will stress I am not telling anyone to buy here I am simply saying that I believe there are opportunities.

    Now do I totally disagree with your above comments no. I do not need a simplistic lesson on why population may cause problems in the future.

    However this post is on Orlando Florida and even if what you say is 100% right it still does not mean that over the next 5 years there will be growth in this market.

    What I would suggest is if you want to have a discussion about the future start a separate post and I will happily join in. 

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    lol  Thanks Freckle I will move to the moon it should be safer than Earth

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    I have stated that people should look at the US markets and make up there own minds. If people wanted to follow your rubbish about the world coming to an end they would not do anything. Your only way of doing anything to to use insults. Frankly I do not care what you think. The fact that the market has fallen is true how does that prove that certain type of products will not recover?

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    Have to agree to disagree about what

    Have you ever been to America. What are you basing your opinion on?

    How many people can you find who I have burned?

    Unlike a lot of people who deal in this market, I have been there and have a partner on the ground.

    Finally Joe I am not asking anyone to take my word on anything. I am just saying that this is a market that is worth looking at nothing more nothing less

    There are also great opportunities in Australia. People who have lost money investing in America and Australia for that matter have done so because they do no research. All I have done is posted information and suggested that people should look at the market for themselves.

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    Joe  We are buyers agents we buy property for people and teach them how to do it. I do not burn anyone. I teach people to do there own research.

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    Joe  I could say the same about you and freckle. I never see you say anything positive you just talk crap.

    We post information. As I keep saying we deal in this market and suggest that people have a look a decide for themselves. What do you do Joe

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    If a market has fallen as did the entire US economy there will be a recovery. It is a matter a looking at safer assets. Frankly Joe you keep accusing me of spruiking. All I am doing is looking at the market to see what it is doing. There are always opportunities. At the worst part of the market there were some great buys. I do not think that bargain basement properties are there anymore. However with finance coming back it is a matter of looking at more solid investments

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    Ok I dont know how to respond to this

    I guess if the world is coming to an end then there is not much we can do about it

    However to suggest that the fall has not happened yet is nonsense. If a markets falls you have to look at the reasons. No one is arguing about the information that you have put up or the size of the falls. However markets recover

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    Firstly we are simply posting information

    We are not telling anyone to follow us blindly infact I have continually said you should go and see the market for yourself

    freckle said

    Rubbish!! Florida was smashed. It was one of the United States worst performing states of all. It is the least resilient of all. And when the next correction comes along it will do exactly the same thing.

    No one has ever said that the market was not badly effected by the GFC.  It is a matter of understanding why this happened. The lending policy in Florida was very silly. This is where we saw 100% loans where if you had a pulse beat you got the loan. The end result was that sales on property far exceeded there real value so that when the finance markets collapsed in the market fall a lot further than it should have.

    Now it is not unusual if we look at the Australian market after the GST and see the level of stimulus that was applied to the first home buyers market the market became artificial if you suddenly say we will give you $32000 for a new house guess what demand is increased and up go the prices. When the stimulus came off the market fall as demand stopped. 

    This was no different in Florida. If we look at a market like Texas you still need a 20% deposit to buy and as such the market remained steady and did not fall

    The reason I have mentioned show that the economy is increasing and the assets that I suggest investors should look at are not the bottom of the market but rather commercial assets.

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    I do much the same thing with Property Development.

    It because apparent to me that trying to build a couple of units does not really work, because generally the land value is low. What this means is that other small investors and builders will push up the prices on smaller developments. However when you buy land where the value is say 1-3 million it creates better value. We do this by creating a group who buy the land and we can then borrow against it to create a much larger and more profitable project.

    It is about thinking outside the square

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    I have to agree with Marks comments. Only deal with companies that deal direct with the owners. At least that way you know exactly what you are getting.

    It has been my experience that so called wholesalers rarely provide good deals.

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    Personally I have never liked section 8 tenants because they are Federal they are very pro tenant. Frankly the rental market is strong you don't need section 8 houses. Frankly because finance is now available you should look at better quality property. That's why I like apartment complexes they offer a good return and I think that you will get capital growth as the economy recovers.

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    Thats because Wells Fargo have had more accounts shut down than anyone else. If you have opened an account through a secondary person there is a good chance your account will be closed down.

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    The market place is full of companies like this. Generally what they do is only sell off the plan and or new property because they are making more than $30,000 commission per property.

    If you deal with companies like this do not be pressured into making instant decisions. There is always huge pressure for you to sign on the spot, because they know if most people go away and think about it they would not buy the property.

    If you like a property then go on line and look at what other similar properties are being sold for.

    Also consider paying for a full bank valuation. The price of paying $300-$500 is nothing compared to buying a property that turns out to be $50,000 to $100,000.

    It is always important to do your own due diligence, If you are lazy and don't do that then don't complain if later you find out that you have overpaid for the property.

    Remember measure twice cut once.

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    How is it drivel

    He is listing what he does it should tell you what his experience is. He has printed information on the fact that china is buying a lot of real estate. They are doing this by the plane load.

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    Freckle that is not entirely correct , what Steve has said is that the days of finding bargains in Florida have gone. The reason is that market conditions have improved. Now if we go back and compare two States Florida and Texas. As you would know most lending policies in the United States are determined by the states not the federal government. So before the GFC in Texas to buy a house in most cases you still needed a 20% deposit plus if you run 3 monies behind in your mortgage your home is foreclosed and auctioned on the court house steps.

    In Florida the opposite happened the market was very speculative and prices went through the roof. At the height of the market condos were selling at $300,000 which are today $75,000 that were only ever worth $150,000. In 2008 it was possible to get properties like this for as low as $40,000. In fact one of my mentoring students brought a property in early 2009 for $46,000 that had previously been sold for $380,000. But it is far less common today because the market is slowly improving.

    Now here is the thing. If you look at returns on apartment complexes in Texas and look at the same type of properties in Florida the cap rate returns in Florida can be a lot higher. So as much as I love Texas I also see that given the occupancy rates are running at around 95% in both states I can only put the differences in prices to reflect the fact that during the GFC prices in Texas overall held up well compared to Florida where prices at least on paper fell by as much as 50%. Now the apartment complexes did not fall by those sort of rates however to me it seems logical that there may be a room for prices to improve in apartment complexes over the next few years.

    In terms of commercial deals I guess that depends on the deal. I personally prefer apartment complexes however if you were buying a supermarket I would have thought that would still be a safe bet.

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    I would also be keen to hear Steve McKnights views on this given that he is also involved in a big way in the Florida market. How does he feel about The Freckles continual negative comments about the Florida market

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    Hi rob

    Thank you for at least posting what is going on. It would appear that Freckle has nothing better to do with his time but to post rubbish. You seem to resort to people intelligence. Well I am sure that no one is as intelligent as you. In fact why do we even bother posting anything, I think that you should be the only person to post since clearly you understand the world wide markets so much better than anyone else on the forum

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    The question should be are single family homes the right sort of properties to be buying at present.

    Personally I prefer apartment complexes. Firstly if you own a 5 or 10 or 59 unit complex your risk is less, if a property becomes vacant it does not destroy your cash flow. Secondly you can currently achieve 60% bank finance on this type of property at rates around 5%

    Finally these type of investments apart from showing returns over 10-15% also provide a strong chance for capital growth

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    Well done. At the end of the day a few sleepless nights are nothing compared to the gift of being a parent

    Just dont blink my daughter is now 13 and my son nearly 11 and it is my most important role

    enjoy the experience

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