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  • Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    kp,

    Rents are high in the urban centre of sydney, and with depreciation, 7% is achievable.

    I personally don;t care if negative gearing rules change- more money perhaps put into public housing as a result? But the exit duty didn’t result in a commitment to more public housing by the State, so perhaps the money from the abolition of negative gearing might just result in more warships- who knows?

    As to my strategy… well, I don’t have one. I just mosey along and attempt to pay off my mortgages. Pay rises assist.

    I have an old-fashioned strategy of working to pay off properties quickly. I have an aim of owning about 8 properties during my lifetime- it’s modest to some, but it’s my reality. I’m not in this for some kind of competition. Modest aims and modest outcomes.

    Tax rules do change over time- I have no issue with that- it’s part of the landscape. If neg gearing is gone, then I just have to work a bit harder to pay off properties. No big deal.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Ben,

    The developers on this site will probably be able to give you a generalised answer to this. Maybe you could just ask in the Development section, how much it would have cost to build a unit/house 10 years ago in a particular area and see what they come up with.

    And you’re right about not getting a depreciation schedule before you purchase- they cost >$600, so doing an estimate in your head first is a good idea.

    As Derek said, Scott (depreciator) will probably be able to give you an idea of what it cost too.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Yeah, as I said, there are dozens of properties under 100k in Vic. There are in all states.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Well, all one has to do is go to realestate.com.au, go to the state of Victoria, go to “priced to $200,000; tick “include surrounding suburbs”; go to “view by price”, and a million pages come up. Most of the first, say, 6 pages, are boat sheds, car parks, shops and trailers. But once you get past that, there are a heap of properties under 100k.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    There are dozens of properties in Victoria for under 100k.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    brendon, it really depends on what you’re looking for. A mortgage broker can tell you how much money you can borrow, but would be unwise to “advise” you in your general affairs- one has to be licenced to advise.

    Brendon, don’t you have an accountant? A decent accountant will look at your situation and advise you, and won’t be trying to flog off a product to you, although they might have their own biases- but who doesn’t?

    If you have any general questions with regarde to property, you xcould always ask on the Forum and many people will be happy to give you an opinion- for free :)

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Tru,

    You might want to try this link out for a start- shows you places where you can do the TAFE course in Vic:

    http://www.consumer.vic.gov.au/cbav/fairsite.nsf/pages/of_homesrent_ea_tafe

    Given your academic background, you might also want to do a degree in some aspect of RE- land economics, becoming a valuer etc. Most Uni’s now offer these degrees.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    freedomfighter,

    It is suggested that if you spend the extra $15-$20 a week on petrol, you won’t be spending it elsewhere- opportunity cost, I guess… it all balances out.

    You asked about people’s situations… I walk everywhere and my car sits in its little cage. I used to commute- an hour and a half to work each way- by car or train… and then I moved closer to my workplace, so now I walk there. The train tickets or petrol were costing me more than actually moving close to my workplace- in terms of money and time.

    Maybe you can ride a bicycle, freedom :o)

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    gregss,

    Use caution with getting LMI on your one horse town. I think LMI is only appropriate in a rising market or on growth properties. In 2004, none of our properties might have capital growth… but your one horse town might have even less. LMI can set you up for negative equity. It may be better for you to save a bit longer for the deposit.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    tsk, Monopoly. The article was from 2002, and I posted it so that people could see how the CPI is calculated.

    I actually said:

    “Products and services are weighted, so it may be that whilst oil prices have risen… the cost of fruit and vegetables has reduced- go figure.”

    I was suggesting that now, while oil may rise, other goods and services might be cheaper.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    freedomfighter,

    Oil/petrol is only one aspect of a decision to raise IR’s- it’s only one item in the basket of goods (and services) that measure the CPI:

    “the inflation measure took into account 100,000 price readings from 11 categories: food, alcohol and tobacco, clothing and footwear, housing, household furnishings supplies and services, health, transportation, communication, recreation, education and miscellaneous.”

    http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2002/05/11/1021002403223.html

    Note that during the housing boom, inflation remained low, even though housing prices had experienced significant “inflation”. Products and services are weighted, so it may be that whilst oil prices have risen… the cost of fruit and vegetables has reduced- go figure.

    It is suggested by many that IR’s will increase in December. Consumer spending and other measures, such as Australia’s current account deficit, could lead to monetary policy tightening aka IR rises.

