Forum Replies Created
- jmsrachel wrote:Hey Freckle answer this for me.
If the collapse should occur who would be worse off between you and I?
You would have to define worse off.
Quote:Let’s say I have a handful of IP’s all within 20km to the CBD and approx $1m in debt.
Let’s say you own no property, currently rent, and live week to week comfortably.
I would assume you would say that you would be in a better position to handle the collapse.
Possibly. It depends on your strategy in times of crises.
Quote:But at the end of the day what have I got to lose? It’s so easy to declare bankruptcy in this country it’s not even funny. If I can’t pay my mortgages or values dramatically drop down it’s not my problem – it becomes the banks problem.Somewhat over simplified Joe. You loose everything in your or the entities name. It'll depend on how your structured. If you're a company you can literally walk away from the debt with little recourse to you and yours personally in most cases. If your indebted personally they can take everything and leave you with the bare necessities. You may not have enough left over to pay the bond on a basic rental. Your income can be encumbered for several years and if they think you're hiding assets they'll hound you for some time.
Personal bankruptcy is the last thing you ever want to go through. Dying is fun by comparison.
Quote:And once I go bankrupt I will be able to claim benefits that you claim instead of working 7 days a week.AU has one of the lowest SS payments in the world – think below the poverty line.
Quote:It’s out of my control so why sit tight and be cautious and wait for something to happen?I've never suggested you be cautious as in don't invest. Information is power and with it you can avoid or minimise risk/damage and position for opportunity.
The PI's who are at the most risk are those with properties in one city in one class/category type with 70% plus leverage. The objective when a crises is coming is reduce your exposure so you can come out the other side with the ability to recover and carry on. Being philosophical about getting wiped out is not a strategy.
Quote:If a collapse should happen it would be a blessing for me.No it won't. It will be misery like you've never seen before.
jmsrachel wrote:Freckle when the collapse happens next year you won't have nothing to talk about any more! I guess I'll see you on the sinking ship, I hope you can swim.I found an Island
I could talk about the economic positives and upside opportunity but I'd be lying through my teeth.
cbarry wrote:Hi Freckle,I was under the impression a mortgage broker only looks after getting finance for you. My broker said she isn't there to offer me financial advice! I thought they were separate?
She's the 2 bob variety.
If a broker doesn't understand property investing how can they advise on the product and the way to set it up to buy an investment property?
Like all teams there's Grand Final winners and Wooden Spooners. Your team need to be experts in property investing and preferably investors themselves. It's the golden rule when picking your team. An accountant who specialises in estate management won't cut it. A solicitor that specialises in family law won't cut it.
There's players and then there's 'players'. Your guys need to know property with their eyes shut.
Professional skills often overlap and then there's just knowledge and experience from being in the game. When you talk to your broker they can often see problems that while not necessarily their pervue they can alert you to potential problems, give you an overview and give you an agenda to discuss with your appropriate expert team member.
If you talk to investors here with multiple properties they will tell you that an expert team is the essential foundation component to achieving success. It's not a guarantee but it substantially reduces the risk.
Maybe 2015 will be the year of the collapse.
Our entire economy runs on debt creations, vis-a-vis financialization, since we import $500 billion a year more than we export.
2015 is the year when increasing debt results in ZERO GDP growth. The end of the line. But that won’t stop the Federal Reserve and the criminals in Washington. Enjoy what time we have left before it all collapses.
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You have to remember what GDP there is is largely underpinned by debt. The US now spends(QE) $1 to get a $0.10 GDP lift. It used to be 1:1. We are nearing the end of CB's ability to contain this thing. Confidence in CB's is slowly ebbing. At some point it goes critical. When that happens it will be a scramble for the exits.
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The AU market is considered by almost all measures to be 40% over valued. Banks are lowering mortgage qualifying standards trying to keep this thing spinning. 60% of banks assets are property. A 10% market drop wipes out their collateral. It happened in 08 but they were saved by FED back door operations and government guarantees. Next time we won't be as lucky.
You need legal advice.
My first action would be to band together and engage a brief to at least advise you of your options. Until then you're spitting into the wind.
Latest Q3 figures don't bode well.
Japanese Q3 Growth Tumbles As Abenomics Cracks Following Slide In Consumption And Exports
Bucket loads of QE and a half gutted currency aren't moving this economy in the right direction.
When you're in a race to the bottom all you get is a pile up.
A bigger problem is that suddenly hope is fading: "The chief Asian investment officer at one major global asset manager says foreign investors are getting increasingly “antsy” with the apparent lack of progress. “Personally, I wouldn’t be a major buyer of Japan,” he says. "If you buy now you are still buying on hope."
It's all going so well….. who'd a thunk it… $75B/mth in the worlds 3rd largest economy and QE that makes the FED look half hearted don't seem to be enough to shock this baby into life. Moar on the way I'm guessing.
Get your popcorn this is gonna be one helluva show.
Sensitive bits aside for a moment.
