In uncertain times like this I'd say property all the way…
The property investor sector could be decimated given that the vast majority are leveraged to the gills. A 20% move in property could push 60% or more into negative equity.
A property correction accompanied by a AU$ fall would see a massive rise in inflation. RBA would have little option but to raise interest rates.
Double wammy..
Hey Freckle, I don't quite get it. A fall in the AUD would increase import prices and so be inflationary (whammy), but a drop in the property market is deflationary. A whammy for sure but not inflationary. Am I missing something?
WE have the lowest interest rates around for yonks, the Fed buying $40 odd billion in RMBS every month, a juiced up economy and builders cutting every corner in the book along with lenders.
Sounds like a recipe for another property disaster.
Absolutely.
Funny though as the article above points to a disparity between new builds and existing property. At least for the moment. The excess will spill into other markets in time.
I guess the observation is that the banks have finally started to lend out the stimulus money they were given. They had been holding it in reserve (and getting a spread on it for NOT lending it out) at the fed. Got too tempting it seems.
How about an option for adding yearly expenses on each portfolio (i.e accounting and structure upkeep) in the portfolio summary page.
Currently if you wanted to add these on you would need to put these cost into one of the properties in the portfolio and when examining the property separately you may get falsely lower results.
another possible add on in future updates would be,
An option to split the deposit by a percentage or amount between cash, loan & equity rather than jst a choice of the three. for example, 20K deposit, of which 10k is cash and 10k equity.
Wow a 50% profit share. I guess that would be for large land parcels with phased building or some other incentive like high land value.
Both of those situations would make for a higher profit ratio on the cost of building – land holding costs so I guess a higher % would be completely reasonable.
Interesting to note rents in Dysart are dropping all the time, now as low as $400 per week to get people in and as low as $450 for a 3 bed in Moranbah. I get the impression the glory days are over for a while.
Also, I have been informed that a new housing estate is due to open up (i think in Dysart or close by) exclusive for one of the mining companies. This is sure to drop demand again. I may be mistaken but I believe it is a community estate rather than a single miners barracks.
With a market of about 100 available rental listings in Moranbah & Dysart and ever dropping asking prices it is interesting to see ho this will go at least in the short term.
'Biggest issue these days is finding a first mortgage lender that will knowingly allow the deposit funds to be borrowed.'
Thanks for the responses guys. I thought the above might be the case. I can see some tasty advantages for the vendor to get them eager to do the deal.
Hmmm, assume I had the cash reserves (about the same as or more than the 20% deposit) do you think this would encourage the bank to to be more relaxed about the 2nd lender or have a negligible effect?
Really need to go see broker or lender huh so many questions !