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    Ah, what the hell – bump !!   Go back two posts and tell me that news isn’t worth spending some thought on…..

    Better yet, here’s the link, so you get to the one with the huge news:-

    https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/5050126-the-climate-is-changing-2/#post-5087027

    We could do with a viable alternative to the current expensive energy sources (wind, solar and battery) that are being foisted upon us…..  Or am I wrong?  Let’s have it…..  ;)

    Benny

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    Hmmm…..

    That same entrepreneur went into print again today.  His final words (after discussing 3 banks that have failed in the US in just 3 days) were these:-

    … they had substantial assets tied up in Treasuries – fixed rate securities. ………….. That’s not necessarily a problem. You can just hold them to maturity, and you just didn’t make as much money on them as you would have liked.   But if you’re forced to sell them, you have to sell them at a loss.   And you lose big money.    ………………  this is what happens when you raise rates aggressively (too aggressively).

    Is he right?  Makes sense to me…..  But then I’m just an ordinary bloke with an opinion.  What’s yours?

    If he is right, perhaps I should send this chap’s email to the RBA before they break something major here too !!  :(

    They’ve raised rates by 140% so far, with perhaps more to come?  I think there are already many broken people…. when is enough going to be enough for these clowns?

    Benny

     

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    Hi Evan,

    Do check out this link – https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/5086923-using-business-income-as-guarantor-to-a-loan/ – where another member asked a similar question.  Also, see where Steve also added some words to help.

    If you have the older books, you will be missing the “Chapter 9” that I reference.  It has to be the updated book to get that chapter re Trusts.

     

    Also, I used Search to look for other posts where Trusts were discussed.  This link is quite complex, and it includes some very good input especially from Terryw.  Here’s the link first :-  https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/5068817-home-loan-borrowing-using-trust/#post-5076652

    Do look for this part of one of Terry’s replies :-

    Some lenders will disregard personal guarantees as long as the borrower is paying their own way and the guarantor is not needed to fund it.

    You will find the quote above at this link – https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/5068817-home-loan-borrowing-using-trust/page/2/#post-5076654

    I found this whole topic was a great learning tool, with both Steve McKnight and Terryw adding very useful information.  I hope it helps you too,

    Benny

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 8 months ago by Profile photo of Benny Benny. Reason: Adding further links
    Profile photo of BennyBenny
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    Just this morning an email from a local entrepreneur had a bunch of figures that I hope the RBA consider today when they meet.  The figures showed that the wheels have already fallen off, and that households are staggering.  He also quoted current CPI, GDP, jobs, and Inflation figures – all of them are showing a weakness that the RBA has been trying to engineer.  But it was his parting two sentences that had me smile:-

    “The only sensible thing to do is to stop hiking rates, just to make sure that the Aussie consumer is still breathing.  But the RBA doesn’t have a reputation for sensible.”

    Thanks Jon – good one!   And yes, as my earlier posts indicate, I totally agree with that last sentence.

    Question now is – will the RBA get to check their emails before making their decision today on what to do next with Interest Rates?   Or (as I suspect) are they totally on another planet?

     

    Edited later:-   Well, we got our answer – they are on another planet entirely.  A further 0.25% (another 10% really) brings the actual lift to around 140% extra Interest (based on a nominal 2.5% interest rate on a mortgage prior to the first increase – see earlier posts).

    How many people can cover a 140% rate increase without effort?   This stress is bound to have a huge impact on homeowners, business owners, renters, employees (who may suddenly have no job…).    And it hasn’t ended yet?   Sheesh !!   What does it have to take?

    I’m picking they will do another 2007/8 sequence where they raised rates way past where they should, only to madly chop them again once they realise they got it wrong.

    Anyone want to bet agin me?

    Benny

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 8 months ago by Profile photo of Benny Benny. Reason: Extra after the rate rise
    Profile photo of BennyBenny
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    Hi John,

    I’ve sent you a Private Message,

    Benny

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    Well, well, well – on the news last night, I hear some are calling for Phillip Lowe’s resignation.  I can’t say I blame them.  With yet another 0.25% (wait up, that is really 10% – see earlier posts) increase, the pain just gets more and more intolerable for many.   Let’s revisit an earlier statement from this topic:-

    What ever happened to the RBA of old who would make a couple of changes, then sit back to read the tea leaves and see what effect the changes had rather than slamming down harder on the brakes.

