Forum Replies Created
Guys,
I posted an answer to this in another similar thread, but will do so briefly again here. My understanding is that they are fundamentally different and it isn’t just a question of semantics.
Once you realise that negative gearing (NG) can give you positive cash flow (PCF) then it all becomes clear…
Basically, negative gearing means that your on paper profit is negative because you’ve allowed for non-cash deductions such as depreciation. For this reason you can claim this “loss” with the government for tax relief. This is negative gearing.
Now, if that tax relief is sufficient then you can turn your on paper loss in to a positive cash flow outcome. Depreciation has no cash flow impact so once you get that nice tax cheque you might well be comfortably CFP from your NG property.
I’m a big advocate of negative gearing so that i can get some tax relief, but I like my properties to be neutral or cash flow positive. (Also, the sort of properties I like are more geared to capital gain as my primary IRR earner over CF so tend to be neutral on cash flow and often NG).
Hope that helps clear up the difference.
Cheers,
Michael.Giddo,
I have to agree with Shaztaz and say get Peter Spanns $10M in 10 years. Particularly if your into development. His methodology is that you buy good CG potential property based on the area and gives good advice on how to select the area. He then says spot the bargain property in that area where you can add value through a reno relatively cheaply. Then revalue to free that equity for the next deposit on an IP. He calls that the endless deposit process. You’re then holding a property with good equity straight away and improved rent. You may be negatively geared but the CG potential beyond that already realised is significant.
If you follow that approach you might eventually run in to servicability problems, but that’s when you can round out your portfolio with some CF+ properties. Or you could do what Steve Navra suggests which is to use some of your equity to purchase some cash bonds or some shares which have growth and cash flow potential and are obviously more liquid than property.
There’s a lot of ways to play the game and everyone’s just got to figure out which way suits them best. Dare I even suggest wraps for CF+?
Cheers,
Michael.Scott,
I agree that there should be very little risk of a wrap company going belly up. As you know well, they make their profit on spread as well as any potential CG if the wrappee defaults.
If their making a positive spread then how can they fold? Unless they are spending it elsewhere on riskier ventures and thereby come undone. Once a wrap is established then the risk is negligible. And the risk up front can be mitigated with “subject to’s” on the contract such as “subject to finding a suitable tennant buyer”.
I know I’m preaching to the choir, but I fully agree with you and Karl’s posts on this matter. Its not my kettle of fish as it seems like hard work and very legally complicated. But I believe that ethical wrappers provide an excellent service to a certain subset of the market that doesn’t initially qualify for conventional loans.
I spent a lot of time conversing on the John Burley forum and learning as much about wraps as I could. Ethics did occassionally pop up as a discussion topic and was well dealt with by posts such as Karl’s above.
Cheers,
Michael.Spanky,
I think you’re on to something here. I for one, was originally going to post a word of caution about investing at the peak of the market, but I don’t think that’s what you’re talking about. Regardless of the total market picture there is always individual properties that represent good buying. It sounds like you are making an informed purchase decision giving due consideration to all the potential downside. That’s not gambling, but informed investing.
I guess, the caution goes out to those who might not be as careful in their selection criteria as you. There are a lot of properties now that are overpriced and do not represent good buying.
I believe that so long as you do your due diligence well and apply a strict test such as Steve Navra’s rental reality, then you can still buy good value properties at any point in the market cycle. Its just harder at the top of the cycle. If these are the properties you are talking about, then YES, I do recommend buying at the peak. For those who suggest buying any old property without doing their homework, then NO, I do not recommend buying at the peak and riding the trough. There’s better ways to lose your money…
Cheers,
Michael.Jaffasoft,
Sounds interesting! I own 40 acres of Rural Residential land just out of Bundaberg and would be very interested in chewing the fat over what options I have to develop it.
Unfortunately, I’m based in Sydney so won’t be able to come along. But maybe we can exchange PMs or start a thread on all things Bundaberg.
