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  • Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    @josh-atherton
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    Jaidee wrote:

    Are you able to assist with properties in Gladstone !

    thanks

    Hi JD,

    Thanks for explaining the NRAS a bit more, I try to have my head around as much as I can but there is just so much to know about! It relieves my nerves knowing that you can sell outside of NRAS. My other question is, being an NRAS development, would this mean that an entire complex is occupied by tenants on low income?

    Thats is the best way to get your head around an area by going and spending some time there. I can help in Gladstone to an extent, I only deal with next properties and am doing my best to get these at great prices with builders rates etc, however this limits what I have available to new stock only. one opportunity that may be of interest is a land development that wont be available until next march, however in the first stage the developer has 2 300sqm lots left for $165,000-$170,000. it is small but you will still get a good house around the 170sqm on it which will get you great rent on it. You will definitely get a good house and land package for under $400,000 here. You just need to accept the fact that it is a small block. However, your rent will still be the same if it was on a bigger block that you would pay an extra $100,000 for.

    This might help?

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    katmat wrote:
    Hi Josh,

    I’ve been keenly reading through all of the threads and your updates, as well as doing some of my own research and I must say that the most interesting area for me constantly comes back to Gladstone. Although prices seem to have already spiked I am keen to get in still (and sooner rather than later). What can you offer to potential investors like me as I dont see any house and land packages under at least $520K for around 600 sqrs and although the rental returns are huge for that outlay I still want to make sure I am protected in terms rental securing and medium to long term capital growth potential. What do you have available to offer for an investor and how long before your stock is ready to buy…… if indeed you have any?
    Katmat

    Hi Katmat,

    Thanks for your interest! If you’re a savvy investor who is willing to watch and try and time markets than Gladstone can be a great option for you. Unfortunately the land developers in Gladstone know they are in the box seat and are demanding high prices for reasonable blocks of land. I have looked at a few cheaper blocks for private sale around the low $200’s, however they are generally very steep blocks which will require retaining etc. Once this is done they are the same price as normal developers stock. We are working in some stages of some estates which will be released by the end of the year we are told. Depending on the size of the house you build, you will be able to secure a house and land package in the very low $500’s. This is of course depending on the blocks that you choose as well as house size. As we are a boutique sized firm, we are lucky to be able to deal with some of the better developers who wont let builders secure 20-30 blocks at a time. This protects our clients investment from having tiny “shoe boxes” which all look the same, being built all around them and also increasing the owner occupier rates for the neighbourhood.

    In regards to rental returns, the managing agents in Gladstone are expecting 20% increases by the end of the year alone. Bechtel, who are the company awarded with the contracts to build the LNG plants) have shown interest to secure rents for 10 years with CPI increases annually. This isn’t the most effective way however it does provide security for some landlords. All the advice given by the local agents is to sign a 6 month lease at a time. You don’t have to rent out furnished, however it is well worth the investment!

    Does this answer your question for you?

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    shoooshoo wrote:
    ….thanks Josh, your da man.. also i’m starting to hate my due diligence!!!! hahaha. where did you get this info from? also i was searching for your phone number, thought i would give you a ring and have a chat.

    Hi Shooshoo,

    Don’t worry I think everyone wishes investing in the right area was easy but it’s just not! We all hear the good stories but there are a lot of bad stories out there which aren’t heard as much which just proves the need for in depth due-diligence for everything!

    The article was in the Courier Mail on Friday (i cant find it online but here’s a Toowoomba paper exert) http://www.thechronicle.com.au/story/2011/08/16/57m-deal-boosts-job-market-toowoomba/

    my direct mobile is 0438 593 603

    cheers

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    Jaidee wrote:

    Hi Josh

    Can you please offer advice on –  Gladstone vs Bundaberg vs Mackay.
     I'm NSW based and not overlly familiar with Qld market, but have been looking at few NRAS properties…there's one being offered for $270k (2bed villa) in Bundaberg. But thinking if its worth investing in Gladstone or Mackay…I can go upto $400k.

    Im a newbie..thanks
    JD

    Hi JD,

    Can I ask what drew you to look at these three areas initially? This might help with identifying which area has the strongest characteristics that suit your needs. I am not 100% over the NRAS properties so maybe someone else can give there opinion here also. From my understanding, you are bound to let them out below market value in order to recieve a lump sum payment from the government. To me, this sounds to restrictive, especially if its your first property. Am I correct in saying that if you want to sell, then the scheme applies to the new purchaser? If this is the case, I could see issues with finding a buyer in an efficient manner should you have to implement your exit strategy for whatever reason. I could be wrong in my understanding of it so do correct me if I am wrong. If I am correct, this is just my personal feelings on it, I am not saying it is not a good thing, It just wouldn’t be for me anyway. Without knowing your circumstances Its hard to know if it would be right for you or not.

