Forum Replies Created
Okay, eeshole, why not?
Email me.
cheers-
MiniNZ Versus Aus.
typical ROI we are buying in NZ is 10 percent + depending on the town. We will ‘stoop’ to 9.5+ for the right deal in the right town.
I recently purchased a 15.6 ‘with problems’ but then again I love problems, because as my Master taught me, aka steve, problem + solution = profit!
however we are able to find 10 percent deals without too many problems at all and an upside to boot.
NZ has many negatively geared investments too which can still be excellent buying, In fact I bought one in October which has doubled in value since then with more to come.
I think there is still considerable gains to be made, just like Australia kind of ground to a halt but Queensland zoomed ahead, NZ has the same kind of thing with some areas and types of investments slowing down or going backwards (expensive properties, 800k plus beachfront bare land, brand new apartments in Auckland) and some properties still zooming ahead (undervalued towns with high yields and ‘something happening’ in the area.)
“Is there any more upside/growth potential for N.Z in general (esp. Invercargill) in the next few years?”
Haha, well I never really vibed Invercargill and certainly wouldn’t buy there now, it seems overvalued in my opinion rather than undervalued which is what I try to buy, but Westan who knows about a thousand times more about the town than I do, and is a much bigger investor than me, always vibed it. I am not sure if he would tell you to buy there now though, partly cause he is doing the US now.
>Why wouldn’t you consider Oz?
Lack of CF+ve properties. So people seem to say judging from the amount of ‘where are the CF+ve properties’ posts.
I wouldn’t buy (personally) a negatively geared property at this point in the market and as far as ‘add value’ techniques you can do them anywhere, and NZ is much easier because I know the market so well and costs are cheaper (generalising) and things are easier (generalising) -talking councils, etc>Are there any other advantages besides stamp >duty and superior CF?
Yes at least 50 (more about that soon!)
One of the biggest is that *in certain circumstances* there is no CGT in NZ when you sell.
Well Westan good point, and actually I admit I have never invested in Tokoroa or Invercargill to be quite honest, but I may as well have because where I was investing in ‘town name irrelevant’, people said exactly the same things about.
Also, my business partners and compadres all have properties in Tok and I monitor all the deals we have found clients there of course. Going back at least a year or more. When I first started investing there were CF+ve all over NZ of course and though Tokoroa was very much on my radar I got side-tracked more into a couple of different areas and you know what it’s like, once you have a great team in place where you start buying, you tend to want to grab a couple more, so that’s what I did and never ended up going back to Tok.
Also you know it’s as much about the team after purchase as it is the purchase itself.However my first business partner went over to Tok and sussed it out and vibed it, over many other towns actually. He got us about 5 great deals there which is where it all started. I was in there before AD or even Steve and Dave went there, and before that ‘stamp of approval’ people back then were saying about Tok what they’re saying about it now. And look what happened to those who bought then. Magic. So perhaps people will always be down on the town. Who knows.
The only difference really between then and now is that then prices were lower and yields were higher. So it was at a different part of the cycle. I have the feeling that over the next few years, rents will gradually rise and perhaps in another 4 years you will be getting the 15 percents again. Actually not just a feeling, it’s knowing some stats on Tok as far back as 1991 and typically what happens anyway.
Now as far as deals right now in Tok. I would like 11.5 and a deent house in a decent street, 12 or more if the house was inferior. This is all we’ll offer, but this is harder and harder to ‘win’ in the current market with multiple offers coming in for each deal, and people offering more than us. So all I can comment on is the yields I’d buy on in Tok right now, but am not finding. A couple of weeks prior to the Aussies coming (steve’s group) we found our last great deals in Tok. Once the Aussies arrived prices rose overnight, surprise surprise, so no, we haven’t bought anything there since and aren’t for the time being, basically cause the yields are down and the prices are high. though always watching out of course – and of course we are also selling too this week (because we can -!) at a premium.
