I’m just wondering what are the best resources for finding information about how certain suburbs are trending and changes in the market?
I have heard of Residex, RP Data, SQM, info on realestate.com.au
Or is it best getting in and amongst the areas I am interested talking to agents and going to open houses and so on?
Much will depend on how you decide to proceed – like, if you choose to buy in an area remote from where you are, then Open Houses might naturally be forced OFF the list. I like the idea of becoming an RE agent’s “newest best friend” in your chosen area. Even if remote, much can be done by phone/email (though it would likely be smart to meet up with them when you are “sounding out” your chosen area/suburbs initially to form a relationship).
With the others you mention (Residex etc), I’ve read that some are more up-to-date than others – and some can tell downright untruths (I have noticed median values posted that seem to indicate massive spikes on a Monthly basis – as useful as an ashtray on a motorbike). A median should be a “rolling window” figure over several months so that spikes are minimised, and overall growth becomes more easily noticed, not the spikes.
In the end, IMHO, nothing beats being in touch with an RE Agent who is “living the market”. They will tell you almost instantly of changes as noted by them.
Benny
PS Glad you enjoyed the “big picture” thread !!! :)
Hi Jas,
Ah, a depreciation schedule – yes it all makes sense now.
Re growth in Morayfield, I don’t know the area well, but I note there is stacks of land around, and there seems to have been quite a “push” in that area over the last number of years. That could have affected the supply/demand curve of course. Is it still growing? Are new homes selling for more than those from 2 years back? Are there any signs of infrastructure spending that will add value to the place? Any new employers that will need more workers?
We have been through quite a long downturn (GFC would have played some part there) – any upturn rests with that supply/demand curve. And that will differ with each market. If you were to sell in Morayfield, would it realise an amount that would allow you to make your next move? Do you have another market in mind? With Brisbane showing signs of an uplift, Morayfield could be another year or two down the track for any increase – unless there are other drivers for its growth.
It’s crystal ball stuff in many ways, but after a 6 year downturn things may be turning the corner. Let’s see what others have to say about Morayfield,
Is the growth potential related to new things coming to the area ie. Schools, shopping, transport?
Anything that increases demand for a property in an area will lead to a lift in price growth. With more demand, supply can’t keep up, so buyers have to pay more to “get in”. So schools, transport etc can certainly have an effect. So too can adding value to YOUR place. e.g. buy a large 2 bedder that can easily be made into a 3 bedder. This will usually lead to an increase in both rental income and growth. Maybe install an air conditioner, or a garage or carport – can have the same result. BUT, all of these depend on the area in which you purchase and the demographic that you are targetting. Or buy a house with a block large enough to be subdivided into the future to add your own growth – or reno the place, or change its purpose, or ……..
With a 95% lend is it still possible to find CF+ properties in the 250-300k range? Or would it have to be negatively geared?
Again, that will depend on the area. In a country town, $300k might be paying too much – these areas are USUALLY positive geared, but can be dependent on just one industry, so be careful…. Outer suburbs of major cities are usually the areas that you can still buy for these prices, and are usually positive geared. Take a look at this link below – it shows what a young bloke did in two years – all positive geared and returning him both positive income and growth (he manufactures some growth with renos too) :- https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4410491-the-big-picture-for-new-readers-especially/#post-4697977
While at the link above, do take a look at other posts in that thread – it was created to cover many of the “early questions”, so read ’em all – either to learn more, or for a refresher !!
I’m am just worried about not being able to find a tenant and then have this massive debt?
Good for you, Phil !! It is sensible to be considering the “What ifs” and addressing as many as possible before buying. Ask RE agents in your “area of interest” how many rentals are on their books, then how many are available today for rent. From that, determine what percentage of their rentals are vacant. 3% is considered “normal” – anything less than 3% is said to be tightening, or tight (around 1.5%). Above 3%, landlords might have to cut rents to get a tenant !!!
Benny
This reply was modified 10 years, 3 months ago by Benny.
Hi Goosehead,
So much depends on answers to a few more questions :-
If your property is in Melbourne or Sydney and it HASN’T grown, I’d be asking serious questions re “Why not?” This could indicate it is time to part company. But if your property is elsewhere, then “It depends…..”
