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  • Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    Sitting on the sideling and doing nothing is betting that prices will drop. This is a bet that has failed year after year after year. Overseas economists claiming our property market is overpriced and using international comparisons is nothing new, but they fail to factor in things such the enourmous number of houses that are in slums in the US brign down the median and averge prices, far below what comparables are here. The facts are building costs are high and there is more demand than supply. These factors have been constant for some time and and there is no sign of a reversal, so what is going to cause a crash in property prices? There are definately risks, such as another financial crisis in Europe and this is a good reason to be conservative, but people who are not in the market already need to realise that it is just as big a risk to do nothing.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    You should budget for at least 12 months. You might get it through as quickly as 3 months, but you would be silly to expect that.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    realestateedu.com.au wrote:
    So AP are saying it is more intelligent to have higher density or urban sprawl. Should we be focusing in utilizing current spaces better where there are essential services already installed. Philip Sigglekow

    Hi Philip, I wasn't expressing an opinion on whether its good or bad, simply what the announcement means. My view on planning is that local Government should be totally excluded from planning and all decisions given to a statuatory authority, as the area is too political at the moment. I also think there should be higher densities around areas with good infrastructure and heavy restrictions on further urban sprawl.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    I have never heard Carley speak, maybe she's great, but I have concerns as to whether she is old enough to have sufficient experience to provide a really good service. Even if she has squeezed in quite a few, she can't have been through many cycles. Dean and Elise Parker have some educational materials on sale through this site and Troy Harris runs monthly meetings which are very cheap, i would suggest these people would have at least as much to offer and provide very good value for money.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    Altering the UGB is just one step and doesn't mean that all the land that is affected will be rezoned. Councillors still have significant power to stop land from being rezoned and to influence density, they also seem to be generally anti development, while the current State Government has a disinclination to do anything, so don't expect a rush of land onto the market any time soon.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    There are a few non banks around still who will fund small developments with no or at least very minor presalae requirements. Three units, if there is a good margin would be very easy to do with no presales, with 6 units and a strong application 1 presale would be enough to go to about 65% GRV and 2 would get you to 70%.

    Regards

    Alistair

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    I don't see why people get so upset by this sort of thing. You can rest assured that anyone advertising on hear will be ripped to shreds if what they are offering is not up to standard. Why not let them put themselves up for scrutiny?

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    Raf2228 wrote:
    Hi Guys!! I read your threads and from it Im going to do carly crutchfield development course. My problem is that I have an option of doing the course for $5990 or get the same course with the same materials for cheaper from somebody else. The problem with this is that I would need a mentor and I really dont know where to start looking for one. Ive seen the promotional DVD of hers and from it I would like to start as a spotter, finding sites for developers as I am going back to uni. I will eventually in the next yr or so think of developing property So guys help me out should I get the $5990 course or get the same course from somebody else cheaper?????

    If you need personal mentoring why don't you consider the RESULTS program, which is marketed through this site.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    mortgagedetective wrote:
    Gidday Dan42,

     I hadn't made the DCF connection, partly because I question the applicability of it for this purpose (i.e. what rpr works given the situation actually being modelled) and partly because it never came up :o(

    You have to be kidding me, you continue to compare a saving over 30 years to a day one figure (the initial loan figure is not a reasonable figure to use any way, because it is not the cost of the loan) and you don't think it is applicable to discount the future savings? Also, it has been brought up continually, you just choose to ignore it so you can stick to your exagerated and deceptive claims regarding possible savings.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    mortgagedetective wrote:
    Gidday Alistair,

    Although I'm lost on your motivation, I understand that you are less than enthusiastic about brokers offering such generous support to borrowers through mortgage rebates, but nobody is forcing you to be as decent with your borrowers.
    quote]
     
    My motivation is that people like yourself, who treat mortgage broking as a commodity loan processing business, do a lot of harm to the industry and certainly don't do any  favours to borrowers. Good advice is worth a lot more than the fractional saving they can make by receiving rebates on comissions, this is particularly the case for investors whose major issue is often access to funds. 

    You can argue till the cows come home about how the exact same loan will cost less through a rebater, but this is stating the bleeding obvious. The way you word your arguments creates the impression of there being significantly higher savings than are possible, I can only guess that you continue to do this to push your own barrow. 