We are even selling properties we only bought recently intending to hold as rental properties.I don’t think that it is so much ‘dumb’ or ‘smart’ to sell, or ‘dumb’ or ‘smart’ to buy, in Tok or anywhere, it just depends on your investment – the deal. I know a lot of people would let’s say SELL a house that needs a bit of maintenance etc but has a good long term tenant in a good street, they think ‘hey I made x YZ capital gains and I didn’t have to bother with the maintenance, too easy.’. And that person would be ‘SMART’. However the next person comes along (same house) and says ‘wow here is a great house that needs a bit spent on it, but has a long term tenant and I can buy it on an 11.5 percent return, and then tidy it up and sell it at a 10 percent return, or do the work and raise the rent if and when my tenant moves out. It’s a little cheaper than it should be because of the condition but it’s in a great street and my rental manager says ‘thumbs up, a really popular street’. then you get a valuation and you find out you made a few k on that too, Then that person is ‘SMART’ too. But it’s the same house!
And if a house in Herne Bay Auckland that you lived in all your life and you are now retired and can sell for 750k can turn that into 10 decent houses in Tok, freehold, one for you to live in, and 9 as income giving you $900 a week to live on after costs, then that person is SMART too.
But it is a bit hard to buy smart when there is so much competition such as there is right now.
So we are just waiting for a couple more weeks to see what happens there.Also re vacancy check with a rental manager what is vacant and why it is vacant, there will be a very good reason, in fact (I don’t need to tell you this westan it is for everyone else’s benefit) there is a certain type of property that is vacant which we don’t buy and certain streets and houses in bad condition – that are vacant. Basically the same story as any other town, even Sydney. Even Paddington Blue chip Sydney suburb – price it too high, and it won’t rent! Yes there are certain places in NZ where rental demand is so strong that you will get a tenant no matter how rough your house is, tenants will put up with it because there is not a lot of choice.
But as anywhere, you make your house competitive either in the location or structure, decor, or pricing, and you will get a tenant. And don’t buy the sort that there is a vacant glut of obviously. Hope this made sense.
cheers-
MiniOh thank you Marc
Very sweet of youfor tinabell. torachan please see my previous post on the page before!
hi Tinabell
> How do we generate positive cashflow?
You have described a negatively geared portfolio which is now ‘maxing you out’.> a) Increase rent and do up houses
yes – this is a perfect way to increase equity and income. however in the short term it is
worse because of course you can’t do up while it is tenanted, you have to fund the renovations somehow,
and so on.> b) Do some house flips and pay off our mortgages
yes, you could sell one, and perhaps re-buy a cheaper one you can do up, if none of your
properties have room to improve.
This might actually buy you time/repayments/cash to do a renovation. Also I don’t mean ‘do’ the renovation
yourself unless you have a lot of time spare and are keen to DIY, I mean, get more in value back than what you spend on
tradies doing the work.> c) Reduce our mortgage repayments to the bank by paying interest only (or
> another way that I don’t yet know of)I am interest only for the first year and then P and I after that. best of both worlds perhaps
> If we do raise our rent we will only be profiting approx $13 per week per
> house!(based on paying ‘principle plus interest’)well, at least that’s a start
> How are you supposed to make a decent income through real estate?
By using leverage and different techniques to add value (particularly when the market is flat. of course in
a boom you can twiddle your thumbs and the property will go up in value.)> Our aim is obviously to replace our income and ensure that we are making a
> steady and regular profit NOW from our properties and also draw from the
> equity to continue buying more properties – not just have the rentals pay the
> mortgage and see the profits when we reach 65Yes exactly, but patience, a few years, and all will be revealed!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
> a) Reduce debt and sell some houses
just selling one, it’s not a bad thing, I just did that, in order to carry on and buy more properties, actually,
not to go backwards> b) Increase our income
> What is the solution here – House flips???Flips are a specialist thing and if that’s your thing then sure, study it in depth and know the downside (no buyer, and you have to
settle the property)> The other issue I have is if wise investors DON’T pay off their mortgages how
> do they sleep at night wandering if the unthinkable happens how they are going
> to meet their mortgage repayments –My portfolio is very much CF+ve, the last property I bought every time I have to pay $340 in mortgage repayments I get
$720 in rents. So I have only ever bought this sort of property (high yield).
