I have heard of others (experienced investors) who buy land when the prices are good, and more than one at a time. The major question really is “Are these land blocks really good deals?” Much of that answer will depend on who is developing them. Although I’m sure there are a host of good, honest business people doing good deals, the whole H&L scenario can also have its share of sharks.
Is your goal to develop that block as an IP? If yes, then what? Will you hold or sell? Is the plan to provide a chunk of cash at the end of it? Or do you plan to keep it as an Income source while (hopefully) having it grow in value?
Keep in mind that “greenfield estates” can be built in areas where there is heaps of land surrounding, and little to entice people to buy there (e.g. Pimpama or Yarrabilba in SEQ). They can be small blocks and any chance of Capital Growth could be a decade away. But then, if in a tightly-held city area (e.g. a farmer sold their farm in suburbia, this development has nowhere to continue once sold out, is in a major city and infrastructure is already in situ…) then the prospects of Capital Growth COULD be huge.
So much depends on just what and where you are looking, and at what price…. Caution is advised UNLESS you know heaps about the future prospects of this area. The fact that you are building a home there means it has at least some good things going for it. ;)
From the finance side, if values were to drop, you might be struggling to settle on your home (the Bank might require you to provide a larger cash deposit). Perhaps for that reason alone, it may be wise to hold back on the second block…. but let’s see what thoughts come from others in reply….
If you are investing and looking for a house as IP, where would you buy now?
Much more important than where would I buy, is the question “What are your goals?” It is also important to know where you are in terms of your investing ability – financial situation, skillset, risk appetite, age, job security, knowledge, etc, etc.
Give some thought to HOW you see yourself investing. If you want Capital Growth, will you manufacture that, or depend on generic growth? What is your financial limit? Maybe you can’t invest in Sydney, but could invest in Adelaide? Or maybe you CAN invest in Sydney.
In case it helps you to get your thoughts around the possibilities, do have a read of the very first post in this thread below, and then another one dated around Apr 4 of 2014 in that same thread. https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4410491-the-big-picture-for-new-readers-especially/
These are the stories from two investors, the first with many years experience (who talks of her path from beginner to fulltime investor) and the second (Darryl Weston – or Westnblue) who started just a few years ago and quickly grew because of the path he chose.
Now, could either of these paths appeal to you? Do you have the skillsets to do what Darryl did? Or could you BUY that skill and still make money? Would you WANT to buy what Darryl bought? Or are you looking for a more “set and forget” investment?
Just have a good think around these two and see where your thoughts take you.
I wonder if Jerry picked it? Related parties or similar.
Funny thing is that it shouldn’t matter that much even if you DID accept the tenants as they stand. One has no lease, so they could be out in 30 days or so – the other, well, how long is on their lease before renewal – and, at renewal time, the vendor is out of the picture, and you are the landlord.
So, depending on how good the property is, maybe a small adjustment to your offer price to compensate for extra rent foregone, and accept his terms. Why not?
Hi all,
I wonder if fxdaemon might be thinking of Asset Based Lending, rather than non-recourse – you know, the kind where they will lend to 65% with no documentation re Income required at all.
On this low LVR, if any problems were to occur, they can sell even at fire sale prices and reclaim their loan in full.
Can anyone shed some light on how the median price on realestate.com.au is calculated??
Yes, I can – I went to the source, pulled up that same property, then, where it shows Median Price, clicked on it. It opens up to show you the numbers, then has a comment like “How was this calculated?” Click on THAT, and all is revealed…..
Median Price: The price of a property that falls in the middle of the total number of houses sold over a period of time, based on 137 house sales from 1 Aug 2015 – 29 Aug 2016.
So suddenly, things make sense – and the Median value in this instance is about as useful as an ashtray on a motorbike !! :p
In a fast-moving market, the gap between last year’s prices and this year’s have obviously been substantial. More detailed info is needed, but one can GUESS that the lift in values has been quite recent, otherwise the Median would be reflecting a higher value already. Like, if prices started climbing in Sept 2015, then the median by now should be showing near $360k+
But given that Sales of 137 houses are considered, and the MIDDLE one is showing $317k, I can only conclude that the changes in value have been occurring for way LESS than 6 months. The “middle” value is perhaps from 6 months ago while prices were still depressed.
