Forum Replies Created
- crashy wrote:we are full time renovators & have decided to pull out & wait till prices fall at least 20%
its just not worth the risk right now.
when the fit hits the shan, it doesnt matter what you drop your ask price to, if theres no buyers, it doesnt sell.
Thanks crashy – exactly the feedback I was after – opposite to what I was hoping but – important none the less .
This one is an important stepping stone for me – I could go full time from there like you and setup my new place on a great footing too – bugar .
If left holding baby though, opposite result altogether unfortunately .
Are there any safe projects between now and Christmas , silly question I spose !
Another option could be if got stuck with it – rent it out – if it does – and use the equity against my new place – if things don't dump and it still actually ends up with the equity that is – another loaded impossible question I guess .
CheersPS
The other option is quick paint up right now and onto market for Spring summer – could do so much more with them though and make much better money if finished the job so would be a shame but that will take a few more mths ?
Get the feeling though maybe better getting out while the gettins good !Cheers
Mister wrote:Hi guys
I'm hoping to get two more renos on market by December 'ish .
Both Vic rural towns but have done well and still seem to be selling – slowing but moving.
There's plenty of lee-way in my sell price but I will need to turn them over so as to put towards my new place early next year.Just supposing the US does totally implode in the meantime which is highly possible – sorry but I don't think we've seen anything yet , but will that be enough to stop our market dead in it's tracks then and there or will it all take 6 – 12 mths I'm wondering ?
Can't afford to get stuck with these baby's.
Abit worried that even a price dump won't sell the properties should things turn mean !
What do ya reckon ?Cheers
blogs wrote:ummester wrote:Mister wrote:I can guarantee you one thing – I can spell wrog !I am not a nasty person – honestly…. but that is frakin' hilarious!!!
Wow you must be easily ammused? In that case what I have just posted will have you wetting your pants…..
Oh Bloged – get some rest man get some rest .
Cheers
ummester wrote:Mister wrote:Here's a strange one.Cheers
A cynic would answer – to grab some more customers before they put up interest rates again.
An optimist would answer – because he is trying to save the market.
Why thank you ummester .
Nice to hear someone doesn't mind lowering themselves to give an opinion to the likes of me , I'm not very bright youknow ! .
I don't believe not doing so would be ' wrog ' exactly but , woops.Cheers
blogs wrote:Mister wrote:Mister wrote:Here's a strange one.Why is the ANZ boss – might have been NAB , I mean who listens to banks but – predicting the mother of all booms coming right now in a report yesterday ?
Especially considering they are suppose to be resetting fixed rates in a few wks time !Cheers
Ahh , cheers
Mister there are so many things wrog with what you have said I dont know where to start. Not very bright are you….
Actually Bloggs , or whatever you call yourself , 125 and very good passes in everything I have ever taken on beg to differ on that one .
I may not bother to word myself in some poppas manner trying to impress faceless people but does that impress you , who the hell are you anyway . I can guarantee you one thing – I can spell wrog !
Funny thing about just who is bright in the world and who is not .
Like the two million dollar 2 year study they have just completed to conclude what – oh that's right . Old growth big trees use allot more air and so clean much better than regrowth so we better stop cutting them down.
The state of the country – in depth is just as obvious yet the very people we count on to bring us the real situation are even blinder than that and the money people seem to have even bigger blinkers on .OK simple terms .
Are you one of the geniuses that believe Howard created and left us with a good and strong economy and a healthy country?. You will be because people think this year – last year or next year is an economy – they don't think about 20 yrs or 50 or the 10 yrs of neglect or where creating one thing may lead us for years to come , just like trees !
To answer that one we do need to actually think about just where it actually leads the country .
And some of the biggest minds in the country can't see that one even yet .
It runs a little bit deeper than the two million you made last year or the private health insurance that gets you your heart surgery.Have a nice day genius
Mister wrote:Here's a strange one.Why is the ANZ boss – might have been NAB , I mean who listens to banks but – predicting the mother of all booms coming right now in a report yesterday ?
Especially considering they are suppose to be resetting fixed rates in a few wks time !Cheers
Another thing , actually two that I don't get.
They're saying our migrant influx is more than it's ever been and that's causing the squeeze on housing demand and driving prices up . Well I will ad that investor lerks and perks that Howard created are also obviously taking up more houses than usual adding the amount of property investing guru influx and TV shows .
So call me slow but – wouldn't one assume you should stop the intake for a year or two and let the balance get back into thing's and remove the investor perks to give us the extra 20 or 30% in housing that we apparently need . How frk'n easy is that.The second thing is here we are on the news last night ohrrr grocery prices this and that , there's nothing the Gov can do.
What a load of BS , Howard allowed a monopoly in our super market ownership that is the only real reason on the planet we pay close double what countries like US pay for food and everything else – and we don't even complain about it .