I’m off for 5 weeks holidays to Africa so apologies in advance if I don’t reply to a PM or an email for a while. I’ll check in again when I get back towards the end of March.
Have a great meeting!
Michael.Phil,
Welcome back! I know what you mean, and I’m quietly confident I’m on the right path and it looks very lucrative at the moment… [biggrin]
neo25x5, I agree bad debt is a big problem, and agree that easy access to credit is a large contributor to this. Unfortunately, we can’t change the system so I reckon we need to work on individual attitudes. Educate all those you can and lead by example. Personally, I own a Credit Card with a $14,000 limit but I always pay it off in full every month so it is not an issue. I like it because I get all those free rewards points. On my credit card alone my wife and I are about to fly to Africa return for a 5 week holiday. I think it cost me $50 for the annual fee for the rewards program. Two return international flights for $50? I call that a bargain…
Cheers,
Michael.Ah, the tyranny of distance! Sydney is just a tad too far to drive for an afternoon’s cash flow. Never played it myself but hear good things.
Enjoy!
Michael.Originally posted by aussierogue:Having an opinion and stating that opinion has nothing to do with tolerence
If I dont like the death penalty that doesnt mean im intolerant of executioners………
AussieRogue,
Good point, particularly about tolerating the executioners if not the death penalty. I’m always flumoxed when I hear about the hard-core Christian conservatives that are anti-abortion because it is “murder”, so what do they do about it? They go and find some abortion clinic and kill the poor security gaurd standing out front so he can keep his working class wife and 3 kids in food and clothing. What the? And this is because you’re OPPOSED to murder!!!
On a side note, my wife cried when the soviet union imploded. She saw them as the last hope for socialism ala Le Internationale. I was equally dissappointed but for a more pragmatic reason. I saw the USSR as the only balance to the USA in the global arms race. With the demise of the USSR, the USA now enjoyed a singular position as the unopposed global superpower. At least with MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) there was some control over the US using their WMDs, what now? Is it any wonder they want to leverage their unique unfettered position for their singular benefit. They want to ensure there is no spread of WMDs so they can maintain their global supremacy. And they use this global supremacy to invade resource rich countries and impose interim governments that are US friendly. They go solo with a coalition of the willing and without the mandate of the single remaining global institution, the UN. Dubya has actively advocated a go-it-alone strategy and the irrelievance of the UN. They also are not signitaries to either the Geneva convention (seriously!) nor more recently the international criminal court which Australia fought to establish. Why would they? They might then be held accountable for the prisoner abuse scandals and illegal detention at Gunatanamo Bay. In their opinion, they are the law! Dubya is the self-proclaimed leader of the free world, but I didn’t vote for him???
They are the big gorilla on the block and they use their muscle in their singular interests. The best the rest of us can do is to watch and make waves. Yell when you’re angry and vote against it when you can. I marched against the war in Iraq, but it seems the lack of WMDs in Iraq has made little impact on the Dubya juggernaut. They went to war on a lie without international backing, and when the lie was proved they shrugged it off and started naming the next targets. Yes, you are right to be afraid!
OK, enough venting for now…
Cheers,
Michael.Willem,
They’re included! [biggrin]
We lefties don’t necessarily appreciate the divisive and destructive activities of the right, but as we’re all-inclusive we believe they too should be protected from themselves.
As a leftie, I am concerned with the wellbeing of all humanity. This seems to be in complete contrast with the views of the far right neo-conservative hawks in the US who think that the only human lives worth protecting are their own. George Dubya even stated that “this is a fight to the end”, and something to the effect of “if we don’t win then we’re going to take the rest of you down with us”. They can’t accept that other doctrines or ideologies might be equal to their own, and believe this is a Christian “Jihad” to the end. Dubya’s a born again Christian who believes God is on his side.