    Here’s a decent article on factors that lead to IR rises/changes:

    http://moneymanager.smh.com.au/articles/2004/08/11/1092102486267.html

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    If people look at 2004, and pretend we have no property… then what would we do? Negative gear or positive gear? Let’s look at the Australian market as an example.

    Most properties are not achieving 10% yield- except in mining towns (higher incomes of tenants) or remote areas. (perhaps a high unemployment rate and rents are limited to ratio of benefits). So what are we to do?

    I think a retrospective viewing needs to take into account a time when there were yields AND groeth, and when the positive gearing climate was different than today. One could buy in major regionals and gain the yields- not so today.

    So today we have the choice of a 7% yield (for example) in a metropolitan area, for a newish property… or a 10% yielder in a remote area. Balancing employment, immigration, wages of tenants, and the old favourite- location… I think negative gearing is a strategy that’s worthwhile.

    In 2004, growth is slowing- so it will slow for a 7%’er or a 10%’er. The way to ease the pain of negative gearing (although I’ve never found it painful- I always thought RE was about putting money into it to pay it off) is to make more repayments as a buffer to IR rises, and to use other allowances, such as depreciation, as Derek has said.

    If your positive geared property is giving you $50 a week, you still have to pay some of that back in tax. My negative geared properties give me back plenty in tax, meaning I can use tax returns as basically a new deposit on a property.

    Not everyone wants to buy properties in more and more remote enclaves. Buying in cities has its own merits.

    kay henry

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    Terry,

    This kind of re-regulation doesn’t surprise me. I guess Banks are now doing their own level of micro-economic reform to dampen spending and lower their own risk levels. 105% loans will be the next to go, I reckon. At least this reigning in will perhaps keep a lid on IR’s.

    LMI is a waste of money in a damper market. It might have been a strategy when the market was rising, but now it’s just dead money and could lead to negative equity.

    I wonder if it’s going to be back to the 60’s and 70’s for banks, whereby soon we will have to beg them for money.

    kay henry

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    Globe,

    There would be a heap of articles online about how much the expenses are on a property. Go to google.com.au and type in “expenses purchasing maintaining investment property” and go to Australian sites only. It will come up with a heap of articles for you to read.

    There are also a heap of mortgage brokers on this forum, but just because you get advice/assistance from someone, doesn’t mean you have to use their services.

    If you have any specific questions, you can ask on here. Globe, most of us would have bought that first IP with no clue of what we were doing, and no plan. If you achieve capital growth on your property, the plan will indicate itself- it will give you leverage to buy more.

    In terms of locations… well, some places are hotspots for a few months, but there is more for you to check out that the latest hotspot- interest rates, location, costs of keeping the property, risks associated with the property, your borrowing capacity- just to name a few.

    Ask away- we’re all ears :)

    kay henry

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    Redwing,

    Yeah, I thought about that as soon as I wrote it and couldn’t be bothered to do a please explain- hehe.

    This is how I see the link… the only way for the market to really dampen- in a significant way- is for the RB to intervene. So I think an IR rise will really chill the RE market, and hence, housres will become more affordable. A small rise in IR’s will scare speculative buyers, and others will probably wait and see. But if the market falls in price by, say 20% (I could see that happening), this will allow FHO’s to enter the market. They will still be operating under a climate of historically low IR’s, and it will be their chance to get their foot in the door.

    I am thinking of the sydney market here, so my response has that skew. It is almost impossible for many average people to save a deposit for a sydney place… but we have still large migration, and the FHOG is an incentive to motivate FHO’s. But I do think prices will have to really fall for FHO’s to be able to afford a home. They are still looking at having to get a deposit of up to 100k to be able to enter the market in sydney, and that’s out of many people’s reach. A value decline of around 20% would allow them entry.

    kay henry

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    elika,

    From what I’ve read, it is thought that IR’s will rise, by probably .25% in December. They won’t rise during an election- the RB wouldn’t mess with people’s heads like that- or mess with the major political parties.

    Basically, the economy is healthy, with over 4% growth, and spending is still high- due, amongst other things, to recent govt handouts to individuals, so IR’s will probably have to rise to slow down spending and debt.

