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  • Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Nice post for your first, Jon…

    I check Jenman’s website each day or two to find out who’s been up to what- just part of my research and interest in real estate- saves having to trawl through google news.

    I think he’s an honest guy and has a good heart- go figure, some hate his guts, which I find kind of sad.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    If landlords raise rents in rate rises, will they lower rents if rates drop?

    kay henry

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    Brad,

    People primarily buy pozz geared properties because it can be a reasonably stress-free purchase- it pays for itself. None of us would knock back at 10% return if we could get it, I reckon. But one of the problems, as you’d be aware, is that property values have pretty much increased across the board, so pozz properties are fewer, and rents haven’t increased dramatically in some rural places. If you’re going for “vanilla” deals, then some of the places might be way run down, and require a lot of cash put in to make them viable as a rental property. A new stove or oven, and getting a trady out to your place, can cost you up the wazoo, and in some places, you might not have a property manager- ya godda check all that stuff out.

    If interest rates rise, or body corporate fees double, or you have to pay a special levy for your apartment, then these events can eat into your positive property and make it a negative one.

    Buying a heavily negative geared place vs pozz gearing… well, for he next few years we might not see much CG across the board, so income might be king (as opposed to CG down the track).

    There are positives to positive gearing :) It’s a good time to think and rethink strategies- in this flatter market where exuberance has been tempered.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Bradles- yeah, what the rest said, but adding a bit more…

    It does, as others said, depend on what ya wanna do. If you want to reno, think about reno kings, if you want to develop, think about development-focussed strategies… if you want to positive gear (for income), or you want to negative gear (for growth), then direct your research there.

    There are SO many different ways to invest money in RE, then I think you are better off targeting. But the way to trget is to read all the material out there first- but the books before you go to seminars- and then specialise.

    I am not a seminar type myself- I haven’t got the money. Remember, free seminars are usually tasters for much more expensive seminars, and provide very little info. They often sell a dream more than specific strategies. I believe seminars, in general, are probably good for people who need motivation, but books are kind of self-directed, and contain incredibly valuable info.

    Think about it- how long does it take to read a book? Many hours (if you’re like me and like to mull over the info I read). A seminar would have to be the same amount of hours to provide the same amount of info. And a book is about $30…

    Also, if you are thinking of going to a seminar, ask if the seminar will provide different (additional) info than the book has. If ya wanna pay to see slides of a man in front of a red sports car, then go for it. But I’d rather spend that money buying my OWN red sports car.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    hey Jo :+P

    I think BB’s got lucky because of the RE boom- because certainly, many are unable to rely on super- it came in universally not terribly long ago, and a lot of older people (including many X-gens) won’t be able to reply on super to survive (and certainly not on a pension!)- hence CG and a renewed interest in RE has served many bb’s well.

    That articles is pretty well researched, so it isn’t all just doom and gloom for its own sake, I think- I would see it more as a reality check. Govt’s have to start working out how to fund an ageing generation- particularly in the area of health. Self-funding of retirement (via employers paying super) and self-funding of health (private health schemes) means the govt will be taking less responsibility, but casualisation of employment, contracting, outsourcing etc, mean that it’s still gonna be a struggle for x-gens too.

    A lot of BB’s speculated on exxy RE- late into the boom- relying on notions of ongoing CG, and might be in a lot of trpouble- i guess that will be revealed more as all the OTP’s become finalised. I also think a lot of people are gonna be in trouble with 110% loans, and lines of credit.

    I reckon soon, things will go back to basics- pay down debt (this is already happening with consumer credit/bad debt/bankcards)… and building equity, rather than IO loans.

    Time will tell :)

    kay henry

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    Marisa,

    I’d be a little wary about buying into an alliance company. I think we wanna get idea from gurus- not just buy houses from them or their builders.