I prefer Sting’s outlook illustrated by his lyrics “We share the same biology, regardless of ideology”. Somewhere along the line the US seem to have forgotten this. In their opinion, there is only ONE ideology and that’s the US one.
Dubya’s a scary dood…
Michael.
Originally posted by willem:>>the all-inclusive, forward looking left than the divisive, intollerant, short term looking right.<<
Just a query for Michael Whyte:
Does the “all inclusive, forward looking left” also include the “divisive, intollerant, short term looking right”? Or are they intolerant of the right?
Willem
Originally posted by aussierogue:please – rent money is dead money. this is just one of those stupid terms designed to push someones vested interest. the only reason you dont hear ‘interest on mortgages is dead money’ is because landlords dont have a combined voice…
Aussierogue,
Here here!
I decided to buy my PPOR, but only when I realised that the interest on the loan would be about the same as I was paying in rent, but that I would be living in a big house instead of a crappy little unit. The reason they ended up being the same is because I put $400K down on the house. If I hadn’t then the interest on the loan would have been MUCH more than the rent on the unit.
Of course, I saved all that deposit by renting a cheap place and investing the left over funds. Isn’t brain surgery, but again its amazing how many people would rather pay their “rent” to a bank instead of a landlord and at a much inflated price…
Cheers,
Michael.Originally posted by destined_for_millions:Interesting point vtxdevo…
I’m 19 and in the process of buying my first PPOR. I also have a car loan. I have calculated for myself how much i believe i can afford to pay off of a home loan while saving a deposit for an IP. Any house over that amount i wouldn’t even bother looking at. Living with parents is the best way to save for a deposit in my opinion… no rent to pay apart from doing the dishes and mowing the lawn!
I see Michael’s point about SOME young people having no idea about the financial fundamentals. Most people my age are out Friday and Saturday nights blowing their week’s wage (sometimes more) on booze. I just think to myself that these are the people who are going to be living in MY IP’s and paying for my financial independence because they can’t afford to buy their own homes. [biggrin]Destined,
Good for you! You’re already in the 20% of the population that are financially literate and understand that they should do something to become financially independent. The trick is to become part of the 20% of that 20% who actually do something about it and get on and start building some investments.
The real trick then is to become part of the 20% of that 20% that do so successfully and become truly financially independent at retirement.
What’s 20% of 20% of 20%, I think that’s 0.8% of the population that ends up truly financially independent. Not good odds, but we’re already part of the minority who understand that its something we want to achieve, so that’s a start.
Cheers,
Michael.neo25x5
Nice post! But to discount the market when investing is a mistake in my opinion. You can still find good buys in the current cycle, but they’re a lot harder to find than a few years back. And with prices falling, they’re only getting better. A prudent investment at the moment would be to invest in a fixed return investment and wait for your identified market segment to bottom, then invest in it.
The market definately cycles, and if you enter on the slide then you’re only going to reduce your total earnings over the long term. Of course, over the long term you’ll still be positive, just not as positive as you could have been if you’d done a bit of research and understood the market dynamics.
Cheers,
Michael.vtxdevo,
Its not mensa. Basically, live within your means and invest the rest. If living within your means results in you not having a $20,000 car then so be it. If it also means renting instead of buying a house then so be it. Once you’ve saved/invested enough to buy the house, then do so. Only when you own the house and have some other IPs might you consider buying a flash car.
I think Steve describes it as delayed gratification. If you’re a young person with a $200,000 mortgage and a $20,000 car loan then you’re likely to be living well beyond your means and you won’t be able to save a penny.
Why don’t young people have any idea of even the most basic of financial fundamentals of budgeting and living within your means…
I’m dumbfounded,
Michael.MrVip,
The horse’s name is Friday… The lack of an “a” in front of Friday made it a proper noun, a name and not a reference to the day of the week. See, a basic understanding of grammar does help every now and again!
BTW, yep talk to a broker, they know the ins and outs of getting the best deal possible for you.
