All great insights once again, thank you. I can see how the calcs stack up better and take out the bias by using total value vs. money owed.
Good on you for thinking of the “narrowing market”. On the flipside, is there a wider market by looking at your property differently? You mentioned it is around 40 years old, and that neighbours have a pool – perhaps an indication that your place might be sitting on a larger block, yes? How big?
Could it be that a developer might be a part of a more lucrative deal for you if you choose to sell? This would be even more so if the suburb is currently gaining in value (as per the link above). To that end, check out the cost of getting a DA – Developers will pay more if a DA is in place (YOU have waited out the approval time for them – they can just “get in and build” with little time loss).
I can’t say much for going down the DA route, but I do know that granny flats are extremely popular in that area at the moment and have been for a couple of years. I believe they fall under complying development now, so approvals are much easier to obtain and the central coast has granny flat builders coming out of the woodworks at the moment. More food for thought; a granny flat would probably be a more viable option than splitting the house. the block is just shy of 700sqm so plenty of room for a granny flat out the back.
Looking at your figures again, I can see how it could also be in my favour for a quick fix and sell and move onto something better. I think the idea of selling and getting out of the market, then having to get back in is what is daunting. I would feel more comfortable with having something else in my portfolio before selling. Selling an appreciating asset when it is paying itself off feels like going against the grain. But I know that is a small-minded mindset.
Commercial property is where I want to get into. This early on in my investing career, cashflow is more important than growth. But I’ve only dipped my toes in the water and wondering whether I should get my feet a bit more wet in the residential side before moving on.
Thanks again Benny, I can see your opinion is much respected here on the forum and I appreciate you taking the time. Happy new year.
Thanks for taking the time for that detailed response. Looking at the numbers is definitely one of the key elements I’ve been leaving out in my decision making. So I’ve had a look at yours,
Option1:
Value $550k (est) Equity $200k Income $650/wk = $32.5k pa = 5.9% return (gross).
In example above, I have made a couple of assumptions:-
1. That the value will lift from $480k to $550k thanks to the extra Income – that might be invalid though, so re-do that number if needed.
2. The $20k for the renovation may be wildly inaccurate – adjust as required – you know your house, I don’t.
3. I guessed that the Equity would be $70k shown, less the $20k spent for the reno – so $50k extra.
The house next door to mine is a 3br house with a pool that was built in the same era. The owners stuck to cosmetic reno’s modernized it, and it just sold for $580,000. This is a dramatic increase from 12 months – 2 years ago. This should give an idea of the potential for value adding in a cosmetic reno with my place due to it’s current value. The reno’s to separate upstairs and downstairs would be more in the $50-70k range, including cosmetic reno as well. By doing so, I would also narrow my market should I want to sell.
“Why are you needing to replace windows?” That is hardly part of most cosmetic reno’s, and maybe not likely to add any value either. Think long and hard about that option.
I know it’s not going to add any value, but the state of the current windows is most likely decreasing the value upon valuation. Thinking more about it I may not need to replace them so much as have them simply serviced and repaired.
Unfortunately I now live interstate and my job doesn’t allow me the luxury of getting home to add some sweat equity. I have a lot of friends in the building game though and I was in the industry for 13 years so I estimate cosmetic uplift (with bathrooms) would be in the vicinity of $50k, adding $100k value.
As to whether to sell or not, My current wage is small due to a career change last year ($40k, starting at the bottom of the ladder again), but most of my expenses are covered. I don’t pay for rent, food or travel to and from work, so a lot of my income is savings. And I’m permanent full time. The banks are still tight and I’m having some issues getting access to equity for reno’s.
The house needs an update regardless. If I were to try and sell today, I would be getting lowball offers because of the work it requires and leaving money on the table. So a quick look at the figures;
Reno and keep: $50k for reno, $580k value, $210k equity. Rent $480pw.
Also, just wondering why you calculate the return off the total value. Wouldn’t you calculate the return off money owing aka your investment? So 480pw = $24,960, @ $380k investment = 6.5% gross return. No?
Separate levels: $70k reno, $600k value, $200k equity. Rent $600 (Being conservative after looking more at whats available in my area at that price range).
Is having to deal with 2 tenants rather than 1 on the one block worth the extra 1.3% return?
The other big factor I mentioned earlier is my access to funds. At this stage I’m more likely to get access to $40k sooner than I am $70k. And even that may not be for a little while.
The final option is I only put in the bare minimum, around $20k to keep it appealing to future renters, adding value to around the $520-530k mark and keep riding the capital growth train. The loan is Principle and interest as well so it’s getting paid down.
I feel like I’ve done a bit of a circle and looking at the numbers has given me a bit of clarity, but I’m not quite there yet. Thanks again for your reply Benny, much appreciated.
Jay
This reply was modified 6 years, 10 months ago by Jay888.