Forum Replies Created
Bloody hell. Stop with the idol references. I hate that bloody show. And as for your description above of peoples views.Its identical to yours except a complete 180 degree spin on it. Honestly have a look at what you have said. Similar argument for a opposing view.A reaction to market conditions is acceptable for you but not for others. How does that work. And dont worry about the information that i recieve. Travelling frequently places me right in the thick of many high profile people. I am not saying i am one of them . Far from it.But they rely heavily on me for some of there success. These people part much of there wisdom on to me.This has really only happened over the last year as i move up the food chain. They have seen it all. The good the bad and the ugly. And even in this current climate absolutely NONE of them talk like you.I could preach what i have learnt from them but sorry that was one of there no no rules. Share with like minded people you can learn from. Forget the people who always have a reason for doing nothing.
Idol. Stuff that. Im going to watch the simpsons. Much more relevent to todays events.
hbbehrendorff wrote:my god, You actually think there will be a boom next year ? Ill bet anyone a $1000 property will not increase next year.Actually. Due to your typically broad statement i bet you $1000 dollars i will be able to locate a property in Australia that does go up. Do you want to take that bet?
hbbehrendorff wrote:my god, You actually think there will be a boom next year ? Ill bet anyone a $1000 property will not increase next year.No not at all. Just showing i can throw in big numbers for dramatic effect too. Ready. 60% no wait 100%. Wow this is easy.
I am looking at a property in a area i know well. On a subdividable central block in great area. Old house to the front split into 3 units with Garage for each. Getting close to $370 rent and would be achievable to purchase for around $240,000. Thats below the land value of a few years ago. A bit of a freshing up will push this rent higher also. I dont give a rats arse about the current climate if deals like this and better keep appearing. Long term you will do very well with stuff all if any holding costs until then.
foundation wrote:C2 wrote:Without getting involved in any of the jibes I would like to say that references to Japans deflation shouldn't be use as examples of what can happen in OZ housing market.I absolutely disagree. The dynamics of debt deflation are precisely the same. The overpriced asset market (the bubble) has a corresponding future obligation of precisely the same magnitude. It is the failure to deliver on the obligation that causes a cascading feedback loop between collateral and loans. The broader economy in both cases was/is reliant on credit growth for GDP growth, and the failure of credit growth results in contracting GDP.
The upshot is – simultaneous monetary and productivity contraction.
Cheers, F. [cowboy2]
As much as i dont want to hear your comments sometimes. Its very hard to disagree.
hbbehrendorff wrote:-50%+ 50%. There i fixed that momentary drop in values.
hbbehrendorff wrote:Jesus, The whole solar system is hotter ! All the planets are hotter ! the sun is producing much more heat then it normally does !But the earth is going to enter another cool era with precipitation caused by all the heat.
I agree. Apparently earlier ice ages started with a warm up. the warming affected ocean currents and this brought on a ice age in the norther areas. Australia should be fine. This means with everyone leaving the freezing s@#t holes to the north. We will experiance massive immigration. Up go house values YEAH YEAH. Might take a while though.
alani wrote:hbbehrendorff wrote:What is with the idea that life is just one big never ending boom ?Wealth does not come from the ether you know.
I have a question for you hbbe…,
What did 1 dollar buy you 200 years ago, what does it buy today and what will it buy in 200 years time?
hence property will start to boom, more money will be printed, distributed, inflation kept under control, businesses expanding etc.
IMO Property booms are created by govt so your so called NWO group can make even more money, not destroy the world.These are my thoughts also. The NWO will have no financial gain in a world wide collapse.They want things to continue to roll along so they can make more money. You just have to be smart and try to get your small piece of the pie.
