Forum Replies Created
Hi Aussie,
Was reading an article recently (about a month ago) in the Age (from memory) which highlighted that property and shares have returned approximately 11.3% per annum since mid 1920’s. The study was done by an Amro researcher.
To ‘Joe Public’ this means there is no difference between shares and property.
However the study used median prices and ASX index without due consideration of issues such as movement of companies in an out of the share register, leveraging capacity of shares V property nor the relevance of either statistic as being a valid measure of performance in the share and/or property market.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Rogue,
Loved this paragraph.
“According to the RBA’s submission to the Productivity Commission’s Inquiry on First Home Ownership, rents on properties being pounced on by investors represented a yield on the full price of just 2.5%. Most purchases were negatively geared with no prospect of returning positive net rents for decades.”
Throughout the article there is constant reference made to the ‘Australian Property Market’ – yet the figures quoted above do not reflect the whole of the Australian Property Maret – in my mind there is no APM, rather there are a collection of pockets (some large) that each has different influences beingplayed upon them and factors workign within them.
Once again it would appear that the journalist in this article has looked no further than the inner city rings of Sydney and Melbourne and then written an article of implied expertise.
And then there this little beauty;
“The Reserve Bank’s submission to the Productivity Commission put the blame for the bubble squarely at the doorstep of the Treasurer and his tax policies. Although action now would be too late, a failure to act could ultimately kill Costello’s political career.”As I understand it the concept of deductibility of interest expenses for income earning activities has been around in Australia since Adam was a boy and the 12 month 50% CGT rule equally applies to shares as it does property. Please correct me if I am wrong.
So the ‘bubble’, as the article so eloquently put it, is all Peter Costello’s and the treasury’s fault – it has nothing to do with market cycles, share market recent underperformance, superannuation fund disillusionment, media beat up of property, cheaper interest rates, FHOG scheme or world economics and so on.
Already I am seeing a firming up of the rental market in areas I watch with vacancy rates starting to fall primarily due to higher interest rates, less housing construction and/or less ‘sexiness’ about property investment. This factors will result in rents increasing over time and rental returns returning to ‘normal’ (what ever that may be) with the closing of the growth and rental cycles that operate in a property market.
The ramblings of someone who did year 11 and 12 economics and who has no financial qualifications and sometimes has trouble balancing his cheque book.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi all,
Superannuation access/preservation rules are a little more complex than suggested here.
Check out the ASFA website and do a search on ‘preservation’ http://www.superannuation.asn.au/super/rpm.cfm?page=wis4
It is possible for SMSF to own properties, howevere there are a number of limitations that apply – the key being the inability of a SMSF to borrow money.
However establishing a ‘trust like’ structure can overcome these hurdles and will allow a SMSF to buy property using available funds, combined with the borrowing capacity of the other members.
This is a highly specialised field and expert advice is needed before embarking on such a process.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Geo,
I am always writing letters to parents, teachers, companies, district office, head office etc, documents for some group, meeting notes, discussion minutes or planning directions for the school as school principal and as such that side of my role takes up more time than it warrants.
By me being able to ‘dictate’ document will also release my two clearical officers to do the other jobs that now fall into their laps under decentralisation policies.
As such, for me the program doesn’t fall into a toy category, rather I am sure that over time it will become part and parcel of my work.
I would prefer to be out and about talking to kids and teachers and doing more of the big picture stuff.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Leo,
On a different tack – read “Who Moved My Cheese” a story about doing things differently. A Great little read.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Dave,
If the chattels are crucial to your investment sims then ask the agent an/or vendor and put said item into the contract if vendor says yes.
Also include a condition that requires the property to be in same condition as when inspected – some dated digital photos also useful.
Just prior to settlement inspect the property (or arrange someone you trust) to ensure the above two issues are met to your satisfaction.
You can also include clauses to ensure the rusty car wreck out the front (or back) is removed too. No point inheriting someone elses problem.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi George,
Dragon Speak Naturally is a voice recognition software program developed by http://www.scansoft.com and can be configured for various accents including Australian English.
The package enables you to talk to your computer (with software loaded) and as you speak it types what you say to it – dictation by computer. It will also insert punctuation as you go – if you have trained it properly that is.
Editing is realtively simple too – all that is required is for the computer to recognise your voice and speech patterns. I suspect we will both learn to understand each other over time – I’ll speak clearly and it will listen better.
A microphone plugs into your sound card and enables you to talk directly into many Office applications such as outlook, word and excel – haven’t tried powerpoint yet. DSN also enables me to dictate directly into this forum as if I was typing.
Recommended hardware (Pentium 3 500mhz, 128 ram and needs 300mb of harddrive space) License permits you to put your voice print on all the computers you use (home, laptop and at work)
Can add upgrades to liaise with Pocket PC and will even read back to you.
I am having fun.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Kay,
It is good to shut down from time to time but then there are people out there who need a push and a shove (or should that be encouragement[biggrin]) to fulfil their dreams – whatever that may be and who also get frustrated and/or disillusioned because they don’t feel like they are getting anywhere.
Obviously there are others who feel perfectly happy with their lot and would not need anyone to push them along.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Bear,
I would see myself in the specialist mentoring role rather than the provider of specialist knowledge – leave that to the experts.
Given I have nearly 20 years experience as a school principal with much time spent talking to people for a whole variety of reasons I believe that I am well placed to help people establish their goals and then check and balance them to ensure they are doing what they planned to do rather than going home and watching Home and Away – or similar.