I think everyone that negative gears and is maxed out and on the edge is basically singing the same song as you right now.cheers-
MiniTorachan,
email me if you would like to be the proud owner of your first CF+ve property within three months. No charge, just because. I like a challenge. I see you trying to do something but you are self-combusting to the point where it hurts too much – both you and others here.
God Bless our parents and grandparents but they are not necessarily the best teachers of investing.
“The bank owns you.”
This is an unusual paradigm, a kind of mis-percieved reality warp!
Ok, I think you are confusing YOU with ‘the security’. The bank own a portion of an ASSET which you control. They don’t own YOU.
You, as a sovereign human being, a living breathing soul, a creative force, a saver of lives and family and community member, are not “the BRICKS and STICKS sitting at 14a pleasant st, sometown” (the security).
“methinks you have 6 giant millstones around your neck. “
If negatively geared properties that may go down in value, perhaps! But there are other sorts of investments. look once you get to 6 properties basically you’ve got it, and anything that happens just isn’t going to wipe you out, those people are fine.
So yeah fear of debt and loss of control perhaps. If you don’t use any leverage (banks, loans or joint ventures) then yes the asset is your own, but you will need to save up 100 percent to purchase. how long will this take you?
However you may be able to buy an income-producing asset for 5 or ten percent down.
Or, if NZ, 20 percent down, but the entry prices are much lower, and the yields are much higher, so it will break even for you with a surplus.
Anyway let’s say you have 10k and you buy 100k and it goes up 10 percent you just made your 10k back. 100 percent return. But if you bought in cash you only made a ten percent return. So therefore all other things being equal (and that is just a simple example) you can go ten times faster if you apply leverage.
This is what the person with 6 properties knows and the person who has zero properties does not know. Unless the person with zero properties can get their head around it being OK to be in debt then they will stay there at zero properties, until they can save 100 percent, which might be never. Read rich dad poor dad as it explains ‘good debt’ and ‘bad debt’ and why what our parents and grandparents did worked for them but will not work for us.
cheer-
Mini“Jenny at Lambertons a call she is good to deal with and won’t sell you a dud”
*red flag!!!!!*
Crikey, reading that is enough to nearly make me choke.An agent works for the seller
An agent is not a building inspector
An agent (even Jenny) does not have your best interests at heart, she has her best interests at heart first (making a sale). Her second-best interest is to the vendor of the property, and she is trying to get the best price for *them*. Just because an agent is a very good agent, one of the best, and a nice and lovely wonderful and attractive person to boot (couldn’t agree more), and probably now your ‘new best friend’ since she spoke to the 25 Steve-coached Aussie investors, which I bet you were one of, spawning a signing-frenzy to be followed by a frenzy of Aussie investors with ‘spare’ deals all signed up overpriced, and all trying to flog off their contracts through me at the last minute (all declined) – this frenzy followed by a ‘falling over on the deals we signed up in NZ’ frenzy -but I digress.
The atomic fallout of the queueing around the block signing up anything with a letterbox like chickens with your heads cut off thing is still going on. Okay…
Oh and just by the way *and just so you know* a *certain agent* was asking around the landlords who already owned properties in Tokoroa asking if they wanted to re-list their properties for sale (at a profit) in time for when the Aussies got there. Yep. ….you guessed it….
Much as we all love certain agents none of them (not even Jenny) a running a charity which tries to help Aussie investors buy good deals sight unseen off the internet – they sell houses.