    As oyu’d know, Fitzgerald has a fairly conservative buy and hold for CG approach, which is kind of suitable to me, but it’s also a bit risky to pay big bucks for property now and depend on CG.. when the market has changed so rapidly. Is Fitzgerald offering some “discount” for these properties? Many discounts are bogus anyhoo, so you could just go on the usual principles for B/H C/G- location, scarcity/supply etc etc. If the builders are more exxy than other comparable builders, then go the cheaper one and apply Fitz’s principles- that might be less risky.

    kay henry

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    irishaus,

    I started out with a ten-year loan- but had no clue as to property investing- glad I did back then though- it means I had my first place nearly paid off when I sold it- of course, that was pre-boom and properties were cheaper. If i had a 10-year loan now, I couldn’t cope with repayments.

    I then got informed it is better to take out a loan for a longer period. The only thing that will be stopping people getting long-term loans is age, I guess.

    You can get a long-term loan and then pay off much extra from it, so you pay it out in around fiteen years anyway. I know some people have a perspective that you don’t ever pay a cent extra on loans, but for me, it’s all about gaining equity and paying down loans whenever possible- it also means you can borrow more as you *own* more.

    25 or 30 year loan is much of a muchness, probably- it all depends on what you can afford. A shorter loan period will mean you inevitably pay less interest. Think about your income- are you looking for tax deductions and tax returns? Or are you looking to own assets?

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    loanwolf- Bernald Salt, demographer, interviewed on ABC- ok, a year and a half ago, but possibly still relevant (although albury/wodonga wouldn’t be my chosen destination for an inland change…)
    ________________

    Property “Sea Change” to Inland Australia

    Presenter: Neil Meaney

    Monday, 19 May  2003

    Bernard Salt is Author of the book The Big Shift and a partner at KPMG Property based in Melbourne. Bernard agrees that the so-called “Sea Change” where people move from the city to coastal regions maybe drawing to an end.

    And Bernard agrees that an increased amount of people are now looking for investment opportunities in inland Australia.
    He says people are now showing a keen interest in inland cities such as Albury-Wodonga and Echuca-Moama. “People find that they can’t get a property at a suitable price within striking distance of Melbourne or Sydney – and they’re looking for other options”.

    Bernard says he expects the new shift towards inland Australia to continue for another “seven to eight years” and he confirmed to Neil Meaney that a new edition of The Big Shift will be coming out in a months time.

    http://www.abc.net.au/goulburnmurray/stories/s858201.htm
    ________________________

    loanwolf, if you haven’t already, get your hands on a copy of Salt’s book- it’s very good.

    PK- not sure about manji as the next big seachange area- I think it’s still a bit rednecky- despite logging changes- but the population is stable, at least, so it might be in with a chance.

    kay henry

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    Thanks for the heads up, Gats :) I read about that on the net- should be a good show.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Gats…

    there is a thing called “constructive dismissal”. I suggest you look it up on google- australian site. Constructive dismissal is a term used – it’s pretty much unfair dismissal- for when you felt it was untenable to stay at the workplace.The remdies for a proven case of constructive dismissal are 26 weeks pay, I recall. It is highly unlikely that reinstatement would be forced upon you in the case of constructive dismissal (unless you wanted to continue with your job- which of course would be an entitlement of yours).

    You’ll be right with Slater and Gordon- they are good guys who do a lot of pro-bono work.

    You might also be able to go to the ADB if you feel that you are being unfairly treated due to other issues related to your situation. Your workplace probably ought be putting “reasonable adjustment” processes into place to assist you anyway. Unless you have had formal warnings or other disciplinary action against you (not just a foul-mouthed boss bitching at you), then any external issue cannot be used as evidence of unsatisfactory performance.

    Happy to discuss any of these things with you if you wish, Gats :)

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Thanks Monopoly [wink2]

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Hello all :)

    Mike, in response to one of your questions, I think if you can get decent CF+ properties, there will always be a market for resale- look at the folks on here- one of the greatest questions is, “where can I buy CF+ property.” Capital growth is king, but CF+ is CG’s doppleganger- opposite, but valuable. Where CG is all about “potential”, whereas CF+ is measurable *now*.