I am seeing early signs of price rises in Brisbane, and other areas may be yet to move. So where is your place? And just what do you mean by “The property schedule is slowly shrinking…” as I am struggling to understand this.
Add a bit more pertinent info re your property, and let’s see if more answers can come your way,
Hi Frangypani,
Wow – the options don’t look too bright right off the bat…. But the “holiday rental” might be a path worth researching….
Your story could be my own – but my property is in the Gold Coast Hinterland (in the mountains). We were losing steadily until we bit the bullet and made it into Holiday Letting. Now, we are NOT on a beach, but there is a call for pristine environments and fresh mountain air – and COLD weather. Our major letting season is Winter !! Go figure….
Anyway, in a nutshell, our GROSS rental income has virtually doubled from the usual family rental. Of course, there are costs, but they may come nowhere near the $8k you are losing anyway.
Do some research on things like – expected holiday letting income for YOUR area, extra costs (laundry, cleaning), and see whether your Nett Income would increase and by how much. It “might” be worth going that route. To furnish, we used “No Deposit, No Interest for x years” deals to make it habitable quickly, and without digging into our pockets.
What do the numbers say? Share them here – we may be able to assist in that way. And welcome aboard :)
And Stamp Duty on mortgage is a “Borrowing Cost”, so can be reclaimed via Tax relief over (I think) 5 years – along with myriad other borrowing costs.
Anything to do with having the loan happen is a borrowing cost – e.g. application fees, Stamp Duty on many bits and pieces, LMI, mortgagee’s Solicitors fees, searches, etc.
Hi Razoo,
Welcome aboard !! I gather from your wording that you are wanting a highish yield, perhaps in preference to Capital Growth? Or do you hope to have both – maybe forcing Growth via reno, development, etc. There would be many questions that should arise before launching into this – like, what are your goals?
Have you talked with anyone re what would be a good approach, based on your current situation and where you are wanting to head? In the case of your suggested purchase, what would be the demographic you would be chasing (sounds like family, so wanting to be near schools perhaps….) or is there another idea there (e.g. student accom for a higher rental take, but with more management required, etc, etc).
Knowing where you want to head, and why, are an important start to your IP career. DO let us know what you have in mind so we can maybe add some more meaningful answers.
Benny
This reply was modified 10 years, 3 months ago by Benny.
Hi Zojieen,
Welcome aboard – that is an interesting bunch of questions you have put to us. I attempted to see what you were watching.
Your link didn’t go to a specific RK video, but I went looking and watched two that I found.
This one (8 minutes long) :-
..does add a few figures. From that, it appears he pops in some of his own money, but also money from other investors.
The project started as a large apartment block with adjacent land. He added an extra 100 apartments on the land, then refinanced to get the Bank’s money to pay out him and the other investors. It appears $100 a month was “spare cash” from each of the 250 apartments. So they wind up with an investment that returns $300k per year, with none of their own cash in the deal any more.
On the surface, it sounds workable to me. Though $100 a month isn’t earth-shattering, if an investor had put in 10% of the original investment, his passive income is $2500 a month with all costs covered, and his original investment back in his bank (or re-invested elsewhere). Seems to me there is no intent to repay the loan – so maybe they are using “Long-term Fixed” loans to lock in their monthly costs.
Maybe others can add a few more pointers (my knowledge of this kind of investing is minimal),
Hi Isabel,
I think you may have already telegraphed the answer :-
someone who charges a bit more but has been really responsive and thorough with information (this is important as its our first property
It is great that you have secured a tenant, but why give the useless PM any more of your money? As an absentee landlord, I would certainly want someone “responsive and thorough” in my corner if things went wrong. e.g. what if the water heater blew up, and you (or your tenant) couldn’t contact the PM? Or, what if the tenant suddenly decided to break their lease?
Though we can hope that things won’t go wrong, a slightly higher cost for a good PM sounds like an insurance policy that is well worth having.
Hi MM,
Good to hear you are breathing once more…. :p You appear to be in really good shape – you will look back in 10 years and give yourself a huge pat on the back !! But wait – you could even do that NOW !! What you already have is a nice base to start from.