    Your inference that brokers who don't rebate are somehow not doing the correct thing via their customers is incredibly naive, as you know nothing about the needs of my, or any other brokers clients. Did you ever stop to think that maybe some brokers provide a really good service and that their clients are happy for them to be paid well. Perhaps when you were involved with the previously mentioned rebater, if you had provided a better service you wouldn't have had to compete on price.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    Michael, if you want to have any credibility stop claiming BS figures for savings like 12.55%, you know very well the saving is far less than this in real terms.

    Also, please explain how a  brokers services are not free when they get the same terms for the same loan, be it through a branch or broker. Banks have a cost of client acquiisition be it advertising, paying for branches and sales people or selling through the broker channel. Together they are a cost to the bank and are passed on to the banks customers, as are all the other myriad of costs they incur. It suits your argumement to seperate the cost of broker commissions from the rest, and claim the service it not free, but it is not reality.  

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    mortgagedetective wrote:

    Gidday Alistair,

    Gosh I wish that came out sooner. So we are agreed the best way to state the saving (for the $450,000 homeside example) is:

    "a saving of 12.55% in interest and fees which equals $81,000 over 30 years"

    No, because brokers are not selling a commodity, if they are any good. They are selling a service and c ustomers are lucky enough that the banks will pay for it, rather than them having to. The cost is not therefore only in the direct cost of the loan. This is even more the case for investors an d people with more complex borrowing needs. The other problem is that most people don't have the knowledge to attach a time value to the saving, the saving of $81K is not worth $ 81K in real terms. It is a good marketing statement though. 

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    mortgagedetective wrote:

    The 18% saving on the $450,000 NAB/Homeside loan from mortgage rebate over retail has always been expressed as a percentage of the loan amount and calculated using real data. Although there has been plenty of allegation, nobody in this post has demonstrated the figure to be incorrect using real data.

    There has never been an argument that the p[otential dollar saving is anything but what you have stated if you use Homeside as an  example. The argument is whether the comparison to initial loan amount is a good one, and also whether companies that rebate are able to offer a level  of  service that warrants the saving.

    mortgagedetective wrote:
    With respect to your claims surrounding the $1.1m figure, it is important to understand this amount includes the repayment of principle ($450,000) which is a cost of the investment rather than a cost of money.

    This is true and is a good reason why comparing the saving to the initial loan amount is meaningless.

    mortgagedetective wrote:
    However I am reassured that you are thinking about ways to address the commission dilemma and it's probably no surprise that I disagree with your statement that there is only one way to do this.

    If you are seeking a greater level of transparency and flexibility to set your own costs, their are a few other ways you can do that, at least two of which are gaining acceptance. I provide consultancy to a number of businesses implementing these exact models:

    1. Agree your fee with the client and do not collect commissions (i.e become a Borrowers Agent rather than a broker).
    2. Agree your fee with the client and refund 100% of whatever is left over from the commissions.
    3. Agree your fee with the client, charge that to them and refund 100% of all commissions.

    Each of these models is focused on delivering better results to the borrower. Anyhow, there's some food for thought and probably the subject for another post.

    If you want to have a go at brokers over c ommissions, I'm not a good target for you because a very high percentage of my income comes from commercial and business loans where I nominate the level of payment I receive to the lender and it is fully disclosed to the borrower. I think it would be great if this was the way resi loans worked also, but its not going to happen because the banks won't deliver loans to broker clients for lower rates than they do to branch clients and clients wonm't accept paying more to go through a branch than a broker. The business models you have suggested above will never work, except as a niche area, because if they did become widespread banks would simply lower commission further.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    mortgagedetective wrote:

    Gidday Alistair,

    Borrowers interested in saving the 18% of loan amount (or 12.55% in interest and fees) can see the mortgage rebates they receive form at least one ORP mortgage broker paying them here:

    http://www.matesratesmortgagebrokers.com.au/mates_rates_mortgage_broker_commissions.html

    I am unsure of your motivation, however you are misrepresenting both the commissions paid and the effect of the savings.

