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Viewing 20 posts - 121 through 140 (of 664 total)
  • Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
    Join Date: 2003
    Post Count: 736

    stay in cash, ask again in 6 months.

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    you claimed your job was super-secure, then you say you are in residential construction, which will most certainly be a job first at risk in a recession. same goes for the builder partner of course.

    "If the Reserve Bank decides to slash Interest Rates by another 1 to 2 % or more, property owners aren't going to have such a need to sell and prices won't be as negotiable"

    why would you assume that? people didnt sell when rates went up so why would they have "less of a need to sell" when rates fall? people will sell because they dont have a job to pay the mortgage or expect prices to keep falling. secondly, the RBA cuts rates because thing are bad. the rate cut is medicine for a disease, it is not a windfall for all.

    skilled chinese migrants need a job to go to by the way. if there isnt enough jobs for aussies why would we let in migrants?

    I actually agree with your "strategy" however incomplete & based on flawed logic, however you said NOW was the time to implement it, that I strongly dissagree with.

    I also strongly dissagree with the way you structured the post to ensure you were told what you wanted to hear, instead of the truth. furthermore, once again you totally dismiss the opinion of your partner. nuff said there.

    99% of this forums members are preaching the end of days, while I have been suggesting that we need to keep our eyes open for opportunites. I dont think we are near that point yet however.

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    several times you said "please tell me I'm right" which should be a good indication that you are in denial. you are trying to manipulate the outcome by specifying what proportion of responses are allowed, then conflict this by asking for "honest opinions" as if to say "I'm gonna prove I'm right even if it means I have to manipulate people to do it, but I might fool them with the last bit haha"  .
     
    how about actually listening to your partner whos job gives him a pretty good feel for the property market and economic conditions? the poor guy……

    "Now is definitely the time to get the best negotiations with the Seller / Agent and secure a lower Fixed Interest."

    it is?

    prices havent stopped falling yet, neither have interest  rates.

    "….and furnished, will provide compfortable short to long-term accommodation for those who are now liquidating assets in their preparation for the Recession"

    so you assume there will be a lot of people who lose not only their house but all of their possesions as well, and will want to rent your furnished units in the city & pay the rent with the money they dont have, and go to the jobs they cant get due to the recession? 

    "….am not much phased if equity takes a year or two to regain market strength"

    so……….your great investment idea is to buy, then watch prices fall, and wait a few years to get your money back? what if it's 8 or 9 yrs?

     you clearly havent thought this through AT ALL.

    sorry Beth but you are WRONG WRONG WRONG.

    you dont invest before the recession hits. you wait until it has already hit and looks like breaking. would you buy shares a week before the 87 stockmarket crash?

    you dont lock in interest rates when they are certainly going to fall a lot further.

    I could go on as there are a lot of other issues with your post……….

    however, you are right in that investing during a recession is smart. the problem is we are not in a recession YET, and once in one it could last many years.
     

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    I would spend the extra $150 if I were you……..

    re tiles, the spelling may be wrong

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    dragun wrote:
    Tonight on 60 minutes there was a segment on property prices dropping by up to 40% within the next few years. it does seem a little drastic to throw around figures of 40%.

    the stock market has fallen 40% in less than a year !!

    it's not DRASTIC, it's PLAUSIBLE

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    it depends on the tile. the ones I use are from Metro tiles, they are called "Marrazzi". I pay $30/m but the RRP is $60.

    if you butt them together there is a very small valley which I filled once and couldnt tell the difference, so I didnt bother after that.

    first, realise there wont be many joins as they are 600mm wide. from a distance you cant see any joins, and Ive never had anyone say to an agent "oh, these are tiles? look at the joins!" but I have had quite a few who said "nice granite benchtop" & the agent shut his mouth :) in photos it honestly looks like granite.

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    re kitchens

    Ive used both bunnings flatpack and Ikea kits. while Ikea kits are a bit more expensive, they are a hell of a lot quicker to assemble than bunnings flatpacks. also, Ikea sells a kitchen door for $5, its 700 x 300 flat white. you can build an entire kitchen from these. the cheapest bunnings door is about $25. I also buy kitchen carcasses from the Ikea "as-is" dept. you can usually get half of what you need @ half price, and buy normal ones for the rest. Ikeas hinges are cheaper than what bunnings has and they are far easier to fit & adjust, and Ikea also has cheaper door handles. Ikea sells stainless legs @ $25 for a set of 4, great value. Its possible to do a complete stunning Ikea kitchen for under $1000 if you follow these tips.

    I use 600 x 600 gloss black tiles as a benchtop & a piece of stainless for a splashback.

    good luck

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    the hope is that rents will increase over time while the mortgage stays the same, eventually becoming cashflow positive. Or, you sell when prices rise (capital gains). In the meantime, the shortfall is covered by your income and tax deductions (negative gearing).

    it's such a simple explanation but despite all the property books I have read I have NEVER seen anyone say anything like that.

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    is it a bird? is it a plane? No!!! it's SUPER-SCAMP !!!

    how is that super hero complex workin out for ya?

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    if near a boat ramp it can add quite a bit, otherwise I would guess it adds about 5%

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    rates dropping, FHOG doubling, rents increasing, prices dropping.

    anyone recall what happened when FHOG first came in?

    its all good

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    soaring rents, falling prices & plummeting rates…….oh my god lets all run away like little girls!!!!

    soon they will be positively geared, gee…….we wouldnt want that would we?

    lets all stick our heads in the sand and tell everyone theres no plausible reason to buy property for years to come.

    after all, we are all soooooo good at forcasting the future that we all sold all our properties at the top of the market right?

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    58 would be acceptable on an entry of 65, you never can pick the bottom. that would equate to about 1 years worth of interest.

    I would expect the USD to resume the downtrend soon and the yen will get dumped.

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    "There is substantial currency risk involved."

    at 108 yes of course. or do you mean @ 50x leverage?

    but in the mid 60's?

    surely you dont really think it will drop to zero?

    it could easily double from here, but could it halve to say 33? I very much doubt that!

    there is substantial upside on this currency pair right now, and at worst if it stays flat for years, you get mega interest.

    a few years back I made a similar call when it was 82. check how that went………..

    it's LESS RISKY than investing in the Nikkei.

    whats NOT risky right now? even $$$$ in the bank isnt safe!!!!

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    todays bargains are tomorrows margin calls……….

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    great colors

    nice job

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    ass-u-me

    he never said it was 1.5m high. 1.5m sounds like the length, and 0.14m the thickness.

    anyways, unless you are on the top floor its a no-go.

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    have rents gone down to where they were last November?

    who said anything about capital gains? my post was CLEARLY discussing positive gearing.

    but hey, dont let that stop you from posting condescending arrogant irrelevant negative dribble.

    instead of looking for opportunities, lets all join Scamp & F(wit) & co at a wrist slashing convention……….

    Profile photo of crashycrashy
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    @crashy
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    Scamps predictions and outcomes:

    USD to crash – USD has become a safe haven and has instead rallied
    rates to rise – rates dropping through the floor
    Aus property to fall 50% – down 5 – 10%
    oil to hit $2 – oil was priced in USD and oil only went up cos USD was so weak
    AUS MORTGAGE RESETS???!!!!

    Scamp, you realise you are making a complete fool of yourself?

Viewing 20 posts - 121 through 140 (of 664 total)