Anyway, now we know, kind of. In a few more months, I would expect that Median to race upward, based on your comments and the passing of time.
Edited later – 18 Jan 17 – Median now showing as $340k (middle price calculated from 110 sales between 1Jan16 to 17Jan17). Still “behind the times”, showing that its growth is not slowing. Also shows that perhaps growth was “under way” by Jun16 (then $340k instead of $317k around March). A further check in Mar17 should see a value near $360k reflecting Sep16 values…. My guesses are that the mid-point of the value should be evident around the mid-point of the timeframe. That is NOT accurate, but should give some kind of normalcy to the median values in a fast-growth market. e.g. I called Jun16 as likely value of $340k – but in fact, Mar 16 was only $317k median, Frankston North might have had all of its growth in just 9 months, not 12 – thus, a “middle sale” might have taken place in Aug16 and not Jun 16. There is no way for me to know for sure.
Edited later again – 28 May 17 – Median today for a 3/1 house in Frankston North is $394k (middle price calculated from 165 sales between 1May16 to 24May17) with Rental Yield of 4% ($300/wk). :) And a quick look at properties for sale shows that asking prices are above THIS Median – so, still growing?
Latest Update – 20 Dec 17 – the 3Bdr Median for Frankston North today is now $455k. Once more, this is the “middle” price of 150+ houses sold in the last 12 months. I think KBrodee will be a happy camper today for going ahead and purchasing in Sep16. One interesting point is that the 4Bdr median today is just $485k. In most cases, a 4Bdr often commands way more than a 3Bdr ($50k to $70k more) – is the closeness of both values indicating an approaching “top of the market”? Or is it an aberration? Hmmm…..
Benny
PS I see your point re that “needs renovation” place. I’m wondering if $306k is really pie in the sky, but someone who can spend the time and love can maybe get a place with good bones for a good price somewhere in the 2’s. And is that a granny flat in the back yard? Hmmm !!
This reply was modified 7 years, 11 months ago by Benny. Reason: Update medians as of mid January
This reply was modified 7 years ago by Benny. Reason: Further update - Dec 2017
Further to that, do a Search for “moustacas” on here and you will see Nick’s name mentioned MANY times over the years, including where he has presented to groups of investors. I last used him 5 years ago when I was in Sydney – but I presume he would still be in business. Check out his business as mentioned in the link.
Did you see the Median that pops up whenever you click on a property (it takes about 30 secs to show up).
When clicking on that first link, it shows the Median (middle) price is $316k. So if most are selling for $350k, how can that Median be correct? It should indicate that a bunch more 3bedders are selling BELOW $316k.
Now median means middle – so, if 7 houses are sold, they could be $420, $410k, 390k, $316k (middle), $312k, $310k, and $310k. As you can see, the AVERAGE can be way higher than $316k. But median of $316k says there are others selling for that price or less.
Or Realestate.com.au have got it wrong.
By the way, if you click on a 4bdr house, the median “should” be higher – re.com.au seem to differentiate between #of bedrooms. Try it out.
OK Kbrodee,
let me play devil’s advocate !! I checked out those links you posted. And the first one had a big question that I think needed answering.
It is on a good sized block (586m2?) and the interior looks very nice – perhaps renovated? So, the two questions that follow are these :-
1. It seems the median value for a 3bdr in FNorth is $316k. Given that, WHY is your one worth $60k more?
2. If others are NOT renovated, maybe THEY are back around that median, and waiting for YOU to buy them, spend $30k on a reno, and make $60k in Equity !!
So, is that first linked one a “solution”? (Has someone renovated it to boost up its price?)
Steve would say “Buy problems and sell solutions”. If you buy solutions, someone else will be taking the cream !!