    In regards to the areas, I would favour Gladstone and Mackay over Bundaberg purely for the amount of growth drivers they have. However, property prices in Bundaberg however, are less than Mackay or Gladstone. Of these two, I believe Mackay will be the long term steady performer over the often turbulent Gladstone. In saying this, Gladstone is in for some great growth over the coming years, however as a newbie, i would not go this option alone. Also to take advantage of the LNG industries, new properties are going to be better for rentals, obviously an indirect impact will occur on the older stock too. Mackay rents are around the 5.5-6% where furnished in Gladstone is achieving well above the 8%. Two completely different markets even though they are relatively close to each other.

    Do you have tax to minimise? or are you looking for cash flow positive before any depreciation?

    I am bullish on Emerald, have a look into that if you want to explore elsewhere. once again a steady, secure performer with good returns and great capital growth. Either way I believe you have done a good thing by exploring regional QLD, it is where a lot of the growth will be over the next few years especially.

    Assess your goals, financial position, comfort levels, how much you want to be involved with something (how much time you have) and keep looking at all of your options.

    I hope this helps, JD

    Cheers,

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    shoooshoo wrote:
    Hi guys just read this article about the massive mining investment from the Indian company in galilee basin. Is this the mega mine happening in alpha?

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/from-pit-to-port-indias-10bn-coal-export-plan/story-fn59niix-1226118491805

    Hi Shooshoo, there are 4 mines currently all at different stages of planning for the Galillee Basin / Alpha and yes this is one of them. they will all have current initial output of 30mtpa which is quite significant in comparison.

    Also in relation to the surat Basin, there was a small report yesterday that a building company in Brisbane has just secured a $57m contract with Qld Gas Company to build 1300 transportable accommodation facilities. Something you may want to include in your due-diligence if you are still looking at the Surat Basin area.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    shoooshoo wrote:
    hey guys, what are your thoughts on this:

    http://www.dailymercury.com.au/story/2011/03/11/expansion-plan-opens-more-land-for-housing-mackay/

    its about the Issac Shire council giving green light the for Dysart to expand with 50-60hectares of residential lots. how many houses can you put on that amount? and what do you think is the impact to the property market there as i’m researching to buy there, although its very hard to find anything to buy there.

    Hey Shooshoo,

    This could create 400-500 residential lots at 800sqm. I am still trying to find out the demand on Dysart, I am sure any estate of this size wouldn’t release to many at once so it doesn’t flood the market. This will no doubt attract builders there, I wonder what impact the new houses will have on the old. ie if the companies had a choice would they favor the new? You would think this would be the case, but I don’t see them having a choice so it is an unlikely scenario

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    Past performance is something to look at with a grain of salt. None-the less it is still an important part of conducting a due-diligence. This does not mean that if it has had poor growth in the past than so it will be in the future or vice-versa. However it can actually mean the opposite.

    When looking at past performance of a suburb, it can help you identify any growth patterns, then you have grounds to asses why or how those growth patterns occurred. It can also be a good indicator of the publics perception with that suburb. If good growth has occurred than you could make an initial conclusion that it is a favoured suburb over its neighbours. This helps you to know that this is now a good question to investigate as to why this is or is not the case.

    If the suburb boomed then it will give you the guidance to investigate as to why, and what drivers caused this boom. What were the demographics before or after, and does the suburb have any more of these drivers in the region planned for the future. Or, does any of the neighbouring suburbs that may not have followed trend show correlating signs pre any boom or once again vice-versa.

    Also it will help give you an indication to the buying behaviour and or patterns of that area. Are they slow and steady, or sporadic and more susceptible to general economic conditions.

    As I said, past performance is in no way in indicator for the future, but if you use past performance to help identify trends etc than it is a vital tool that should not be overlooked.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    Yes it is…

    Exert from ATO
    “Similarly, if you take out a loan to purchase land on which to build a rental property or to finance renovations to a property you intend to rent out, the interest on the loan will be deductible from the time you took the loan out. However, if your intention changes, for example, you decide to use the property for private purposes and you no longer use it to produce rent or other income, you cannot claim the interest after your intention changes.”

    see this link…
    http://www.ato.gov.au/individuals/content.aspx?menuid=0&doc=/content/00270214.htm&page=9#P251_26597

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    Quote:

    Hi Josh,

    You mention some builders are really bad, especially Vantage homes.
    Care to mention why and who are they?

    Hi Banz,

    from my experience with building some of my own properties in Emerald, they built about 10 houses in the same street surrounding my properties and they all looked the same (with minor changes). The locals on the street were all fairly upset as there street appeal had been reduced significantly, even to the fact that local agents were telling people that its a bad street. the houses were tiny and attracted a different demographic of people which was not where the street was heading. What was a great street has been significantly negatively impacted until the homes are one day purchased by owner occupiers in hope that they can lift the appeal of the blocks.

