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  • Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    Originally posted by PropertyJim:

    am on a limited way of $35000. My net income is $150 a week after expenses.

    No offence Jim, but if you only have $150pw after expenses, I strongly suggest you examine your expenses. Paying through the nose for an expensive mobile phone and broadband habit, have an enormous car loan, credit card debts or some other kind of wasteful addiction? If so, deal with that first.

    $150pw will only get you about a $80,000 mortgage, and even then you’d need to come up with extra $$ for the rates, insurance, BC etc which would likely run into a couple of thousand per year…

    Cheers, F.[cowboy2]

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    Originally posted by CanAm:

    people will hate paying high rent so they’ll look for their own place so the ol’ supply n demand thing will come back into play and property prices could rise again – win win really :)

    I suspect there’s an element of truth to that. Inflation expectations lead inflation. Do you see that this cycle will inevitably fail though? Affordability is the main constraint on rent, and over time, purchase price.

    F.[cowboy2]

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    Originally posted by PropertyVirgin:

    the owner wants to add the rent to the final payment so as not to compromise his pension.

    Any thoughts would be really appreciated

    Just 1 thought. Avoid shady deals. That means that you’ll need to inform the bank that the property price has been inflated by 6 months worth of rent, otherwise it’s a shady cash-back-at-closing kind of deal (fraud). If you declare this to the lender and they’re happy to proceed, be aware that there will be a paper trail leading to the pensioner. Centrelink and the tax office are very sophisticated these days.

    That’s all.

    F.[cowboy2]

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    Originally posted by gmh454:

    Had a chat with property investor clients who asked what is actually going on, with the “Rental shortage” as their two bed unit at Pendle Hill is on around $260 per week, and stuck at that price.

    Think there is still a lot of vested interest hype.

    Yup. Did you catch Media Watch last night?

    http://www.abc.net.au/mediawatch/transcripts/s1857566.htm

    Hilarious. And shocking, especially the involvement of certain prominant people who may or may not have their hands in the ‘industry’s pocket…

    F. [cowboy2]

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    Originally posted by Wylie:

    The answer is that this upcoming house buying generation will have to save like mad, don’t spend on “stuff” and buy a small, crappy house which they may renovate and make do with until they can move to the next rung of the ladder.

    Why go to all that struggle? Sure, a modest deposit will help, but by simply waiting, the Price/Income and Price/Rent equations will return to sane levels. No sweat.

    It was the same for my grandparents, my parents and me and now my children will face the same challenges.

    Yes and no. Buying a house has never been easy. But house prices relative to incomes were fairly stable, for examle, fluctuating around 4.3x income +- 40% in Sydney for over 70 years. Now after 30 years of pure fiat money they’re at ~10x. It has never been a worse time to buy a house as an owner occupier.

    Then there’s the stress.
    – Prices are high (more chance of capital loss, less chance of capital gain).
    – Interest rates are low (more chance of rising rates, less chance of falling rates)
    – Harder to get ahead / build a cusion (saving an extra 10% of income per week towards the PPOR loan has far less impact on a 10x income loan than on a 4x income loan, regardless of interest rates).

    Just a few points to think about.

    F. [cowboy2]

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    Nigerian Spam? Mmmm…. I’ll take three.

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    Originally posted by kp:

    Bugger!
    It looks like some of the topics you are targetting are a bit sensationalistic, which is unfortunate.
    Distressed sellers, negative equity, etc…
    Is this what the viewing audience wants to see ?

    Umm, yes.

    F. [cowboy2]

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    Hi Lozjas,

    I’m a bit confused by the issue/s here. I’ve done a similar thing to you recently where we got a builder to build to a bit past lockup, then finished the internals, fitout, plastering, painting, bathrooms, kitchen, plumbing and electricals as owner builder in Victoria. We faced a myriad of difficulties, bureaucratic inefficiency and contradictions, but didn’t come across anything like what you face. That said… thinking out loud…

    Am I correct in understanding that the main problem is that you can’t owner-build on another person’s property?

    Would a creative work-around be to amend the applications such that your grandmother is listed as the owner-builder (actually I doubt this – you can only owner-build if you plan to live in the new building, and clearly she wouldn’t)? Otherwise you might need to acquire the property title or co-ownership.

    This $12,000 issue has me worried.

    If you are owner-building, and the total cost (including contractors/plumbing/electricals/connections) between taking over from the builder and gaining the Certificate of Occupancy is greater than $12,000, you need to get a ‘Certificate of Consent’ from the Building Commission in addition to the normal Building Permit. Note – this is to the best of my understanding, but we were required to do this. More details can be found here:

    http://www.buildingcommission.com.au/www/html/284-choosing-to-be-an-owner-builder.asp

    It’s a fairly basic application, and seems like an excuse for just another stupid layer of bureaucracy as the building permit is much more detailed. I think we waited about a month for consent.

