How to do the numbers? Just find out what ALL the bills are, and work out how much each bill costs on average each week. For example, if the council rates are $900 a year, then per week, it's $900 per week.
Then do this:
Expected weekly rent minus Total of weekly bills minus How much interest you'll have to pay the bank each week
If the result is a negative number, that will be the amount you have to put in each week for the first year. It will reduce by about $20 a year for a house worth about $280k. This is because you'll put the rent up each year, and eventually you will no longer contribute your own money each week.
First call the council and find out if it would comply with the subdivision rules for that area. eg there might be a minimum block size, minimum backyard size per dwelling etc.
The subdivision itself will probably set you back less than $10k, but call a surveyor in the area and ask.
There might be extra "requirements" imposed upon you by council, the water company, the gas company, the electricity company or the telephone company. for example, there's some law that says there cannot be electricity wires that drape from one property to another. If you have this, you might be forced to pay for the installation of a pit, plus fork out for the cost of the sparky to rewire it all.
A subdivision is a wonderful idea if you don't face problems such as the above-mentioned one. Be warned, if you subdivide and keep both, you'll be hit for TWO sets of council rates, water bills etc.
Why would you pay it off? Just leave the money in the offset. You might change your might about your strategy between now and then. If the money is in the offset, the savings on interest is the same as if you'd paid it off anyway.
Wow your accountant should be fired. If you are making a loss, it is a LOSS. The tax department will not give you a full refund on your loss either. Just a portion of it. Why would you deliberately make a loss?
ps 99% of Hoppers Crossing is so safe it is boring. Steer clear of the birdsville estate, which is the area south of the Werribee Plaza where all street names are named after birds. That's the trouble area.
No, Laverton is not going to get a shopping centre any time soon, and the area between Old Geelong Road and Leakes Road will house a massive commercial park. I have spoken extensively to Wyndham City Council about all this. It is considered that the Williams Landing shopping centre will service the residents of Laverton. To be fair, Williams Landing is not particularly far away.
Yes you are right about the land. If you are ever going to want a backyard for your future kids to run around in, the sooner you buy it the better. Land is going up in value faster than you could save for it. So if you can, get yourself a house with a yard now. It also leaves the option open in later years to subdivide and sell off the back yard when you no longer require it. Or indeed build a dwelling in the backyard and rent it out for income in your old age. This presumes there are no convenants/caveats on the title preventing this.
If I were in your position, I would be trying to do one of two things:
1. Get a house as close to the city as I could afford (eg Laverton), and close to a railway station or 2. Get a house within a 5min drive of a Westfield Shopping Centre (eg Hoppers Crossing) – with busroutes to the train station
With a major Westfield Shopping Centre already in Hoppers Crossing with a major expansion on the cards, I cannot imagine Mister Westfield suddenly opening a similarly large centre just down the road in Derrimut.
Property values seem to go up in a nice stable manner around Westfields. It is also the case that there is only a certain amount of land available near train stations. It's not like they can make any more land…
If you are dead set on the Tarneit thru Derrimut area, stick to Tarneit. It's getting a new rail station in a few years, is close to the Werribee Plaza Westfield, and has lots of schools including Westbourne Grammar. History has shown that on the other side of the city, property around private schools performs well.
What are your jobs and where do you currently work? This will have a big impact on where it is convenient to live…
Have you looked at Laverton? It's the last station in zone 1. It has fast train links to both Melbourne and Geelong. You can still get a 3br house for under $350k there. You'd be just down the road from Altona which has Altona Gate Shopping Centre and a beach.
If it is an investment, you are not trying to buy a place to suit your lifestyle. It's only about the numbers. Look at historical and projected capital growth, rental yields and vacancy rates for each of the areas mentioned. The rear pages of "Australian Property Investor" magazine are good for this. Also keep a close eye on a couple of areas on http://www.realestate.com.au/rent to get a feel for how long properties are taking to rent. If no single house in an area stays on the books longer than a week, then that's a fair indicator that rental property is in demand in that area.
If your target market is renters, talk to a few local letting agents about things like this:
Does a "study" attract additional rent? What is the differential in rental return between a 3br and a 4br house? How important to the renters for a property like this to have a large yard? Do they prefer low maintenance, or large yard? If they want a larger yard, why? Is it for the kids to play in, or is it for a dog? If it is the latter, how much extra rent per week will a tenant pay in order to have a house where dogs are permitted? What extras would you need to provide for this? eg higher fencing?
You'd get your answer to most of these questions by looking on http://www.realestate.com.au/rent . Ultimately it is about the bottom dollar. If an extra bedroom attracts more rent per week than a family paying a bit extra for the allowance for a dog, then go the extra bedroom. Also factor in how long each type of tenant stays. If families with a dog stay 5 years, versus other types of families that move each year, you might opt for the longer style tenancy with a little less rent.
The resale market is another matter altogether. You're not trying to squeeze weekly income out of every square metre of the property. Moreso you're trying to appeal to the emotional homebuyer market… in which case a yard might be important. Again, look at http://www.realestate.com.au/buy to see what is on offer in the area, and what seems to sell quickly. Also ask local real estate agents about what local buyers want.
Re the childcare issue, might be wise to consider living near family members that are retired and have a burning desire to do lots of daytime babysitting!
Is there a reason you intend to buy the first place outright? Why don't you get a loan. It'll give you more to spend – and then hopefully you'll be able to get a place in an area that can be tenanted all year round for a decent rate. Leverage the bank's money
Townhouse – for the reasons you have already highlighted. Note that sometimes a townhouse will be on its own title, and sometimes it will be subject to body corporate fees (eg due to shared driveways). You need to ask that question when enquiring about a property.
Apartments in Melbourne don't have a history of appreciating as quickly as houses in the suburbs. Personally I think you would be better to spread your risk and get two houses in the suburbs, rather than one box in Southbank.
I think Richard means to also have an offset on your PPOR loan. Pay into that instead of hand the money over to the mortgage itself. Saves interest for you, but the money is retrievable if need be.