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Viewing 20 posts - 61 through 80 (of 257 total)
  • Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Chris Lang's book is good and also another I found useful by Dolf De Roos….. "Commercial Real Estate Investing"
     
    It's a little US and NZ based however has good fundamentals, principles and creativity to boot. It explains cap rates very well. The info can be applied to our commercial market here.

    Good luck

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    TheBish wrote:
    ……………………..Can somebody give me some calming words please?? I need counselling!!

    Thanks
    TheBish

    Westpac has raised 0.45 %………………..expect the other big three players in the cartel to follow suit and add premium to their bottom line also.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Your thinking is sound.

    Whilst depreciation of a brand new dwelling will help gross up that yield, that should be seen as the cream.

    I'd be wanting minimum 7 % there. Whilst I do not know anything about the Mildura market, as a regional city something over seven with depreciation as the jam may start looking OK.

    Benefit of a brand new box is that it should appeal to a larger rental audience than an older unit. There is however no further value add for you to achieve that higher yield that an older property may allow.

    Keep thinking like you are and do not rush your decision.

    Welcome to the forum

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Depends upon the town plan.

    Not all of NSW will have the same zoning requirements to allow sub-division, nor any state for that matter.

    You may find that within Griffith iteslf there are different density requirements that council have depending on the location. Generally (altough not absolute) main/busy roads nearer to intersections and especially infrastrusture such as CBD, train, shops, etc, may give more scope to achieve denser development on a block and have looser height requirements

    If that's your turf and you're keen on an IP there, I suggest you obtain zoning maps from Griffith council and learn their DCP (Development Control Plan) and LEP (Land and Environment Plan)

    As you have done, always check with council prior to committing to a purchase especially if your intent is to subdivide.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Hi there mrs p,

    Have gone thru the program with CCorp and the content is wide and varied. Comprehensive and put together in a decent framework, for those new to the process of developing.

    Having said that, she also offers higher level programs and mentoring. I didn't go down that path nor have any intended need to. My interaction with her and CCorp to date has been very satisfactory. Have a search for threads about her stuff. Don't want to derail this thread as it is about another topic altogether.

    I doubt you will be disappointed unless you are already a seasoned developer.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Matt007,

    conserve your breath mate. 

    Ohh…….now the sceptic in me surfaces from it's slumber.

    mattbombers…………….first post today (after joining the forum today)……………..are you a representative of said property optioneer.

    Only 10 spots left…….better hurry or we'll miss the bus.  

    Why not ask for a list of his developments up front so you may do your own diligence. That way you'll be prepared and have plenty of questions to ask on the scenic tour…………and make sure you get your thirty-five grand's worth.

    If you are fair dinkum and not associated with this company……..please post back after you've done the course and illuminate us here on what type of things you learnt 

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Thanks for sharing w4w.

    Apparently even though the NINJA whitewash is abating, we (or the US at least) are in the eye of the storm as those further mortgage re-sets hits next year…… I wonde if our counciles here is Aus also invested (sic) in them as theuy packaged by the smoke and mirror merchants to be investment vehicles.

    Will certainly affect the US and the flow on effect here will be with credit tightening even further. I don't see catastrophic falls here as in a double bottom, however there are market and sub markets that will shine and sour differently.

    Credit availability will be the biggest issue I see affecting us here and the price and confidence of that money flow.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    No. I don't think you would pay tax, however on the other side of the coin, your expense (interest capitalised for the draw) would obviously not be tax deductible.

    IMO you would need to be careful that you have enough equity for your intents and purposes….so you you don't end up killing the golden goose/geese altogether with compounding debt.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    There are markets within markets and sub-markets within them.

    I don't see any further correction. Lower end with FHOG scaling back might soften or track sideways and then there is a case to be put forward that investors may pick up the slack.

    The higher end took a hammering with the stock market bear market and has since bounced back…….at least it has around bayside Melbourne where I live.

    As for the future, property has never ben afforable, particularly  if the prosepctive buyers have over-inflated expectations and must have it all now in exactly the location they wish to be, or they must have brand new McMansion with theatres and outdoor rooms lager than life. Many generations prior, people started out where they could and upgraded. So the instant gratifiers can either keep renting where they would like to live or buy somewhre else to get their foot in the door.

    Westill have a 70 % owner occupier rate here in a generic sense. In the UK and other parts of Euope, it is as low as 40-50%…..hence many more tenants. This may occur here also.

    Property is not only driven by investors, owner occupiers predominate and as it is a basic human need (and we are told that there is an under supply), I don't see the sky falling in.

    I am not suggesting it's blue sky and everything is roses, however fundmentally, we are chugging along fine. If interest rates rise and some over-etended FHO struggle, then there will be some nice IP's to pick up.