I can’t help with any knowledge of Frankston, but this quote of yours caught my eye:-
We soon realised that the stigma attached to the suburb was in no way justified or logical. We had spent considerable time in the outer suburbs of Sydney over an hour’s drive from the CBD prior to looking in Melbourne, where the median price for a basic weatherboard house was 500+, many of those areas felt genuinely unsafe whereas we did not experience that feeling at all over the 6 weeks we spent exploring Frankston North.
Sounds to me like you haven’t just “raced into the cheapest property you can find around”. As such, now and then we must simply chance our arm (or, if you like, go with your gut).
Your gut sounds quite settled. Maybe you have happened upon a previously “downer suburb” and it has now grown up – it happens.
If the price being paid sits favourably with the available comparables, then why not? Having a good tenant is worth quids, so also in its favour. And extra land for the same price – too good !!
Today, I came across an old “GOTCHA” – so I wanted to add a post to this string especially for these traps. As each gotcha is added, I will add a quick spiel, then the link.
The first GOTCHA is to do with my old mate, the OFFSET ACCOUNT. But, it could be about any other Account too – so do read it, even if you don’t have an Offset – and relate the thoughts to your account (savings, redraw, whatever). Here we go:-
The first GOTCHA relates to how Mixed Loans can be created by not thinking about HOW to refinance. Or by withdrawing both deductible and non-deductible amounts from any existing account. Once a MIXED LOAN is created, it becomes more and more messy – so better to NOT make it messy in the first place. Go to the link below to read more – @terryw shares some REALLY useful and important information:- https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/4997918-redraw-from-an-offset/#post-5029521
The second GOTCHA regards Landlord Insurance – a member warns of how his Insurance Policy had a weasel clause that negated the value of his claim for “malicious damage by tenant”. The clause in question was hidden in plain sight (i.e. it was on page45 of the company’s PDS for Landlord Insurance) and it effectively limited any claims for damage via a malicious tenant to $10k. His claim required much more than that after his house was wrecked…. Ouch!! https://www.propertyinvesting.com/topic/5030247-think-you-have-good-insurance-read-this/
Time to get out YOUR PDS and check your policy?
Benny
This reply was modified 8 years, 2 months ago by Benny. Reason: Adding a further "gotcha" - Oct16
It highlights one of those little “GOTCHA” areas that can trip up new and old investors who may not have thought things through completely.
I have been guilty too of raving over Offset Accounts, how useful they are, and how they retain flexibility… but this one little, yet SO IMPORTANT, point must be kept in mind when taking money from an Offset (or any other) account.
In short, keep any/all accounts totally SEPARATE in purpose and actively strive to retain their “purity” – i.e. if one account is for Personal Use, only use it for Personal use. If for investment (i.e. deductible) keep that account and any drawings from it ONLY for investment.
WHY? Terryw says it best right here:-
Yes it relates to creating a mixed loan. If you are redrawing from a PPOR loan then you would need to apportion the interest (assuming the redraw relates to investing). But since it is one big loan any deposit into the loan will come off both portions. This means you will be repaying tax deductible debt. Also it will become increasingly difficult to calculate the % relating to each. If the loan is P&I it will be a nightmare.
But wait, there’s more ……
Terry even warns that, though withdrawing for personal use from an Offset against your PPOR is quite fine (they are your funds, and it is non-deductible debt) WHAT HAPPENS if you then choose to turn your PPOR into an IP ???
Even if you are redrawing for private expenses it is not a good idea as if you were to ever rent that house you would have the same problem.
See, even when we THINK we are doing it right, there is always more to learn !!
And Terryw – THANK YOU SO MUCH for those VERY important extra pieces of information. Awesome post. ;)
We hear the words about keeping accounts separate – but it is in the understanding just how DIFFICULT things can get if we screw up that really brings it home.
The “Heads Up” forum is described as containing “Posts about gurus, organisations, websites, books, courses, print, radio or TV matters of interest.” It also has information re any meetings being arranged.
You will see in there that there are regular meetings in/around SEQ – in Brisbane, Gold coast, and Sunny Coast. Brisbane ones tend to be held monthly, but not so often on the Coasts. Keep on eye on the website, and especially the “Heads Up” forum to see when these are next happening.