Out of all the properties listed for sale in any town at all that any agent is selling, a vast majority IS going to be a dud even if the agent says otherwise. Are they the investor or are you? If you rely on a real estate agent to make an investment decision for you, you are as much of a mug as ‘the legend’ of an offshore investor who went over to NZ for the first time and signed up 72 properties ‘leveraging their time’ by using the agent to due diligence for them, and it was not pretty when a lot of them fell over and made the papers, not nice etc etc.
As buyers agents we are still in damage control in some areas by others before us with shoddy due diligence processes all too willing to blame ‘the agent’ who was never independent in the first place.
The fear factor is alive and kicking it seems.
My point is that we are discussing the town, and it’s not the town per se, there are good deals and bad deals in every town.“Sure the returns are great but beware of the
vacancy rates.”
couldn’t agree more, but if you look closer into it, “vacancy rates” vary with the condition of the property, the number of bedrooms, and the location, and the price you are trying to rent it for. If you don’t believe me, just put a call in to a rental manager and ask them what they have vacant, and why that is. They will tell you it’s because of one of the above factors. All factors you as an investor can mitigate against when you purchase, if you are smart. However I am not saying that everyone is smart. In fact most are stupid, pay too much, don’t do enough checks, and don’t know the market, and then wonder why it didn’t work for them. Then blame Tokoroa!!!“Small town,”
Size has nothing to do with it, Invercargill is way bigger and has more vacancy – I have invested in towns 1/10th of the size of Tokoroa with great success (24 percent CF and 106 percent CGs)
>one key dependant industry.
true, BUT less than 3 percent of the town work or worked in this industry at the mill – and bear in mind the last lay off of 500 jobs was way back in 2003 wasn’t it? And the town just kept on keeping on.
“No major or substantial new growth I am aware of.”
Ah, awareness is a funny thing isn’t it. I daresay the only time you thought about investing in Tokoroa as a concept was reading this thread, right?
The mother of all mills could be being built in Tok. If it’s not there, it will be in Auckland, however I think Auckland will prove to be too expensive, whereas Tok is all set up for it already with the space and the infrastructure and a resident trained workforce.
You may be closer to Tok than I am, so this should be even easier for you to find out – who’s moving into the area? and from what companies?, are they executives? what sort of property are they are looking for? Are they buying or renting? What is this doing to the market?
etc etc
“I hate to put you off but all I have heard of up here in Auckland is hard luck stories in Tokoroa.”
Yawn, heard it all before, and what a coincidence that you’re from Auckland AKA an ‘A. W.’ even (and I use the term lovingly)
“BUT may be if you buy at a discount”
correct
” and can sustain the great returns”
correct
” one can do well.”
correct
“I guess not all Aussies and Steve Mc Knight can all be wrong. Steve what is that you guys know that we at home don’t know. I would be very keen to hear.”
Steve has given his entire strategy away in books and seminars, and there is no magic trick that he has withheld, that I am aware of. Make of that what you will…
cheers-
miniHi there
I use and am very happy with my accountant in South Melbourne – email me if you want the details.Re ATO, yes indeed, I paid several thousands in tax mid last year and a few months later go a nasty demand for the amount I had paid plus interest. I called them, sorted it out, the problem was theirs of course, but luckily I also keep absolutely everything and was also able to send them the web receipts and evidence it had left my account 7 months previously and all was good.
Also my special technique is that the madder you are with government departments almost in inverse proportion how nice you should be. After all the person you speak to on the phone is not the ‘villian’ and they of course have to ‘speak to their supervisor’ to get it sorted, and I found that they were almost falling over themselves to bend over backwards for me (and other mixed metaphors) with almost *relief* that I wasn’t being the usual ‘this is a bloody cheek, I hate you’ that you just *know* they would get all day every day as par for the course.
Okay so on to the investment thing – yes bills going out faster than income coming in is a spending problem. Tax bills, I know that people do ‘spend’ money earmarked for tax and ‘use’ the money before it is due, however you need to be very disciplined to do this.
