Forum Replies Created
Krusty,
My understanding is that you can get positive cash flow out of a negatively geared property, but obviously not the other way around.
ie. If you claim deductions based on a before tax loss then it is negative geared and you get tax $$ back from the government. If these tax $$ turn the cash flow positive, then you’re +ve CF from -ve gearing.
However, if you’re +ve geared then you’re making a profit before tax. You pay tax on this, but never enough to take the CF -ve. It just reduces your after tax profit.
In most instances people tend to use cash flow and gearing interchangeably, but there is a slight difference. I’d consider CF as the more critical component as it determines servicability and therefore your borrowing power and potential leverage. Gearing just helps with CF when you’re -ve geared.
My 2c,
Michael.Why not by shares in a listed property portfolio, then you’ve got both bases covered…
But if that’s not what you want to do, maybe you could lend me the money and I’ll give you a gauranteed return, no risk of 3.5% pa fixed for 10 years. That’s more than the yields on real estate at the moment and share dividends are in the same territory and I’ll gaurantee it. What more could you ask for? [biggrin]
Maybe whacking it in a fixed interest bearing account is the safe harbour of choice for the moment…
Cheers,
Michael.Rob,
Sarcasm completely wasted… I can see why you want to be a storm trooper when you grow up now too [biggrin]
Its all becoming clear… Bruhahargh <– demonic laugh.
Cheers,
Michael.Profiteer,
Snap! I put the concept of going money partner on a JV wrap to my wife to earn 20% pa returns and she balked. She reckoned it was a get-rich quick scheme and wouldn’t be in it. I’ve had to revert to the old buy-and-hold strategy to get us started. Maybe once we’ve got the trust in place and a few buy-and-holds I can revisit wrapping and other strategies that aren’t as common place.
Persistence is king, and temper that enthusiasm! I find I’m much more successful when I come across as cautious and dubious. If I come across as excited and enthusiastic then she, by necessity, adopts the cautious and dubious position so she can play devil’s advocate. If you lay claim to this position then I find your partner is more likely to come around to the positive point of view. I’m not messing with my wife’s emotions, just being careful how I approach certain discussions so as not to have a nasty fall-out situation.
Cheers,
Michael.Inez and Obiwan,
I like your style and tend to agree with both points of view. I’ve reached the same sobering conclusion that AussieRogue has, and that is that both shares and property are not looking like a good haven for my money right now. Rental yields have even dropped below share dividends and the median price is well above its long term trend.
I’m in to balance as Steven Covey and others advocate. So, I wouldn’t recommending ditching the job or education to risk it all in investments. I’m fortunate in that I have a Uni degree and have almost finished my MBA. I’m on a secure 6-figure salary with a global manufacturing company and love my work. At the same time I’m heavily in to investments and am not into wanton consumerism.
I just think that a good education and a good job are looking more and more like a great asset at the moment. My wife and I earn $200K a year on nothong down! Not many other asset categories can give you this. [biggrin]
Cheers,
Michael.Sal,
Hang on, there’s a long way to go yet. If you’re looking for real value then Steve Navra’s rental reality is a good start. Given current yields are so crap, you’ll be hard pushed to find a property that meets his criteria though.
Also, spotting the bottom won’t be too hard. The market moves slowly. I reckon a good 2-3 years yet before we get there, but hey I’m just another crystal ball gazer. I posted a question on SS about whether to buy on the slide or the turn, and there was a lot of good information posted in reply on just how easy it is to spot the turn if you’re watching for it.
This link posted in another thread here by WayneL is also a bit of an eye opener…
http://tradingforaliving.netfirms.com/real_house_prices.htm
It shows rental yields below stock dividends, and median prices well above their long term trend. The market will, by necessity, correct these imbalances. We could be in for quite a long flat period…
Cheers,
Michael.Wayne,
Thanks for that! And it shows house prices as flat from 1926 to 1946, only turning north after WWII. Its been a nice period in history with some pretty exciting advancements for humankind, but it is only a very small period of history when all is considered. To think that what we’ve lived through will continue indefinately does not consider enough of the macro factors I think. Even if it will continue, it still shows current house prices well above trend. The last time this happened we had a flat period for a decade or so.
