Emma,
stratigic default only applies to OWNER occuppied loans at the time of Purchase of the OWNER occuppied home… If someone bought a home in any state for a rental the Purchase Money clause has no power of law.. and a bank can sue on the note and go for a deficniency.
Just like any junior lender who is wiped out in foreclosure can come back and sue on the note as a wiped out Junior this is starting to happen all over the place..
YOu have investors buying these wiped out juniors for 1 Cents on the dollar triaging them to see if debtor has any assets. and starting to sue these people to collect…. The only releif from these types of litigation is a full chapter 7 bankruptcy… This is why BK attornies tell you to list everyone and everything you may have come into contact with financially so no one can chase you at a later date.
There is an art to chasing bad debt… the key being to not put to much pressure on in the beginning get your judgements.. then be patient let them restablish this is exactly what the IRS does. Also how bad credit card debt is handled bought and sold.
As for prices: that is one question my clients ask how long can you keep buying at these prices that make your fully managed model work. My answer has been depending on market 1 to 5 years and some markets forever.
Metro Atlanta pops back to a 90 to 120k market ( which is were is should be) then guess what I am a seller, we have all made a nice return.. And my investors never had to do one thing other than wire in their purchase funds and check there account every month to make sure the exact same payment each and every month has been deposited on the 15th… In almost all cases my clients will have never travelled to see the property they hold the mortgage over or even care too. This true sit at home and collect money saves them thousands upon thousands in travel fee's time stress dealing with managers all the other bull pucky that owners go through,,, "you just leave the driving to us" to the young USA guys on this site they may not recognize that tag line and the Ozzie's may not either… It was Greyhound buses tag line for many years….Sit back relax and leave the driving to US.
so Like I stated for all those that could decipher a good deal when they saw it vis a vi quality of neighborhood construction tenant price to rental ratio and invested in the US over the last 24 months your going to be very happy, Those that got spruieked well nothing we can do for those bad investments as bad investments are simply bad investments anywhere in the world.
Just Brain Storming here but if I had a Portfolio like WI;s here is what I would do. AS she admitted she has about 600k invested in Metro Atlanta and works it like a small business and is doing well because she is diligent to the extreme and has the time and energy and know how to stay on top of things ( this is a big deal a lot of folks are caught up in their jobs daily lives and just do not have the time or inclination to stay right on top of things) and being a day in time away and as such its a huge deal in my mind. Not much control you can exercise from the other side of the world….
Anywho..
If the market recovers like we all hope its going too, it will top out in metro Atlanta at about 90 to maybe 140 for the assets of the kind that we have bought and what I see posted by WI… The reason they will stop there is there is huge amounts of buildable lots that have been bought by builders in these areas for basically nothing 1 to 5k per lot shovel ready, I know I have bought a bunch ( in preperation for opening our vertical construction arm in 2015.
So contruction cost in the South are very low… These homes are built with the absolute cheapest materials and finishes you can buy in the US… And these guys build them QUICK 60 to 90 days highly effiecent.. And building permits are very low. Here in Oregon my average building permit is 35k for instance,,, parts of CA double that.
So these builders are going to be able to come in and build for 50 to 60 dollars a foot the same homes that WI and my company own…I know they can do this because I build in Oregon for 55 to 60 per Sq Ft. better quality than Atlanta right now today, but does not include permit or land…. I pay 50 to 100k for lots in my market today down from 100 to 200k…..
So you got the big production builders sitting on 100's of lots if not thousands… Little to no dirt cost.. And they will slam up 1500 foot houses for 75 to 90k all in and market them at 109 to 149k… You are seeing this today in this market. I bought a few in one sub last december where I bought the foreclosures at the mid 40's mark and the exact same floor plans of new constructin there were 9 being built were 99 to 119k…
So yes WI in my mind has analysed the cost to replace ratios and so have we and others and I think we are all going to do very well… Others like the one poster who bought 4 from TRR and 2 were not performing will not do as well, because they will have a hard time ever getting out of the negative gear situation they got into year one if they are realistic about rolling losses forward.. but I think if they bought in the right spots they will recoup their capital and some equity.
On to my suggestion and what My personal exit stratigy would be.
I would stratigically sell off taking my profits,,, And with those profits I would move into the next higher asset class that is much easier to manage than single families… I would be looking at rolling into Class A multi,,, be it apartments or Mobile home parks on the west coast. And or industrial work storage type facilities, you know the ones were the carpet people need storage and have an office in the front… These are super easy to manage and need very little maintenance as oppossed to single families.
I would look to take my profit and generate 8% on it, in a perfect world I would be able to roll these up in one big escrow and 1031 tax deffered exchange… Lock in long term debt at good rates on the class A multi. My 8% cash on Cash would generate some pretty nice cash flow depending on the size of the portfolio we end up with over the next 5 years. we just surpassed 130 doors June 1… And looking for another 200 this year… So if we can keep cherry picking them, have our great partners on the ground we end up with a pretty happy crew… Investor client that gets long term predictable cash flow with never a bad day,,,My partners are earning equity instead of flipping houses ( and kicking themselves in the rear years down the line for selling away the best deals in the last 30 years) and my self being the mad scientist putting this all together and watching my team work… Its a lot of fun I can tell you from my side… Its truly a win win for all parties no one is running away with the lions share of profits and we ALL stay in the deal… This is what any institutional and or bigger player is always looking for when we do our larger deals. They want to know how we are staying in till the end and that we get paid when they get paid.
its really only this house flipping scenerio that investors are fine with who ever is selling them a house to make profit and have no trailing risk…
JLH
Anyway brainstorming over….
I suppose with the OZ investor it would be just cash out come home say hey aint it great and buy CD's at 5% which if we had 5 to 7% CD's I would be doing the same thing.
JLH