So in some repspects I envisage becoming their conscience – anyone want a free trial? [biggrin]
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Heller rugby and others,
what I decided finally go out and buy package as you can see we are still getting used to each other from sure that overtime will understand each other perfectly well.
I have left this passage under edited so that people can see the level at which this software is currently operating.
by the way for those who interested the cost is around $400.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Patrick,
Is it the maths, or the understanding of what numbers to include that causes difficulties Patrick?
As a school principal I have access to a number of maths texts that you may find useful. If you would like I can get copies of the appropriate parts and email them to you.
Happy to exchange PM if you would prefer to take this discussion ‘off line’.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Bear,
I am currently in the process of developing a very rudimentary idea along the lines of a personal coach (mentor) which would include a full day workshop and a 12 month follow up program to help people fulfil their aspirations.
My role would be to listen and challenge people to achieve their goals as distinct from giving advice and much could be accomplished by email, with face to face options possible.
Also tossing around organising a local ‘well being’ expo for local businesses that could be classified as being in the personal growth/development side of people from naturopaths to financial advisors – the whole range would be covered.
And then an ‘online’ bookstore with suitable tapes etc.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Ben,
I recommend you get in touch with one of the mortgage brokers who regularly post here as they are in a better positon to provide accurate comment.
Having said that, as a rule of thumb, there is a lender out there who will loan you the money, but sometimes at a cost of increased interest rates. Often, however these can revert back once you have established a ‘good record’ with them – or at worst – you can refinance onto a lender with more user friendly interest rates.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Gina,
My take on the situation is as follows.
Initially the poorly informed people will endeavour to sell up before the new stamp duty is imposed and as such there may be some semblance of a buyers market in parts of NSW.
Little do these people realise the long term fundamental reasons for initially buying ‘that’ property still largly remain the same. Any increases in either land tax or stamp duty will partially come back to the investor either through increased tax deductions or reduced capital gains liabilities.
If the property was well researched and as performing well over the long term the reasons for hanging on remaim the same.
Now as to what effect the new tax has on price movements in Qld it is really difficult to predict.
I suspect most ‘serious investors’ (how ever that is determined) had been previously diversifying their investment portfolio anyway including into Qld. I do think there will be a herd like movement, as distinct from a rush, across NSW borders – even in WA we are already seeing NSW people moving into WA markets in greater numbers – which will/may create little growth spurt above and beyond the rosey predictions anyway.
The tip – poorly informed investors who haven’t done the long term math will sell up and get out whereas the well informed people will continue to buy and hold for the long haul – just as they have done in the past – they will do in the future.
An investigation of world, national, state and local events (wars, economics, inflation, trading crisis, inflation rates) over the last 45 years clearly demonstrates there has always been a reason to not buy property – yet the successful people continued to do so and experienced success.
My take on the tax changes (with some more think time involved and recognising the bigger picture) is that life will go on and well chosen property will continue to be successful irrespective of the state it was bought in.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Kay,
DCF = Derek’s Cash Flow
Sorry can’t help – but I couldn’t resist [biggrin]
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi all,
A bit more information on travel claims and apportioning costs.
The ATO travel guide in some detail.
The Hitchmans also owned another rental property in a resort town on the north coast of Queensland. They spent $1,000 on airfares and $1,500 on accommodation when they travelled from their home in Perth to the resort town, mainly for the purpose of holidaying, but also to inspect the property. They also spent $50 on taxi fares from the hotel to the rental property and return. The Hitchmans spent one day on matters relating to the rental property and nine days swimming and sightseeing.
No deduction can be claimed for any part of the $1,000 airfares.
The Hitchmans can claim a deduction for the $50 taxi fare.
A deduction for 10% of the accommodation expenses (10% of $1,500 –that is, $150) would be considered reasonable in the circumstances. The total travel expenses the Hitchmans can claim are therefore $200 ($ 50 taxi fare and $150 accommodation). Accordingly, Mr and Mrs Hitchman can each claim a deduction of $100.
Stingray – as you do not yet own the property the travel expenses are still considered capital and as such will be written off when CGT liabilities are calculated.
The ramblings on someone who is not an accountant – need to check it out with your accountant.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi all,
Regular rent reviews does not mean the rent always goes up – I know of peole who have had their rents reduced in line with market rents.
Agreeing with Tasman – property management fees are around 16%.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Mencevski,
There was no mocking involved – it is one thing to say ‘I’ll offer $X for the property” and yet another to write the same message on a contract with deposit attached.
All of a sudden you move into a different dimension as far as the REA and vendor are concerned.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Stevie,
Show the agent and vendor you are serious (if you are) and present the offer in writing.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.
Hi Ghoti,
In my opinion – the current trend for state and federal governments is to ‘outsource’ as many services as possible – in some respects public housing falls into this category.
I understand private landlords (investors) provide the great bulk of housing for non-homeowners and as such bean counters will need to be sure of any flow on effects, and their costs, before contemplating such a move.
The most significant deduction for proeprty investors is the interest component of loan borrowings – these costs are deductible for businesses and other investors too and would require a major rethink on tax legislation.
Given GST and the tax bracket creep makes us one of the higher taxed nations and the current government has collected a windfall through these avenues – I am not sure there is a need to review this aspect of tax legislation.
That is not to say it could never happen but I would argue there may be some tinkering of the edges and when normal market conditions return the issue may well go away anyway.
My tip is an alteration of the GST rate – from memory GST legislation only allows for GST rate adjustment if all states and the federal government agree. Labour wins the federal election and we have a grand slam – all governments labour.
Comment from someone who does not have a degree in economics.
Derek
derekjones1@bigpond.comRead my comments? Think I can help you? PM or email me.