    I have read the book duckster refers to and the book title (The Great Depression Ahead) is far more bearish than its contents. Harry Dent does clarify that Austrlia is far better poised to emerge relatively scar free from the smoke and mirrors of the sub-pime mess and financial derivative products that were more akin to Ponzi. It is credit here (from that fallout) and ultimate development funds that are harder to source and yet we have a shortage of stock…………augurs well for upside to the suply and demand scenario me thinks

    His book is however interesting as far as demographics and cycles specially for share markets (sectors) and also job cycles.

    WJH, personally I cannot see a crash here in Australia………..perhaps softening in FHOG driven outer suburb fringes with little or no amenity that might see its purchasers struggle with rate rises whilst settling for a brand new (shiney) box and the obligatory high end Falcodores, and theatre systems whilst notching up plenty of credit card use. 

    Not posting here as much these days, however I have been sounding like a broken record when I caveat that one needs to keep portfolio LVR's conservative moving forward. Now is not the time te be an uber-bull and max out LVR's and servicibility…….those days will come however not right now.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Xenia,

    surely you must be due for a sojourn to marvelous Melbourne………..and you can run an event here for us also.
     
    I'm sure that other famous (aside of course  from your good self) South Australian would come and share his learnings.

    Then again, I should get my act together and come and visit you guys………one of these days…………. 

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Hi young investor,

    Here's my .02 cents worth…………..with some bias as I own IP's there.

    Fundamentals in Parramatta are good. The government (local and state) and private interests have some 2 billion dollars investing there. Also the civic place redevelopment will add to the appeal of the hub. Consider the amenity of the suburb. It is an employment node, transport hub and the gateway to Sydney's west (where 10 % of Australia's populace live), and Parramatta is approx 20 km from Sydney CBD

    I purchased a "four-pack" in 2007 on an initial yield of 5.9 % and they were under-let. Since that time my units are now positive cashflow.  I should of bought more.

    At the time I purchsed Sydney property was on the nose. With affordable properties Parramatta, you will always have tenants willing to pay median priced rents and in case of a liquidation being necessary, the masses can afford to buy. Not as sexy as the eastern suburbs and other blue ribbon locales, however Parramatta is within the price range of many more customers and has a far better yield. Better to be a small fish in a big pond than a big fish in a small pond. 

    As well as Parramatta and Parramatta North, do not totally discount Granville or Harris Park. There may eventually be more upside potential in the latter suburbs as they are more the ugly ducklings although, that may take time. Your tenants are also likely to be of a higher calibre outside these areas at present. Less risk Parramatta itself.

    It is a strong apartment/unit suburb, so do not be put off with the amount on the market. Don't rush however, there is (and always be) plenty to choose from.

    Good luck

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Richard,

    are you able to do 105 % LVR's with personal guarantees from the mummy?

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    This is probably not the full article, however some indication of its contents are provided.:

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25839599-601,00.html

    If that's correct, my opportunity eyes are on already   and with very conservative current LVR's…..it may be time to go shopping again.

    I have been sitting on my hands………….but not idly……have been researching my next foray and am waiting for cap rates to rise further before I venture out and commit..

    If they are wrong I am still researching and will buy only a value add (with several twists) that is washing its own face and preferably is +ve CF.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    blogs wrote:
    lol buggered if Iknow what happened??

    Jim Rohn says that "repetition is the mother of skill"    :)

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    “Mr. Market” is a fragmented, schizophrenic, multi-faced personality. Amongst the doom and gloom and, of late some yipee-kay-aying that we are bombarded with by the media, it is timely to reflect on where we're at and where we're heading with regards residential property.

    Certainly, we are in interesting times and whilst not to trivialise the softening of the economy, I still focus on the full half of the glass. I'm not Pollyanna, however IMHO people who focus too much on the negative and trying to avoid what they don't want are by virtue of their attention on the imbedded command (avoiding loss/poverty/sickness/failure or whatever) likely to perpetuate (or at least add to) their unwanted situation. Don’t avoid what you don’t want, rather pursue what you do wish/want/desire.

    My take on things moving forward from here, is that top shelf elite properties are likely to come off perhaps up to a further 5-10 % or track sideways from here having softened significantly over the last 12-15 months or so. This will depend on suburbs and how exposed the OO's (owner occupiers) still are to equities and business/commercial uncertainty. The middle shelf and this for simplicities sake would include suburbs where most properties are around the median price range (or slightly above) for the capital city in question, may see some gain or track sideways.

    I feel the lower end may see some further rally due to affordability issues with FHOG although that may wane as the scale-back unfolds as one component but also due to reducing interest rates, making that sector more affordable to its intended purchasers. I feel investors may also push the bottom end up with falling interest rates. That lower end may, however fall off as job losses hit OO's who over-committed a couple of years ago and perhaps even locked in at nine's. This is the sector I find the most frustrating to prognosticate on. Perhaps some pull-back of the low shelf property rally due to unemployment (in family OO's) or no effect over the medium term.

