And welcome !! Depending on how long you have lived there, and whether you might have bought for a discounted price, the property value might not now be $540k. We appear to be coming out of a 7 year slump in Brisbane (when prices hardly moved overall), and there are indications that values may be heading North, or have already started to do so….
I agree with Jamie re x-coll (i.e. it is rarely a good idea….) but it can make the difference in specialised cases, so let's not write it off altogether – yet !!
If you can add a little more to your story, those extra pieces of information might turn the whole ship around.
Do you have a particular area in mind for purchasing an IP?
You might be new to this, but you certainly appear to have your thinking cap on….. great questions. Property moves in cycles (I often refer to it as like "stairs").
As an average over time, I would say that 1% is quite low. And yet, I have seen years when values fall 20%, fall 5%, stay stagnant, move up 1%, or move up 20%+ As an example, my own home (Brisbane) doubled in value from 1984 to 1990, then fell back in value 20% over 2 years (during the recession we had to have??), stayed stagnant or moved a little upward over 8 more years. From 2000 to 2006 it shot up to 6 x original price (or 3 times its 1990 value).
Since then, I have seen approx 8 years more "stagnation" in values while rents continue to climb, and I suspect another "stair-step" might be just around the corner.
In summary then, it has risen 600% in 30 years. You won't do that with 1% per annum. Of course, I am using "inflated prices" as I am not taking inflation of the dollar into account (that's just too hard for me – and very few people talk that language anyway).
Benny
PS Keep in mind that any "median growth rates" you might get from ABS or similar DOESN'T highlight the fact that particular areas will ALWAYS grow more than others. the median of any number is simply the "middle number" of a huge string of numbers. And the converse is true too (some areas will NEVER grow as quickly as others). Get to know YOUR areas and their strengths/weaknesses and chart your own course (sounds like you are planning to do just that !! Onya !!)
Corie said it for me – I was about to offer a few "pro's" of purchasing an older dwelling…..
The point made by Corie re "manufacturing growth" in an older place is well made.
As well as that, existing homes often don't have any "wait and see" points associated with things like – neighbours, infrastructure, "tone of the area", etc. The area is already established, and you can see what you are buying. Buying new in a new subdivision doesn't have that same certainty, yet buying new in an existing area can (e.g. old house knocked down, land carved up and 2 or 3 homes built). And yes, by buying new, you are also buying a bit more peace of mind, but not overly likely to get much of a bargain.
Re not having enough deposit for existing, there have been ideas from tommytucker, and I'm fairly sure some other lenders can still do a 95% or 97% lend. Of course, THESE loans will depend on the purchased old home meeting their valuation, so that forces the need to buy at a discount anyway. Perhaps spend a few months just looking (in your chosen area) for all property that is on the market and start sizing up what kind of numbers will work for you.
You might even make friends with a few RE agents – who knows, they may have one or two properties that others don't want to touch, but you can maybe clean up quickly – deals like these can assist you in getting really solid property for discount prices. We bought one many years ago – no-one else wanted to touch it, so was on market about 12% below comparables – it had an old tired kitchen, drab carpet, red walls in some rooms…. Nothing wrong structurally. I took two weeks off work, and bought a new "seconds" kitchen on my credit card, painted, re-carpeted, and had it rented (at a 15% gross return) just as we were finishing up the reno. Bonus !!
I think it is often said "You make your profit when you BUY" – and it becomes far easier to get a positive rental return when your outlay is lower. Good luck – you might find a similar diamond in the rough (but you have to be looking to spot them….)
So who would be notoriously good for planning to release equity in the future and grow your portfolio. I know you can't endorse anyone but since this is all new to me are their known players in this field?
Find a good Mortgage Broker (many of whom post frequently here – particularly in the Finance forum). Read the replies these MB's make to yourself and others on forum to glean which of them "suit you" !! It could be that they show particular knowledge that aligns with your needs, or it could simply be that they are in your city, and you can set up a face-to-face to see what they make of your WHOLE situation.
A good Mortgage Broker is worth their weight in gold !!!
You're really getting into this – good to see. Another seriously good question – I'll see if I can do it justice….
Paterson wrote:
if I have put $30k down on a $250k property, and have the rest on interest only mortgage, my liability is for the full amount of course but my investment is only the $30k and if I have generated that from releasing equity on another investment property then the risk is even less.. Am I understanding this correctly? On that basis my return on investment is based on the net rent return against the deposit, is that right?
I believe that is called a "cash-on-cash return". And it is a valid consideration too, up to a point. But it does leave out the other hidden costs – opportunity cost, loss of interest cost, etc. Imagine when you reach the stage where you pull ONLY equity to purchase and put just $1000 on a contract to purchase – your "cash-on-cash returns" will be in the stratosphere……
It is always useful to realise that the other borrowed money could have been an opportunity to invest in shares, oil paintings, etc. Thus by utilising that equity, the monies (that WEREN'T cash-down on the property) still impact. That is called an Opportunity Cost. And, if it was equity released from a sale (so, no mortgage interest paid) then it IS cash-down, isn't it? However, if you won Lotto, then it doesn't have the same "cash down" impact, but it DOES have that "opportunity cost" (as you could have invested it in shares…..).