It also shows rental yields having dropped below share dividends now. All the macro economic factors are indicating a prolonged period of house price flattening. Maybe up to a decade or so worst case.
There’s probably still opportunities out there but I wouldn’t bank on any CG in any of your IRR calcs before you buy. And, if you’re looking at rental yield only then its not such a good investment. The market, by necessity will need to right this imbalance before people start buying again. Its simple investment 101 stuff.
Cheers,
Michael.Skippygirl,
Great post! Makes me feel a hellavu lot better about my situation. At least my wife is in to the investment thing as well as not being a retail consumer. She’s just a “cautious investor” to temper my “gung-ho investor” style. She justs makes sure we do our due diligence in detail, that’s all.
Cheers,
Michael.Stephs right,
And the quick answer is No. I can’t see any benefit in cross-collaterizing loans. This just gives the lending institution more immediate options in clawing back in the event of default. Best to protect your assets from each other so you can decide which ones to divest in a worst case scenario.
Peter Spann has a whole chapter on this in his book and goes to lengths to explain how to avoid cross-collaterizing.
Cheers,
Michael.Steph,
Congratulations to you and Paul! Oh, and I promise I’m not stalking you on the forum. [biggrin] Its just, when you ride that “active topics” link and there’s not too many people on, you end up replying to the same people a fair bit for a while.
Anyway, my lovely wife Kay and I are celebrating our 1st anniversary next week too! I’m not sure what to do yet, any suggestions?
And does anyone know what the 1st anniversary present is supposed to be, is that one paper? I can’t remember them all…
I can feel a lot of Luuurrrve in the air!
Cheers,
Michael.Steph,
I’d think that if you wanted to develop the land at the back then you wouldn’t need detailed plans of the existing residence. You’d need a survey so that you could show the location of the residence on the block, but that’s about it. You’d need this for shadow diagrams and setbacks and the like, but unless you want to modify the existing residence then you shouldn’t need detailed plans of it.
If its architect designed then the architect should have a copy on file, and if its project/spec then maybe a set of standard plans could be sought from them anyway. Ours is architect designed and masterbuilt so we went back to the architect for modifications and he had the plans on file too.
Also, you’ll need to consider minimum lot sizes etc if you’re considering subdivision. We can’t subdivide our lot as its only 1500m2 (sounds big I know but a local council ruling says no smaller than 800m2 per block). We can however build a “Granny Mansion” if we so choose and are considering this for down the track.
Cheers,
Michael.I’ve got to agree with Wayne.
I agree that history is one of the best predictors of the future, but it is by no means gauranteed that property will continue the upward spiral that we have witnessed over the post war decades. That growth was triggered by the industrial revolution, followed by the IT revolution and funded by growing global economies and free trade. These fundamentals are by no means gauranteed to continue.
What happens now when the Baby Boomer generation that kicked all this growth off retires and dump their hefty property portfolios to fund consumption in their retirement?
What happens when we run out of fossil fuels and the grease of the industrial revolution dries up?
What happens when the world stops propping up the greenback and OPEC peg to the Euro?
What happens whem China dumps its greenbacks?
What about global warming, el nenio and the impact of massive environmental change and the hit this will deliver to global economies?
All in all, there are a lot of “not gauranteed” about the property market in Australia and globally. I’m not saying that a massive, previously unparalleled, correction is gauranteed to occur. Just that it is definately not completely off the cards given all the new aspects to the global economy that are in play today.
To think otherwise is to put your head in the sand…
Cheers,
Michael.Wow!
Funny this thread should popu up this morning when I was about to post exactly the same thing anyway!