    Seems like that (somewhat sensible) ‘old’ RBA doesn’t exist any longer.   Is that Mr Lowe’s fault?  I don’t know, but SOMEBODY in the RBA should be saying “Hey, wait a minute – let’s think about this a bit more…..”    Shouldn’t they?   Shouldn’t Jim Chalmers be having a chat re what is going on?   And what happened to his earlier words re “Initiating a review of the RBA” or was that just a throwaway line from an inexperienced Treasurer?

    Surely “It’s time” for some action before the RBA drives our economy further into the ground.  And re their mantra about keeping inflation in a 2 – 3% band?  Who says that’s a good idea to push for that RIGHT NOW?   Long term, yes, but hey, with the cost of near EVERYTHING going up, and folks now struggling to pay a mortgage that has ballooned out over a 9 month period, do we really want to create more unemployment just so the RBA can get inflation down into that magic band?

    See, think on it – by taking funds out of the average person’s pocket, they cut back on spending, thus adding to the woes of small business owners who may be running a restaurant, so they sack staff too (and their mortgage – or their landlord’s – has also risen in cost, so they are making less from Joe Public, while also facing increasing costs).   Talk about a vicious circle – and much of it being of the RBA’s making.

    What’s the time, Albo?  Time to line up the RBA board and have a wee chat – for all of our sakes.  And bring a few attack dogs with you.  This has all got way beyond a joke.

    Benny

     

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    Hi jcso,

    Use Private Message for info like that (unless Sasha is happy for his phone number to be made public),

    Benny

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    Well, there are two more weeks before the RBA meets for cucumber sandwiches, strawberries and cream, and Moet.  Ahead of that, I hope they get to think long and hard about this quote:-

    Let’s hope interest rates stay at record lows – with today’s house prices, it’ll only take a relatively modest increase in interest rates for mortgage payments to become completely crippling. (quote – circa 2020)

    Well, is a 120% lift in Interest costs enough of a “modest increase” to tip folks over the cliff?  Add it to increases in food costs, petrol costs, power costs….  What now?  Is a further 10% or 20% (0.25% or 0.5%) lift really needed?  Inflation has nose-dived already – lots of belt-tightening going on….   Some economists are still saying “One or two more”…..

    What’ll it be, RBA?

     

    Profile photo of BennyBenny
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    Well I thought that last post was exciting – but what, no other takers?   Wow !!   I’m quite surprised……

     

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    Our Admin chap has fixed the problem, so if YOU were having problems registering your book purchase, do go back to the Home Page (below the Training Centre data) and click the link.   It is working again.

    Or just click on this link – it’ll take you straight there :-

    https://www.propertyinvesting.com/store/0-130-properties-revised/register/

    Benny

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    Hi Berm,

    Thanks for that – I just tried myself and it appears to be a mis-directed link.  Having someone take a look.  I’ll reply again in here once fixed,

    Benny

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    No worries Troy.  Was that link worthwhile in some way?   I know it was not a direct help, as you are looking at buying a PPOR anew.

    How did things go from your perspective?  Did you go ahead with drawing a loan against the IP?   It should have been a SEPARATE loan and not just an increase of any existing loan (to keep deductible and non-deductible costs from being mixed in together).

    Benny

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    Hi John,

    Not such good news from Chris there….  Now it seems to me you are left with “running the numbers”.

    First off, do you have tenants in place?  If so, what is happening to them while repairs are carried out?  Are they OK to stay there while such massive repairs are undertaken?  If not, then what are their options?   Look too at the likely Interest cost of using a Credit Card – even at some exorbitant rate (e.g. 20%), it could be utilised while a Personal Loan is sourced, so any Interest costs on the Credit Card (if it takes a month to source other funds) might be as little as 20% x $25k / 12 = $420 or so.   That is likely less than a week’s rent, so yeah, go stick it on credit if it gets things done quickly.

    A Personal loan could be as low as 8% Interest Rate too, so just 40% of the Credit Card rate.   That may also allow you time to “chase up other options via a lawyer” to see if someone else can cover the cost of this failure (as per earlier replies).  Surely keeping good tenants would be paramount, wouldn’t it?   Repair costs would also be deductible, so some of the pain may be taken away in that mode.  All is not lost…..

    You’ve been served up lemons – can you work out how to make lemonade?  ;)

    Benny

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    Hi John,

    That sounds bloody awful.  Thinking further from Steve’s and your words, I was wondering just where “strata” begins and ends.  e.g. Is your strata the box that encompasses your unit?  And does that go below floor level?  See to me (a layman) I would have thought that the BC should be responsible for the Structure of the building.  And would (should?) that include the structure underfloor, including rebar, concrete, any pipes, power runs, etc?  What are the limits?  Are the BC correct, or are they sticking their heads in the sand on this one?