So why is it Rudd can't just reverse that monopoly , which I believe he is actually quietly doing , I should hope so. Tell you what , allow some competition and you just watch grocery prices 1/2 or close and how easy is that , same with fuel , they pay $1.50 a gall in Burma but in the lucky country we pay 6-$7 for that same gallon . My winge is -. What the !!!!!
Coles reckons it will cost the 20,000,000 to incorperate the new price watch thing – isn't it funny how the other guys did it for free and didn't even complain and still offer the cheapest groceries in the country .Ahh , cheers
Here's a strange one.
Why is the ANZ boss – might have been NAB , I mean who listens to banks but – predicting the mother of all booms coming right now in a report yesterday ?
Especially considering they are suppose to be resetting fixed rates in a few wks time !Cheers
Thanks for going to all that trouble scamp.
I've said for years these house prices and our cost of living are unhealthy but when people push me on it I find it hard to actually explain just why but you know it is and can't go on .
As someone said here earlier though , who says house prices have to be 3 or 4 x the av wage ? Well, the economy and everyday people can't sustain with it consistently much higher than that i would have thought that's all .
But considering what you are saying is actually unfolding every night on the news here now – there you have it .
There's been 6 or 7 major companies in trouble or shutting up shop completely just this week alone , humm.
Asdf – they say those luxury highly priced joints will be the first ones to tumble so you might just get your hands on one yet !
We are renting now as we sold our last place and holding off . There's been 3 I've been eyeing off alone that have dropped 30% been on market 2 yrs and still haven't sold . So we figure we've paid our mortgage down 30% in just 7 mths by doing nothing already . I hope to hold out for at least late this year but the renting is really giving me the sh'ts .
I wasn't sure even with some of those though , if my theory was right and would pay as there have been others that have sold even in the last few weeks for outrageous prices , sometimes people are just forking it out seems no questions asked so will have to hope for best.
They also say coastal holiday areas will cop it worst , which is where I am and waiting on . Not suure why though , maybe people needing to dump that holiday house is the theory . Well I'm waiting people – feel free to begin dumping now !
Aaah this is depressing , I'm going back to la la land.Cheers.
PS. Scamp , , stock market . I read my 10 best market reports everyday day and no one still really seems to have a clue in the end .. When are you suggesting will be the exacto monto time to sell up ?
And gold – I am a bit funny about – don't forget gold did dump and then did nothing for a long time . not sure !Hang on , missed that 30,000 per mth reset thing – is this fact , do we have the report . That in no uncertain terms would be a very serious situation .
There are lots of money people here how is it no one has brought this up ?
Wouldn't the banks realize they'd only be cutting their own throats and space it out more sensibly ?So is this the straw your talking about with the stock market too or is there more ?
Cheers – I think !
Hi Scamp.
Now I don't wanna be any more of a downer than what I have sounded already and that wasn't my intension . I actually believe that people will be able to set themselves up for life with property again , if they wait 18mths or more myself , I'm waiting for then to buy my daughters house . She's 7 that one so the way I see it she'll have good income from it by the the time she goes to Uni and 5 yrs after that there'll be the mother of all booms and she'll be a millionaire at 25 .But this September stuff – stocks – gold , where are you coming from on it , want to go into it a bit more .
I can't decide if the next few mths will be the best bargain buying in 20 yrs or to stay the hell out .
Gold , dunno . now that oils down gold should recover but I'm still funny about gold !
And with your Austarlia will be hit worst , you talking in what areas just property or in what ways other . Jjust wondering the why's of the analysis from someone viewing from the outside .Cheers
What about the BHP boss . Only 45 and running that place , pretty amazing really .
Is that guy sharp or what , one of these rare people where it wouldn't matter if he was standing on his head , the intelligence , the strategy all over that guy is just staring you in the face !
If I could have one thing changed I'd order a super brain !Cheers
longterminvestor wrote:ScampThank god someone knows something about investing.
I agree with you entirely, being a professional investor myself.
Unfortunately, as people have short term memories, people buy investments based on emotion on what has been doing well. This means they are buying high.
All investors should know the basic principal of investing : buy low / sell high. or, do not buy high / do not sell low.
Prices are only low either after they have fallen in price a lot or after many years of not going up in price. Prices are high after they have gone up rapidly over a relatively short period of time due to economic bliss.
Buying property in 1998 to 2000 was a great idea as the price did nothing for 10 years. You could buy a house for less than you could rent one. Interest rates were very, very low.
Now the opposite has happenned.
Interest rates have gone up, speculators have driven up the price of houses, individuals have taken on way too much debt in the belief property prices cannot fall. The economy is slowing, the unemployment rate will start to go up, people will start to lose some jobs.
Bang
The house of cards will fall big time. When property prices crash, people with debt lose everything.