I went home last night and told my wife how excited I was at the prospect of interest free loans under Derivex and started talking about the implications and numbers. Not only was she “not excited”, she downright tore my head off. In fact I had to take our dog for a walk just to give her time to cool off. When I came back she was OK, but still thinks its a “too good to be true scam”. She may be right, but I’ll wait for some other forumites to progress with it to prove me wrong.
At least she is in to investment properties and is willing to buy some. But, turning willingness into execution is kinda hard. She’s a lawyer and I’ve told her I want her to buy “Trust Magic” by gatherum-goss so she can setup the trust and learn about all of the implications around structure for us. She’s OK with the concept but hasn’t actually done it yet. I’ll leave it a few weeks then follow it up. Might have to buy the book for her myself.
I’ve got to say though, that my wife is inspirational! I don’t look at her negativity as a chain holding me back, more as the voice of reason to temper my enthusiasm. If not for her I might bight off more than I can chew and be worse off for doing so.
Between the two of us its a happy balance…
Cheers,
Michael.How about the small claims tribunal? Self represent and get it in front of an arbitrator…
Cheers,
Michael.Robert,
What sort of trouble you talking about? Can’t imagine what trouble you could get in based on advice given that I’ve seen…
That’s a bugger if you’ve turned off email and PM.
???
Michael.PS, I note the signature is gone too!
Sophie,
Welcome!
I’d think that word of mouth is pretty good for the investment clientelle. If you’ve got a good track record in sourcing superior IPs then the word will get out and people will come to you.
As you’re starting out you should probably look to take out an add in a paper or something similar. I think API magazine might be a bit rich. This forum here now knows what you’re up to so that’s a start.
The problem is that you are offering a service, and services are intangible so people look for a track record to determine how good a service it will be. So, it will be hard to credentialise yourself if you haven’t got a good story to tell like Glenda’s or others’.
Find a niche and start finding some really good opportunities, then put some tentacles out there to see who’s interested.
Also take a look at Somersoft’s forum too.
Cheers,
Michael.PS. Just realised that I answered your question and maybe not the question within the question. ie. how can I get some capital to get started in IP? Bird dogging isn’t the only way to build a little capital base, and it doesn’t take much to get started. Some deals are nothing down so talk to a mortgage broker if you’re interested in getting straight into it.
Gazza,
I’m with Terry on this one. But as always it comes down to how long you want to hold them for and what your plan is.
If you’re in it for the long term then you can ride out any short-term price fluctuations in the Sydney market. If you’re retiring in 5 years time then now might be the time to sell that fat asset CGT free and put it into income generating assets.
If its a long term play, then you really need to calculate the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) for both options factoring cash flow as well as likely capital gain.
Servicibility doesn’t sound like a problem, so maybe the IRR with the Sydney property held is better than the IRR on CF +ve properties after you pay tax.
e.g. $500K earning 3%pa CG is $15K pa tax free. 4 new properties returning $200 each is still only $800pw = $41,600pa. Take out tax at the top rate and your back to $22K odd, and then there’s 4 times the rates etc. not to mention purchasing costs and discharge costs and management cost… And 3% is very conservative when you’re thinking long term CG in Sydney. Of course the CF +ve might need to factor some CG in as well. But I reckon the Sydney property is likely to be 2-3% pa better than your CF +ve ones for CG.
Of course this is all just my opinion, but I’d hold it if I were you.
Cheers,
Michael.Simon,
Sell me some Derivex would you! I’ve got a mortgage with Gateway CU, std variable at 6.5% with no fees. I’ll check the contract for termination fees, but don’t think there is any.
Its only $180K and I’d have it payed out in under 3 years on principal payments so maybe Derivex doesn’t cut it for me.
But, hey, I’m hoping I’m wrong and you can score a commission.
PM me if you’d prefer…
Cheers,
Michael.Myydral,
Links no good, you sure that’s it?
Cheers,
Michael.Doh!
Yes, Derivex not Residex… Just getting my “…ex’s” mixed up.
I’ll wait and see if Simon spots this thread and pitches in.
Thanks,
Michael.