I think don’t do the cafe thing either just yet because as people have said business is a whole other kettle of fish. Consolidate first I would say.
If you are going to value and refinance your house, make sure the rent is at market, and make sure you have done any improvements you can prior to revaluing. Read Dolf de Roos’s 101 ways to add value to your property for some ideas. Who knows you may be able to squeeze an extra 10-15k out of the valuation if you did the right 1-5k things.
Westan and Del I think there are still good deals to be found all over NZ, even in Tok. In a town like Tokoroa what I would look for is a lower price and a high yielding property compared to the exact same sort of house in other larger towns, and agree with what Robot said for the other criteria. Basically this principal applies all over NZ.
Well, quite.
One’s rents should be at market. If they are too low, you’re a mug of a landlord. If they’re too high, you’re a mug of a landlord.Interest rates have nothing to do with the market rent, other than, if landlords collectively feel the pinch and with a sort of critical mass mexican wave all decide simultaneously (or through their rental managers) to put the rent up, thus the ‘market rent’ will increase and up yours goes with it.
In my experience buying properties it is the self managed by mom and pop ones that tend to be underlet, professional rental managers tend to (mostly, unless they are lazy) keep the rent bubbling ‘at market’.
well interesting question stargazer
“Being not as enlightened as the other person/s how does one recipricate to say thankyou i really appreciate your time and input.”
Well, I think to be a mentee is to offer an energy exchange of some sort. You may not be as enlightened in property, but you may be extremely enlightened at something else that you could help your mentor in. Who cares if it’s growing tomatoes or running errands, an offer of anything makes it an exchange and therefore your mentor will appreciate the thought even if it’s not taken up. And if not, still continue to offer to help anyway.
BB,
“do me a property deal.
I’m thinking about it.”Ok, email me and I’ll send you some stuff if you like – do you have broadband? You might need it…
“This would be a very dull website without your input.”
Awww! Shucks!
“There’s something different about you.”
Yeah, same with you, you’re not on my back like before…God works in mysterious ways…“I’m absolutely flat-out.Work work work”
tell me about it, I like to post on forums, but only if it’s fun.!“I can’t put my finger on it,but there is a difference with-in you.”
Yes things for me have definitely moved into high gear since I started buying cheap and dusty houses in NZ and improving them for rental, that’s for sure.Changed my entire future in one fell swoop.
“Flicked the boyfriend”-
oh, no way! We’ve actually just newly “re-negotiated our relationship contract” for another 9 years!“-found GOD-“
Oh, that’s old news, and God found me when I was a kid, and my grandmother used to schlepp me off to see Him once a week, and sing in the choir and stuff“escaped from Sydney”
I wish! UK tempts me, but not yet“back to NZ.”
As often as I can, but just for fun, friends, and family!“-getting old?????”
and still in denial“Take care.”
You too, and God Bless you!!!
No really! You have changed too…hey maaaan, peaceee maaan, and like we’re all like growing together, sort of like mouldy spores in a petri dish, a kinda sweet/gross analogy really
– a bit like lifeBj nailed it and chris is sorta right. But let’s simplify it further. There are only two types of properties, positive cashflow ones and ‘other’. Positive cashflow ones put money in your pocket after expenses. All properties that don’t are negatively geared. I agree that positively geared properties SHOULD be a synonym for positive cashflow, but too often it is used (incorrectly I reckon) to name a property which is negatively geared but saves you what you lost in tax so it appears to break even on paper. But this is still a negatively geared property, fair and square.
ausprop,
‘come back, all is forgiven’! OK, well I knew that you were much too smart to not get it.
So anyway yah offshore. Because my devlopment happens to be overseas AKA offshore, a structure in the country I am building in seems rather boringly ordinary rather than trickily ominous, and all the rest of that stuff was ‘for entertainment purposes only’.
I realise that the implication when one says ‘offshore’ is Uraguay, I don’t even know how to spell it, and NZ is deeply non-glamourous in comparison (though dead cute) so best not be starting a company in Uraguay eh.