Cheers,
Michael.Originally posted by Scremin:Hey resiwealth! I am a SHE not a HE!!!
Someone said something about why 1976 is the cut off for generation x, well I don’t know why. I was born in 1978 and was always under teh belief that Generation X went throught to 1980.
I’m actually not sure I even believe in Generation Y… The generation after me (My brothers age group, 18) should be called the Mcdonalds Generation coz they are all fat, greedy and have no idea about how to look after themselves.
My opinion remember… Oh an interesting thing I thought I would also add, is why do the generation Xers not want anything to do with their children? I know so many people in that age group who blatantly hand their child over to anyone and everyone who would look after them. They look to anyone as a baby sitter and skive out of real responsibility.
Could this be related to the amount of litigation that is around in Australia today? Are generation Xers really living up to their responsibilities. I know many are, but I wonder what proportion of people are not…I certainly know of some of my own extended family who gets Nanna to look after kids a lot while she goes back to work. She doesn’t really need to but…
Hee hee, Just some of my own observations…
Oh and after really thinking about it, Generation Y only really applies to people born in 1977-1982. Then I reckon they are the mcdonalds generation….
Bye,
Steph.[blink][evil4][jerry][jerry][jerry]Steph and others,
I spotted this post by another forumite on “the other” REI forum today and thought you nice folk here might be interested as it related to this thread we had going some time back about the different generations. Its interesting in its implications for us as REI landlords.
BTW, what’s the netiquette when posting someone else’s post? Should I reference the poster or hide their name as they didn’t post it here??? I’ll go with the latter for lack of better knowledge…
Cheers,
Michael.
Hi AllI came across this interesting article today about the “Me” generation (18’s to 30’s) about their various trends and social values.
The key photos displayed two girls shopping in Rundle Mall yesterday “Clothes are our major expense. I’m not looking to buy a house right now – paying off my credit card is on the agenda first”….”I spend a lot of money on clothes, shoes, going out and dinner….I plan to wait until marriage to buy a house”
I have found in my own investing that my tenants fall into two distinct categories. Single men from broken marriages or DINKS/SINKS with money to burn.
For the “Me” generation that dont live at home, I think for a long time to come there will be a demand for rental accommodation for this finicky group having the effect of driving up rentals and ensuring limited vacancies.
What do others think?
Cheers,
Forumite name ommitted
Summary of article
No mortgage, no partner, no children
Living with parents
Fashion conscious, assertive, educated, interested in the world and ambititious
Materialisim – mobile phones, Ipods, Internet
Aspire to have designer clothes, be famous, shop at prestige stores, have a university degree
For leisure, they go to concernts, pubs and clubs, go for a drive, listen to music or go on the internet
Deferred committments
Source – AustraliaScan, Quantum Market ResearchFull Article: The Advertise, February 3, 2005
People aged under 30 who live with parents are well-educated and spend most of their income on themselves and are emerging as the dominant generation, a leading social researcher says.
Reveealing the recent trends in social values yesterday, AustraliaSCAN director David Chalke said the nation was undegoing a significant generational change that had created a period of “adultescence”
Defined as 18-30’s, Mr Chalke said the adultescent generation was “uncommitted”, with many yet to reach the milestones of a mortage, a partner or a child.
They will be a huge force in the future but we are already starting to feel it now” Mr Chalke said in Adelaide.
You only have to speak to HR managers about the problems with retaining bright young graduates these days. They are very focused on money and no particularly intererest in career paths and development. They are likely to up sticks and run if you dont meet there needs.
He said the new generation was quite likely (61%) to be living with ther parents and did not aspire to marriage. “They are self absorbed and they do put self above others” he said. They dont want a mortgage, marriage or children straight up – or they dont want them at all.
“They dont want to stick in a job they dont like just so they can pay the mortgage.
And there is a lack of desirability for marriage. They can get companionship wtihout marriage and think it is only going to fall apart anyway, as it did with their parents”.
