All Topics / Hotch Potch / interest rates

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  • Profile photo of TuttsyTuttsy
    Member
    @tuttsy
    Join Date: 2003
    Post Count: 14

    All the talk at the moment is about how interest rates will probably rise over the next 3 years to around 10%, or so say a number of experts. Yet Westpac is still offering a 10 year fixed rate of just 7.5%. A great deal if those rates do go up ! What do you guys think [?]

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    Profile photo of Stuart WemyssStuart Wemyss
    Member
    @stuart-wemyss
    Join Date: 2003
    Post Count: 598

    I think only morons and fortune tellers would predict interest rates to rise to 10% in 3 years.

    I would prefer to listen to Henry Kaye…. (well that’s taking it a bit far)

    Interest rates react to expectations and uncertainty. If is very difficult to forecast 3 months forward (let alone 3 years!!!)… and often 3 month forecasts are wrong.

    I think you are better off variable unless:
    1. You lose sleep at night worrying about potential rises; and/or
    2. You have a significant debt exposure and a 1% or 2% interest rate rise would adversely impact you.

    Fixed rates are like buying insurance. You may pay more in the end but you are limiting the downside.

    Just my 2 cents.

    Cheers

    Stu

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