So anyway, last thought is, everyone’s posts revealed how deeply and utterly you all tend to jump to conclusions, leaving me battling all the ass-u-m-ptions you all made rather than having fun forging ahead. Best to watch that in future, eh. And BTW all Kiwis say eh at the end of the sentence, eh.
Bruham,
wow, that’s one of the nicest things I have ever heard and especially coming from you, anyone who remembers what we used to get up to will appreciate that as I do.!
“spoken to other investors and have found that a big help”
exactly, and seminars give you access to the sorts of investors (Steve, Dave, Tony, Reno Kings etc) for an entire day that you wouldn’t necessrily have in real life ‘for free’ as part of your circle of friends, especially if just starting out and didn’t have any ‘real life’ friends into investing. Also being in a room full of investors for whom it was normal to have one, two, ten, 30 investment properties, was so fantastic especially looking around and just seeing a bunch of ‘normal’ people who you couldn’t tell by looking were property investors – they certainly were’nt a bling bling crowd. Yes for me, although I had spent probably a couple of grand at that point on books and audio products, the seminar bought it all home for me and helped me actually then start investing without a doubt.
now not everyone is that underconfident and some will just go out and do stuff, learn in the field (best way, ultimately – is just go and do deals) but it’s getting to the point where you trust yourself to go and *do* those deals. For some, books are enough and off they go. For others (me) books I read and understood, but somehow I still lacked the confidence not to make a mistake. through the seminar I actually met people who were ahead of me in the game and who I could call and email and bounce ideas off. I am not sure how i could have actually met these people in real life without going to a seminar where they were all in the same room.
it was for me a breath of fresh air to get out of the ‘world’ full of people telling me it’s risky, I could lose money, what about this that and the other, and be in a room of people who thought it was very much possible and were out there doing it. In fact as someone who had not yet invested I was very much in the minority in that room and I found that a very good feeling to be amongst people that were doing it and said ‘It’s OK! Just do it!’
it was a two day seminar I think, for around $900, I have also been to one day seminars for around $500, and I don’t find that a rip off price at all. It was well worth it and it was actually FUN to go! I went again too just for the fun of it and to catch up with some people – it is just good to reinforce, re-connect. I think seminars are a great service, if it’s not for you, then fine, go invest, but don’t discount the pleasant learning, social, and fun, memorable experiential nature of the seminar which although not as cheap as a $30 book, so much more memorable. and then when you re-read the books they will likely be in a much different light too.
cheers-
MiniI have a great idea for you though, it is a way you can maybe help your grandfather win/win!!!!!!
Lets say you paid for a valuation on the property. let’s say it is worth 200k. (no idea, just picking a number.)
Then you go to the bank. And get a line of credit on the property. Let’s say 30k. Don’t go nuts to begin with otherwise it will be too tempting.Your grandfather can draw down his weekly expenses (say he draws down 500 a week, that’s 26000. Now here’s where you come in, you pay the interest. So let’s say it’s 10 percent interest (might be less, but easier to calculate), then your grandfather could draw down say 40k over a year and a half or so and by then that would cost you, ah, say 4k a year. i.e. 76 bucks a week. But you wouldn’t be paying that much interest upfront I don’t think because I think you only pay interest as you draw it. Ask Simon or one of the resident forumite helpful brokers for a chat about it. So he gets $500 a week and it costs you $100 a week max for the first year or two. but it’s bought you time. it’s like a reverse mortgage (your grandfather’s other option) but i think this is a much better option. instead of the bank gradually eating his property, you gradually buy it. Now HOPEFULLY the property will also go up in value, even if slowly for a bit, and you will help your grandfather earn his debt back again in capital gains, plus you will be able to BUY TIME to think and plan if you want this property down the track. I figure this scheme should give you at least a couple of years or 5 to figure it out! let’s say he has 100 or 200 equity.