    IR rises are like the RE market- they rise and fall. When we read how new building is booming, or how much debt aussies are in, then we ought to expect a rise. Then of course, IR’s will rise, we will slow down our purchasing, everyone will panic, and see it as some form of govt mismanagement… but really, IR management is part of the cycle.

    I think what people tend to forget is that the RB is completely independent of the govt, and they check out the overall picture, and they’ll do what is politically unpopular is they feel like they need to slow down the economy.

    If IR’s do rise, it will allow, for example, first home buyers to afford a house, meaning there’ll still be markets of buyers- fewer investors, more FHO’s… comme ci, comme ca.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Heya calvin :)

    I just wanted to ask about your plan of 5 IP’s in 10 years. How are you doing that? Do you have a $$ limit on the amount you pay for each IP? Do you make sure they are CF+ places? Are you paying off extra on them per week to build up equity? Are you buying and holding or using some other strategy? When did you start?

    I ask these things because your goal is probably similar to the way I am thinking about property- except no PPOR for me at this stage.

    I had an idea in the past about buying properties every 3 years and having them paid off- we were on our way to that too, but then came the divorce- hehe. Oh well. It was before the boom too- and prices were flat as a tack, so we could just pick and choose cheap properties on the coast.

    With changed times, and a new RE market, I’m doing things differently now… but I’m wondering, calvin- how are you doing it (only if you want to tell) :o)

    kay henry

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    Scottybe,

    I speak to my accountant on property investing matters. I am not so much interested in the technical stuff (I never tend to “get it” anyway :( but he has a good head for trends and he’s an ideas man.

    A lot of financial advisers have a product to sell, so their information is not independent or unbiased. Their services are probably “free” because they want to sell you something, and that’s where they make their money.

    You could always ask any specific questions you have on here, and many people would be happy to give you their own ideas… see it as “perspectives” rather than “advice” and you won;t lose your shirt :)

    Derek said:

    “…reminds me of an ad I saw in the local paper – Want to retire wealthy? – speak to XXXXXXXXX – a financial planner with 30 years experience. Makes you wonder what happened to his retirement plan.”

    hehe Derek… remember, some people still LIKE their work, and choose to keep doing it. Why do you think all those High Court judges are in their 60’s? Maybe it’s because they just didn’t receive the right financial advice- hehe.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Originally posted by mdpearce:

    … it seems like everyone is sitting on the fence a little when it comes to whole heartedly backing +ve cashflow as the best property investment strategy. Would I be right??

    Electric

    Electric,

    I think you’ll find there are all kinds of investors on here. But if we were all only after CF+ properties, noone would have bought IP’s in sydney, right?

    The issue for CF+ properties in 2004, that there is less and less stock- although some is still available. But many of them are so remote now- in Australia- in mining towns or the outback, and that just doesn’t suit everyone’s needs. When Steve wrote his book, there were more opportunities.. but even regionally now, you’d be lucky to find CF+ properties.

    In the time that I’ve been on this board- some 10 months now, I’ve seen the emphasis change from one where people are not totally focussed on yields… to one where people are discussing the necessity of CG AND yield. That’s indicative of the RE market in general now, though. With a slower market, and less CG (check out the latest data on prices) in most major markets, then people see the importance of how CG will be the key to property investment, rather than just having that extra $20 in your pocket each week.

    RE books date, although the *concepts* in Steve’s book are great. But the market has changed, and I think people are developing different ideas which reflect that. As an example, people could have bought up books on flipping off the plan apartments a few years ago… but that strategy is finished now.

    CF+ investing still has currency, but Steve’s book had such an influence, that many of the properties are now bought up, and have increased in value, so that if one bought them now, they wouldn’t have such a great yield.

    Can’t think of any more CF+ books right now :O) Maybe something will come to me soon- hehe- probably not :)

    kay henry

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    Yorker said:

    “Are you prepared to pay for good quality information or are you content to rely upon freebies prepared by junior punters?”

    hehe, Yorker… that kind of statement sounds like the worst kind of marketeering… and it makes a few assumptions:

    (1) that free stuff is useless;
    (2) that if if an investor doesn’t buy stuff from you, they are an amateur.

    Most RE information can be found on the net for free, in some of the above-mentioned sites. I am sure if people are looking for other information that cannot be found for free on the net, then they will pay for it. But you’d really have to demonstrate differentiation of your product, Yorker, to show why it is worthwhile to purchase.

    kay henry

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