    I am not out to knock anyone for the sake of it, but when I went to sell my home in that street my sale price was significantly impacted due to these properties being built. As this thread is about helping people invest in regional areas I feel that it was important to mention this. I am sure that if more care was taken with the end result of all of these properties than the street appeal could have been increased.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    Investingnovice wrote:
    Josh,

    I am planning on buying a 3×2 Brand New Townhouse on Fowler St (West Gladstone) being managed by Elders real estate. Did you have a look at these town houses what would be your recommendations for buying one of these properties . i.e. location, construction of homes, rentability etc etc

    Hi Wendy,

    any chance of a link to them on the net? I think I know the ones you are talking about, the white looking ones?

    What is the rental appraisal?

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    Lucky I Guess wrote:
    Hi Josh,

    Ive been reading your travels, and I was wondering whether will be expanding your areas of expertise to other mining areas.

    I for one have been looking very closely at the Oaklands Basis and am thinking this could be a place to sneak in on the ground floor.

    Do you know much about this area?

    Hi,

    I am definitely interested in finding out about that market/region, however time restricts me currently to do so whilst my focus and core business is throughout QLD. I am keen to hear the underlying fundamentals of what is happening there though.

    Thanks!

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    max147 wrote:
    StevieC wrote:
    I would be careful about the Dysart units. I was offered these by a property website at $425k & found them in the paper up there for $415k. Like most of these projects the developer has to sell so many off the plan before the banks will lend the money & I have heard he is not flush with funds.If he doesnt sell all those units he wont be doing the shopping centre upgrade….I'm assuming these are the units you mean?

    Regards Max147

    Last time I checked, two-tiered marketing was illegal in QLD, its amazing people get away with this!

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    also the town has grown a lot since 2006. over 400 blocks have been released, sold and occupied. over 150 units built and occupied. the town is unrecognizable from 2006. you are talking about less than 1% of existing houses being for sale in reality, I would love to be in that market!

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    shoooshoo wrote:
    according to realestate.com.au there are currently about 300 houses for sale in Emerald, and the 2006 census states there are 4500 private dwellings. we have to wait for the 2011 census, but with those figures 6% seems a bit high of available houses for sale, considering the sqm data as well. I’m no expert, if someone can clarify this info, i would appreciate it,
    thanks

    I did this for a client the other day, there were 146 properties that were salable without problems, ready and available to move into within the next 3 months. this has taken into account over 30 properties listed with a marketing firm for an estate which is approximately 12 months away from even being done, overpriced properties by more than 15%, flooded properties, multiple listings, properties already under contract, as well as people just trying to sell house plans, industrial and rural properties etc. realestate.com is in no way an accurate measure to assess any town. I would recommend paying for an rpdata subscription which will give you true and accurate information.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    shoooshoo wrote:
    according to SQMresearch, there are 122 properties that have been on the market for sale for more than 2months in Emerald. there are some that have been on since 31st of March 2009!!! what is going on?

    hi shooshoo,

    I can’t view the whole document as it asks me to pay for it and I’m not keen to do that. what initially shows up are properties that are infact just a local agent trying to sell house plans for the builder. maguires real estate had these on for years even when I was living there. don’t forget that parts of emerald flooded, I wouldn’t expect these properties rush out the door! no matter where you go there is a certain time that properties are on the market for on average. Even Gladstone, Australias hottest market currently, has properties that sit there. remember people buy houses, not just areas. most of the time if a property isn’t selling don’t dismiss the area, have a look at the property also. is or was it overpriced, is there any problems with the property etc.

    also remember that in Qld, especially regional, there are a LOT of open listings, that is, more than one agent has the property for sale. this happens a lot from the start of a marketing campaign. currently, Emerald has a higher owner occupier purchasingrate than Gladstone, Dysart, Chinchilla, Moranbah etc. this means potentially a bit more time on the market as investors aren’t inflating prices so much that the region becomes unsustainable for families to buy and live in an area. Emeralds not a “boom” townthis year, it was in 05′, 06′ & 07′. and will see great growth in the future. however I don’t believe, and I hope, that emerald will be like Moranbah etc, it is to diverse and secure for that and that would also ruin what is becoming a great regional city in it’s own right.

    shooshoo, the writings on the wall for most of regional Qld in this mining boom, theres an array of different areas with different outcomes but as far as finding the next moranbah as such, you need to find an area that no one wants to live and put up with a bumpy road until the area you choose becomes it. and in most cases, you will have sold out before it takes off too! 3 years ago you were crazy to go to Moranbah…so you will need to find an area that everyone thinks you’re crazy for investing in and back yourself the entire journey in hope that youve made the right move.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    Definitely go Emerald, a lot more diversity in its economy and set in a good position when the Alpha mine come online in the next few years.