    One thing about cheaper prices and smaller rents is that it can kind of be less risky- in some ways. Let me explain… I have a property which provides 3 times in rent to me than another one provides. I would rather a defaulting tenant in the cheaper property than the more “quality” property, as I would lose a major amount of money in that.

    Having said that, a plumber or other tradey, will cost you the same no matter how much rental return you get. I always think the $80-$100 rental places can cost significantly more in repairs than one which is newer and gets more $$ rent.

    Poor people aren’t poorer tenants… just like we are not always enriched by having richer tenants. However, a poor quality rental property *may* allow a property to not be looked after- if we don’t maintain our properties as landlords, I guess we can’t expect tenants to. A cheap cottage can be a “renovate or demolish” job, or a “cute charming cottage”- just depends on how we look after it. I presume the latter would get a better “quality” tenant- despite income of the tenant.

    kay henry

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    Yorker,

    I don’t mind a down time in the market. Home lending is, according to the RB, still at unsustainably high levels- with first home buyers buying up big. This still puts pressure on IR’s increasing- which I don’t want- not for me, not for anyone else. If we don’t want IR’s to rise- then we might hope that activity dampens down a bit.

    Yorker, I am currently not actively buying- I’m paying off. It’s boring, but that’s the way it is.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    The level of IR rates is probably a bit off topic, but some 12 years ago, I was getting 18% interest on a deposit over a year. So IR’s would have been about 20% then. That was the highest I ever remember them being. The next year, the deposit rate fell to 16% over 5 years, and I thought it was too low- hehe. Actually, it’s fortunate I put my money into RE, because I made more from that over each year.

    I had an on topic comment, but have to go to work- hehe. I’ll chuck it in later.

    kay henry

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    dogwoman,

    I gyuess if you can get a loan, you’d have to make sure the IP was CF+. A pension doesn’t give you much leeway in the event of repairs etc. Just make sure your property isn’t a … well, a dog.

    kay henry

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    hehe.. well, at least I answered the Q, techa- sheesh.

    Seriously, IR’s are not going to rise all in one go. I get wage rises every year, and in fact, they should negate any small IR rises on my current level of mortgage- not on yours- but on mine. That’s my answer, techa- and to pay extra on my mortgage. That’s not avoiding the Q- that’s how I deal with IR rises.

    I’ve never been a fan of lock-ins. That’s just me- others like them.

    kay henry

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    techa,

    I am not a lock-in type- I go for variable rates- a lot can happen in 5 years- it is possible that rates might even go down, although our economy would have to flatten considerably for the RB to stimulate activity in that way.

    I rely on wage rises to counteract IR rises. I also pay extra into my mortgage, so that, if times get tough and IR’s rise, I can ease back a bit.

    I have no doubt that IR’s *could* go to 10%. There may be a lot of people out there working a second job if they do.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Thanks Sonja :) This was not some freak show. I would never do a heads up about a Springer episode- too easy. It was a doco on SBS- not so much about the big women, but about the dynamic of the relationship between her and the “feeder”. People might have found it titillating, perhaps, but that is probably their own immaturity. Glad some people got to watch it.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    I dunno- I find it a bit racist personally.

    kay henry

    Profile photo of kay henrykay henry
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    Thanks, Baloo. I guess it’s over and done with now :o) The doco was indeed interesting. Noone has fessed up about why they removed the topic, so I’m gonna leave it.

    Dear Mods, if I wrote something sexist, racist, homophobic, then I would expect it to be removed. If I yelled at a Forum member, or name-called, or lost my temper, then yes, I expect to be edited. But seeing I did none of the above, and merely drew people’s attention to one of the most fascinating programs I have seen, then how’s about next time you let me know what’s happening in your mind to find such a post offensive :)

    Yours in solidarity :+P

    kay henry

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