    I don’t know – but in your situation it may be worth googling things like “Lawyer specialising in construction” and/or “Lawyer specialising in Insurance claims”.   Often a lawyer (solicitor) will allow your opening visit to be fee-free while they get to hear whether they can help or not.  At the very least, they may have others they can refer you to, once they have heard your story.

    Good luck with it,

    Benny

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    Hi Daeheon,

    Congratulations for taking that first step on the path to property investing.  Did you have a goal re “How much to earn from our first property to enable us to grow?” or was it more like “Just get a foot onto the property ladder?”  Whichever it was, you have made that first step, so that is worth celebrating.

    Do you care to share some numbers re “where you are” or “where you are planning to be”?   It’s up to you, and it is (of course) going to be public, so only share what you feel comfortable with.  To me, the numbers are always the important part.  Steve gets deep into these with his recent project “STEPS” that takes you through a VERY complete due diligence procedure.  It starts out with helping you to quantify just what you are wanting to achieve, then guides you toward the kind of property that might suit you best, and finally takes you through the very complex part (due diligence) – to the point where you will be as certain as you can be of each purchase you make.

    An agent’s job is to present a property to you and invite you to purchase – however, depending on various State laws, they are not obliged to lay out all of the possible “downsides”.  Of course, if asked, they should reply truthfully (but then, if possible, that truth should be tested).  It is up to you to discover, and attempt to verify, these truths – that is “due diligence”.  This is where STEPS shines.

     

    Re “what next”, or “How can investors keep purchasing investing properties”, that comes down to (largely) cashflow.  If your situation has you struggling to pay the mortgages, or limiting your savings regime, then it is up to you to find ways to increase that cashflow.  This can be done in a number of ways (always with the blessing of your advisers – accountant, lawyer, etc), and here are a few thoughts:-

    1.  Saving is a slow way to grow wealth, but investing savings to create wealth makes sense – like, if you can spend savings to grow rental income or equity in a property, then run the numbers on these options.  It may be that renovating may cost in the first instance, but it might give your equity and rental income a huge kick along.

    2.  Adding any “missing” things that allow a rental increase are worth exploring – e.g. ask your tenants if there are things they would like (and would be prepared to pay an uplift to have them) and see if you can provide these for little cost.  e.g. If the house isn’t insulated, or airconditioned, what are the costs of each, and would the $ uplift in rent MORE than cover the loan costs to implement these (or use savings and gain $x a week).  What about a carport if there isn’t one?   Landscaping?  A garden shed if there isn’t one? etc.

    3.  Consider whether changing to Interest Only loans would be beneficial in your instance.  Again, an accountant’s input would be crucial here.

    4.  Itemise your skills and risk profile to determine just what path might be more beneficial for you.  Would learning to develop properties hold some interest?  Certainly, though a very active role, the dollar outcomes can be outstanding.  Is that for you?

    5.  Renovations?  Buy/reno/sell properties (quick turnover for large cash injections to assist with the next buy/hold asset).

    Daeheon, do consider Steve’s words too – they go something like this – “The first stage of investing is accumulation – at this time the focus is on growth.  Residential investing works well in this phase.  Once you have amassed the required amount of Equity, then switch your investing focus to Income rather than Growth.  Steve recommends Commercial investing at this stage, where a tenant pays most/all expenses and the income provides your needs for living.

    One final thing – part of purchasing each IP is knowing HOW and WHEN you will need to move it on.  i.e. Plan your exit BEFORE you buy it.

    I hope that gives you food for thought.  Do come back with any questions,

    Benny

     

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    Hi Charlie,

    Steve asked me to let you know he recommends Mark Unwin.  He is based in the North-East of Melbourne :-

    https://www.mjua.com.au/

    Benny

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    Wow !!   Where has THIS been hiding?

    I was fortunate enough today to stumble over a dissertation from two stalwarts of common sense – Bjorn Lomborg and Jordan Peterson.  And, following on from Bjorn’s comment in my last post:-

    “Instead of pouring Billions into subsidising infant technologies that are not cheap, we would be better advised to turn those dollars into researching better ways to produce CHEAP energy. Once that path is found, China and India (along with everyone else) would RUSH to utilise this new cheaper, more reliable power source.

    Well, lookee here – in this short video (approx 20 mins) Bjorn and Jordan combine to espouse a host of truths about today’s world, promises made (and costed) that show the “path to fixing Climate change could do with a major reset”, but finishes with a hope that sounds like it is well worth exploring.