    Back to the beginning, and a summary. To complete as owner-builders, you will need to:

    – Make sure you are allowed to build on this property – you may have to get your name on the title.
    – Make sure you have a planning permit if required
    – Make sure you have a certificate of consent
    – Make sure you have a building permit (or permits if applicable)
    – Make sure you keep all quotes, invoices and certificates from tradespeople.
    – Make sure you get all required building inspections done
    – Make sure you get a CofO before moving into the property.

    I probably should add “get all advice from the council in writing”, but I think you’ve learnt that lesson. You need to understand that the building inspectors normally operate independently of the council planning department and aside from the planning permit, they are the ones you need to worry about.

    Your alternative might be to get a friendly and flexible licensed builder to quote to finish the job to CofE (via a major building contract) with the understanding that you will complete a list of tasks (those that don’t require a license). This will be more expensive as he/she will want to make some profit and cover the various insurances he/she must pay. Might be worth asking for a quote though…

    I don’t know if I’ve helped, but anyhoo. Don’t take my word as gospel either, this stuff can be pretty confusing!

    F. [cowboy2]

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    Originally posted by ctaing:

    Hi all

    Just quoting Michael McNamara
    <snip>
    I believe his explanations should relief some concerns

    I discussed this article briefly with Mr M over on cracker…
    http://cracker.com.au/viewthread.aspx?threadid=168144&categoryid=11061&pg=2

    He made some qualifications, particularly of the areas you quoted.

    Cheers, F.[cowboy2]

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    Originally posted by Cherry Pro:

    Should we continue to hold even though it is costing us around $8000 p.a. or should we take a loss of $120,000 and move on ?

    A friend of a friend was recently in a similar situation. He was amazed to discover he didn’t even have the second option. The bank refused to let him sell his unit unless he could provide cash to cover the shortfall between selling price and outstanding debt. He found that nobody would lend him the difference as he had nothing to offer as security for the (large) loan.

    Talk to your lender. You might find you’re wasting energy weighing up options that don’t exist!

    Originally posted by marg4109:

    In 10 years time when your unit in Hornsby is worth around $800K-$900K

    May I simply ask how you can make this statement? You sound like you are stating a fact, whereas I cannot foresee how this is even a distant possibility*!

    F. [cowboy2]
    * Barring hyper-inflation

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    I don’t think anyone has yet mentioned the #1 reason why the flat side should face up – the reeded side is so uncomfortable as to be almost impossible to stand on barefooted, and if you can’t go barefoot on your deck, then where?

    F.[cowboy2]

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    Originally posted by splosh:

    You could simply…

    [stun]

    Simply? Wayne’s a lucky bloke if he has a lazy $225,000 sitting around that he can plonk into his loan!

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    You could sell the house, take the $16,000+ per year it is currently costing you in interest payments, rates, insurance, property management fees, maintanance etc, stick it in an online savings account and after three years you would have ‘earnt’ (saved + interest) over $50,000. This would continue to grow, providing positive cashflow each and every year with next to no risk.

    Sure, there are plenty of more adventurous ways to invest, I’m just pointing out that even the option with the lowest risk is giving a far higher return than property, and there is a very real risk that a property anywhere on the eastern seaboard will incur further capital losses over the next few years while giving a very low (negative) return.

    There are limited options for improving rental returns on a new property. After all you can’t simply reno the kitchen and bathroom. I guess you could look to extend it, redesign it into 2 residences, perhaps if it has land there is room you could add a second dwelling?

    F.[cowboy2]

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    Originally posted by brc:

    And as for the people hanging on, waiting for some type of crash where houses are worth 30% less than they are now, I hope you realise your attitude is holding you back. […snip…] there’s not going to be a crash in house prices any time soon.

    Originally posted by poperr:“What do others think about the likelihood of a house price crash?” I would also like to hear?
    Originally posted by mimaranda:

    Foundation, I’m not sure that I follow the logic of your housing bubble crash ‘rant’.

    The basic law of supply and demand indicates that house prices will continue to rise over time rather than crash, simply because more and more people are bidding for the same parcels of land.

    Sorry, I’ve been away a lot lately. I don’t have time to address your last point here mimaranda, but believe me, we’ve been building houses at a far greater rate than the household formation rate. The mathematics is simple:

    (household construction) > ((births – deaths) + immigration) / (average household size)

    This has been the case right through the recent housing boom. So the ‘basic law of supply and demand’ you cite should have seen house prices falling, no?