As well as pointing to answers to common early questions, you will cheer to find one post links to a thread which discusses “To buy? Or to Rent” Which is better. Do note that it looks only at the FINANCIAL side of things. You have already mentioned other important considerations, and they might have you choose to go “the other way” – and that is OK too. So long as you have chosen after knowing all the facts, it is all good.
And welcome aboard – it seems you are already glad you joined up :)
Benny
This reply was modified 10 years, 4 months ago by Benny.
Richard >> there are plenty of other better suburbs depending on what you wanting to achieve.
Ms New >> I am currently renting and I hope to be able to buy my PPOR in say 5-6 years. So CG is more important in my situation.
Richard’s point is well made !! It all depends on what you want to achieve, and by when? The HOW comes later.
Consider this – though you may be able to buy one inner suburb property worth $600k, you might also be able to buy $1m worth of outer suburb properties (with higher yields, the banks may be more amenable to allowing you to buy 3 x $330k IPs). If the $600k property grows at 7%, your Equity jumps $42k. But the outer suburbs might still jump 5%, and 5% of $1m is $50k, and with less risk as you have three tenants instead of just one.
Have a think of your “risk factor”… (or “sleep at night” factor). Are you more comfortable having your risks spread across several lower-cost IP’s, or one higher cost (with probably lower yields) in a higher growth suburb. Then, can you afford to negative gear for a while? Or do you like a mixture of both types (negative and positive geared)?
What is your ten-year goal? And which kind of purchase takes you down the path toward it? Higher growth, higher cost, lower yield? Or the reverse?
Keep asking questions as you chart your course. And don’t be in a rush – make your first buy a cracker – the rest will follow more easily.
Hi Higherdale,
The only formula I know that would calculate that is to write “HEAPS”. When developers can build up to 8 stories, the land values go into the stratosphere. Given that your group (assumedly) are talking about this, it may be worth having two or three of you spending the time (and $$) to learn all about it for yourselves.
Depending on where you are, there might be a company that can assist. One I know (Brisbane based) is Bob Anderson – he runs workshops while also developing. I have done his course, and his manuals provided appear to be very well written and complete (as far as I know). Given that State and Council laws could be different, you might need a local to assist you.
Then again, there seem to be companies that can
1. Assist you with planning, DA’s, etc but leave you to do the building, or
2. Do all of 1, but also can provide a team to construct, etc.
3. Can offer to buy the sites from you and they will construct for themselves.
So Google around – with the mega $ likely available to you all, it is well worth the time spent. Of course, the actual location within a city/town will alter the $$ available (e.g. 7 adjacent lots zoned for 8 levels in inner Sydney is worth far more than the same lot pattern in outer Moree).
Keep in mind that there could be winners and losers in your group of seven too. Depending on lot sizes and their actual position in the group of 7, some lots will be worth more than others. Indeed, some might turn out to be “surplus to requirements” too. It may be worth drawing up legal agreements between you all if planning to operate as one coherent group (could be a bit like herding cats, though eh?).
Anyway the rewards if all lots were to come available together can be massive – and, if you all were able to fund the development yourselves (even after paying for consultants and construction, council fees, etc) the worth to you all could have you all retired afterward.
Let us know where you are (suburb) – who knows who might be reading and are looking for 7 adjacent blocks for high-rise…..
Hi RPI,
Based on the numbers, it seems only 45% of the land can include housing. What about garaging – can they be separate and take up more of the land? Or would they have to be underneath to stay within the 45%?
As this block is (I believe) LMR2, is that two levels of living, or two levels including garage under?
I understand that I could hold onto the apartment and that it will be positive but I think I’ll have to hold too much money in it.
True, but then you can borrow against its Equity to become the Deposit on another IP (making the extra Loan deductible) and/or take equity to buy a PPOR. Whatever you choose, it is great to have so much choice !!!
Hi Rob,
Welcome, and well done. You already appear to have a chunk of equity – that is a good start for someone of your age.