    The media also feeds the emotional roller coaster that determines the “sentiment of the herd” when it comes to buying, as real estate institute spokesperson’s are heard to report higher clearance rates to perpetuate a positive bull-style frenzy that the herd interpret as “I better hurry and buy or I’ll miss out.” Some investors also follow a similar credo. A higher clearance rate right now is due to shortage of stock. Anecdotally, I am noticing fewer for sale, in Melbourne at least, so what gets listed and has reasonable vendors, will sell.

    We haven't bottomed as a market collectively, although there are sub-markets such as fringe FHB suburbs. The large development houses (Delfin Lend Lease, Devine, Stockland, etc) are laughing with the enhanced FHOG, encouraging young ones who haven't lived thru any economic slowdown or contraction to go full bore on instant gratification by buying an (affordable) brand new box on land in places with no (or little) amenity. Some have barely saved for the closing costs. I expect some future pain is likely to be delivered to them. These people fund the whole purchase with FHOG as deposit and whilst DSR may be OK for now, wait till they lose a job or take a pay cut from the culling of hours or, as will be inevitable, interest rates rise again……and they will.

    Night follows day, contraction follows expansion, a slump follows a boom which follows a slump. A “market” will always correct to its median or average/mean trend line of sentiment. For me, some more pain to come IMO………these are opportune times to be cashed up with folding stuff, offsets, LOC or equity (with skinny LVR's) and pounce when the deal is good. It is always darkest before the dawn…….I expect a little more nightfall and then the cycle will again begin with daylight. Let the games begin. I also liken the cycle to the digestion process. We have fed our faces (by eating too much during the last boom) and the slowdown has been necessary to digest the food. Now we are in the elimination phase where the excesses are dealt with as waste leading to recession. As the catharsis continues, this prepares the appetite for more feeding frenzy to resume.

    Personally right now, I'm sitting on my hands and am looking for commercial opportunities (that tick all my boxes) or  multi-door resi that is +ve CF or at least washing its own face; but not just anywhere. It must have amenity and infrastruture and be of the "small fish in the big pond" type, so the massess can afford to rent and the masses can afford to buy if I need to liquidate.

    Credit supply may IMHO become tighter as there is another tranche of mortgage re-sets to come out of the US in 2010 and 2011…….according to some, we are in the eye of the storm so to speak. Whilst these are not all sub-prime, I see the problem with these re-sets  as people having "upside down" equity due to the housing collapse (generically) across much of the US. If their contract also nominate a clause of re-evaluating LVR's at that time, the folk with sweetheart rates may need to cash/equity inject or be foreclosed……….

    Whilst fundamentally the supply/demand issues comparing Aus with the US hedges us somewhat here, it is the supply of credit and the cost to our banks that will affect our market IMO.

    Aren't our mortgage insurers here US companies? …….we may still feel the squeeze here as money dries up and values start going sideways. There may be OO demand and investor demand, however if funds are tight, transaction volumes will fall and values might stagnate for a while……..may then bring more pent up demand akin to winding up a spring………and when it's let go, values will rise sharply as a mini-boom begins, before some equilibrium is established.

    I am certainly no economist, however that's my take in a generic sense. There will of course be out-performers and under-performers as not all markets are in sync. It is indeed a confusing, yet in some respects, opportune time we are in.

    What's your take on all this D?

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    I am no accounting expert, however I was under the impression that such type of lease back would not be a "going concern". This is a grey area. Such a short lease may not be viewed upon by the ATO as a going concern.

    Agree however that the implications of the lease you are inhereting with the building need to be understood.  If you are purchasing vacant, you need some idea of cap rates in the location and what you could lease it for in this market (realistic rental) bearing in mind vacancy rates as well. That will influence your max purchase price.

    Personally, if it were office building, I'm with Scott, feeder road location would be preferrable. If you are looking for industrial, main road; the busier the better and preferably a corner for me.

    Don't get too hung up about GST. If you need to pay on purchase, then claim it back at the first BAS. It means having ongoing GST and BAS work to do, however that would have been the case with a CIP with income over 75 K anyway. The other drawback is having to find (borrow)  the GST to pay it whilst waiting to be reimbursed after the first BAS.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    Hi ya Mike,

    thank you sooooo much for the two reports you provided to me this afternoon.  Can't register kudos on this forum, however kudos declared in the public domain. Very timely and useful to me.

    Much appreciated.

    Profile photo of Michael 888Michael 888
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    In addition to the books above:

    Commercial Real Estate Investing by Dolf De Roos is also a worthy book and this excellent thread:

    https://www.propertyinvesting.com/forums/property-investing/commercial-property/4325441

    Also search thru the Comm Property section of this forum for more info.

Viewing 20 posts - 61 through 80 (of 257 total)