    As previously explained, my modelling is based on the rates and rebate cash flow timings that borrowers can and do receive in real life cases. Knowledgeable borrowers have been making these savings for the better part of a decade.

    I believe the investment theory you are attempting to name is 'Time value of Money', which is impossible to address in a dollar based saving calculation

    However, it can be demonstrated using an internal rate of return which is also the basis of the MCR legislation. There are problems with using IRR because the loans wind up with different terms (i.e. the rebated loan pays out faster).

    In the case of the $450,000 this would be demonstrated by:

    – Retail AAPR:                       7.22% for 30.0 Years
    – Mortgage Rebate AAPR:      6.98% for 27.8 Years

    In simple terms, the mortgage rebate borrowers loan has a lower effective rate whilst they remain in debt, BUT they also become debt free 2.2 years sooner. The borrower taking retail has over two extra years of repayments at the higher rate of 7.22%.

    This demonstrates the shortfall of Time Value of Money is it does not allow for the added value realised by borrowers through becoming debt free 2.2 years sooner. This becomes an invaluable benefit.

    In terms of the offset, you may recall my earlier post when I stated borrowers either put the money in actual loan or a 100% offset facility, so I think you are just being a little mischievous here.

    Of course none of this changes the reality that a borrower with this scenario is saving the 18% of loan amount (or 12.55% in interest and fees) by using a broker paying mortgage rebates over one that doesn't.

    The commission rates I used of 0.5% upfront and 0.15% trail is pretty representative of what a broker earns on average, I'm sure the other brokers on here will back me up on this.

    With regard to your comment regarding the time value of money,  It is not impossible to model you simply apply a discount rate on the saving accross the time period. Estimate average inflation and drag the discount across the spread sheet. If you wish to compare savings over 30 years to a figure today you simply have to do this or else your figures are meaningless. Alternatively, compare the savings against the cost over the 30  years, which is closer to $1.1 mill. Claiming an 18% saving is misleading and you know it.

    As to my motivation, it is to "cut through the baloney".

    One area that i agree with is that it would be good if broker commission was agreed on between client and broker, but the only way this would work would be if the banks delivered loans to brokers with the current commissions discounted off the rate and allowed the broker to add it back at an agreed rate. This will never happen as it would kill the branches, who struggle to compete with brokers as is.     

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    mortgagedetective wrote:
    Gidday Alistair,

    I presume you are referring to the savings to the borrower of 18% in the above example (actually it's probably higher as I didn't model the 6 year+ step in because NAB – Homeside are the exception as you know.)

    If so, I'm not sure what you don't understand as this is the same basic modelling you would need to use to get to make recommendations to borrowers on any loan (assuming cost factors in your recommendation somewhere).

    To get the savings, model mortgage rebate cost on:

    – Loan Amount $450,000
    – Monthly P&I (Interest only savings would be far more significant)
    – Term 30 Years
    – Normalise the interest rate +2% (because SVR has averaged at around 7.10% since April 1994)
    – 1st rebate at settlement + 3 months (because it is unlikely to happen on the day of settlement)
    – 100% of trail rebated monthly to the loan account (I know you disagree that borrowers should do this, but it saves interest and is what borrowers I interviewed prefer to do)

    Then;

    (Retail Cost – Mortgage Rebate Cost) / Original Loan Amount x 100

    As per my note, NAB Homeside savings are over 18% of loan amount for borrowers who take their loan via an ORP mortgage broker over brokers that keep the commission for themselves although again, I maxed the out years at 0.30% p.a. when it actually steps to 0.35%. ie, mortgage rebate savings will be much larger.

    Let me know if you are struggling and I will help out.

    By my calculations (using 0.5% upfront and 0.15% trail, as these are far more representative of what brokers generally are paid) if all commissions are rebated and paid into the loan there is a saving of around $60K over 30 years against repayments of almost $1.1 mill. Even without taking into account the time cost of money, which is necessary if you are using a 30 year period, this saving is relatively small. If you really do wish to "cut through the baloney, you should use statistics in their proper context. Calculating a dollar saving over 30 year and comparing it agains the initial size of a loan is meaningless and the percentage figures you continue to use a misleading in the extreme.