    Anyway, the reason I am 100% confident of a very significant correction in house prices, either through stagnation while wages, and rents catch up (this will take many, many years, not, 2 or 3), or through outright nominal falls, or more likely through a combination of both is very simple.

    Debt.

    For house prices to continue to grow (on average) at the average rate over the last 30 years requires housing debt to grow at an unsustainable pace. Unsustainable because it would soon take more than the entire income of every man and woman in the country just to pay the mortgages of every mortgage holder… Impossible? Yes, therefore unsustainable.

    Furthermore, for house prices to simply maintain current levels, additional housing debt must be acquired at a rate of $80 billion to $100 billion per year for at least the next decade. This too, is unsustainable, and would nearly bankrupt the country.

    I’ve written much more on this subject, some of it can be found here using the search function. I’m happy to also discuss it further when I get time. I’d suggest some reading first, starting here:

    http://www.debunkingeconomics.com

    with the most recent Debtwatch newsletter.

    Cheers, F. [cowboy2]

    Profile photo of foundationfoundation
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    Originally posted by wealth4life.com:

    Best time to buy realestate in 07 is ???????

    Dunno? 2107 maybe?

    =P

    Originally posted by Tracy Lee:

    I was eating my lunch reading this forum when every thing around me went black. We live in the Perth hills. I have just spent the last 4hrs packing photos and fighting fire. Luckily we are o.k.

    Good to hear, Tracy. Over here the eastern half of Victoria is currently in near-darkness (well beyond dusk), and it has been since 2pm. Eerie and a little scary. Worse given I’m about to jump in the truck and drive towards the fire for a few night-shifts of ‘asset protection’…

    Stay safe peoples… and no burning off – ‘kay?

    F.[cowboy2]

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    Originally posted by SteveMcKnight:

    Once again, all the profits go to the charitable Foundation,

    And once again, I thank you for your generosity!

    [blink]

    [biggrin]

    F.[cowboy2]

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    Sounds interesting over there:

    “The new home market party started when Fortune magazine anointed San Antonio the nation’s strongest housing market, predicting an 8.3 percent home price appreciation in 2006, luring investors who helped push the market to record levels.”

    “As a result, one segment of the real estate market already has a hangover: single-family home rentals. Out-of-town investors flooding into San Antonio this year have glutted the market with rental homes, and the average rent has dropped $202 a month since this time last year, from $1,301 to $1,099, according to the San Antonio Board of Realtors.”

    Text, links and local observations here

    F. [cowboy2]

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    I’d love to play along, just for fun. Unfortunately you exchanged something of intrinsic value (the $200 painting, whch was good, not great) for something fleeting. An object for an event.

    Still, there are probably still a few sheeple prepared to trade something of some value for the worthless event.
    Good luck.

    F. [cowboy2]

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    Originally posted by Mortgage Hunter:

    Is a legitimate marketing campaign.

    Do you think he (Rotten) has any ethical or legal requirement to fully disclose any kick-back or commission he is recieving for this irresponsible ramping of what is an extremely risky (to the point that I believe it should be banned) loan product?

    As for “6 audio cds valued at $300”, I’d value them at about 3c each, useful only to string in front of large windows to scare off birds.

    F.[cowboy2]

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    Originally posted by Tracy Lee:

    Do you think the W.A maket still has some go in it or are we done.

    I assume that’s a question. Over to The West Australian:

    Real estate whirlwind runs out of puff
    21st November 2006, 8:00 WST

    The property boom that has pushed the average price of a Perth house to almost $500,000 has ended, according to some of WA’s leading industry figures.

    The Master Builders Association, the Real Estate Institute of WA and leading developer Nigel Satterley agree that the boom has run its course as activity in the new and established home markets returns to more subdued levels.

    However, the strong state of the WA economy, low unemployment and relatively low interest rates means it is unlikely the market will crash.

    Mr Satterley said high prices had significantly reduced the number of first home buyers and interstate investors.

    The first home buyer sector — the bread and butter of new home sales — had dropped almost 20 per cent since January.

    His comments coincided with the release of an MBA snapshot for the September quarter which showed interest rate increases had dampened builders’ future workload expectations.

    MBA director Michael McLean said building starts for new homes were on a downward trend but the industry still had a backlog of work for at least the next year.

    REIWA president Rob Druitt said most house sales now took between four and six weeks in contrast to the whirlwind sales at the height of the boom.

    Google “Real estate whirlwind runs out of puff” then click cache below the link to retrieve the full text from Google cache. The original vanished shortly after it appeared……

    F. [cowboy2]

Viewing 20 posts - 321 through 340 (of 1,141 total)