In short then, I believe the extra $220k should be considered as an "investment cost", at least to the extent of the mortgage monies paid Monthly, along with Borrowing Costs (stamp duties, application fees, etc). However, your thoughts lead me to offer a little more – first, let's assume that the gross yield on this place is 7% (thus, the rental income is ~$336 a week).
If you now compare the "cash-on-cash return", rather than Nett Yield, then you are pulling $17,500 in rent, and let's assume $1500 a year on Insurance, maintenance, rates, PM fees, etc. Let's also say that your Mortgage Interest (IO) is 5% (so $11000 pa). You would then be left with a Nett cash return of $5000pa on a "cash down" amount of $30k. A "cash-on-cash" return of 16.6% then, and it sounds much better than the initial 7% eh?
Personally, I have always worked things out as if I have "borrowed 100% of the property cost". If the numbers still work with 100% in, then it's all good. I'm sure others have their ways that may well differ too. I'll be interested to read how others do this,
Is yield on a property the rent as a %age of the value of the property per year irrelevant of what out goings you have on the property ?
Yes, that is Gross Yield as JacM mentioned. Gross Yield is typically a good "starting point" when considering purchase. It can guide you to say "I can't pay more than $xyz else the Yield is too low to work for me". Maybe such a thought can help you pick up a property for a better price, or have you walk if that can't happen…..
But then, think about what happens after a reno….. If the reno was only to make it rentable (thus the rent might not increase, yet the value will) your yield drops – or does it really???? Have a play with the numbers, and you will begin to see that Nett Yield is far more useful once you are into a property.
At one time that rough price you mentioned (a 5% return roughly) was likely "near enough" to allow disparate people able to discuss a complex subject at a BBQ using "common ground assumptions/facts?" But times change and cycles move on.
Also, some areas might typically generate WAY less than 5% even in the good times, while other areas might generate way better than 5%, even in hard times…..
Good on you for asking questions too, Paterson. Better to be sure of your facts by asking than to assume you have got them sussed, eh?
Welcome !! Sounds like you are in a good place with a chunk of change to use….. I'm sure the possibilities are vast, but if you share a little more about yourself, responses might be able to be tailored more toward your preferences.
e.g. What age group are you in? Do you want to limit your purchases to the city/region you are from, or not? An idea of your income, or perhaps just your "disposable income" – maybe you could buy 3 (???) Your risk preferences – you sound like you might be younger, so may be prepared to take on more risk than an older person with dependents. Are you considering shares too (as part of a holistic plan, if it helps to make the Property investing work), etc.
Of course, there may be things you won't wish to share publicly, and that's OK too. Share how much you are comfortable with sharing, and let's see what turns up.
I'm from Brissy too, and my places haven't seen much growth for several years. Signs appear to be changing for the better recently though…. But then, I have houses – I gather units have a different way of working. E.g. I gather the dynamics differ in that, a forced sale in a block of apartments can impact on perceived value of all of the units.
So could it all come back to WHY is that other owner dropping his price? How are the other owners handling things? Any whispers re others also wanting (needing?) to sell soon? And is the current "value" being arbitrarily dropped because of this one seller? What do other owners (and RE agents, etc) see as today's value of these units?
Who are the usual renters of studios in your location? Are their numbers dropping, or increasing? Have rents been ticking upward over the last few years (even while values have stood still?). Any extended vacancies?
Seems to me you might already be able to provide your own answer, as I'm sure you'd be "keeping an eye on things" as an existing owner. And you would be better placed to answer them all than any of us, unless we also owned one of the other units. Do keep us up-to-date with your thoughts…. I'd be interested to hear what you decide,
If you are prepared to lose it, you may well win it.
Pick a figure you are happy to pay, front up, say “that’s all I can afford” – and be prepared to walk away.
If nothing else, it will get him thinking. It seems there has not been too much interest. Maybe he is getting anxious (or maybe he is DETERMINED to hang out for his price – I reckon you need to KNOW this, if this is the case).
Perhaps you can then offer him his price (but with settlement 6 months away – that could change his mind [blink]). In short, though, you need to be prepared to walk away to gain the upper hand. Can you do that?
Can I say, don’t depend on Silhouette to get you there. The numbers provided are seriously flawed.
$rent / 2 x $1000 x your best bank interest rate.
Eg (say, best bank rate you can get is 6.84%)
$295 / 2 x $1000 x 1.684 = $248,390 is the top price to pay
If using this as a rule, an Interest rate of 2% would have you offering $177k for an IP – but, if the Interest rate was 8%, you could spend up to $265500.
Not a good idea at all – methinks a rework is needed to THAT rule
Your still going to have the same amount of debt if you just use the equity and purchase another. Yes your intial house will be $50k more in debt but your second will be $50k less in debt and you only have one property to worry about all the buy in costs involved.