Labor reform is a buggered if you do buggered if you don't problem. Japan has one of the most inefficient labor markets in the world. About 144th I believe. While improving labor markets will enable business to be more competitive it will invariably send unemployment through the roof. I certainly have no faith in any Japanese govt to manage the transition to an efficient labor market environment competently and without huge distress to many individuals. Any transition would be bloody to say the least.
Labor reform to IR laws cost the NLP in AU 2 terms in govt and stiil haunts them today. AU labor reform was a cake walk compared to what the Japanese market would experience.
Their problem is they're 25 years too late.
If you come out the other side of a 30 year global credit boom far worse than when you went in. What chance have you of fixing the mess when the global economy is tanking. A very very fat one I'm thinking.
There's a site search box at top right. Put in 'defense'… theres' 3000 threads on the subject.
cbarry wrote:my broker told me to stop over analysing everything and just simply buy something.Get another broker. That one isn't worth 2 bob.
A good broker does more than just get you the finance. They help you understand and analyse the deal. They should also help you refine your investing strategy that enables you to be properly structured for future growth/investing opportunities. You reconfirm that advice/info with your accountant and at a deeper level.
Just simply buy something doesn't cut it.
Two things you absolutely need to do before you jump.
You need to develop an investors mind set. Your not buying fast red cars, fashion label clothing or cuddly puppies. Your buying little boxes on blocks of dirt that people want to pay you to live in.
You also need to have, at the very least, a basic understanding of the game and its rules.
At this point you have neither. While you develop those two things, mindset and knowledge you should be putting together your 'team'. You need an accountant, mortgage broker and solicitor. They are your go-to guys. You don't finalise decisions before consulting with them.
Get those things right and you've set the foundations for a potentially successful venture into property investing.
The modern floor covering layout today tends to favor carpet in bedrooms and cinema rooms (better sound), ceramic tile in kitchens, laundries and bathrooms. Hallways, dining room and family rooms are generally timber floors.
A combo of the three breaks up the aesthetic texture while serving a functional purpose. You can exchange timber for cork but I think timber floors have a much wider buyer appeal. There’s still a bit of resistance to cork because it was perceived as a cheap option years ago. Timber still says class and expense by comparison.
What you do depends on the value of a rental or its market and the type of tenant you are marketing too along with your expected asking rent. It goes without saying the more attractive a property the more rent you can ask, the better the class of tenant and the faster it will usually rent. It actually doesn’t take much extra to make a property look a million bucks.
My first preference for bedrooms is carpet then wood followed closely by cork. Ceramic tiles never.
For kitchens I’d almost always go sealed ceramic tiles.
Perils of buying OTP. The agents are not likely to have all the information.
Check your contract and know it backwards.
+10 Jac's… I despair when I see newbies with these negatively geared hold and hope strategies. Even worse when their horizons only extend out past a few suburbs because that is the limit of their comfort zone.
Cannon fodder for the market.
Polished concrete has been around for the best part of 30 years. The secrete to good polished floors is setting it all up prior to pouring. Trying to stain and polish old floors is a dog in my book. Your basically stuck with the original grain and a stain is usually some poxy color.
If I had a choice between polished concrete and cork I'd always take cork .. no question. The smell, look and feel is streets ahead of concrete.
propertymistro wrote:I researched cork today, and think it may potentially dint a lot with use over time eg.furniture legs, high heels, when things are dropped on it. I also researched rubber flooring and I'm still considering rubber flooring as an option. Polished concrete flooring may be body corporate/noise insulation issue as I live in a unit.You can make a case against any flooring type. They all have their pro's and cons. For bedrooms you can get feet for furniture to minimise timber/cork flooring damage. The big advantage is that cork is easily repaired by the DIY guy rather than a tradie. I've seen cork flooring in schools, commercial buildings, retail shops and many older homes. For toughness and reparability I'll take cork over a floating timber floor system any day.
Cork kitchen/bathroom floor tiles used to be the poor mans flooring many years ago. I've seen stuff that's 40 years old and still as good as the day it was laid.
Below is a recycled cork kitchen counter top… You can cut and chop stuff on this one!!
The reality is that modern cork composites are designed for the job. Choose accordingly.
zmagen wrote:Abe hasn't been waiting for your ingenious couch commentary, and is way ahead of you –You reckon? Perhaps you should read your reference articles more thoroughly then;
Still, analysts have cited the backpedalling as one of the key disappointments in Abe's growth strategy announced in June. Robert Feldman, chief economist at Morgan Stanley MUFG, gave Abe a "D plus" grade on labor market reform.
Abe is first and foremost a politician. If you think he's going to cut his own (and parties) throat forcing labor reform onto those corporates who support him then you're delusional. I'll send you my left testicle if there's any meaningful change to labor market laws over the next decade.
Wages are rising at last!!
TEPCO Doubles Hazard Pay For Fukushima Workers
- Reuters reports, hazard pay for the thousands of workers on short-term contracts will be increased from 10,000 yen ($100) to 20,000 yen a day,
My guess is that Fuk workers will invariably contribute to the declining population meme in coming years. All for $200/day
Mistro you might want to consider cork tiles. Some pretty mad textures and designs available now. It's relatively easy to self lay as well. They even make tiles for showers.