    Listen in to the last 3 minutes of the link below at least, to where Jordan talks of “oil-producing algae”.  Is that not a HUGE hope for the future?  Look it up.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIMLW2RundY

    Apparently, all this algae needs is water, carbon-dioxide, and sunlight.   Just as plants take in carbon dioxide and give out oxygen (we’ve all known that for centuries), here’s a plant that takes in CO2 and gives oil instead of oxygen.  Let me think now – would this be worth spending a few R&D dollars on do you think?  It reduces CO2 and produces Oil – could we FARM it?  SHOULD we farm it?

    If not, WHY NOT?

    Benny

    PS Oh, and within that link, Bjorn talks of how “long” the batteries in the world could provide a backup for when “sun isn’t shining and the wind isn’t blowing”.   It is measured in seconds !!!!   Check THAT out, then tell me how good solar and wind power really are as a viable future power source.  Maybe seaweed will turn out to be way better?  But we gotta spend R&D money first….

     

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    Well, well, well !!   Out of interest, I went searching for a history of house prices over time in Australia.   The article also compared wages vs cost of housing, taking into account inflation and prevailing interest rates.  The data went from 1970 to 2020.   The results were (to me at least) a little surprising.  One take-away from the article was this one (remember, this was 2020, not today) :-

    It’s interesting to note that, although in all cases things are significantly less affordable than they were in 1970, in most cases we’re not actually at peak un-affordability when it comes to servicing a mortgage. Although house prices in all cities are at or near historical highs, interest rates are at all time lows. For Sydney, peak mortgage pain came in 1990 when average home loan rates peaked at about 17% and you were paying $4400 / month in 2020 dollars towards your mortgage.

    I say, with a 120% rise in Mortgage interest costs over the last 8 months or so, there has to be a heap of people in mortgage pain right now. Does it equal 1990? I don’t know, but it wouldn’t surprise me if it did. We will have reliable figures in a year or so, and can perhaps look back then to confirm.

    The article also went on to say that, once Interest rates got off the ground once more, the findings could change markedly:-

    Even though house prices are at or near all time highs, in pretty much all cities, mortgage payments are NOT at record highs. The reason is that interest rates are unprecedentedly low. If house prices continue to grow, or interest rates go up again, mortgage payments are likely to become unsustainable, particularly in Sydney.

    and then this:-

    Let’s hope interest rates stay at record lows – with today’s house prices, it’ll only take a relatively modest increase in interest rates for mortgage payments to become completely crippling.

    On here, we were aware of this likelihood – thanks to Steve, a year or more back, with his updates and warnings.  For others though, following projections of “no increase in Cash Rate until 2024” from the RBA, a lot of folks have been blindsided.  Good luck to them as they endeavour to keep going…..

    For those interested, here is the link to the whole article :-

    https://www.savings.com.au/home-loans/australian-house-prices-over-the-last-50-years-a-retrospective

    Benny

     

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    Hi Charlie,

    Check out the “Training Centre” on the Home Page.  There are hundreds of articles about all aspects of property investing.  They are broken down into categories (e.g. Buying, Selling, Renovating, etc) so you might be interested in those to do with Buying.

     

    Other than that, in a nutshell there are plenty of variables to consider.  Common ones are :-

    Is mining the ONLY employer in town?  If so, what happens when it suffers a downturn?  Where do the workers go?  Do they leave town?

    What is the ratio of rentals to owner-occupied?  If heavy on rentals (>30%), then these are all your competition.  (Especially in bad times !)

    Is the mine thinking of providing their own accommodation for FIFO workers?  It has happened before!   What happens to your IP then?

    Can you get finance?  Some lenders won’t look at some regional towns.

    How difficult is it to manage a remote property?  To get tradies to fix things?  Is the town big enough to have a few RE agents?  If only one or two, you are CAPTIVE to them – what if they are both no good?

    Whenever you buy, you should always have an Exit plan worked out.  e.g. If times went bad for the mine and its workers, how would you exit this property?  Who would you sell to if times were tough?  Can you hold on until better times come around again?

    Just a few thoughts out of left field Charlie.   Keep on searching – the answers will come,

    Benny

     

     

     

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    Hi Charlie,

      So the question I am asking is, can the revenue of a business be recycled using trusts?

    I thought Chapter 9 covered that bit quite well….  Or was your question a bit more broader than the book covered?  Maybe change the question if it needs to be more definite in its focus.

    And also will the banks lend money based on the revenue of the business or only the free cashflow?

    Are you asking whether the Bank looks at Gross or Net Revenue?   That’s what it seems like to me.  In answer, I’m sure they’d want to look at both.  And probably it needs a bit of time too – i.e. they like to see a business has been in operation for some time (not just a startup).

    Benny

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