Wow. We have a good pissing contest going on here.
crashy wrote:rates down another 75 bp.ka-ching
No that cant be true. They were meant to be above 10% by now. And fuel was meant to be above $2 dollars and gold was meant to be around $1500 a ounce. Thats strange
True. These are facts. But what happens next is just your opinion. Everyone can throw some facts together to support there opinions. This is evident in most posts these days both for and against property. The thing that cant be worked out is how the Australian people will react. Sure in one way we are like sheep. But many choices we make are not always based one mathamatical probability. Some times we shoot from the hip,listen to news,go with the heart or just pick the lazy option. Every major event that has happened before also provided people with information that led them to believe that it will get worse or things would never recover. But they did. This will happen this time also. Things will recover and probably quicker than most realise. We seem to have short memories when it comes to history.
I for one do not doubt your facts. I do doubt your belief of what effects these will have and how long it will last.
Unfortunately it will take a long time for either of us to be wrong or right. And by that time there will be a new world event to threaten us. The credit bubble will be nothing but old news.If your are genuinley sick of being labeled a gloomist then maybe its time to hang your hat and stop posting on a PROPERTY INVESTING FORUM. But somehow i believe you will stick around as i think you actually feed of being the underdog. Whatever floats your boat in the end. Its still a free world ( For now)
Philb wrote:Hi HbbehrendorffPlease tell me where you get your info from about buying land from 100k and properties from200k.
Its just his view on things. Nothing is certain.Many like him believe the end is nigh. Also many dreamers believe everything is rosey and nothing is wrong in the world. I will play the odds and say the truth is in the middle somewhere. I bet im right.
Many references are made stating that Australian house prices will follow Americas. But will they stay that low? Even with a reduced axcess to credit. When America enjoys better times this will flow through to there housing market with improved prices. The historic lows they are expieriancing will not last forever. This can be said for Australia too. Bad times may bring dropping house prices but they will pass and house prices will recover.Too much emphasis is put on the absolute bottom and not much on any recovery thereafter.
California is on a fault line . There is a way higher chance of a massive earth quake there than rising sea levels yet it has no effect on prices. ( yes i know they are dropping at the moment but you get my point). I believe it will have no effect until we get a confirmed significant NON CYCLIC rise in levels. This has not been seen or proven yet.
On a plus with impending doom and food shortages as some predict you should easily be able to drop a line from your lounge room window and catch a feed. No worries mate.But if you are worried i have a nice house in the burbs way above sea level that i could swap ya
I have a $54,000 investment property loan secured to my PPOR. When i applied for a LOC against my PPOR which currently has around $200,000 available equity. They removed the portion that is already used as security. This lowered my available LOC by $54,000. This is something that was not explained to me at the time but know i know.
CBD hands down. Most mining towns have had there run and to me are a higher risk at the moment.
Whatever. It will pass.
You could by some seads and some batteries. maybe a tent and a shotgun then go live in the bush and defend your patch till the day you die. OR you could be a realist and look for opportunity in the current market. That is what the smart people are doing.
ummester wrote:devo76 wrote:I believe all people on this site should also visit GHPC. ( After all they are constantly on hear spreading there GHPC bible right guys) A newbie will go on there and at first be absolutly horrified as people tell them that 100% without doubt property investing is finished. But as you spend more time on there you realise the quality of the poster and you start to see through them. At this time you throw 90% of there crap to the side and use it for the good information available. At this point it is a useful website.I like to read and blog in both this site and that. I feel it gives me a more rounded POV.
Like Devo says, there are extreme POVs on both sites. I guess it is because property is such an emotional topic in Australia – half the country have thier futires invested in it and the other half see their futures ruined because of it. It has to correct, that much is certain. By how much and when is unknown.
I feel as badly for some investors as I do some recent FHBs and some tenants (those who stand to have thier places of recidence foreclosed). Reading here shows me that not all investors are greedy scum, only some:) I wish just the greedy scum were going to suffer but unfortunately it doesn't work like that.
Your spot on. I contribute over there as well. GHPC has opened my eyes a long time ago but but it goes to far some times. This is clearly evident in there posts or avatars. Many have a deep seeded hatred of investors and they constantly attack them in every post. This is a clear indication that you will rarely get a balanced argument.
alani wrote:so when will the boom begin?
2015 with average to no growth befor that.