Of course, you might want to arrange your own ad hoc meetings – feel free to use the website to gauge interest !!
As Steve says “Buy a problem and sell the solution – don’t buy the solution!”
He explains by saying “The developer builds new properties, providing solutions for all those who just want a new house”.
For those who can fix problems, (either by developing, renovating, or simply buying for a bargain price from someone who over-stretched) they then have a solution to sell to someone else. Or, they have a “solution” that has appreciated in value, and is now able to release some Equity !!
As you may have read in Steve McKnight’s book, From 0 to Financial Freedom, the blueprint for the current market is to use quick-cash strategies to manufacture growth and build a large capital base. Then you can reinvest your equity into debt-free higher yielding assets, like commercial real estate.
Sounds like the MAP program is evolving to suit the times, just as Steve did when his early ways of investing ceased to work as well. I recall his early days in low-cost housing in Ballarat, then he branched into units/motels, then NZ, then the USA, then commercial property. I’m sure there would’ve been more in there too….. my memory is dim….. :p
And to you, the MAP attendees – how has the 2016 course been? Are there stories you can share that show how well things have gone for you? Maybe even some traps that you avoided (or didn’t? eeek!) by having done the MAP program?
I thought if the valuation is correct I have to only come up with 20% deposit and can borrow 80%?
Exactly the reason why I said “Ouch” in my first reply. That deposit sounds “over the top” as Corey has defined. Is there “something else” underlying that would have your lender wanting more security?
e.g. Are your loans xcolled? Even with those other positive geared investments, the banks may “see” them as negative geared (by limiting how much rent they will allow in the calcs, and by including a “Qualifying Rate” for Interest that allows for rate increases, etc). So, even if your bank account sees a positive cashflow, this might not be seen this way when borrowing. Hence the need for a Mortgage Broker who is well versed in all of this?
What does your Broker tell you re that huge deposit? Do they agree that you would need to pay the higher deposit? And if so, WHY?
Benny
PS And yes, as Corey said – watch out for way over-priced apartments on the Gold Coast and surrounds.
Welcome to pi.com – and good for you in having an expressed goal to start with. As you can imagine, there is lots to be done, but finance is one of the first to get going, and the help of one of our Mortgage Brokers would be a smart move. THere is SO much to know, and they know it backwards.
Re WHAT to buy, well that is a whole nother question. Fintrack says “Buy new”, where I would tend to suggest there may be better ways. Ethan’s comments are nearer to my own thoughts – viz. buy second-hand and add value.
Note that nothing is “hard and fast” – you may not be in a position to handle a “long-distance reno” for example, so buying an older house that needs work, in a city far away might not be the smartest move !! ;)
Hi Panina,
And a big welcome to you….. You have come to a good place. ;)
My loan has only came out at $260000 so if i want the new apartment ill have to fork out $100000 which is all my savings.
Wow – that is a big OUCH !! Smart move for looking around before putting so much of your own cash into the deal.
May I ask – have you been talking to a Mortgage Broker, or are you dealing direct with a lender? See, as with anything we are “new to”, we often struggle to think of questions to ask. So dealing with someone who has YOUR interests at heart, and the knowledge of a subject you are unfamiliar with, can be a huge win.
To that end, let me suggest you at least have a chat with a Mortgage Broker (maybe one from on here?) just to be sure your lender has given you all of the options you might have available to you. See, lenders are often just “wanting to sign you up, while giving themselves the best security for their money that they can” – enter xcoll loans, huge deposits, restricted allowances for your Income, etc.
Better for you to be more aware of all of the different options available to you – via a Mortgage Broker. The results might point your thinking in a whole new direction !!
Re which is better, old or new, there are several points around that – for some (high wage, passive investor, low Tax deductions) a new property might be beneficial. For a low income investor, buying new may not be such a good idea. But don’t let me put you off – ask the questions, and let’s see what other answers spring up. Look out for a mortgage Broker who might reply to your post. There are several good ones on here….. (check their signature)
Benny
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