Hi S

You are welcome

I believe most property buyers conduct their own research one way or another.

A good starting point is looking at the macroeconomics of the country
Hence looking at the big picture

Then without going into detail the buyer considering their own unique circumstances, their time, money, energy and personal preferences towards risk.

I say that in the context that statistically alot of buyers buy an investment property in  their home town, because it is easier to inspect before the purchase.  When they own it they can drive by or inspect easily. They only trust their own opinion and perhaps are uncomfortable with trusting a buyers agent or real estate agent etc

If they were buying a property in another location or another state. So this decision making comes down to education, experience, comfort and confidence.

So sometimes buyers might not look at the big picture state by state
Look at population growth and drivers of growth in each region and local government area

They may have a particular preference or focus on a particular region, LGA, town or suburb and for good reason usually.

However why not go thru the process of reviewing the population growth in each state, region and LGA
Could this guide a buyer to focus on specific high population growth areas?

Then analyse these areas with your own checklist of research and due diligence
So drill down your research step by step until you find the location that is most suited to your own unique criteria

The starting point is always dependant on the criteria set by the buyer?

Anyway here is some research links below to population growth maps state by state
It gives you the big picture and may help readers get a visual overview of high growth areas very quickly

There is more information to follow and yes there is alot of information that can be collated and overlaid.
It is just a matter of determing what data is useful and related.

got to go and may be able to post again on the weekend
See some of my research below

Population growth maps of Local Government Areas (LGA) 1997 to 2006

• See Local Government Maps – view a snapshot of population growth state wide. Find high, low and decline growth areas. See.
• Local Government Map – New South Wales
• Local Government Map – Northern Territory
• Local Government Map – Queensland
• Local Government Map – South Australia
• Local Government Map – Tasmania
• Local Government Map – Victoria
• Local Government Map – Western Australia

Historical growth statistics using 4 yearly ABS census data

• Census of Population and Housing: Basic Community Profile.  click on 2001.0
• Recent 2006 Census Community Profiles by Location
• Free LGA snapshot from Informed Decisions

Historical growth combining all of ABS statistics

• Australian demographic statistics – click on 3101.0
• Demography news – click on 3106.0
• Migration – Overseas arrivals and departures – click on 3401.0
• Population by Age and Sex, Australian States and Territories – click on 3201.0

Population forecast statistics from Government sources

• ABS population clock
• ABS Information Paper: Population Projections, Australia, New Format Time Series Spreadsheets, 2004 to 2101 – 3107.0.55.004
• ABS Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101 – 3222.01
• ABS Household and Family Projections, Australia, 2001 to 2026 –  3236.0

Population forecast statistics from commercial sources

• Informed Decisions forecast ID and Population Forecast
• See example of the City of Swan Population Forecast

I will try to answer your question on the weekend

cheers

John

Hi S

I am a real estate researcher and write articles from time to time. Sometimes as a ghost writer. I enjoy research, analysis, interpretation and writing articles. I am based in Perth so hence my direct experience and knowledge of the Perth market. I have contributed articles to Aust Property Investor Magazine,  other online publications and other investor associations.

My writing approach is sometimes commentary style, article style, blogging style or other. My content sometimes is a critical analysis of a subject matter and may offer a detailed interpretation.  Hence the essay style. The subject matter may stimulate interest and debate which is the purpose of blogging .  However the subject matter may not be appropriate for all forums and blogs because of the length of the commentary and the subject matter. 

And no I have not invested in Medina and  no I am not a first home owner. I do know people who have invested in Medina and I do know first home owners. Who does know a first home owner?

I apologise if any of your members felt challenged by any of my comments. My style of posting may not be  appropriate for your forum

Would the quantitative research data below be of interest?

'Civil Property Possessions in WA'

The analysis of statistical data on the rate of civil property possession is very insightful for the public and for property owners. The majority of these matters relate to a mortgagee claiming delivery of possession and/or the payment of money secured by a mortgage.

These statistics are an indirect measure of community financial/mortgage stress in the context of macroeconomic factors like unemployment rates, interest rates, personal debt levels (credit cards, personal loans etc) and other factors.

In all states of Australia civil property possessions are easily measured and as an example we reviewed civil property possession in Western Australia over the last 10 years.

Of note is the high increase in property possessions since July 2008. By comparing the long term average to the quarterly results you can see the increase is 50% to 140% each quarter.

To view the statistics online go to http://www.supremecourt.wa.gov.au/content/about/statistics.aspx#link5

The statistics on Civil Property Possession Applications consist of any proceeding commenced in the Supreme Court where the plaintiff is seeking the possession of property. The majority of these matters relate to a mortgagee claiming delivery of possession and/or the payment of money secured by a mortgage.

With the rise of interest rates and mortgage stress it may herald another dip or lull in the WA market ahead. This may assist property investors understand the real estate cycle in Perth and WA. To understand the peak and troughs of the market.  So looking at the information objectively it may be very useful for a property investor.  It may reflect the financial status and health of WA property owners. This information may be valuable market intelligence.

Is this angle appealing to readers?

This information may help you understand the WA real estate cycle with quantitative market research and intelligence and not just an opinion.

If this type of quantitative research is not of interest or the other subject matter is not of interest I am happy not to contribute this content on the forum

cheers

regards

John
Perth WA
Yes this is my name.