He said they described themselves as fasion-conscious, educated and ambitious – but the steriotype of the hard-working Aussie battle did not apply to this generation.
He said their aspirations were more materialistic, such as wearing designer clothes, being famour or having a university degree or being recognised as experts in their field.
Mr Chalke said the adultescent generation was more mobile and more likely to travel, raising the risk of a “brain drain” from smaller states such as South Australia.
Redwing,
Only the obvious one: Drop the price on P1 to get the sale. If noone is willing to pay $200K for it then its not worth $200K. The market sets the price, not the vendor. Vendors just put up their opening bid.
Bridging finance is a killer, maybe selling at a lower price will even save him money if it gets him a quicker sale.
Cheers,
Michael.Guys,
I used to do a paper run that took me 4 hours and paid $3.50. That was my whole day’s work as a kid and I did it for about 6 months to try and earn some money.
I then moved up to the lofty heights of McDonalds on about $2 an hour. This was a big deal to me! And before you all say you think I’m old, I’m only 34 and this was maybe 20 years ago or so (gee, that is longer than I thought when I write it down though).
Anyway, I agree with abbee that I’d take $5 a day and some eduction to pay off a debt if that was the best way to achieve it.
Cheers,
Michael.Alistair,
Yes its possible to make money at any point in the cycle. Its just that you won’t make much, if any, for a few years.
e.g. You buy a +ve CF house for $50K and rent it out for $150 a week. Sounds great hey, and there’s still heaps of these out there! So in simple terms you put $10K down to secure and pay $50 a week in interest on the $40K component. All still sounding good. Factor in all the other costs like PM fees, repairs, vacancy etc and that’s probably another $50 a week. Now interest rates double and you’re up to $150/wk costs.
So now you’re neutral, bummer. But now the bottom falls out of the market and that place is worth only $20K. No big deal if you’re happy to hold. But your $10K is sitting there locked in to a mortgage on a place which is now worth $30K less than what you paid for it. You’re not making a penny in cash flow and you still have all the heartache of managing the place ongoing and doing the sums at tax time. If you’re lucky your tennant will sit tight and not loose his job, and eventually the price might come back too. But wouldn’t it have been better to buy it at $20K in 3 years time?
Just be aware that markets change, and you better have a really compelling opportunity to enter at the peak of the market. And an iron stomach to ride through the next few years.
My 2c? Put your money in gold, or lock down a fixed rate of return at a big bank. Wait 2-3 years or maybe longer until the recession passes, then buy up big in property before it bounces back again.
Cheers,
Michael.Samual,
OK, a lot of questions so here goes:
1. Earning less income to try and save on your tax bracket is a no brainer. Earn as much as you can, period. The numbers on this one are simple, there is no net benefit from being in the lower bracket as its a sliding scale.
2. There’s a lot of posts on “which book”. I agree with Shaz that Peter Spann’s book is a must read too. Maybe add John Burley’s “Money Secrets of the Rich” to your list and get the Australian version.
3. I don’t necessarily agree that +ve CF is the way to go. You need to look at your net internal rate of return (IRR). Sometimes +ve CF return less than -ve CF due to their underperformance in capital gain. Just buying for cash flow is a mugs game. Cash flow just determines servicability, you need to consider CG if you want to understand the impact an IP will have on your net equity. Your net equity is basically how much you’re worth and is the money you retire early on by buying an annuity or other such.
Do some more reading, and well done on getting into it up front.
Cheers,
Michael.Guys,
Offsets also get used on IPs. Most IPs are interest only to minimise your outgoing cash flow. But people setup offsets to park their spare cash to minimise the interest on their IPs. The benefit of this is that you can draw that cash straight back out when you need it for deposit on the next IP without having to go through some complex LOC/redraw process. Its yours to spend when you need it, but is effectively off the loan for interest calculation purposes.
Cheers,
Michael.