Right now is the right time to identify your goals, thus your direction. Keep on reading, especially stories on here of what others are doing, who they are seeing, and how they are charting their course. While doing tht, ask yourself a bunch of questions – e.g. :-
1. Would you be prepared to stay in your current apartment for another xx years if necessary?
2. Do you have plans of starting a family, which could have you lose (or lower) one wage?
3. Are you a handyman – do you enjoy doing reno work?
4. Would you consider creating equity in other ways – e.g. developments (subdividing blocks, or rebuilding after demolition of older homes)?
5. When considering “positive vs negative geared”, take advice on long-term effects of such a path. It may be better to concentrate on equity building now, and create/purchase positive geared IPs later – or vice versa. This is where taking advice from others with real knowledge can set you on the right path (e.g. a MB or FP with “runs on the board” and a wealth of exdperience). What may be right for others may not be right for you.
You mentioned having an apartment with just $100k owing on it. You seem concerned that it has been paid down, thus not an ideal Rental (with less Tax deductions) and yet you mention buying positive geared in the future (which will also have less/no Tax deductions). As you can see, determining just WHAT is needed now to get you to your goal is paramount.
One good reason to SELL your apartment might be to enjoy CGT exemption, and liberate a huge chunk of cash. That can then be applied to whatever becomes your “next step” (buy a PPOR, or an IP – or both?) But then, there may well be good reasons to KEEP it.
For now, I’d say – keep on reading, thinking, and taking advice all around this subject. Meet up with other investors at “Meetups” that occur around the country. Discuss your family needs with your partner, and identify what your goals are. Once you know just where you want to be, plan the basic steps to get you there. Read some good books too – Steve’s books put in a lot of “numbers” that help to understand how IP investing works.
I learned how to use Excel prior to my first purchase and, following almost a year of free seminars, meetings, reading, and spread-sheeting, I had built up my knowledge to the point that I went into purchases CONFIDENTLY, knowing that I now had good knowledge of many of the early tripwires, and could avoid them. That, along with having a number of people with whom I could discuss any problems or plans, helped me immensely in my early days.
Again, welcome Rob. Get on this horse and ride it home (wherever that is for you). It is a sweet ride – mostly….. And in case you haven’t yet seen it, do check out this link for starters,
Hi Ray,
I wasn’t able to read the RP clearly, but the letter came up fine. It seems a larger block was subdivided way back, giving you a ~640m2 chunk of a larger block. It appears that your land is confined by your boundary, thus I think the Elec Co is up for the adjoining fence with your neighbour, not you.
That RP plan was so unclear I can’t be totally sure of everything. Still, I see your land is 12.89m wide – yours and the 3.11m driveway would have been cut from a 16m frontage. It appears your block is ~50m deep. So, 50 x 12.9 = 645m2 which is about what you thought, yeah?
I think you are in the clear re that fence. Let’s see if others agree – I am not a Town Planner, nor even a builder, so I am reading this as a “layman” (i.e. I may have missed something important)…..
Hi Ray,
Bsed on the updated information and the map, and your words, it seems to me that the Energy Co owns a “battleaxe block”. Thus they would own the driveway and be up for the fence.
BUT, you use the word “easement”, which usually indicates part of a block of land being made available for “others to use”, and restricting you from building on that portion. So, is it an easement on your land or does your land stop at the boundary as you said.
Is it someone else’s easement? The Registered Plan for your area should put this argument to bed. If it is someone else’s, then it is they who should be sharing the cost of the fence.
Hi RPI,
Many thanks for the quick response. Could you expand on this comment please :-
By my rough calcs you have a 238m2 per-1946 site coverage at the moment and are allowed a 364.5m2, so only an additional 126.5m2
I’m not sure what you just said… Are you saying only 126.5m2 extra land could be utilised for any extra dwellings if a someone were to purchase/build? Or does your comment mean something else entirely?
Given that it seems the house might have to stay, could its size be reduced from the rear, allowing more free space to build other homes (but retaining the front, and thus the street appearance)?
Could the internals of the house be re-jigged to produce two flats within the walls of the house without impacting DCP? I might be grasping at straws here – sorry – just trying to learn a bit more.
And thanks,
Benny
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