    hbbehrendorff said it all I think, as an ex-local of Emerald, I agree here.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    katmat wrote:
    Thanks for the response and spending time providing me with some clarity on what your company can offer. In essence you are a 1 stop shop for investors from start to finish which I like being a first time potential investor. I’ve done some of my own research and although I like what Emerald and Mackay has to offer, I still feel like there may be some short to medium term investment opportunities there in Gladstone considering it seems to be on the top of most investor searches. Let me know what you might be able to offer there if indeed you have anything available (ie house and land packages under 470K that can deliver high growth and yield?
    Katmat

    Hi Katmat,

    Gladstone should provide some good growth for people there is no doubt about that, just watch the market carefully as you invest there. In regards to packages that we are putting together in Gladstone, there are some large 3 bed units that would come under the $500k mark, I am also negotiating with a number of land developers at present in regards to land that will be released over the next twelve months or so. I am hoping to have some released by the end of December, however this is taking time for the developer to confirm. In regards to build prices, I will be able to have costs hopefully under the $1300 per square metre mark.

    I have two blocks available which will be released in February/March 2012 which are only 300m2 (small but cost effective). you will still fit a small 4 bedroom house on this and have a package for under $400,000. If you furnished it you will still achieve a similar rent as a 4 bedroom house on a 700m2 block. (approx $800 – $ 1000 per week) The peak workforce will be starting by the end of next year, just in time to ride the premium rents.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    KeyStrategies wrote:
    Josh – you are the regional expert – I know that Emerald is your favorite town – However I would like the hear what your thoughts are on the potential of Nebo as a place to invest?

    Hi,

    At a glance, Nebo’s population declined between 2001 and 2006 by 51%! poor lifestyle opportunities maybe? its median sales price is rising however this is mainly due to a small amount of sales (only three recorded so far this year). I Dont think the rail project will cause the place to “boom” however it could make for good returns with rent.Out of all the companies in regional QLD, the rail companies have always looked for the cheaper accommodation. This isn’t always the case, however there budgets are a lot tighter than the mining companies. It is fairly close to Mackay, I know where I would live if I was only 1hr away from Mackay. I don’t see overflow going from Moranbah to Nebo but I could be wrong.

    The population decline worries me, it takes a long time and careful government and citizen planning for regional cities to get to the level of attracting people and businesses long term. for every 1 job directly created within a coal/mining company, approximately 2 indirect jobs are created. If they dont get created in the same area/region than you loose out on the long term compounding population growth effect.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    JT7 wrote:
    Hi Josh,

    I know your bullish on Emerald and would be interested in your opinion, and anyone else with experience in this market, your preferred product ie. unit or house considering future developments in the area and having made a selection whether new or established?

    Jack

    Hi Jack,

    late reply here… I am quite bullish on emerald more for the fact of its security rather than rental yields. I never chase properties for cash flow as I just don’t need to whereas some people do to even out there portfolio with losses made elsewhere. I always go new, mainly due to my relationships with builders, deprecation, and I really don’t like buying other peoples mistakes basically. Also as i really don’t want to spend my days calling tradies to get things fixed. This is okay to do if you only have one or two properties in your portfolio but if you have more it can be quite a hassle.

    In Emerald units or houses are both fairly sought after. 2 bed units are popular, however i always build three bed as there are more buyers in the market for 3 bed units. In saying that, I have a developer doing 2 bedroom units in Emerald, I would furnish these if it was me buying one. These units are good as they are around the $300k mark with good rent so its a great lower entry point.

    A new, quality, 4 bedroom house will always rent the best in my experience. not the lower level typical investment that some builders pump out all in a row, but a nice, 4 bedroom home with 2 good living areas in a good, semi quite street with quality neighbours rents the best. In a mining town you get people doing shift work, so the positioning of the house and the rooms within it can be quite important I believe.

    the houses and duplex units only need 2 bathrooms, you will most likely attract a young couple or a family in Emerald. So furnishing and having extra bathrooms like some other towns wont pay off. This will see less wear and tear on your property also.

    If you have Facebook have a look at our page, I pasted an article there today about the Alpha mines. People overlook Emerald, which to me is great for now while I am quite bullish on it and holding more and more properties there. In three years time people will be wishing they got in now, that’s my belief anyway.

    Profile photo of Josh AthertonJosh Atherton
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    shoooshoo wrote:
    Hey guys,

    have you considered Blackwater? i’m trying to search for the next Moronbah/Dysart, do you think this could be it?

    Personally I don’t think so, Emerald is 75km away, just to close to make it like Dysart or Moranbah where Mackay is at least 200km away. Although blackwater has some great returns and growth also. it has taken off a lot already over the last 12 months but not to the extent of Moranbah or Blackwater. If you really want a gamble, Wandoan, or even Alpha itself. Remember, the Alpha mines still need a small amount of accommodation there, and considering the town is tiny it will really impact it.

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