    You also need to be more clear when you are using the term "offset". Paying money into a loan reduces interest by reducing the loan amount, it does not "offset" anything. Paying money into an offset account reduces interest by offsetting what is charged against an unchanged loan amount. This difference is very important.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    Please explain how you get these % savings.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    Lisa J wrote:

    Thanks Richard

    Yeah – all the books say – find a mentor – someone who has done what you want to do – but it seems there are very few who want to help out for purely philanthropic reasons! Apart from those on Propertyinvesting .com, of course!!!

    Any recommendations as to lenders to look at that have fully transactional offsets?
    regards
    Lisa J

    Hi Lisa,

    Richard has been giving you very go  d advice, why don't you just use his service rather than shopping around youself. It would be easier for you and you will most likely end up with a more beneficial loan structure than if you do everything yourself. 

    Regards
    Alistair  

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    How you get this 15% figure is totally beyond me. If you assume a mortgage of $250K and trailing comission of 0.15%, with 50% being rebated and paid into the loan, the saving over a 30 year mortgage is less than 3%. In most cases you can save a lot more than this by structuring your loans appropriately. 

    I think you'll find that Richard Taylor had already been in the industry for quite a while prior to 2000 by the way. Most of the rebaters i have come accross operate under a franchise model such as Refund Home Loans and Peach Home Loans, so even if they have been around for a while, most probably the loan writers haven't. If you have come accross independent brokers who use a rebate model, and are good bokers, they are just plain silly.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    mortgagedetective wrote:

    On quality:

    I think your perspective that brokers that rebate commission are inferior is flawed. Quite clearly the commission Broker A gets paid with Lender A is exactly the same as completely inexperienced Broker B who just wrote his/her first loan with Lender A (assuming the same aggregator). It therefore follows that earnings do not reflect experience or capability.

    I have interviewed quite a few customers of rebate brokers both simple and complex. At least two of them who went with the most generous ORP Broker had extremely complex mixes and requirements (i.e. multi (not two or three) million dollar portfolios, mix of investment vehicles and jv structures and in one case mixes of local and foreign income). They have used this particular ORP broker for years and wouldn't think of going anywhere else.

    You might have interviewed a few people but I have been in this industry for a long time, as have some of the other brokers on this forum, and I'm sure they would all back me up on this. There is simply no need for a good broker to rebate as there is not that much competition around. I have also never come accross a good and successful broker who rebates commissions, I would suggest the few you have found are not particularly common, and those that you have found are fools if their service is that good. It is often difficult to justify the time taken to service smaller clients as it is, why anyone would do so and rebate commission, particularly if they are supplying a quality service, simply makes no sense. 

    mortgagedetective wrote:

    On savings:

    I'm not sure what is ridiculous about depositing the rebates against the loan to deliver offset savings. However I struggle to understand why someone who takes pride in being both in the industry and skilled, would suggest that the borrower shouldn't do it.

     

    Offset is not ridiculous. Lumping rebates in with the value of having an offset account and then coming up with a 15% saving is. For most people rebates received would be very small.

    mortgagedetective wrote:
    On whether the borrower pays commission:

    I fear it's you that's playing with semantics. There is nothing even slightly incorrect about my explanatory paragraph and what I did include (as I usually do) was the statement that "(if the lender doesn't pass it on to a broker, they call it profit)". I refer to it as profit as the branch staff and related infrastructure and on costs are fixed, ergo an extra sale for the lender = profit.

     

    I'm sorry you are speaking utter garbage. There are a range of fixed and variable costs that go into all business a bank does. They are able to allocate the exact cost of commissions to broker originated loans, but this does not mean that it is a cost to the customer. You have admitted yourself that it is not. Doing so suggests that the customer is paying extra to use a broker, they are not. P erhaps you should suggest that bank staf rebate some of their wages to customers.

    Profile photo of Alistair PerryAlistair Perry
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    The block is big enough to put 2 units, subject to the design. It is a total waste of time talking to anyone without at least a concept drawing. I strongly suggest you speak to Paulding Homes, they are a Frankston based volume builder, I'm sure they will be able to advise you on the liklihood of fitting decently sized units on the block

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