I don’t agree. If you’ve sold the first IP to fund the next two, then you have cash in hand as the 2 x $25k deposits. Therefore your next two are LESS in debt. If you had taken an equity loan against #1, then your $50k (deposit, costs) IS a debt. But by paying cash for the deposits no debt is associated.
Will it be better? I don’t know as I haven’t done this. And did you have to pay capital gains tax on the sale? Sorry – probably more questions than answers
Sounds like you “seized the day” – and good for you. And I love what I read from you:-
in fact their value is going up by 10% minimum pa so that makes the overall value increase by 170k for the coming year alone.
You’ve got to be on a winner right there, CD. If Derek is right, and you only need $37k pa, this HAS to be good news, right? Isn’t that the next 4 – 5 years already taken care of? Even if not quite right, it does tend to give a good idea about the value of equity growth, yeah?
Anyway, it’s good to see you are back with us again, and charging forward. Keep on reading, and adding to that “store of knowledge” that allows you to make the best decision for YOU. For me, it’s amazing just how LIBERATING this knowledge can be – I wish the same for you,
My point was simply that a 1 year old townhouse would still be looking pretty good – but a 10 year-old house could maybe do with new carpets, a fresh coat of paint, etc.
Were you missing something? Hell, I dunno – but that’s where I was coming from. What do you think after reading this, Redwing? Do you have a different take on this?
I haven’t always agreed with you in the past, but you get my gong for this comment. Hehe – as if it matters [blush2]
Over the last two years, I’ve also found talking about investment properties to elderly folk to be one of the most ‘positive’ aspects of investing, and indeed have landed one absolute cracker of a deal via word of mouth…no advertising…..simply by having a chat.
In fact, your total reply in this thread has been very worthy – but I particularly liked the above quote – shows you in quite a different light. Onya, Dazz
I’ve always tended to think a free-standing house would appreciate more than a townhouse….keen on anyone else’s thoughts.
You’ve got me, nhowarth – I agree completely. You haven’t included land sizes, but i am more comfortable with houses than units/townhouses. But then, we’re all different.
If the 10 year old house were to receive a cash injection, this could generate a whole lot more equity. But doing that on a 1 year-old townhouse will likely add $0 to the value. Just my thoughts,
I realise it will be a couple of weeks before you read this – and I wish you the very best re the medical operation you are facing.
Just wanted to add that you are already where I want to be financially – so well done. From what I read, you have already amassed over $1m in equity – at that point I believe Living Off Equity is almost a doddle.
Look at it this way. Any lender will immediately lend up to 65% as a pure “Asset Loan”. In other words, they don’t care what you owe, or earn, as they have the right to sell a property worth 50% MORE than what they are lending. This is your “safety net” – many will lend on a far better basis – but this is the worst it gets.
As I understand it, you have at least $1.2m equity, but just don’t know HOW to access it. Can I say “You are in VERY GOOD SHAPE” and that must be because of the decisions you’ve made up to now. So, for that, congratulations – you’ve done well.
Based on Derek’s response (that you only need $37k per year to live) you are a shoe-in to not need to work for the next 20+ years. And if you retain the current properties, their value would at least double over that period – probably far more – therefore allowing you to borrow more to take you over the following 20 years.
I am getting close to being able to do this, but I think you are “already there” Enjoy,
But then, as I re-read, I noted you mentioned SMSF – of course, if you invested in a property that way, you’d have NO leverage !!! Was THAT how you did it hb?
You don’t put too many numbers into your story, so its a bit hard to tell. And maybe you just wanted to take a swing at property anyway – well, we’re used to that. [smiling] BTW, the $500k WAS profit wasn’t it? Against WHAT outlay? I’d be interested to know – wanna share?
but tell me, what would CBA have returned to you if you’d used the same deposit that you’d put into the property? Would it have been $1.5m? (I suspect it might’ve been slightly lower)
And – It’s easy to say “x share would have been the greatest” but what if you’d chosen y share? (You said it – hindsight is terrific) What if you’d put that same money into Telstra? How would you be today?
Still, in the spirit of sharing knowledge, I’d agree that property is NOT likely – over the next 4 years – to do what it did over the last 4 (depending just where you are investing). But you can still do well using the leverage available. Can you get 100% leverage in shares with the same lack of volatility as property? Hmmmm?
I gotta go with WYlie there. Use whatever means to claw some more cashflow out of those places. Add a carport/garage, a/c, dishwasher, broadband, whatever – and, of course, an agreed rental increase – it doesn’t take much.
With Interest rates as low as they are, you’d be really unlucky to end up on the negative side of things. But first, check with a local RE agent just how much value a garage or a/c, or dishwasher adds to the rent. Then do your sums. You might find that you can lift rents (specially in summer) by $15 a week by fitting a/c – and it might only cost you $5 a week, even if you borrowed the lot !!!
Make it work, gfb – just do your sums first – and hold onto them. When they double in value in x years time (while being funded by the tenants meanwhile) you’ll be glad you did [smiling]
Benny
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