You like?
email me if you want, there’s more to it, but I am tired of typing
Hey – you know, does your grandfather live in the beach shack or could you rent it out? let’s say you could rent it out, your grandfather could make say 200 a week and still draw down the line of credit, 500 a week, and bank the rent right back in to the line of credit. perhaps this might even be self-perpetuating (CF+ve) on the interest, for quite a while, and by the time it was not (2 years until your grandfather is spending faster than the rent is coming in) then you can still carry on a few years by you chipping in the shortfall. perhaps the equity your grandfather had made would make up for things!
Now you need a good and ethical broker here to set this up not just the one who wants the bigger commission and will talk you in to a reverse mortgage.
fall in love with the deal, not the property.
Otherwise you’re not an investor, you’re a consumer.the ‘nice’-ness of a property has got nothing to do with how good an investment it is. In fact quite often I look for the most horrible disgusting property (for cheap of course!) and then sort it out. Amazing what a lick of paint can do, a new door handle here, a new tap there.
OK there is a degree of safety in beachfront properties, however: there is a town in NZ where sections went from 40k to 800k in about 5 years flat. and if something happens to the market that 800 could be 200 pretty fast. however the 60k houses 14 k away which are CF+ve, they have gone up as well, they will continue to go up because the value is there.
I just think that beach houses are emotional buyers not investors. and in any downturn there are less buyers around
hi guys,
“a lady who claims she is a guru who owns a princely total of EIGHT properties”
well, when she got to the third one she joined the 0.7 percent of investors who own three or more properties. and what is it, only 70 percent of Aussies own a property, the rest rent (or something) so based on that math, that lady knows something that most people – 99 percent of investors – don’t. And she knew it 5 properties ago, to boot. In fact she probably had the knowledge at property number three to know how she was going to get to eight.
If you do have eight properties, you wouldn’t need to see that lady, cause you’d know it, but if you didn’t, you might learn something. I was able to help loads of people starting from when I had only bought one, two, three! I don’t call myself a guru but people have called me a guru! So what if they were only joking!
(and I’m not that lady by the way!)
Marg Lomas only has 10, last I read, now is she a guru?
In NZ you can depreciate all properties, no matter how old or new. Another great reason to invest there, apart from no stamp duty, no cap gains tax, CF+ve, low entry, lots of legs in the market, strong economy, low unemployment, growing population, etc etc etc etc etc but I digress…
where were we…bwendan you missed the fact that CF+ve properties also borrow (“gear”) it’s just that they more than break even on all holding costs.
like I said positively geared properties are just negatively geared ones in denial, i.e. you may get a rax refund down the track, but still, you have to pay into them every week so they are negatively geared properties pretending they are not, basically! and will have (proportionately) exactly the same effect on your wealth as a negatively geared property, i.e. stay in your job, you’re gonna need it. and you better be banking on capital gains, because otherwise you just have a ‘loser’ property. no matter what the tax man tells you.
hey, if paper losses are all you need to feel rich, why not just give the money to charity, tax deductible, and claim it back as a tax ‘loss’? Then you will ‘get’ the same amount back in tax.
Now do you see the error of positive gearing in that it is misleading.
Yeah, i disagree with that, ‘hold’ is just an exit strategy and no less speculative or not as any other strategy.
I mean if you hold cash, you are ‘speculating’ that cash is still worth something tomorrow…
or else you’d buy gold, (speculating that it would go up) or property (ditto) or shares (ditto.) But the speculative nature of any investing is basically speculating on the future actions of humans – !
Even if I buy a ticket to LA and take 3 weeks annual leave and plan my holiday for May, I’m still speculating on actually going – because anything could happen between now and then. I could die, the airline could go bust, LA could disappear under the sea. but would anyone say I was ‘speculating’ or would they say, no, you are definitely going – your ticket is booked, confirmed and paid for, your leave is approved, you’re going to HOLLYWOOD!…so, hey, it’s all philosophy really, innit?