No one has been listening to the warning to Australia from the IMF (International Monetary Fund) that Australian Property prices are 40% overvalued. They did not listen to the warning in the US either.Investors – do your research – but do not get advice from property developers, banks or real estate agents – get it from economists and asset allocators.
It is a no brainer . We are 40% over at least – even the aver wage verses repayments prove that. But at the end of the day, my brother pays 82 for a house in Brissy 5 yrs ago and now it's supposedly worth 520 .
Um I'm no maths wiz but couldn't we safely assume 100% p/yr for 4 or 5 yrs running is slightly over doing it .I know that can happen anytime in a lucky strike but not when the whole countries been on the biggest rampage since sliced bread as well.
Call me slow but them apples just don't add up.
Then there's the whole world scenario going on directly following so .yarpos wrote:Hi Mister
You paint a fairly bleak picture. Where do you think its substantially better than here? we live in a western commercially oriented democracy, so greed or the profit motive is a big part of that.
Re your question yes I want my kids to have a life and my 20 somethings are buying homes and getting on with life in their own way (one with my help and one without). Really I dont think things are that bad but I have always expected to be self sufficient and I am not affected by the wrongs of the capitalist system…….as long as they dont make it compulsory for me.
Sorry about that I don't like bleak either but I just feel it's crucial the whole place gets a wake up call because if you check things out compared , you see we are constantly ripped off , way over taxed , way over everything but house prices I mean 8-9 and 10x the aver' wage it's just no good .
My kids are 3 and 4 so looking 20yrs time and their kids and theirs's , so I'm thinking ahead as now is bad enough so could you imagine ?Owell
Personally I feel land with somem on it can't be beat compared land only , stats show same but – try telling that to multi millionaire farmers around now I guess. I know two myself .
But something on it does make more sense as rent pays for it , you pay nothing if you buy right and hold it for free – forever . Probably start making money out of it plus growth. But land only you have to pay for it and hope it grows too . Fell for that one with my first place – costed me 30k in repayments for 3 yrs .
Food for thought
CheersActually I reckon 40 % if you can , with a min' 100% plus earning potential or in future equity that way if it really hits the fan it will still be good for costs plus 30 or 40 and hopefully the old butt is covered . I have one on the boil now , still nervous though !.
Cheers
yarpos wrote:bias is shown here in both directions, +ve and -ve, there are some here that preach gloom and doom and seem to rejoice in that and the pain of others…….like the "enjoy" comment when posting a -ve article. Its easy to do a search on posts by individuals, when you do that its fairly easy to see who is trying to help others and who is trolling or just pumping up their own tyres. The desparate need to feel superior displayed sometimes gets to some people and they bite, others just let it go.Hey Yorpos.
There are angle myself , I've been saying she's gonna dump for 2yrs but my reasons are greed in Australia now. It's ruining the country for us , our children.
Do you want your kids to be able to buy a house , their kids and theirs – afford food , schooling , cars , live fairly , well actually I want to have one waiting for mine but that's not the point .
Australia is very unhealthy and unsustainable right now for the longer term , for the good of the country and our families . It's become ridiculously expensive on every angle and sector . It's no good for anyone and the costs and greed in everything is really starting to make me sick to be honest .
There's no scruples anywhere here anymore it's just about money and how much some A/H can bleed out of you .
Not a good look or a healthy one long term .
Even this bank stuff , what a joke , poor thing only making 3 billion instead of 4 this year – I'm sad for them. What the hell difference does it make they'll only put up fees, charges and rates and bleed it out of us anyway and the country will let them.
We have the dearest banking sector in the world to I believe !
If and when things dump I'll cop it myself – it has to be done.
CheersI've tried to track them down too .As someone said in US very common you don't even have to track but true to form – not good enough for Australia .
I did hear a few times too that ours don't even really go any cheaper anyway unless you get lucky or have contacts because again in true to form , here they prepare them all properly and stuff about . By the end of it you just have an ordinary action anyway especially with the investor competition here these days.
Forgot about it in the end , just shopping for bargains was easier.Cheers
Personally I don't think we'd need to be a rocket scientist on this one in Australia .
We have close to the dearest houses in the world for what you get, hell we have very close to the dearest everything in the world we get ripped off left right and center to be honest . Even interest rates.
I've been saying for two yrs now though our house prices are ridiculous and in no way justifiable , gotta be a serious correction to come it's the only way it can go I don't think we've seen anything yet .
But , I don't reckon all is lost . If you buy bargain stuff in good spots or in spots that are going to have something others aren't and that have 2 or 3 back up earning scenarios – extra land , room for more rentals – dividable – house able to be changed into duplex – an outer suburb people will need to jump on soon . Good if you can wait a year or two but if not look for 30% off or don't touch, forget the 10% stuff.
Actually I've only done three places but I have used all of the above for everything I look at and it really pays, now more than ever but – me too bit nervous these days.
Cheers